Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.7 to 61.8%
47 points   20 16-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 +0.9
+0.1
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 +0.8
Edmonton 3 Arizona 1 -0.4
San Jose 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vancouver vs Nashville-7.3-1.6-1.5+4.7+5.4+6.2
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Calgary vs Florida-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.1+0.2+1.0
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Dallas+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.8
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3
Colorado vs Chicago+0.2-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-125In100.0%10084,496*
117343-2In91.7982532*
116333-3In89.89821,562*
115334-2In84.2960304,003*
114324-3In78.695059,675*
113314-4In69.49207022,386*
112315-3In58.888011049,266*
111305-4In47.6841150102,506*
110306-3In35.6781200203,661*
109296-4In24.77122610385,217*
108297-3In15.46333210696,038*
107287-4In8.453440301,207,051*
106288-3In4.044646502,014,597*
105278-4In1.6337528003,231,860*
104279-3In0.52485612004,997,054*
103269-4In0.11685818107,439,599*
102259-5In0.010857251010,699,700*
1012510-4In0.05754323014,858,600*
1002410-5100.0%0.025484050019,970,808*
992411-4100.0No14414780025,964,629*
982311-5100.0No023352120032,682,106*
972312-4100.0No0126551810039,871,534*
962212-599.9No01195524200047,149,145*
952213-499.7No00135330400054,066,065*
942113-598.9No00848358100060,174,408*
932114-496.6No005413615300065,002,835*
922014-591.4No003343223710068,183,201*
912015-481.8No0126252915300069,448,854*
901915-567.8No0119173123810068,695,132*
891916-450.9No00131028311530066,040,134*
881816-534.1No0085213424710061,668,262*
871817-420.3No00521332321420055,979,900*
861717-510.7No031725372250049,382,698*
851718-45.0No0103173631100042,347,547*
841618-52.0No0101103139171035,270,102*
831619-40.7No000052342263028,557,280*
821519-50.2No000021640366022,465,104*
811520-40.1No00019344411117,173,237*
801420-50.0No00005274917112,745,608*
791421-40.0No0000219512539,190,457*
781321-50.0No000112483356,439,862*
771322-40.0No00007434094,372,855*
761222-50.0No00043646142,880,950*
751223-4OutNo0022949201,845,351*
741123-5OutNo012150281,143,492*
731124-4OutNo00154936687,754*
721024-5OutNo00104544399,534*
711025-4OutNo074053225,182*
70925-5OutNo043561122,405*
69926-4OutNo02286964,097*
68927-3OutNo01237632,935*
67827-4OutNo1188115,935*
66828-3OutNo013867,586*
65728-4OutNo09913,327*
64729-3OutNo07931,511*
63629-4OutNo0595608*
62630-3OutNo595254*
61530-4OutNo19980*
60531-3OutNo29846*
47-59OutNo10084,267*
Total:61.8%0.1%119251512121185201,016,364,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoAnaheimSan JoseEdmontonSt. LouisLos AngelesCalgaryVancouverDallasWinnipegArizonaColorado
125390-06.4%1467121314131112710
122371-1NoYes
121361-2No20402020
120362-1No2912241224
119352-25.64691315620207
118353-13.514488191114111381
117343-25.314810111213101012710
116333-37.41668111312141112600
115334-26.31657111413131112610
114324-35.61767101414131011700
113314-46.11967101413121011600
112315-36.221156101512121011600
111305-46.3214569151211910600
110306-36.3317568161111810500
109296-46.242045816101089500
108297-36.2524457179978500
107287-46.2729346188767400
106288-36.2933335196656400
105278-46.21138234205545300
104279-36.21342223204435200
103269-46.31545222213324200
102259-56.31648122212213200
1012510-46.31749122211113100
1002410-56.21850222201112100
992411-46.21850322191102100
982311-56.31849433181102100
972312-46.21847553171102100
962212-56.31744765152102100
952213-46.21841986132112100
942113-56.2193710107112111100
932114-46.121331110792111100
2013-66.021331110792111100
922014-55.724281110772111000
912015-45.1262399652101000
901915-54.2251877441100000
891916-43.2211455321000000
881816-52.115933210000000
871817-41.310622110000000
861717-50.75311000000000
851718-40.32200000000000
841618-50.11100000000000
831619-40.00000000000000
821620-30.00000000000000
811520-40.000000000000
801521-30.00000000000
791421-40.0000000
781422-30.0000000
771221-60.0000
761424-1No0
47-75No
Total:3.9%15.322.95.14.83.36.91.10.70.40.90.50.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 -0.1
San Jose 5 Winnipeg 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Nashville+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
St. Louis vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Colorado vs Chicago-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs Dallas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary vs Florida+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125390-01000
120-122100
119352-2964
118353-1982
117343-29272
116333-39082
115334-28412030
114324-37917050
113314-469230700
112315-35930001100
111305-448361014100
110306-336431018200
109296-42547202240100
108297-31548302570100
107287-48454126130300
106288-3440512521004000
105278-423252223000710000
104279-312453163910930000
103269-4016441145201160100
102259-501034648301312001000
1012510-40524345511220002000
1002410-502141397210291031000
992411-4113029847382053000
982311-5002019864444066000
972312-400101168245716110000
962212-50010649141113519100000
952213-40000229032138426210000
942113-500011702212142324410000
932114-40000050139201354112100000
922014-50000030652303232043100000
912015-4000122220252274652100000
901915-50001111701703137974100000
891916-400000012010028161114105200000
881816-5000000805021038151813720000
871817-4000005201301410182116820000
861717-50003107001412212317820000
851718-4000103000151423251772000
841618-500101000026152526166100
831619-40000000002718282614400
821519-500000000310223124910
811520-4000000141328331830
801420-50000001620352981
791421-400000003123138141
781321-500000162443233
771322-40000031643327
761222-500019384011
751223-40005314618
741123-5002244925
731124-4001174834
721024-500114543
711025-40074152
70925-5053561
69926-4032969
68927-3022376
67827-411881
66828-301386
65728-40990
64729-30793
63629-40595
62630-3694
61530-4199
60531-3298
47-59100
Total:010005131123911311112334444433210