Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 43.5%
9 points   4 5-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +3.9
+0.2
+0.3
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.4
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.5
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.4
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-153In99.9%1005,069*
1205213-7In99.510001,085*
1195214-6In99.3100001,648*
1185114-7In98.699002,911*
1175115-6In97.999114,687*
1165015-7In96.399117,605*
1154915-8In95.0981111,936*
1144916-7In92.1962218,101*
1134816-8In88.59533027,069*
1124817-7In83.69244039,831*
1114717-8In77.48955058,006*
1104718-7In69.38578082,558*
1094618-8In59.680101000114,958*
1084619-7In48.873131410157,961*
1074519-8In37.4651618100211,519*
1064520-7In26.4552023200278,868*
1054420-8In16.7452328300361,486*
1044320-9In9.2352534600460,930*
1034321-8100.0%4.42527389100575,075*
1024221-9100.01.617264213200710,848*
1014222-8100.00.5102444183000856,886*
1004122-9100.00.1621442451001,020,660*
994123-899.90.0316413091001,191,632*
984023-999.80.011237341330001,371,151*
974024-899.30.00831371851001,552,448*
963924-998.1No05243723920001,723,746*
953925-895.2No0317352515410001,887,790*
943825-989.2No0111312521820002,028,667*
933826-878.9No0172421261551002,152,712*
923726-964.2No04181526221030002,244,294*
913727-847.0No00212923271872002,300,952*
903627-930.4No0185172725134102,327,772*
893628-817.3No0052102328219202,309,296*
883528-98.6No0021516282715512,260,364*
873529-83.8No0010210233023912,176,218*
863429-91.5No0010151629301632,062,076*
853430-80.5No0000021024332361,926,220*
843330-90.2No000015183331111,767,605*
833331-80.1No000003123038181,596,749*
823231-90.0No0000172441261,423,474*
813232-80.0No0000041842361,246,045*
803132-90.0No00021340461,076,237*
793133-80.0No000183655915,313*
783033-9OutNo00053064764,773*
773034-8OutNo0032572630,074*
762934-9OutNo0022079509,835*
752935-8OutNo0011584407,301*
742835-9OutNo001188320,272*
732836-8OutNo00892246,671*
722736-9OutNo0694188,057*
712737-8OutNo0496141,027*
702637-9OutNo0397103,561*
692638-8OutNo0029875,553*
682538-9OutNo019953,506*
672539-8OutNo19937,552*
662439-9OutNo19926,170*
652440-8OutNo010017,843*
642340-9OutNo010011,736*
632341-8OutNo01007,767*
622342-7OutNo01005,117*
612242-8OutNo01003,187*
602243-7OutNo1002,044*
592143-8OutNo01001,240*
56-58OutNo1001,420*
551945-8OutNo199146*
9-54OutNo1004,010*
Total:43.5%1.4%341012788899101246,109,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimVancouverNashvilleMinnesotaChicagoLos AngelesSt. LouisDallasCalgarySan JoseWinnipegColoradoArizona
153720-06.3%8967798899767
1305910-3NoYes
129579-6NoYes
128569-7No204040
1275610-613.32013777201313
1265611-513.0139994444499913
1255511-6No997491347913711
1245411-75.71681351739117396
1235311-86.58574889510611911
1225312-79.371037610971285710
1215212-87.0912564988910668
1205213-75.78975610761210767
1195214-65.99967511661010668
1185114-76.59966711671010669
1175115-66.581066611671110569
1165015-76.79966610661110659
1154915-86.291066610661010669
1144916-76.091066610661011668
1134816-86.591066610661010668
1124817-76.091056611661010668
1114717-86.2101056611661111658
1104718-76.1101156611661111659
1094618-86.1101155511661111558
1084619-76.2111155511551111559
1074519-86.3121255512551111558
1064520-76.3131345512551211448
1054420-86.2131344413441211448
1044320-96.3141444413441212448
1034321-86.2151533313441212338
1024221-96.3161533314331312338
1014222-86.3171633314331313228
1004122-96.2171633315331313228
994123-86.3181633315321313228
984023-96.2181633314331313228
974024-86.2171643314331312228
963924-96.1171544313331212227
953925-86.0161454413431111227
943825-95.6151354411431010226
933826-84.91311544104388225
923726-94.011944483366214
913727-82.98633352244112
903627-91.95422232133111
893628-81.13211121122001
883629-70.52111110011000
873529-80.21100000000000
863530-70.10000000000000
853430-80.00000000000000
843431-70.00000000000000
833331-80.00000000000000
823332-70.0000000000000
813232-80.00000000000
803132-9No00000
793032-100.00
9-78No
Total:2.7%7.36.42.11.91.85.71.71.65.04.91.11.03.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.8
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.0
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-153100
1225312-71000
1215212-81000
1205213-710000
1195214-699000
1185114-799100
1175115-698111
1165015-796211
1154915-895311
1144916-7924220
1134816-88963300
1124817-784944000
1114717-87712505000
1104718-76916708000
1094618-86020100100000
1084619-74924130140010
1074519-8372716117101000
1064520-72629181211020000
1054420-817292022531030000
1044320-99262142752060000
1034321-8421207269409001000
1024221-921517923136012102000
1014222-8010121217171001621030000
1004122-906813102013119410501000
994123-80341251915319830801000
984023-90121021415616136012120000
974024-80017091110101710115350100
963924-900505712518132167902000
953925-800302312115145131213241000
943825-90010119010119817165820000
933826-800100705712418141113620000
923726-900004023131149181612620000
913727-80000201110093201317137210000
903627-900010070511671519159310000
893628-80000004020102816211811510000
883528-9000002010513817222013620000
873529-8000001002013816222215720000
863429-900001001001381623231672000
853430-80000000000138162323167200
843330-90000000013817252415610
833331-8000000001391926241340
823231-90000000141223282292
813232-8000000016162729174
803132-900000292232268
793133-8000001415313415
783033-900029263923
773034-800015204133
762934-90002144044
752935-8000193654
742835-900053163
732836-80032572
722736-90022079
712737-8011584
702637-90001188
692638-800892
682538-90694
672539-80496
662439-90397
652440-8298
642340-90199
632341-8199
622342-7199
612242-80100
602243-70100
592143-80100
582144-70100
56-57100
551945-8199
9-54100
Total:122223233333343433344444445555