Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Montreal 3-2 (so), playoff odds up 2.8 to 72.5%
28 points   13 6-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 Montreal 2 (so)+3.4
+0.2
+0.9
Buffalo 4 Minnesota 5 -0.4
Pittsburgh 2 Vancouver 5 -0.2
Tampa Bay 3 Chicago 2 (ot)+0.2
-0.2
Arizona 1 San Jose 3 -0.2
Detroit 2 Edmonton 6 -0.2
Anaheim 2 Vegas 4 +0.1
Colorado 3 Dallas 0 +0.1
Columbus 1 Calgary 0 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Nashville-5.0-0.8-0.8+3.4+3.8+4.0
-0.3-0.0-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
-1.7-0.5-0.5+1.1+1.2+1.5
Dallas vs Calgary-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.3
New Jersey vs Vancouver+0.3*+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Los Angeles+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Buffalo vs Edmonton+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2
Vegas vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3*-0.0
-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs Winnipeg+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Washington vs Tampa Bay+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Columbus vs Ottawa-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Toronto+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-150In99.9%1005,984*
1244510-6In99.910001,398*
1234511-5In99.810002,549*
1224411-6In99.4100004,424*
1214412-5In99.5100007,617*
1204312-6In99.01000012,484*
1194212-7In98.61000020,176*
1184213-6In97.7990131,672*
1174113-7In96.59901048,892*
1164114-6In94.89801073,229*
1154014-7In92.397120107,658*
1144015-6In89.396130154,860*
1133915-7In84.794240216,843*
1123916-6In78.791360297,133*
1113816-7In71.3874900399,570*
1103817-6In62.48261200527,084*
1093717-7In52.37681610678,191*
1083718-6In41.368102010854,374*
1073618-7In30.35913252001,056,839*
1063619-6In20.35016314001,284,231*
1053519-7In12.13918376001,523,382*
1043520-6100.0%6.229204191001,773,881*
1033420-7100.02.7202045141002,024,217*
1023320-8100.00.9121946193002,264,374*
1013321-7100.00.2716462550002,491,266*
1003221-8100.00.0313423291002,681,109*
993222-799.90.0193736132002,834,896*
983122-899.50.01630391940002,941,907*
973123-798.7No04233925810002,997,045*
963023-896.6No0216362814300002,991,227*
953024-791.9No0110312921710002,929,694*
942924-883.0No0062425271331002,823,835*
932925-769.2No00318192921820002,668,600*
922825-851.7No02121227271551002,474,416*
912826-733.9No01762029231130002,252,715*
902726-819.2No00431225291971002,015,020*
892727-79.3No00216182926144001,766,129*
882627-83.8No00103112430228101,521,102*
872628-71.4No0001517292915301,289,308*
862528-80.5No0000210243323701,070,895*
852529-70.1No000015173231131871,853*
842429-80.0No000002102837203698,163*
832430-70.0No000162138295548,901*
822330-80.0No0000314363710423,192*
812331-70.0No00019314415321,100*
802231-80.0No0005254822237,835*
792232-7OutNo003185029173,060*
782132-8OutNo001134838123,655*
772133-7OutNo018454687,010*
762134-6OutNo005395560,000*
752034-7OutNo03346240,543*
741934-8OutNo02296926,875*
731935-7OutNo01237617,552*
721936-6OutNo1198111,032*
711836-7OutNo0015856,994*
701837-6OutNo011894,210*
691737-7OutNo08922,551*
681738-6OutNo7931,430*
671638-7OutNo496830*
661639-6OutNo595439*
651539-7OutNo298242*
641540-6OutNo298135*
631440-7OutNo39777*
621340-8OutNo29842*
28-61OutNo1004,419*
Total:72.5%5.7%1161918108765432154,782,366

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupSt. LouisWinnipegVegasCalgaryLos AngelesSan JoseVancouverColoradoAnaheimChicagoMinnesotaDallasEdmontonArizona
150610-06.4%7105676711611101031
134505-6YesYes
133517-3No5050
132507-4No502525
131497-5No10101010101010101010
130487-6No51111111616115511
129488-55.988468681010612862
128478-68.3810451256971114821
127479-54.361149854761314940
126469-65.689576671171310931
1254610-55.4710456571371091241
1244510-66.97105466711610121231
1234511-57.18115556611612111031
1224411-66.37105665512611111241
1214412-56.1895656611612111131
1204312-66.27105666612611111031
1194212-76.08105666612611111031
1184213-66.48105666611611111141
1174113-76.37105666612611111141
1164114-66.37105566612611111141
1154014-76.28105666612612111131
1144015-66.18104556612612111131
1133915-76.38114555612611111131
1123916-66.38114555612511111131
1113816-76.39124555512512111131
1103817-66.39124555512512111131
1093717-76.210134555512512111131
1083718-66.311144454512412111031
1073618-76.312153444413412111020
1063619-66.314163444413412111020
1053519-76.315173333313312111020
1043520-66.216193333313312111020
1033420-76.318202333313212111010
1023320-86.319202222213212111010
1013321-76.319213222213211111010
1003221-86.32021322221321111910
993222-76.22021433221321111910
983122-86.22020533331221010810
973123-76.220196433311299810
963023-86.019187443310388710
953024-75.71917844439377610
942924-85.21815844437366510
932925-74.31612743336244400
922926-63.2139633224233200
912826-72.196422112122100
902827-61.254211111111100
892727-70.632100001001000
882728-60.211000000000000
872628-70.100000000000000
862629-60.000000000000000
852529-70.000000000000000
842530-60.0000000000000
832329-90.000000000
822532-4No000000
812432-5No000
802332-6No0
28-79No
Total:4.5%13.613.44.02.72.62.42.38.32.07.17.06.00.80.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Montreal 2 (so)-0.7
Los Angeles 1 Winnipeg 2 +0.1
Buffalo 4 Minnesota 5 +0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Chicago 2 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Nashville+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.9
Anaheim vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129-150100
128478-6991
126-127100
1254610-51000
1244510-610000
1234511-510000
1224411-699000
1214412-599000
1204312-699100
1194212-799100
1184213-698201
1174113-7972010
1164114-6953010
1154014-7925120
1144015-689710300
1133915-785920400
1123916-67912306000
1113816-771164090000
1103817-6622060120000
1093717-7522480150010
1083718-641271002000100
1073618-73029121241020000
1063619-62029141292040000
1053519-7122715332410600000
1043520-6623154336209001000
1033420-731713730104013001000
1023320-811210825157018103000
1013321-7077917191012321050000
1003221-8034991912225520901000
993222-70128416134239401312000
983122-8011511111618147018240000
973123-700306881017111214801000
963023-8002034941613220913130000
953024-70010128112135151418371000
942924-8000001507988172071241000
932925-700000303510316161418931000
922825-800002012911181819179310000
912826-7000100160631713201810410000
902726-8000000403112615211912520000
892727-7000002010627152221147210000
882627-8000001000302715212216931000
872628-7000000100261421231810410000
862528-8000000026132124191141000
852529-7000000002512212520114100
842429-80000000025132226209300
832430-70000002615242618720
822330-8000000271727261540
812331-700001310223024101
802231-800015152831174
792232-7000282234267
782132-8001415333413
772133-70029284021
762134-60015224230
752034-7003154240
741934-801113950
731935-70073459
721936-60042868
711836-7022375
701837-611782
691737-711386
681738-601189
671638-70793
661639-6793
651539-7298
641540-6496
631440-7397
621340-8298
28-61100
Total:6633754375426453433322222111110