Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.99%
91 points   42 17-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 NY Islanders 4 +1.6
Philadelphia 3 St. Louis 1 +1.0
Los Angeles 4 Montreal 3 (so)+0.3
Tampa Bay 4 Toronto 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh+7.1+6.9+6.2-1.9-1.9-8.6
Detroit vs Calgary-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.0
Chicago vs Edmonton-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-123In100.0%100182,949*
121151-0In100.01000340,908*
120141-1In99.91000927,601*
119131-2In99.810002,665,054*
118132-1In99.510005,630,286*
117122-2In98.7100011,925,889*
116123-1In96.899120,577,586*
115113-2In92.998219,896,771
124-0In93.298215,071,513*
114114-1In86.696430,847,505
103-3In85.496419,946,829*
113104-2In75.092841,358,431
115-0In76.993719,133,648
93-4In73.591911,623,165*
112105-1In61.18713051,309,455
94-3In58.78614038,586,726*
11195-2In42.17822062,551,258
106-0In44.88020026,521,139
84-4In39.97624020,039,762*
11096-1In26.068320064,659,695
85-3In23.76535053,328,596*
10986-2In11.754460070,956,380
97-0In13.35743028,724,961*
75-4In10.551490024,356,029*
10887-1In4.541580062,867,700
76-3In3.838610054,177,412*
10777-2In1.027730061,304,288
88-0In1.330700024,368,458
66-4In0.825750021,608,240*
10678-1In0.217821047,548,085
67-3In0.115841040,967,813*
10568-2In0.08892040,572,171
79-0In0.010882016,386,883
57-4In0.07903013,968,016*
10469-1In0.049150027,966,262
58-3In0.039150023,068,210*
10359-2In0.01891000020,964,011*
610-0In0.018990014,720,210*
102510-1InNo0831610022,235,018*
101410-2100.0%No07325200013,483,893*
100411-1100.0No0593650007,179,101*
99311-2100.0No044441110003,733,532*
98312-199.9No29482011001,662,592*
97212-299.2No1745313310728,866*
96213-196.4No8364048300260,411*
95113-288.9No32543414101092,660*
94114-173.9No114392172150024,570*
93115-053.6No07311143213206,844*
92015-131.6No3190103626511,042
91016-017.7No011205303714196,456
Total:100.0%27.8%5246200000001,161,154,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoMinnesotaVancouverWinnipegCalgaryLos AngelesSan JoseColoradoDallas
123160-06.2%0162563489813
122150-16.20162363389823
121151-06.30162363389823
120141-16.20162363389823
119131-26.20162363389823
118132-16.30162263389823
117122-26.20162263389823
116123-16.20162263389833
115113-26.30172263389833
124-06.20172263389833
114114-16.30272263389833
103-36.30272263389833
113104-26.30272253389833
115-06.30272253389833
112105-16.30282353278833
94-36.30282353278733
11195-26.20292553178733
106-06.20292553278723
84-46.302102553178733
11096-16.303112653167623
85-36.203112653067633
10986-26.213132942966522
97-06.213122843067622
75-46.213132942956522
10887-16.214143142856522
76-36.314153142756422
10777-26.314163332645422
88-06.314163332745422
66-46.215173332545422
10678-16.315183432544311
67-36.215183532444311
10568-26.316193532344311
79-06.215183532444311
57-46.316193532244311
10469-16.326193532254311
58-36.216193532155311
10359-26.316183342065311
610-06.316183342165311
102510-16.315173161997411
101410-26.3151527816129511
100411-16.214132211131612611
99311-26.213101715102016710
98312-16.2127111972419900
97212-26.1224722426221000
96213-16.0532422226221000
95113-25.794222012320900
94114-14.6115111501816600
93115-03.1941011013114
92015-12.46216672
91016-01.1320030441
Total:6.3%0.73.412.628.34.428.16.16.75.52.02.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 NY Islanders 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123160-01000
122150-11000
121151-010000
120141-110000
119131-210000
118132-19900
117122-299100
116123-197210
115113-293520
124-093520
114114-1871040
103-3851040
113104-2751780
115-0771670
93-4741890
112105-16126130000
94-3592714000
11195-24236211000
106-04535191000
84-44036231000
11096-126422840000
85-32442305000
10986-21242351100000
97-0134333100000
75-4104036130000
10887-1537352300000
76-3435362600000
10777-212629430000000
88-0128304100000
66-41242946000000
10678-101720610100000
67-301519640100000
10568-20811790110000
79-001012760110000
57-40710800110000
10469-104586021200000
58-3034870212000000
10359-20128802250000000
102510-10082022120000000
101410-200730112301100000
100411-1005901134021200000
99311-2004400440227000000
98312-1029004802216111000
97212-2170045012281231100
96213-1803611390362300
95113-2325004303769200
94114-1114003902711187100
93115-007003101311241741
92015-1319019232616410
91016-0011200513292612300
Total:282419270001000000000000000