Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Florida 3-2, playoff odds up 5 to 52.2%
29 points   12 10-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 2 Anaheim 3 +4.6
+0.3
+0.2
Detroit 4 St. Louis 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs San Jose+0.5*-0.0*+0.1*-0.4*-0.2-0.4
Calgary vs Dallas*+0.0*-0.5*-0.4*-0.2-0.5+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton vs Los Angeles*-0.1-0.6*-0.3*-0.2*-0.2+0.3
Vancouver vs Vegas+0.3*-0.3-0.5*-0.4-0.5*-0.0
Nashville vs Arizona+0.4*-0.1*-0.3*-0.4*-0.3-0.2
Columbus vs Minnesota+0.2*-0.0*+0.2*-0.0*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-139InYes100130*
119438-4In92.9%93714*
118417-7InYes10015*
117429-4In93.997333*
116419-5In93.999182*
115409-6In91.0982122*
1144010-5In94.79910208*
1133910-6In87.89540402*
1123911-5In84.79451590*
1113811-6In74.79091979*
1103812-5In68.9871221,544*
1093712-6In57.5831522,421*
1083713-5In45.17719403,567*
1073613-6In34.26826605,088*
1063614-5In23.15932907,333*
1053514-6In13.8503712110,107*
1043414-7In7.63944161013,600*
1033415-6In3.43047212017,972*
1023416-5In1.32249263023,055*
1013316-6In0.314493250029,157*
1003216-7In0.18453791035,964*
993217-6In0.044042131043,297*
983117-7100.0%No2324418300050,803*
973118-699.9No1254325510058,844*
963018-799.7No01740319200066,235*
953019-698.7No011343512510072,932*
942919-796.0No0727371510310078,779*
932920-689.9No04203615158200083,089*
922820-778.2No21331131915610086,612*
912821-661.9No17259202112410087,139*
902721-743.1No041751725209200087,274*
892722-626.1No0211211242616610084,505*
882622-713.4No016161828241230080,358*
872623-66.1No003021124292082075,234*
862523-72.3No01016172828154068,899*
852524-60.8No01002102431239161,945*
842424-70.3No0001516303015354,119*
832425-60.1No000210253424646,670*
822325-70.0No000151834321139,973*
812326-60.0No00021129381932,169*
802226-70.0No0001624422726,271*
792227-6OutNo00317423720,857*
782127-7OutNo0112384816,022*
772128-6OutNo0018345712,414*
762028-7OutNo0429679,238*
752029-6OutNo0323756,704*
741929-7OutNo0118804,749*
731930-6OutNo0113863,401*
721830-7OutNo010902,316*
711831-6OutNo09911,516*
701731-7OutNo05951,017*
691732-6OutNo397635*
681632-7OutNo199412*
671633-6OutNo199238*
29-66OutNo100453*
Total:52.2%0.9%3914155678877651,517,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseDallasVegasEdmontonArizonaVancouverChicagoSt. LouisLos Angeles
139550-04.1%69949510772125132
121447-4No333333
120437-5No1733171717
119438-4No73677147714
118417-76.771371320131377
117429-4No33693912123912612
116419-513.464976121396651044
115409-64.154729119116117767
1144010-54.8567899139957364
1133910-65.766751110126866655
1123911-56.16877116127666864
1113811-65.54786107116887864
1103812-56.55798107108677863
1093712-66.7578898107876864
1083713-56.358969899766764
1073613-66.357879998876754
1063614-56.057889899776754
1053514-66.557999989875754
1043515-56.057899999876654
1033415-66.15681081189875544
1023416-56.65671181189876544
1013316-66.256713712710986534
1003216-76.445614613611986434
993217-66.1455155145111096334
983117-76.2444165164121197324
973118-66.4444174164131197224
3219-46.3444174173121197224
963018-76.34331831731311107214
2917-96.13331831731311107214
953019-66.24331931721311107114
3120-46.14331831721311107115
942919-75.9543183172121197115
2818-96.0543183172121197114
932920-65.6643173152111086114
3021-45.4643173152111086104
922820-74.77531431319875103
2719-95.07531431319875103
912821-64.06431121017654002
902721-72.753272614432001
892722-61.732141403221001
882622-70.921121201111000
872623-60.410010101100000
862523-70.20000000000000
852524-60.10000000000000
842424-70.0000000000000
832324-80.000000000
822426-5No000
812427-4No0
802327-5No0
29-79No
Total:3.3%3.22.72.48.52.38.01.85.95.34.53.41.10.82.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 2 Anaheim 3 -1.0
Detroit 4 St. Louis 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs San Jose-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary vs Dallas+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Arizona-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Edmonton vs Los Angeles+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs Vegas-0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.1*+0.1*+0.0
Winnipeg vs Chicago-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120-139100
119438-4937
118417-7100
117429-49433
116419-59451
115409-69172
1144010-595410
1133910-688740
1123911-5851051
1113811-67515901
1103812-5691812010
1093712-658261502
1083713-54532191300
1073613-634342416000
1063614-523362938100
1053514-6143632510211
1043414-783235911310100
1033415-63263314126302000
1023416-512128211110503000
1013316-6014222781491410000
1003216-70815315161426210100
993217-6049312171767420100
983117-7242811418116840300000
973118-61223010141941281411000
963018-701170610252141135420000
953019-60011035271131385741100
942919-70071224091116312733100
932920-600401190672311469631000
922820-702001323250134168742000
912821-6100711230911971110631000
902721-7000400170501639141410520000
892722-60200112011141017181473100
882622-701006106014111821171041000
872623-6000030200141018221912510000
862523-7010100014101824211361000
852524-60100000139182422146200
842424-70000013918252314510
832425-60000014102026231240
822325-700000141223282192
812326-600015152730174
802226-7000282132279
792227-6001413313517
782127-7018254027
772128-6004174138
762028-702113651
752029-600173261
741929-70042670
731930-6022078
721830-7011584
711831-611288
701731-70793
691732-6595
681632-7397
671633-6199
661533-7199
29-65100
Total:1237133813381415223334444443332