Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Los Angeles 1-0, playoff odds up 1.8 to 97.5%
72 points   31 19-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim 1 Los Angeles 0 +2.1
+0.1
Columbus 3 Nashville 4 -0.3
Vancouver 2 Philadelphia 3 +0.2
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Arizona vs Anaheim-1.3*+0.0+0.0+0.9+1.0+1.0
-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Florida-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116220-0In76.7%8911065,869
115210-1In58.9811901,042
114211-0In44.5732705,675*
113201-1In31.86534020,175*
112191-2In20.65743069,159*
111192-1In11.647521187,173*
110182-2In5.8386020476,979*
109183-1In2.32868401,051,439*
108173-2In0.82073702,194,268*
107174-1In0.213761104,105,588*
106164-2In0.087517007,268,963*
105154-3In0.0471241011,812,315*
104155-2In0.0264331018,222,426*
103145-3In0.0154423026,084,417*
102146-2InNo044506035,580,314*
101136-3InNo0335611045,371,183*
100137-2InNo02359180055,298,065*
99127-3InNo01558270030,037,673
138-1InNo01558260033,251,281*
98128-2InNo0954361034,935,169
117-4InNo0952381034,388,445*
97118-3100.0%No05454920034,073,567
129-1100.0No05464810037,509,776*
96119-2100.0No3375730035,218,520
108-4100.0No02355940035,540,641*
95109-3100.0No1266670031,484,883
1110-1100.0No1266570034,576,014*
941010-2100.0No017691210059,103,081*
93910-399.8No0116718400049,953,936*
92911-299.2No0661231010040,468,090*
91811-397.2No03502519300030,942,044*
90812-291.9No01382330810022,666,444*
89712-381.3No002617381620015,643,975*
88713-265.1No001611382871010,340,327*
87613-345.5No0953238152006,415,603*
86614-227.2No0422140266003,804,085*
85514-313.5No02111353614202,105,313*
84515-25.5No0105254124401,114,483*
83415-31.8No002143835100546,578*
82416-20.5No00073043191254,951*
81417-10.1No00031945302108,124*
80317-20.0No01114142543,946*
79318-1OutNo0532521015,852*
78218-2OutNo022258175,353*
77219-1OutNo11561231,586*
76119-2OutNo185436429*
75120-1OutNo53956109*
74121-0OutNo8425026*
73021-1OutNo50502
72022-0OutNo02374265,684
Total:97.5%0.0%014333964210000792,431,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryLos AngelesWinnipegVancouverDallasArizonaColorado
116220-06.3%003131723218670
115210-15.5004121822228660
114211-06.6004131824228550
113201-16.0014141923218550
112191-26.200151520232175400
111192-16.201151520232065400
110182-26.201171621222064300
109183-16.301181621221954300
108173-26.3011111621211854200
107174-16.3012141521211843200
106164-26.3013181519201743200
105154-36.2014241318181533100
104155-26.3016301216161432100
103145-36.3018361013141222100
102146-26.3001142811121122100
135-46.3001143810121122100
101136-36.30014496810911000
147-16.20014496810912000
100137-26.2001754469811000
126-46.3001754459811000
99127-36.3002058347711000
138-16.2001958347711000
98128-26.3002160227601000
117-46.3002260227601000
97118-36.3002362116601000
129-16.2002362116601000
96119-26.3002462016501000
108-46.200256201650100
95109-36.310276100550100
1110-16.210266100550100
941010-26.220286000550100
99-46.220295900440100
93910-36.251315600440100
1011-16.241315600440100
92911-26.291325100330000
810-46.2102324900330000
91811-36.1173314200220000
912-16.1173314200220000
90812-25.7264273300110000
89712-35.132521230011000
88713-24.13251414000000
87613-32.826488000000
86614-21.71724400000
85615-10.9912200000
84515-20.341110000
83516-10.110000000
82416-20.00000000
81417-10.00000
80418-0No000
72-79No
Total:6.1%3.80.721.350.92.63.56.76.20.60.90.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 1 Los Angeles 0 -0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Anaheim+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116220-07712110
115210-15922190
114211-04529270
113201-132343400
112191-22136430000
111192-11235520100
110182-26326001100
109183-122667022000
108173-211972024000
107174-101375137100
106164-20873221230000
105154-304683117600000
104155-20259512011001000
103145-301477022190130000
102146-20349022280150000
101136-3023100193611100000
100137-20131001442301710000
99127-30680943602520000
138-107909436024200000
98128-2037063811031500000
117-4026053611032600100
97118-30142271603711101000
129-10143271603611101000
96119-200211619038183030000
95109-30107180342390700000
1110-1010819034229060000
941010-20003150282319011110000
99-40002140272220012110000
93910-3000110018173201823000000
92911-2000061094102328000000
91811-3000353420252181110000
90812-200012135023129122100000
89712-30001025170381355310000
88713-200001611038026109510000
87613-300095032014101614720000
86614-200042021001615211893000
85514-300211100028182520103000
84515-201050002102128219200
83415-3002000311243021810
82416-200000141428311840
81417-10000016183330111
80317-2000292639222
79318-10031638376
78218-2018314813
77219-104225519
76119-202135332
75120-1174051
74121-0123850
73021-15050
72022-00124732
Total:0010406199020910060400000000000000