Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 41.6%
35 points   14 11-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2 +0.5
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2 +0.5
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Anaheim-6.0-0.9-0.9+4.4+4.8+4.9
-0.4-0.0-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
Calgary vs Nashville-0.4-0.6-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.6
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles+0.5*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.5*+0.0*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0*+0.1+0.4
Minnesota vs Edmonton-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.2+0.2
St. Louis vs Winnipeg+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-135InYes1003,277*
119406-4In96.3%991135*
118407-3In95.01000241*
117397-4In96.8991565*
116387-5In90.997211,107*
115388-4In88.797212,014*
114378-5In84.795413,935*
113379-4In78.992537,024*
112369-5In70.58884012,149*
1113610-4In61.884115020,423*
1103510-5In52.778148033,170*
1093410-6In41.76919110053,341*
1083411-5In31.16124151082,405*
1073311-6In20.950292010122,346*
1063312-5In12.6393325200178,386*
1053212-6In6.629363140252,353*
1043213-5In2.9193737600348,486*
1033113-6In1.01235421010466,830*
1023114-5In0.3632451520612,604*
1013014-6100.0%0.13264621300783,744*
1003015-5100.00.012045286000975,061*
992915-699.90.0014413491001,183,720*
982916-599.5No09353913300001,405,368*
972816-698.3No05274117720001,622,695*
962817-594.8No032041191341001,835,267*
952717-687.2No01133618181030002,025,394*
942718-574.2No183013221771002,185,862*
932618-656.7No0423821241441002,303,209*
922619-538.2No02164162723102002,369,499*
912519-622.4No01102102429186102,389,595*
902520-511.5No00615173027123002,347,122*
892420-65.2No00302102532216102,259,984*
882421-52.1No00101518322912202,124,803*
872321-60.8No00100210273520401,957,109*
862322-50.3No000015203630801,757,595*
852222-60.1No0000021333381401,545,310*
842223-50.0No00001726432311,330,468*
832123-60.0No00000319433221,114,747*
822124-50.0No00021241423918,586*
812024-60.0No0001735516739,846*
802025-5OutNo00429589581,073*
791925-6OutNo002226214446,382*
781926-5OutNo01166419335,573*
771826-6OutNo00116425245,705*
761827-5OutNo0076132177,327*
751727-6OutNo045639123,662*
741728-5OutNo03514784,885*
731628-6OutNo01445456,645*
721629-5OutNo01386137,292*
711529-6OutNo0326723,512*
701530-5OutNo0277314,612*
691430-6OutNo021798,959*
681431-5OutNo018825,261*
671331-6OutNo13873,039*
661332-5OutNo010901,767*
651232-6OutNo694971*
641233-5OutNo793496*
631234-4OutNo397243*
621134-5OutNo397130*
35-61OutNo1003,293*
Total:41.6%0.5%141015568101011108239,526,602

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleVegasSt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegSan JoseMinnesotaChicagoDallasCalgaryVancouverColoradoEdmontonArizona
135500-05.2%567710811111086820
125433-4NoYes
124412-7NoYes
123435-2No29431414
122425-313.371372020277
121415-44.313913942213494
120416-35.175271214714127383
119406-45.274396815989101021
118407-38.35758991012981072
117397-45.7586710989127684
116387-56.4577888111197693
115388-45.656771110111099682
114378-56.4557891010101097820
113379-45.956799101010997730
112369-56.15778999101097730
1113610-46.15779910910997730
1103510-56.35861081099997730
1093410-66.35971181199887620
1083411-56.34961281298887620
1073311-66.351161371288786620
1063312-56.341261471477796520
1053212-66.241451661576696420
1043213-56.341551761666596420
1033113-66.331741951755496320
1023114-56.231942141744496320
1013014-66.2320322418433106220
1003015-56.3321323319332107220
992915-66.2322323319222107120
982916-56.2422323319222107120
972816-66.252242331822196120
2715-86.152242331822196120
962817-56.062242231721186120
2918-36.062152231721186120
952717-65.572052031521175020
2616-85.471951931421175020
942718-54.671751631211164010
932618-63.66134123811143010
922619-52.459382611022010
912519-61.435251300011000
902520-50.713130200010000
892420-60.311010100000000
882421-50.101010000000000
872321-60.000000000000000
862322-50.000000000000000
852222-60.0000000000000
842223-50.00000000000
832224-40.000000
822023-70.00000
812024-60.000
35-80No
Total:2.6%2.88.92.19.11.67.01.10.90.83.52.40.50.80.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Anaheim+1.2+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
Calgary vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120-135100
119406-49631
118407-39550
117397-49731
116387-591621
115388-489821
114378-5851141
113379-4791353
112369-57118840
1113610-462221105000
1103510-553251408000
1093410-64228191110000
1083411-53129231140010
1073311-6212927218111000
1063312-51327294231220000
1053212-6722297253304000
1043213-531626112656060000
1033113-611121142381101000100
1023114-506151718111701411200
1013014-6039171112221172303000
1003015-50151551125418460600000
992915-60021228247167110901000
982916-5018041911119180121300000
972816-6005021213510242143702000
962817-5003016132826513612141000
952717-600100310042398916393000
942718-5010170216134101571682000
932618-600004019131710112016620000
922619-500020041204412172215620000
912519-6000102802199202316720000
902520-50000050105312212317931000
892420-6000003000214122124191041000
882421-500001001014112024201141000
872321-600010000014112025211251000
862322-50000000014112025221241000
852222-6000000001411212622113000
842223-5000000014122327209200
832123-600000001615262817610
822124-500000281930261220
812024-6000131126332150
802025-500016183330111
791925-60002112937183
781926-500162239285
771826-600031437369
761827-50019334315
751727-60005264722
741728-5002194830
731628-6001134738
721629-50194347
711529-60063856
701530-5033364
691430-6022672
681431-512376
671331-611683
661332-501287
651232-6892
641233-50892
631234-4496
621134-5397
611135-4100
601035-5397
35-59100
Total:0122214322643233555555544443321