St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Calgary 2-3 (ot), playoff odds up 0.8 to 99.6%
86 points   40 28-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles 0 NY Rangers 3 +0.8
St. Louis 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+0.1
*-0.0
SundayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10280-0InNo00435706,962,393
10170-1InNo2872013,303,003
10071-0InNo17811041,239,776
60-2InNo17812011,347,410
9961-1InNo8865070,375,838
50-3InNo885705,533,942
9862-0InNo484120109,153,517
51-2InNo48214051,468,100
40-4InNo3801701,688,170
9752-1InNo174232159,645,887
41-3InNo17126220,917,807
30-5InNo167293329,027
9653-0InNo060318165,047,993
42-2InNo05734997,301,857
31-4InNo05336115,100,225
20-6InNo049361539,902
9543-1InNo0433324201,211,440
32-3InNo040342631,634,604
21-5InNo0363529746,672
10-7InNo03034372,822
9444-0InNo0282745155,987,257
33-2InNo025284798,105,854
22-4InNo02228505,788,952
11-6InNo19245760,879
00-8InNo8187487
9334-1100.0%No1617670152,126,188
23-3100.0No141769023,920,798
12-599.9No1116720562,624
01-799.7No8128002,006
9235-099.7No8982094,390,967
24-299.7No7984055,649,221
13-499.7No598502,917,666
02-699.5No4689022,985
9125-199.0No3492169,036,887
14-398.9No249319,046,837
03-598.2No24932142,186
9026-096.0No1194435,686,722
15-296.0No1194416,832,838
04-496.0No01944552,013
8916-191.6No0091817,402,668
05-391.6No009181,365,889
8817-082.2No0082187,708,663
06-282.3No082182,118,577
8707-171.8No72281,878,617
8608-055.3No554410873,934
Total:99.6%No0024320340001,745,231,700

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoMinnesotaSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonNashvilleCalgaryLos Angeles
10280-06.3%396000100
10170-16.239500020
10071-06.239401020
60-26.239311120
9961-16.239022120
50-36.338923220
9862-06.338445311
51-26.238146411
40-46.337957411
9752-16.247279611
41-36.3469810611
30-56.3565911711
9653-06.310581013801
42-26.311551014801
31-46.312511115901
20-66.316471115901
9543-16.325421014801
32-36.227391114801
21-56.230351114801
10-76.437301114702
9444-06.24528911601
33-26.34726912601
22-46.24923912601
11-66.3562081051
00-81.17110738
9334-16.2661768300
23-36.2681568400
12-56.2701367300
01-76.678104620
9235-06.2801034200
24-26.282934200
13-46.283734200
02-66.38762310
9125-16.289612100
14-36.290512100
03-56.29041210
9026-06.091411000
15-26.091311000
04-46.09131100
8916-15.788300000
05-35.78830000
8817-05.180200000
06-25.280200000
8707-14.570200000
8608-03.45410000
Total:6.2%34.744.36.38.44.70.40.70.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 7 San Jose 2 +0.3
St. Louis 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+0.1
Edmonton 4 Colorado 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10280-0000421057000
10170-1262072000
10071-013318010010
60-213318010020
9961-14317970050
50-34217870060
9862-01126221001200
51-21126021001400
40-4111572210170
9752-10013635302320
41-30013435302620
30-50012935302930
9653-00001438803180
42-20001335903490
31-40001133936110
20-600832936150
9543-10004261433231
32-30003231434241
21-5002201335282
10-701171234342
9444-0001111627387
33-2000101528398
22-4000814284010
11-60712244512
00-817185518
9334-10312174325000
23-30311174227000
12-5029164230000
01-71612453500
9235-0017931510000
24-2006929550000
13-4005927590000
02-6004626630000
9125-10034157710000
14-30024138010000
03-502411821100
9026-0011489121000
15-2011390121000
04-40139212100
8916-1000190123200
05-300091123200
8817-000082026720
06-20082026720
8707-107201613810
8608-0550031520600
Total:00010019178020181600000000