Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 30.3%
23 points   9 11-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 4 St. Louis 3 +0.5
Florida 2 Anaheim 3 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Calgary vs Dallas+0.5*-0.2*-0.1-0.6-0.5-0.3
Colorado vs Pittsburgh-0.5*-0.3*-0.2*-0.2*+0.2+0.5
Toronto vs San Jose+0.4*+0.0*-0.0*-0.3*-0.4-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs Chicago-5.5-1.4-1.4+3.6+4.1+4.7
-0.3*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Minnesota+0.5*+0.4*-0.0-0.6*-0.3-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115-137In99.4%100155*
114439-5In91.7924424*
1134310-4In81.396448*
1124210-5In82.59613103*
1114110-6In73.29236198*
1104111-5In69.7891100323*
1094011-6In62.7862121504*
1084012-5In52.1804150828*
1073912-6In40.57651811,328*
1063913-5In27.76572531,915*
1053813-6In18.957930402,929*
1043814-5In10.04610358104,264*
1033714-6In4.53512411115,943*
1023614-7In1.725134416208,549*
1013615-6100.0%0.61713432240011,523*
1003515-7100.00.11012432871015,201*
993516-699.90.05103933112020,018*
983416-799.8No273337173025,244*
973417-699.4No1526392361031,476*
963317-798.6No031937301010038,460*
953318-696.7No0113333317300045,280*
943218-792.5No018273424710052,766*
933219-684.8No00420303013200060,412*
923119-771.8No0214233321610066,841*
913120-655.2No01914312813410073,668*
903020-736.6No0058243121920078,800*
893021-621.0No003315282717610082,513*
882921-710.1No01182129251230085,164*
872922-64.1No01031224292082085,782*
862822-71.3No00016172928154084,802*
852823-60.4No00002102331238182,549*
842723-70.1No001516303015378,528*
832724-60.0No00029253423672,551*
822624-70.0No00151834321167,109*
812625-6OutNo0021130381859,548*
802525-70.0No0001624422652,440*
792526-6OutNo00318423644,971*
782426-7OutNo00212404638,179*
772427-6OutNo018355631,382*
762327-7OutNo005306525,465*
752328-6OutNo03257220,464*
742228-7OutNo01198015,784*
732229-6OutNo1148512,322*
722129-7OutNo010899,151*
712130-6OutNo08926,783*
702030-7OutNo05954,873*
692031-6OutNo03973,393*
681931-7OutNo2982,377*
671932-6OutNo2981,613*
661832-7OutNo1991,052*
651833-6OutNo0100674*
641733-7OutNo0100421*
23-63OutNo100812*
Total:30.3%0.3%114889989101111111,517,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseDallasAnaheimVegasEdmontonArizonaVancouverSt. LouisLos Angeles
137570-07.4%149851351155336121
119467-4NoYes
118457-5No333333
117447-6No2513381313
116448-5No252513131313
1154510-2No77771414714777
114439-5No251717138488
1134310-44.213815102214824444
1124210-57.8141715153144353271
1114110-66.6914135185103432466
1104111-55.91117134115115533281
1094011-64.41214134155113543363
1084012-56.01115153133123434282
1073912-66.81314153133124442362
1063913-56.71416153163113343362
1053813-66.61517162152123332262
1043814-56.51718172143113322252
1033714-66.11818182152112222241
1023614-75.81919172162112222141
1013615-66.31919183152102221141
1003515-76.22020182162102212141
993516-66.2201917315392222131
983416-76.0201816515492222131
973417-66.2191815613583332131
963317-76.0181615712684332221
3216-96.2181714712683332131
953318-65.8181613812664333221
3419-46.0181613811674432221
943218-75.8171511910764333221
3319-55.7181412910764333221
3117-95.9181511810764433221
933219-65.517131199654332211
3118-85.216131089754332211
3320-45.317131089754332121
923119-74.61511988643322111
3018-94.31511877543322111
913120-63.4129666432221110
3221-43.5129666422221110
903020-72.296444321111000
893021-61.354322111110000
882921-70.732111100000000
872922-60.311000000000000
862923-50.100000000000000
852924-40.00000000000000
842824-50.000000000
832724-60.00000000
822624-7No00
812928-0No
802424-9No0
23-79No
Total:1.9%6.15.14.22.43.61.82.11.11.00.90.70.50.70.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 4 St. Louis 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Calgary vs Dallas-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs San Jose-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Chicago+1.1+0.3+0.2-0.7-0.9-0.9
Columbus vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Arizona-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Edmonton vs Los Angeles-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs Vegas-0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
119-137100
118457-56733
115-117100
114439-59244
1134310-481154
1124210-5831413
1114110-6731936
1104111-570191100
1094011-663232121
1084012-5522841500
1073912-64136501711
1063913-52838702323
1053813-6193881254040
1043814-510368327807010
1033714-6431932713111010
1023614-72238523191015120
1013615-61176716252019304000
1003515-701048102841217060100
993516-605284286220131101200
983416-721612263161920152300
973417-6104015561025301866010
963317-7003093742751181291100
953318-600104171236314191333000
943218-7011060155682615861000
933219-6000004093932713171041000
923119-70002419122726129520000
913120-6000110701432910141173100
903020-70000040812351216151041000
893021-60000203015161319191362000
882921-7000110802613202116831000
872922-6000103002513202318104100
862822-700010001511202320125100
852823-600000001411192421135100
842723-700000141020252212410
832724-60000014112126221130
822624-70000151324282081
812625-600026172828164
802525-70000392232258
792526-6001515313415
782426-700029253924
772427-60015194135
762327-7002133947
752328-60183457
742228-70042867
732229-6022176
722129-7011683
712130-611287
702030-70891
692031-60595
681931-7496
671932-60397
661832-70298
651833-60100
641733-70100
23-63100
Total:0101120114122526223344555566677