Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 94.6%
61 points   26 14-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 +0.3
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4 -0.2
+0.1
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-2.3-0.2-0.2+1.5+1.7+1.8
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
Toronto vs Calgary+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+0.3+0.0+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Colorado vs San Jose+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Washington vs Carolina-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-127In100.0%10057,705*
122302-1In99.51000375*
121292-2In97.410001,126*
120282-3In96.510003,352*
119283-2In93.599109,209*
118273-3In90.1991022,782*
117274-2In85.2982053,356*
116264-3In78.697300116,983*
115265-2In70.49640240,837*
114255-3In60.59370467,718*
113256-2In49.4901010866,245*
112246-3In37.78514101,517,151*
111236-4In26.77919202,540,657*
110237-3In17.27225304,064,358*
109227-4In9.96332406,220,042*
108228-3In5.05439709,115,731*
107218-4In2.14346100012,843,226*
106219-3In0.83352150017,368,121*
105209-4In0.22456201022,613,964*
1042010-3In0.11656261028,320,969*
1031910-4In0.010543330034,225,054*
1021911-3In0.05494050039,850,746*
1011811-4In0.03424690044,796,538*
1001812-3In0.013451140048,580,362*
991712-4100.0%No025532110050,921,378*
981713-3100.0No0185129200051,558,680*
971613-4100.0No0114638500050,446,872*
961614-3100.0No0738459100047,709,556*
951514-499.9No03295015200043,651,283*
941515-399.4No022051216100038,597,281*
931415-497.8No0113472612200033,016,040*
921416-393.6No007392720610027,285,455*
911316-485.3No043024281220021,820,167*
901317-371.9No0221183221610016,851,422*
891217-454.7No01131130291330012,593,348*
881218-336.7No00762333227109,084,980*
871118-421.4No004315323114206,337,274*
861119-310.8No002182536235004,260,919*
851019-44.7No010417353211002,768,775*
841020-31.7No000110293920101,732,589*
83920-40.5No0005214230201,046,714*
82921-30.1No000213394140608,375*
81821-40.0No0017335180339,314*
80822-30.0No00042558131182,009*
79722-4OutNo02176119193,804*
78723-3OutNo01115927346,302*
77623-4OutNo0065435522,146*
76624-3OutNo04464289,947*
75524-4OutNo023947134,323*
74525-3OutNo13152161,775*
73526-2OutNo255125676*
72426-3OutNo195030252*
71427-2OutNo11523893*
70327-3OutNo17434030*
69328-2OutNo33679*
68329-1OutNo50504*
67128-4OutNo1001
61033-0OutNo039757,600
Total:94.6%0.7%723312375321000694,946,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonNashvilleSt. LouisLos AngelesCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
127330-06.2%0127101514151571300
125321-0No252550
124311-17.11472114141414
123301-210.31125713171620117
122302-17.21581214131616791
121292-26.3012711151715148110
120282-36.10137111416151571200
119283-26.60137101315151581100
118273-36.40137101315161581100
117274-26.30137111315151581100
116264-36.30137101315161581100
115265-26.20137101315161581100
114255-36.20138101315161581000
113256-26.20138111315161581000
112246-36.30138101315161581000
111236-46.20149101315161581000
110237-36.30141010131515147900
109227-46.20141110131515147900
108228-36.30151210121515147800
107218-46.30161410121515136700
106219-36.2017169111414136700
105209-46.3019199111414125600
1042010-36.20111228101413124500
1031910-46.3011325791312114400
1021911-36.3011528681312113400
1011811-46.2011831561211103300
1001812-36.2012033451210102200
991712-46.301233634111092200
1813-26.201233634111092200
981713-36.21125372311991100
971613-46.31126382211991100
1714-26.21126382211991100
961614-36.22128391110981100
951514-46.23229381110880000
941515-36.2633037109770000
931415-46.1953034007660000
921416-35.91472829006450000
911316-45.31792424004330000
901317-34.51991918002220000
891217-43.41781312001110000
881218-32.313687001010000
871118-41.38444000000000
861119-30.75222000000000
851019-40.32111000000000
841020-30.110000000000
83920-40.000000000000
82921-30.00000000000
81922-20.0000000
80822-3No00000
61-79No
Total:5.9%3.52.220.129.23.54.210.29.08.61.92.20.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Anaheim+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
Colorado vs San Jose-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Calgary-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127330-01000
124-125100
123301-2991
122302-19900
121292-29720
120282-39630
119283-293610
118273-390910
117274-2851320
116264-379183000
115265-270254000
114255-360337000
113256-249401001000
112246-338471401000
111236-4275319010000
110237-3175524121000
109227-4105430232000
108228-3549354330000
107218-42413884610000
106219-31334012410100000
105209-40243818314300000
1042010-301634232195011000
1031910-40102727122901200000
1021911-30520301241411400000
1011811-403132902319327000000
1001812-301826020247112100000
991712-4042201525121182011000
981713-30216010221812440110000
971613-4011106172302881140000
961614-30060310250291232710000
951514-40031523027158113210000
941515-3002021802015151203310000
931415-400101120131122025482100000
921416-30000070762602731632100000
911316-400043324024226453100000
901317-3000211190181314785210000
891217-4000100130110302711128410000
881218-30000706023139161611510000
871118-40000430150151219201462000
861119-30000210800151321231672000
851019-40010400026142325177200
841020-3000100026152526176100
83920-400000002718282715400
82921-30000000292131261010
81821-40000131228341920
80822-300001619373160
79722-40002113343111
78723-30052549192
77623-40021550283
76624-301946376
75524-405394411
74525-33315115
73526-21255123
72426-3205129
71427-2115238
70327-3174340
69328-23367
68329-15050
67128-4100
61033-00397
Total:161013110101011355171411111100000000