Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied with San Jose 0-0 (10:30 pm ET), playoff odds down 0.005 to 97.4%
76 points   34 17-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose vs Boston-1.4*+0.0*+0.1+1.0+1.1+1.1
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.2-0.2*-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Montreal vs Columbus-0.1-0.2-0.2*-0.0*-0.1+0.2
New Jersey vs Pittsburgh+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.2*-0.1-0.1
Florida vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.1*-0.0
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122230-0In98.9%991179
120210-2In50.050508*
119211-1In64.3643628*
118201-2In73.874125122*
117202-1In63.56436299*
116192-2In50.35050780*
115193-1In38.33906101,844*
114183-2In28.32907004,034*
113184-1In19.82107817,745*
112174-2In12.514085114,055*
111164-3In7.99088323,473*
110165-2In4.35090437,559*
109155-3In2.13090756,200*
108156-2In0.8208811078,670*
107146-3In0.31083160104,797*
106147-2In0.1007822066,432
136-4In0.1007822065,949*
105137-3In0.0007030074,990
148-1In0.0007029081,857*
104138-2In0.00062371119,130*
127-4In0.00061381059,587
103128-3In0.00053461092,552
139-1InNo0053461100,037*
102129-2InNo0043542095,338
118-4InNo0435430103,660*
101119-3InNo034615092,806
1210-1InNo0346150101,789*
1001110-2100.0%No0256780086,210
109-4InNo25669095,114*
991010-3100.0No018681300161,082*
981011-299.9No11681910065,418
910-499.9No1267202072,189*
97911-399.4No76325510111,231*
96912-297.6No455281120086,454*
95812-392.4No245252071063,045*
94813-281.0No13518271630044,438*
93713-364.6No02511282681029,265*
92714-243.6No017522351830018,389*
91614-325.6No010213352991011,234*
90615-212.7No607283718406,289*
89515-34.3No2021837301013,422*
88516-22.1No20010293620401,732*
87416-30.6No13174128101828*
86417-2OutNo11130411420408*
85418-1OutNo1415403181150*
84318-2OutNo192754874*
83218-3OutNo5264716519*
82219-2OutNo173333176*
81220-1OutNo50502*
76023-0OutNo1155034179
Total:97.4%0.5%10434473210000002,241,098

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoColumbusWashingtonPittsburghMontrealCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroitOttawa
122230-04.5%228121214221693
120210-2No38131338
119211-13.6327771411147
118201-24.9225141010111387
117202-17.4035761214995210
116192-26.81427691667410
115193-16.201534561366311
114183-26.7016133413563100
113184-16.2006832312452000
112174-26.7107421213231000
111164-36.31077111121310000
110165-26.21080111121300000
109155-36.210820011212000000
108156-26.11083000120200000
145-46.310830001202000000
107146-36.21084000120200000
157-16.310840001202000000
106147-26.2108400012020000
136-46.4108400012020000
105137-36.410850001202000
148-16.2108400012020000
104138-26.3108400012020000
127-46.210840001202000
103128-36.311840001202000
139-16.21184000120200
102129-26.21183000110200000
118-46.2128300011020000
1310-06.3128300011020000
101119-36.113811101102000
1210-16.31382110110200000
108-56.213811101102000
1001110-26.2157911110020000
109-46.2157811110020000
991010-36.3187521190200000
1111-16.3187521191200000
981011-26.32127032171200000
910-46.3312683217120000
97911-36.26166242161100000
96912-26.01117544314110000
811-46.01218525314110000
95812-35.82017434213110000
94813-25.0271334321200000
93713-33.928824210100000
92714-22.62231610010000
91614-31.5131100000000
90615-20.7606000
89515-30.12020
88516-20.1002
87416-3No1
76-86No
Total:6.1%3.44.674.71.30.80.59.70.41.80.10.20.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Boston+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Toronto-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Montreal vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122230-0991
120210-25050
119211-16436
118201-274125
117202-164136
116192-250050
115193-13800610
114183-22810700
113184-120107801
112174-212108501
111164-38108803
110165-241089104
109155-3210089107
108156-211008530110
107146-300007850160
106147-20000698122000
105137-3000056122030000
148-1000057122029000
104138-2000043163037001
127-40000411740380010
103128-30000281870460010
139-100028186045001
102129-200161890530120
118-4001518100521130
101119-300715121561350
1210-10815101571340
1001110-200210112563708000
109-4291125538090
991010-30159447616013000
981011-20254348260190100
910-4025432827020020
97911-30134188351250510
1012-10134189351240510
96912-201377382271110200
95812-300224355241200710
94813-20010126716227016300
93713-300001698328026810
92714-200088322113518300
91614-3047111213529910
90615-2150051273718500
89515-3020111636311120
88516-22000825352371
87416-31213313018410
86417-251736251431
85418-11171333241731
84318-213233022184
83218-3161121321111
82219-250171717
81220-15050
76023-0152032358
Total:100028951322917030210000000000000