Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to NY Islanders 0-4, playoff odds down 8.4 to 35.5%
51 points   23 19-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston 0 NY Islanders 4 -7.2
-0.4
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 -0.5
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 -0.4
Detroit 1 Montreal 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St. Louis vs Ottawa+1.0+0.1+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.8
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Florida+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.7
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6
Toronto vs Buffalo-0.3-0.7-0.5-0.2-0.3+0.5
Columbus vs Carolina+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
NY Rangers vs Dallas-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121350-0In99.0%991082,543
118-119InYes10010*
117321-2In90.6943332*
116322-1In84.49191160*
115312-2In78.885141490*
114302-3In73.0811811,651*
113303-2In64.1732524,636*
112293-3In53.76532311,943*
111294-2In42.655414028,865*
110284-3In31.945496065,649*
109285-2In21.8355790141,600*
108275-3In13.52563120287,295*
107265-4In7.416671700554,720*
106266-3In3.5106822001,013,685*
105256-4In1.4566281001,773,196*
104257-3In0.5361352002,967,668*
103247-4100.0%0.11544240004,747,293*
102248-3100.00.00454860007,286,341*
101238-4100.00.00365310000010,750,193*
100239-3100.00.00285516100015,252,450*
99229-499.90.002055232100020,845,574*
982210-399.5No013513032000027,440,175*
972110-498.2No08443745200034,865,931*
962111-394.8No053542594100042,757,310*
952011-487.6No22543412103000050,642,809*
942012-375.2No117403141671000057,989,902*
931912-458.4No0103421322144100064,232,115*
921913-340.1No0525192423103000068,792,465*
911813-424.0No0216052028197100071,342,254*
901814-312.5No0190213272715410071,616,222*
891714-45.7No0050172130241130069,629,211*
881614-52.3No0020031226301971065,524,756*
871615-40.8No0010016182927144059,788,447*
861515-50.2No0000002102331239152,815,255*
851516-40.1No00001415293116345,213,055*
841416-50.0No0000028233426737,471,170*
831417-40.0No00000041532351430,102,968*
821418-30.0No000001826412323,403,143*
811318-40.0No00000419423517,644,977*
801319-30.0No0000212394712,871,875*
791219-4OutNo001734599,082,077*
781220-3OutNo000427696,198,242*
771120-4OutNo00220784,100,017*
761121-3OutNo00114852,615,971*
751021-4OutNo00010901,613,226*
741022-3OutNo00694961,031*
73922-4OutNo00496551,327*
72923-3OutNo00298305,482*
71823-4OutNo0199163,022*
70824-3OutNo19983,774*
69724-4OutNo010041,253*
68725-3OutNo010019,426*
67625-4OutNo01008,786*
66626-3OutNo01003,779*
65526-4OutNo01001,598*
63-64OutNo100852*
62428-3OutNo199104*
51-61OutNo10082,579*
Total:35.5%0.0%031116148101099865995,792,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaFloridaPhiladelphiaTampa BayBuffaloDetroitNY IslandersNew Jersey
121350-06.3%4221013662251224165
119341-0No5050
118331-112.51325251325
117321-212.533913166133163393
116322-15.6212101088234132495
115312-26.73221113772041213265
114302-36.44221216761861034264
113303-26.24321217761951022254
112293-36.35321318661841023154
111294-26.25421319661741023243
110284-36.2642142076154922143
109285-26.2652152177144822143
108275-36.2652152187134722132
107265-46.2752152198124622132
106266-36.36531420109114522132
105256-46.265414191211105523222
104257-36.26551217141285433221
103247-46.25461115161476433221
102248-36.3448913181667344211
101238-46.33310710201857244311
100239-36.2321268222048254311
99229-46.2221446232139155310
982210-36.2221634242229155300
972110-46.1331723242219155400
2211-26.1331723242219155400
962111-36.0331722232118055300
2010-55.9441722222118055300
199-75.9441722222118055300
952011-45.5551521201907054300
2112-25.6451622211908055300
1910-65.4551521191807054300
942012-34.8551321171606044300
1911-54.7561321161506043300
1810-74.6551321161506043300
931912-43.7451021131205033200
2013-23.645921121204033200
921913-32.5346119803022100
911813-41.5224105502011100
901814-30.8112003301011000
891714-40.4001001100000000
881715-30.1000001100000000
871615-40.100000000000000
861616-30.00000000000000
851516-40.000000000000
841517-30.000000000000
831417-40.0000000000
821418-30.00000000
811318-40.000000
801319-30.000
51-79No
Total:2.2%1.81.95.51.21.27.97.40.52.90.21.91.71.20.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 0 NY Islanders 4 +1.2
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 +0.1
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary vs Florida-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121350-099010
118-119100
117321-291333
116322-184691
115312-2797141
114302-3738181
113303-26492510
112293-3541132030
111294-243134104000
110284-332134906010
109285-222135607010
108275-3131162190300
107265-47965211050000
106266-346644121100000
105256-41459611116010000
104257-302511010224020000
103247-401411372320201000
102248-30030164241030300000
101238-400191722471406000000
100239-3001116114944011010000
99229-40061401468411802010000
982210-302110038132127030200000
972110-40170026181134140502000
962111-300400152001383409041000
952011-4020071800367311201030000
942012-301003140028122114116710000
931912-40001900181611121221441000
921913-30000500916017223231130000
911813-400203130032182820820000
901814-30010180012102427187200000
891714-40000400014142526167200000
881614-50000200001616252516720000
871615-40000100001616242516720000
861515-50000000002716242517820000
851516-400000000271624251772000
841416-50000000027172626166100
831417-4000000002819282613300
821418-30000001310233124910
811318-400000141428321730
801319-30000001721352870
791219-400003133237131
781220-30000172543223
771120-4000031743316
761121-300110393910
751021-40005324616
741022-3003254924
73922-4001184932
72923-301124641
71823-40084250
70824-3053659
69724-4033067
68725-3022474
67625-4011980
66626-301486
65526-401188
64527-3892
63427-4595
62428-3298
61429-2595
60329-31189
58-59100
51035-00100
Total:0012006500105104178876554443210