Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 93.5%
60 points   26 15-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto 4 Calgary 0 +0.4
NY Rangers 3 Los Angeles 2 +0.4
Winnipeg 2 Anaheim 3 +0.2
Colorado 2 San Jose 5 -0.0
Washington 6 Carolina 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal vs Calgary+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
New Jersey vs Los Angeles+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Pittsburgh vs St. Louis+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Dallas vs Minnesota-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Buffalo-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2
Winnipeg vs San Jose-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126330-0In99.9%1000124,612
122-125In98.1100257*
121302-1In97.71000786*
120292-2In95.210002,405*
119282-3In92.79917,416*
118283-2In88.5991019,716*
117273-3In83.3982049,083*
116274-2In75.89730115,011*
115264-3In67.19640252,423*
114265-2In56.89370521,120*
113255-3In45.59010101,011,848*
112256-2In34.08514101,871,625*
111246-3In23.57919203,280,388*
110236-4In14.67225305,501,401*
109237-3In8.16332608,787,955*
108227-4In3.853389013,453,939*
107228-3In1.64245130019,728,627*
106218-4In0.53249181027,774,995*
105219-3In0.12252252037,578,834*
104209-4In0.01451323048,916,825*
1032010-3In0.08473960061,293,596*
1021910-4In0.044145100074,029,142*
1011911-3In0.023449150086,202,557*
1001811-4100.0%0.0125512200096,883,729*
991812-3100.0No0185031100105,104,052*
981712-4100.0No0124640200110,167,374*
971713-3100.0No0739495000111,508,331*
961613-4100.0No04315691000109,141,222*
951614-399.9No022259142000103,231,286*
941514-499.6No01155921500094,402,618*
931515-398.4No09542610100083,495,057*
921415-495.5No05452818400071,403,207*
911416-389.2No02352626910059,041,358*
901316-478.3No0125213117400047,201,451*
891317-363.2No0017143226920036,467,786*
881217-445.8No0010827321740027,240,894*
871218-329.3No006420342691019,655,084*
861118-416.4No0321230341730013,701,374*
851119-37.9No01162236267009,223,118*
841019-43.3No010314343513105,985,145*
831020-31.2No00018274122203,750,903*
82920-40.4No0004194133402,261,288*
81921-30.1No0001113743701,313,512*
80821-40.0No00063051120736,429*
79822-30.0No00032255191394,095*
78722-40.0No0011555272203,667*
77723-3OutNo00951354100,208*
76623-4OutNo0054443747,320*
75624-3OutNo0337491221,763*
74625-2OutNo012853179,192*
73525-3OutNo12055243,838*
72526-2OutNo01651331,445*
71426-3OutNo85141523*
70427-2OutNo74943187*
69327-3OutNo3405760*
68328-2OutNo356520*
67329-1OutNo11899*
66229-2OutNo1002
60033-0OutNo0298124,612
Total:93.5%0.3%4162732963210001,503,346,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisVancouverLos AngelesCalgaryDallasWinnipegArizonaColorado
126330-06.2%01351313131216111110
125320-1No5050
124310-225.0132513131325
123311-12.6333516111126816
122301-25.30012111318102211101
121302-17.40035121214131613111
120292-25.601241314141417111010
119282-35.701341113161417101010
118283-26.40134121315141710910
117273-36.20134121315141611910
116274-26.201341213151417101010
115264-36.20134121315141710910
114265-26.30135121315141710910
113255-36.20135121315141710910
112256-26.30135121315141610910
111246-36.20146111315151610810
110236-46.3014711131514169800
109237-36.3015811131514169700
108227-46.20161011131514158700
107228-36.30181310121413157600
106218-46.301101610111413146500
105219-36.30112199101312136400
104209-46.3011523891211125400
1032010-36.3011827781110104300
1021910-46.20121316710993200
1011911-36.3012535459882200
1001811-46.2012738348872100
991812-36.2003041238761100
981712-46.3113142228761100
971713-36.3113343117651000
961613-46.2213444117650000
951614-36.2323443006640000
941514-46.2533442005540000
931515-36.2953439004430000
921415-46.01373235003320000
911416-35.61792829002210000
901316-44.91992323001110000
891317-33.91891716001100000
881217-42.91571211000000000
871218-31.811576000000000
861118-41.06343000000000
851119-30.53121000000000
841019-40.21111000000000
831020-30.1000000000000
82920-40.00000000000
81921-30.00000000
80922-20.0000000
79822-30.00000
78722-4No0
60-77No
Total:5.8%4.22.525.933.32.63.07.06.45.81.51.20.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 San Jose 5 +0.1
Winnipeg 2 Anaheim 3 +0.1
NY Rangers 3 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
Toronto 4 Calgary 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs San Jose-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
New Jersey vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Calgary-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126330-010000
124-125100
123311-1973
122301-2982
121302-19820
120292-29540
119282-39371
118283-2881110
117273-3831520
116274-27621300
115264-367284000
114265-257367000
113255-345441001000
112256-234511401000
111246-3235618020000
110236-4155724121000
109237-3855302320000
108227-4449344440000
107228-324138748100000
106218-41313811413201000
105219-302236163183011000
104209-401431202236022000
1032010-30824241261012400000
1021910-40416250271522700000
1011911-3021023025204212000000
1001811-4015200202382191000000
991812-3021501422131273001000
981712-401110918181336112000
971713-30070513210371021400000
961613-4004027210361451810000
951614-300213180321711113110000
941514-4001011302415191202200000
931515-300008016112602537100000
921415-40000596300283152110000
911416-300024328026224342100000
901316-40001212302113036642000000
891317-3000010160140322610106310000
881217-400000100802713914149410000
871218-30000640200151218181151000
861118-40003201200261421211351000
851119-300011600027162423145100
841019-400103000028182624144100
831020-3000100003920282412300
82920-40000001311243122710
81921-3000000151529321620
80821-4000001722362850
79822-3000003133439111
78722-4000162646191
77723-30031848283
76623-40011145386
75624-3005384610
74625-203305216
73525-31215423
72526-20175033
71426-3095040
70427-284943
69327-334255
68328-23565
67329-11189
66229-2100
60033-00298
Total:0479099911768081501111111000000