Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to NY Islanders 1-8, playoff odds down 1.4 to 2%
47 points   21 28-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 8 Edmonton 1 -1.4
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
103280-0In0.0%107713050,865
102270-1InNo7801315
101260-2InNo265321131*
100261-1InNo154414396*
99251-2InNo04351601,743*
98252-1InNo345510005,380*
97242-2InNo2457171016,012*
96243-1100.0%No17552530042,027*
95233-299.9No1050335100101,986*
94223-399.5No541419300227,831*
93224-298.1No33045128200477,078*
92214-393.7No1204414155100927,182*
91215-284.0No012381221133001,703,754*
90205-367.7No06299242291002,936,107*
89206-247.0No0320520291851004,811,078*
88196-327.1No01112132928133007,451,321*
87197-212.7No0061622332381011,020,445*
86187-34.8No00202133032174015,496,597*
85188-21.5No0010162035279120,841,834*
84178-30.4No0000211293619326,713,665*
83168-40.1No000005203730832,861,543*
82169-30.0No0000021133391538,653,108*
81159-40.0No0000524442717,478,037
1610-20.0No0000524442626,186,215*
801510-30.0No0000216443947,244,356*
791410-40.0No00019385330,826,524*
1511-20.0No000019395018,330,604
781411-30.0No00005316449,104,210*
771311-40.0No0002237519,076,745
1412-2OutNo002247428,071,203*
761312-3OutNo001178219,725,203
1211-5OutNo001168323,736,175*
751212-4OutNo000118938,579,398*
741213-3OutNo0079332,864,112*
731113-4OutNo0049626,958,443*
721114-3OutNo0039721,227,043*
711014-4OutNo019916,081,774*
701015-3OutNo019911,680,747*
69915-4OutNo001008,163,100*
68916-3OutNo001005,466,849*
67816-4OutNo001003,515,239*
66817-3OutNo01002,159,511*
65818-2OutNo01001,273,770*
64718-3OutNo0100715,258*
63719-2OutNo0100385,982*
62619-3OutNo0100197,780*
61620-2OutNo010096,337*
60520-3OutNo010044,178*
59521-2OutNo010019,254*
47-58OutNo10063,695*
Total:2.0%0.0%000101236112253613,611,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoDallasLos AngelesSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseNashvilleMinnesotaColoradoArizonaVancouverCalgaryWinnipeg
103280-06.2%013912142212127232
102270-120.01372771313713
101260-26.958152416968253
100261-16.8167172614676341
99251-25.30196202512658341
98252-16.10110423269549341
97242-26.50113325296449431
96243-16.511152262942310440
95233-26.211171263032210440
94223-36.222191262921110440
234-16.121191263021110440
93224-26.15320124281009440
213-46.15320123271009430
235-06.25320124281119430
92214-35.89520120240008330
225-15.98520121250008330
203-55.89619120230007330
91215-25.412717116190006320
204-45.212817115180006320
226-05.511718117210007330
193-65.012816115170005320
90205-34.213813111130004220
216-14.513814112150005220
194-53.913812110120004210
89206-23.111791790003110
195-42.810781680002110
217-03.41171018100003110
184-62.59671670002110
88196-31.77441450001110
207-11.97551460002110
185-51.56441340001100
174-71.3543134000100
87197-20.93220230001000
186-40.7322022000100
208-01.0432023000100
175-60.6221012000000
86187-30.31110110000000
198-10.41110110000000
176-50.2111011000000
85188-20.1000000000000
177-40.10000000000000
84178-30.0000000000000
83179-20.000000000000
82169-30.000000000000
811610-20.0000000000
801510-30.00000000
791612-00.000000
781512-1No000
771311-4No0
47-76No
Total:0.1%0.40.20.30.00.30.40.00.00.00.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 8 Edmonton 1 +0.7
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
103280-00104037725000
102270-17206013
101260-222441751821
100261-1184618267311
99251-205381633114120
98252-1232043121424000
97242-21240223324581100
96243-10160114402713321000
95233-2010074317179321000
94223-30503380616194531000
93224-2030129041230395320000
92214-30100200263611268420000
91215-200012012350124177531000
90205-300600129092227109410000
89206-20030019050204111613720000
88196-300100110201316152117931000
87197-2000061060271724211141000
86187-30000200200281825231351000
85188-20000101000281826241451000
84178-30000000027182725145100
83168-4000000002819282613410
82169-3000000000292130251120
81159-400000031124322271
801510-30000014153032163
791410-400000172136288
1511-200000172235277
781411-300000313323715
1310-50000212323715
771311-4000016244326
761312-300003164338
1211-50002164339
751212-4000193852
741213-300053164
731113-400022474
721114-30011782
711014-40001189
701015-300793
69915-400496
68916-300397
67816-40199
66817-30199
65818-200100
64718-30100
63719-20100
62619-30100
61620-20100
60520-30100
59521-20100
58421-30100
47-57100
Total:0000000000010001001122346811142027