Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 98.3%
74 points   33 20-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles 1 Boston 4 +0.2
Tampa Bay 2 Calgary 3 -0.2
Nashville 4 Colorado 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Washington vs Edmonton-1.0+0.0+0.0+0.7+0.7+0.7
-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Florida vs Calgary+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116210-0In74.0%92815,478
115200-1In55.98416458
114201-0In42.579212,512*
113191-1In29.4712908,651*
112181-2In17.96238028,242*
111182-1In9.55247174,514*
110172-2In4.341582184,168*
109173-1In1.5306630391,450*
108163-2In0.4217360793,530*
107164-1In0.11477901,433,695*
106154-2In0.08771502,465,045*
105155-1In0.04742203,849,500*
104145-2In0.02673015,746,950*
103135-3In0.015839207,910,724*
102136-2InNo048494010,414,625*
101126-3InNo03657805,925,652
137-1InNo03756706,823,326*
100127-2InNo026611307,875,100
116-4InNo025611407,064,480*
99117-3InNo0166222007,679,016
128-1InNo0176221008,707,487*
98118-2InNo0115830108,932,145
107-4InNo0105732108,274,810*
97108-3100.0%No05494420010,807,854*
119-1InNo065240206,158,151
96109-2100.0No341524008,261,248
98-4100.0No239545007,772,510*
9599-3100.0No128619106,707,981
1010-1100.0No129618007,528,088*
94910-2100.0No019641520012,121,524*
93810-399.8No01162225009,707,147*
92811-299.0No055427121007,439,981*
91711-396.3No024229234005,357,110*
90712-289.7No01302534101003,694,561*
89612-377.2No00191741203002,385,824*
88613-259.3No0101039328101,471,163*
87513-339.1No054304117300845,820*
86514-222.0No022184129710465,263*
85515-110.0No010934391520235,488*
84415-23.9No00423412750113,986*
83416-11.2No00112373811050,259*
82316-20.3No006284421121,147*
81317-10.0No0218453427,853*
80217-2OutNo110414442,803*
79218-1OutNo0533539855*
78118-2OutNo236315233*
77119-1OutNo5712565*
76120-0OutNo1167229*
75020-1OutNo1001
74021-0OutNo024750015,398
Total:98.3%0.0%119383163100000185,773,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryLos AngelesWinnipegVancouverDallasArizona
116210-06.6%0181819231412230
115200-16.3191718241410330
114201-05.80181718261411320
113191-16.2018171726149320
112181-26.20019171826158320
111182-16.3019171827147320
110172-26.200211171828146320
109173-16.200212171828136220
108163-26.200214171828135210
107164-16.200217161728124210
106154-26.200220151627123210
105155-16.200325141526113210
104145-26.300430131324102210
103135-36.300537111122102210
146-16.20053611122392110
102136-26.200742992092100
125-46.200743992091100
101126-36.200949771881100
137-16.200948771881100
100127-26.2001153551671100
116-46.2001254551671100
99117-36.2001458331460100
128-16.3001457341561100
98118-26.3001560221360100
107-46.2001660221360100
129-06.2001560221460100
97108-36.2001762111250100
119-16.2001761111250100
96109-26.2001962111250100
98-46.2001962111150100
9599-36.2102261001050100
1010-16.3102161001050100
94910-26.321255800950100
89-46.221255800940100
93810-36.252285300740100
911-16.252285300740100
92811-26.2103314600530000
710-46.2113314600530000
91711-36.0195303700320000
90712-25.6267262700210000
89612-34.8318191700110000
88613-23.72971210000000
87614-12.422675000000
86514-21.41333200000
85515-10.661110000
84415-20.23110000
83416-10.11000
82316-20.00000
81317-1No00
74-80No
Total:6.1%2.80.816.150.13.73.813.46.00.70.90.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 1 Boston 4 -0.1
Tampa Bay 2 Calgary 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Edmonton+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Florida vs Calgary-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116210-074188
115200-1562916
114201-0433721
113191-129422900
112181-21844380000
111182-11042470100
110172-2436580110
109173-12296601200
108163-202173113100
107164-101376116200
106154-208752195000
105155-1047041129000
104145-202616014160010
103135-30149901425001000
102136-20361101335003000
101126-302312010451070000
137-102412010441070000
100127-201412075040120000
116-401312075040130000
99117-306100449802020000
128-107100449801910000
98118-203824214027400100
107-403724014028400100
97108-3014127210349102000
119-101513120032710200
96109-20301724036143040000
98-40201623037143040000
9599-3010721034189090000
1010-1010722034189080000
94910-2000216027181901511000
93810-30001101912310222400000
92811-20000510637027211100000
91711-3000252350291221110000
90712-2001202802503413321000
89612-300001817041147741000
88613-20001010039027131152000
87513-300054030014121915720000
86514-2002218001717231882000
85515-1010900292126209200
84415-20040013112328208200
83416-1001001413252919710
82316-2000151629301630
81317-10017203329100
80217-202102738212
79218-141940334
78118-226364610
77119-13185722
76120-0117811
75020-1100
74021-00448480
Total:0113604241001867060300000000000000