Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 9.3%
14 points   6 14-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 -3.9
-0.2
-0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -3.6
-0.2
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.2
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.2
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-134InYes10012,885*
118506-4In50.0%50502*
116-117In96.410028*
115487-5In92.394652*
114488-4In93.7982111*
113478-5In80.19532206*
112479-4In78.39155443*
111469-5In72.18758921*
110459-6In63.3838901,759*
1094510-5In53.077101203,230*
1084410-6In41.5701316105,882*
1074411-5In30.761162110010,663*
1064311-6In20.15219263018,254*
1054312-5In12.242223140030,457*
1044212-6In6.131243770049,922*
1034112-7In2.7222541111079,137*
1024113-6In0.91424451620122,760*
1014013-7100.0%0.28214522400188,063*
1004014-6100.00.04174428710277,512*
993914-7100.00.0213403410100401,003*
983915-699.80.019343816300569,024*
973815-799.5No062740215000789,663*
963816-698.3No032039261020001,068,903*
953716-795.5No0214352917410001,414,728*
943717-689.2No019292723920001,834,238*
933617-778.3No00522222816510002,332,975*
923618-662.6No03161629241130002,896,860*
913518-744.6No0110924291871003,533,750*
903519-627.8No0164172926134004,219,262*
893419-714.9No0032102430218204,937,353*
883420-66.9No0021516292815405,664,780*
873320-72.8No001029233223816,375,383*
863321-61.0No0000151630301537,022,143*
853221-70.3No0000021025352367,598,042*
843222-60.1No000015183531108,049,436*
833122-70.0No000002123138178,375,521*
823022-80.0No00000172542258,555,878*
813023-70.0No000041943358,557,290*
802923-80.0No000021340458,413,327*
792924-70.0No00001836558,117,351*
782824-80.0No0000531647,679,828*
772825-7OutNo00325727,130,912*
762725-8OutNo00220796,494,285*
752726-7OutNo00115845,805,642*
742626-8OutNo000011895,094,386*
732627-7OutNo008924,394,605*
722527-8OutNo005943,716,037*
712528-7OutNo004963,078,653*
702428-8OutNo02972,512,180*
692429-7OutNo02982,006,442*
682329-8OutNo01991,574,086*
672330-7OutNo01991,209,832*
662331-6OutNo00100913,451*
652231-7OutNo00100679,187*
642232-6OutNo0100493,024*
632132-7OutNo0100351,462*
622133-6OutNo0100245,112*
612033-7OutNo0100168,545*
602034-6OutNo0100112,975*
591934-7OutNo010075,239*
581935-6OutNo010048,187*
571835-7OutNo010030,553*
561836-6OutNo010018,920*
551736-7OutNo010011,522*
541737-6OutNo01006,879*
531637-7OutNo01004,043*
521638-6OutNo01002,221*
511538-7OutNo1001,261*
501539-6OutNo0100654*
14-49OutNo10013,660*
Total:9.3%0.0%001323469122040155,402,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimVancouverNashvilleSt. LouisLos AngelesCalgaryChicagoMinnesotaWinnipegDallasSan JoseArizonaColorado
134600-06.4%964612127887775
119516-3No5050
118506-4No5050
117496-512.5251313251313
116497-410.01015551010105101055
115487-57.712822131988813422
114488-44.571056117951011765
113478-54.410104517107776754
112479-45.0992616125876974
111469-57.112115413126676765
110459-65.510104512147666874
1094510-55.912114512136566874
1084410-66.313114513136665874
1074411-56.014133513145665763
1064311-66.415143414145554763
1054312-56.117163414144444763
1044212-66.318173315154443753
1034112-76.319183316153333652
1024113-66.220193316163332652
1014013-76.321203316163222651
1004014-66.321213316163222651
993914-76.221213316162221641
983915-66.221214416153221641
973815-76.220206515153221541
963816-66.120207614143321541
953716-76.019198613134321431
3615-95.919188713124321431
943717-65.617179711114321431
3818-45.617179711114321431
933617-74.9151597994321321
3516-94.8151597994321321
923618-64.0121286773221210
3517-83.8121276773221210
3719-43.9121286773221210
913518-72.99965552211110
3417-92.78864442111110
903519-61.75543331110100
893419-70.93322111000000
883420-60.41111110000000
873320-70.21100000000000
863321-60.10000000000000
853221-70.00000000000000
843222-60.00000000000000
833122-70.00000000000000
823123-60.00000000000000
813023-70.000000000000
802923-80.000000000
792924-7No0000
783026-4No0
14-77No
Total:0.6%1.81.80.90.71.11.10.40.30.20.10.40.30.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 +0.9
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 +0.9

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-134100
118506-45050
117496-58813
116497-4100
115487-59226
114488-49452
113478-5801532
112479-4781255
111469-5721558
110459-6632080800
1094510-5532410012000
1084410-64229131150010
1074411-531311612010100
1064311-620321722420300
1054312-512301942641040000
1044212-66251862872070000
1034112-73191692611401100100
1024113-611313112116701510200
1014013-708912152010118214000
1004014-6045128211322152060100
993914-7023103181442010301011000
983915-601181131371615701423000
973815-700508910101811117450000
963816-600304511418142188912000
953716-700201210114145151414241000
943717-6001001708119918176820000
933617-700000404711418161214610000
923618-6000020231111410191813510000
913518-70001018094201519136200000
903519-60001005041169182114721000
893419-70000003020103112022168310000
883420-60000020105141221231810410000
873320-70000010020151221241911410000
863321-6000000010015122124201141000
853221-7000000001512212520114100
843222-600000000151322262010300
833122-7000000002615242618720
823022-8000000000271727261551
813023-7000001310222923102
802923-800000015152830174
792924-7000000282233268
782824-8000001415323414
772825-7000029274022
762725-800015214232
752726-70003154142
742626-8001103752
732627-7000163261
722527-800032770
712528-70022177
702428-80011683
692429-70011287
682329-800991
672330-700694
662331-600495
652231-70397
642232-600298
632132-70199
622133-60199
612033-70199
602034-60100
591934-70100
581935-60100
571835-70100
561836-60100
551736-70100
541737-60100
531637-70100
521638-60100
511538-7100
501539-60100
14-49100
Total:000000010111111212233455679111418