Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 5.9 to 61.6%
82 points   38 29-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Rangers 2 NY Islanders 3 -3.3
-0.2
Columbus 2 Toronto 5 -2.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston vs Tampa Bay+11.4+10.3+9.5-2.5-2.5-13.8
+0.7+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.9
Toronto vs New Jersey-2.2-2.2-2.2+0.1+0.1+2.9
-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Montreal vs Carolina+1.0+0.3+0.3-0.9-0.9-0.8
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Ottawa vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2
Florida vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10090-0InNo295713006,070,476
9980-1100.0%No15562701012,774,613
9881-0100.0No7484203039,614,443
70-2100.0No6464403012,460,057
9771-199.9No2335708077,261,967
60-399.9No230590807,086,734
9672-099.7No1206301600119,812,551
61-299.5No118640170065,924,125
50-499.3No01665018102,589,141
9562-198.2No0962027200204,477,223
51-397.7No086202720032,159,220
40-596.7No076102930632,547
9463-094.6No045239500211,383,991
52-293.5No045238600149,578,522
41-491.7No0351388009,799,650
30-688.9No025037110103,123
9353-185.1No01404414000309,240,962
42-382.6No013943171060,773,628
31-578.8No01374120101,922,132*
9254-070.8No00264427200239,801,209
43-267.5No00254230300188,506,542
32-462.8No0024383340014,820,236
21-656.5No0233438600233,104*
9144-148.5No001533429000292,288,235
33-344.5No01430441110061,282,170
22-539.0No013264713102,168,408
11-731.2No0112050172016,216*
9045-028.7No07214820300181,310,125
34-225.3No07194823300142,558,535
23-421.2No0615482740011,206,305
12-616.4No0511473150176,624*
8935-111.6No03942371010176,831,649
24-39.6No0373939111034,758,981
13-57.2No025364313101,099,161*
8836-03.9No01327442230091,413,878
25-23.0No01224452540064,679,974
14-42.1No11204527504,236,299
03-61.2No011746305044,669
8726-10.7No01113838121066,856,839
15-30.5No00093740131010,514,401
04-50.2No00735421410207,156
8627-00.1No00323442550029,626,215
16-20.1No00321442750016,308,512
05-40.0No002194429600641,701
8517-10.0No00193540141014,443,526
06-30.0No0008344116101,325,046
8418-00.0No00032143303005,600,848
07-20.0No0021943314001,762,461
8308-1OutNo008334612101,363,878
8209-0OutNo0218492640717,992
Total:61.6%No052902722104100002,980,466,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoNY IslandersTampa BayCarolinaFloridaBuffaloDetroit
10090-06.2%011281447100000
9980-16.2101151954110000
9881-06.31117215812000000
70-26.2211622571100000
9771-16.24222225710000000
60-36.342222456100000
9672-06.2854121539000000
61-26.28541225280000
50-46.2954023517000
9562-16.1138701946600000
51-36.11477020456000
40-56.1157702043500
9463-05.91811901537400000
52-25.81910901636400000
41-45.719109016353000
30-65.5209801633200
9353-15.322121001227200000
42-35.2221110012262000
31-54.92110901225100
20-74.7211090112210
9254-04.4221210081810000
43-24.221119081710000
32-43.9201080816100
21-63.51897071500
10-82.31466713
9144-13.01797051000000
33-32.8158704100000
22-52.41475049000
11-71.91154470
9045-01.8116502500000
34-21.610540250000
23-41.3843024000
12-61.063202400
8935-10.74220120000
24-30.6421012000
13-50.531101100
02-70.321101
8836-00.22110010000
25-20.2110000000
14-40.110000000
03-60.100000
8726-10.0000000
15-30.0000000
04-50.000000
8627-00.0000000
16-20.000000
05-40.000000
8517-10.000000
8418-0No00000
82-83No
Total:3.9%13.37.56.30.39.322.42.50.00.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 2 Toronto 5 +0.3
NY Rangers 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Tampa Bay-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.0
Toronto vs New Jersey+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.4
Ottawa vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10090-062442160130000
9980-111428282700010
9881-007133541100300
70-206123443200300
9771-10242950700800
60-30232751900800
9672-00111945180016000
61-20111844200017000
50-4001642230017010
9562-10009293200261200
51-3008273500261200
40-500624370027230
9463-00041438344500
52-20041339335600
41-40031140326800
30-6002940307110
9353-1001535321314000
42-3001435291417100
31-50133426152010
9254-0000125232127200
43-2001242022293000
32-400124172233400
21-60122132137600
9144-1000151024419100
33-300148224312100
22-500135204515100
11-70011417471920
9045-000731846224000
34-200721645254000
23-400621444296000
12-60051104233810
8935-1003083637132000
24-3003073339162000
13-500205294119400
8836-0001032040278100
25-2001021839309100
14-4010114383311200
03-60011136351420
8726-100172738225100
15-3000052538247100
04-5003213827910
8627-00002123234174000
16-20001113035184000
05-400182836215000
8517-10003163332142000
06-3000214323316300
8418-00000519352910100
07-20004183430112000
8308-100162236268100
8209-000182636226100
Total:00140102000161121105210000000