"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 45.8%
5 points   2 3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 6 Vancouver 3 +0.5
Chicago 1 Edmonton 2 (ot)-0.5
Calgary 1 Carolina 2 +0.4
Philadelphia 0 Nashville 1 -0.2
Arizona 4 Dallas 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Montreal+3.9+4.3+3.7-0.7-0.8-5.0
+0.2+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.2-0.5
Buffalo vs Vancouver+0.5*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.4
New Jersey vs San Jose+0.5*+0.2*+0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-157In99.8%100588*
1185316-7In98.7991298*
1175216-8In97.69901414*
1165217-7In95.79810658*
1155117-8In94.39821972*
1145118-7In90.196221,446*
1135018-8In86.394332,055*
1125019-7In82.0933402,943*
1114919-8In74.5895504,178*
1104819-9In66.3857705,891*
1094820-8In56.078111107,838*
1084720-9In45.37213140010,667*
1074721-8In33.8641818114,074*
1064621-9In23.55520232017,945*
1054622-8In14.54525273022,614*
1044522-9In7.835273250028,033*
1034523-8In3.425283891034,540*
1024423-9In1.4172841122041,780*
1014424-8100.0%0.41126431730049,470*
1004324-9100.00.1623432251057,945*
994325-899.90.03194228810066,641*
984225-999.70.011438321220075,852*
974226-899.3No010323617510084,625*
964126-998.0No062637219200092,875*
954127-895.0No0419352413410099,942*
944027-988.9No021331231992000107,003*
934028-878.6No019262024155100112,419*
923928-963.9No00519142522113100115,561*
913929-846.5No031392126188200117,480*
903829-930.3No0195162524145100118,307*
893830-816.9No0152921272110300116,076*
883730-98.5No0031514252717610113,730*
873731-83.7No0010282028241230107,994*
863631-91.3No010141325291971102,518*
853531-100.5No00002719302712294,870*
843532-90.2No00001413273219486,409*
833533-80.0No00027223427878,372*
823433-90.0No000141532341469,690*
813333-100.0No00021028392161,509*
803334-9OutNo001622422952,558*
793335-8OutNo000316413945,012*
783235-9OutNo00211394837,468*
773236-8OutNo017345731,012*
763136-9OutNo004296625,281*
753036-10OutNo03247320,257*
743037-9OutNo01207916,160*
732937-10OutNo01158412,487*
722938-9OutNo011899,456*
712939-8OutNo08927,183*
702839-9OutNo06935,373*
692739-10OutNo04963,878*
682740-9OutNo2982,973*
672741-8OutNo02982,106*
662641-9OutNo1991,426*
652642-8OutNo199976*
642542-9OutNo199686*
632543-8OutNo0100458*
622544-7OutNo0100269*
5-61OutNo100663*
Total:45.8%1.7%4511127777888882,401,904

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupLos AngelesVegasSt. LouisNashvilleChicagoDallasCalgaryMinnesotaWinnipegColoradoSan JoseVancouverEdmontonArizona
157760-06.8%9821097765710892
128569-11NoYes
1275812-6No333333
1265712-7No6733
1255713-6No1010102010101020
1245714-59.199918189189
1235412-108.344413417444888134
1225514-77.112145710577275172
1215515-64.4111116111144494472
1205516-510.910637677886511107
1195315-83.8910597112536812123
1185316-74.7886775127548885
1175216-86.588667786969767
1165217-74.67107566105848985
1155117-85.31086665107668885
1145118-77.0796677955610995
1135018-85.599566696569995
1125019-76.9995665967610996
1114919-86.1996666106568986
1104819-95.99105666106568986
1094820-86.210105556115669995
1084720-95.910115555105559985
1074721-85.9111145551055510985
1064621-96.012125455115559995
1054622-86.213134555114459985
1044522-96.41314444412444101095
1034523-86.41414444412444101095
1024423-96.41515333313333111095
1014424-86.21616333313333101095
1004324-96.11716333313333111095
994325-86.21717333313222101095
984225-96.21717333313222101095
974226-86.11716433313232101094
964126-96.3171643331233210984
954127-85.816155443113329984
944027-95.615145443103328873
934028-84.91312543393327763
923928-93.91110533372225542
913929-82.887322252214331
903829-91.955222131112221
893830-81.033111121101110
883730-90.521100010001110
873731-80.211000000000000
863631-90.100000000000000
853632-80.000000000000000
843633-70.00000000000000
833634-60.0000000000000
823433-9No0000
813333-10No000
5-80No
Total:2.8%7.57.12.21.81.81.65.41.41.41.44.34.23.71.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 6 Vancouver 3 -0.1
Chicago 1 Edmonton 2 (ot)+0.1
Calgary 1 Carolina 2 -0.1
Arizona 4 Dallas 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Montreal-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.1
New Jersey vs San Jose-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Vancouver-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
121-157100
1205516-5991
1195315-8100
1185316-79911
1175216-898101
1165217-796210
1155117-894321
1145118-790622
1135018-886733
1125019-78211340
1114919-8751550500
1104819-96619707000
1094820-8562211010000
1084720-94527130140000
1074721-83430171171010
1064621-92332182202120
1054622-8153021323313000
1044522-98282162462050000
1034523-832219924104080010
1024423-911616122014601110200
1014424-80111214141910114213000
1004324-9068158201321741050100
994325-80341441915417830801000
984225-9012121151481413601112000
974226-801901011129179113350100
964126-900605614418123147812000
954127-80040231411513611121224100
944027-90021111010111171614682000
934028-80010080561431712121362000
923928-9000005023141147181413621000
913929-80003111209219111614831000
903829-900010080511551318161152000
893830-800100502092614201913621000
883730-9000031050261320211683100
873731-800001002002613202218104100
863631-901010002512202319114100
853531-1000000001512202420114100
843532-90000000251221252011410
833533-8000002613222620920
823433-900000261525271761
813333-100000128192826133
803334-900014122531216
793335-80001618323012
783235-9000312293619
773236-80017234029
763136-90004164040
753036-10002113750
743037-90173359
732937-100042868
722938-9022177
712939-80011782
702839-9011287
692739-1000991
682740-90694
672741-80496
662641-9397
652642-8298
642542-9298
632543-8199
622544-7199
612343-10199
5-60100
Total:2223232334343434333334444444444