St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 83.5%
44 points   21 10-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2 +0.5
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2 +0.2
+0.2
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)-0.2
Detroit 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Winnipeg+3.5+3.2+2.7-0.6-0.6-4.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3
+1.8+1.7+1.4-0.6-0.6-2.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Minnesota vs Edmonton-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Washington vs Anaheim+0.3+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Calgary vs Nashville-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Columbus+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-142In99.9%1008,996*
123377-5In99.610003,148*
122378-4In99.310005,773*
121368-5In99.01000010,804*
120369-4In98.51000019,016*
119359-5In97.71000032,728*
1183510-4In96.61000054,245*
1173410-5In94.99901087,191*
1163411-4In92.79911136,985*
1153311-5In89.798110207,683*
1143211-6In85.796220305,163*
1133212-5In80.594330437,674*
1123112-6In73.891450610,342*
1113113-5In65.9886700827,735*
1103013-6In56.782810001,095,788*
1093014-5In46.3761013001,409,533*
1082914-6In35.5671418101,766,368*
1072915-5In25.2581723102,164,005*
1062815-6In16.14720293002,580,543*
1052816-5In9.13723355003,005,231*
1042716-6100.0%4.426244181003,416,405*
1032717-5100.01.7172445131003,790,764*
1022617-6100.00.51021471930004,104,514*
1012618-5100.00.1518462550004,342,757*
1002518-6100.00.0213433291004,487,626*
992519-599.80.01936371420004,528,916*
982419-699.50.00629392050004,468,775*
972420-598.4No032139261010004,310,570*
962320-695.8No011434301640004,058,227*
952321-589.9No018282924810003,738,595*
942221-679.2No00420243016410003,362,569*
932222-563.3No02141731241020002,958,907*
922122-644.7No0181026301861002,540,713*
912123-527.1No0044183026133002,137,540*
902023-614.0No0022102531218101,754,449*
892024-56.1No00115162929154001,408,013*
881924-62.3No000292332248101,105,216*
871925-50.7No0000141530321530846,098*
861825-60.2No00002924362460634,557*
851826-50.0No000004173533110466,091*
841726-60.0No00002103040181333,185*
831727-50.0No000152343271231,781*
821627-60.0No00031642373157,445*
811628-5OutNo0011038465105,411*
801528-6OutNo0063254768,304*
791529-5OutNo0326601142,873*
781429-6OutNo0219631626,746*
771430-5OutNo0113642216,134*
761330-6OutNo0962289,467*
751331-5OutNo0658355,363*
741231-6OutNo0455412,929*
731232-5OutNo249491,635*
721132-6OutNo14158897*
711133-5OutNo03466450*
701134-4OutNo13069243*
691034-5OutNo2872108*
68934-6OutNo89249*
67935-5OutNo198126*
66835-6OutNo11899*
44-65OutNo1005,964*
Total:83.5%7.4%1692318108543211074,239,272

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleVegasLos AngelesWinnipegSan JoseMinnesotaChicagoDallasCalgaryAnaheimVancouverColoradoEdmontonArizona
142490-06.3%644117111210887740
134443-2NoYes
133433-3NoYes
132423-4NoYes
131402-7No13131325131313
130414-4No132513251313
129415-38.08416484128124884
128405-44.266111415217114310
127406-34.87531141812998464
126396-46.25381471591264592
125386-56.7643126111311687104
124387-46.0644136131312666930
123377-56.0644125131211776940
122378-46.0744116131212676830
121368-56.2744117131212776830
120369-46.0744116121312776930
119359-56.3744116121212776930
1183510-46.1744116131212776930
1173410-56.1744116121312676930
1163411-46.3744116121312766930
1153311-56.2744116121312676930
1143211-66.3744126131312666930
1133212-56.2744126131312666930
1123112-66.3734125131312665930
1113113-56.3834135131312665930
1103013-66.2834135131312665930
1093014-56.2934145141312555920
1082914-66.31033155141312554820
1072915-56.21133164141312554820
1062815-66.21233174151412444820
1052816-56.21423183151412443810
1042716-66.21522193151412333710
1032717-56.21722203151412332710
1022617-66.31822212161411222710
1012618-56.21932212151411221710
1002518-66.22033212151311221600
992519-56.22044213151310211600
982419-66.22065203141210211600
972420-56.1208619413119221500
962320-66.0209717411108221500
952321-55.620108155986221400
942221-64.918108135765111300
932222-54.01697104543111200
922122-62.8127573332110100
912123-51.774342221000100
902023-60.942221111000000
892024-50.421110000000000
881924-60.110000000000000
871925-50.000000000000000
861926-40.0000000000000
851826-50.000000000000
841827-40.00000000
831727-5No000000
821829-2No0
44-81No
Total:5.2%14.94.63.915.23.111.210.18.42.22.11.75.20.70.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Winnipeg-0.9-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
Calgary vs Nashville-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
127-142100
126396-41000
125386-51000
124387-41000
123377-510000
122378-49910
121368-599100
120369-498100
119359-598200
1183510-497300
1173410-5954010
1163411-4936101
1153311-5908110
1143211-6861120200
1133212-58014303000
1123112-67418405000
1113113-566225070000
1103013-6572680100000
1093014-54629100130000
1082914-636321311800100
1072915-52533161231001000
1062815-616311822711030000
1052816-592819431310500000
1042716-642218732630800100
1032717-52161593095012001000
1022617-61101111251490181030000
1012618-505611171712122210500000
1002518-60231091715225420901000
992519-501183141542495014020000
982419-600051912718138019250000
972420-500304881016121224901000
962320-600102484141422191514000
952321-5001012619135151421382000
942221-6000004059781621815510000
932222-50000202573141615211241000
922122-60001012619818202011410000
912123-500000140421514222011410000
902023-600000202010616232113520000
892024-500000101052716232215720000
881924-6000000202715232316831000
871925-50000000100261422241893100
861825-60000000261422251893000
851826-5000000026142326188200
841726-600000026152526177100
831727-50000002818272614400
821627-6000013102130241020
811628-5000141427311840
801528-60002721342791
791529-500003133035162
781429-600172439254
771430-50041739338
761330-60110344112
751331-5016304519
741231-603225124
731232-502145033
721132-61104643
711133-5063956
701134-463658
691034-523860
68934-641482
67935-541977
66835-61189
65836-5100
641039-05050
44-63100
Total:78541055294417353432211111100000