Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 94.8%
47 points   21 7-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 2 Boston 3 (ot)*+0.1
Vancouver 0 Dallas 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs Anaheim-1.7*-0.1*-0.1+1.2+1.3+1.3
-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
-3.3-0.8-0.8+2.3+2.5+2.8
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Los Angeles vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.1-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.2
+0.3*+0.0*+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3
San Jose vs Edmonton-0.2*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Colorado+0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.4-0.5-0.4*+0.1*+0.2+0.5
Carolina vs Toronto+0.2*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
126-145InYes100642*
125378-4In99.7%1000296*
123-124In99.91001,553*
122359-5In99.3100001,682*
1213510-4In99.410002,745*
1203410-5In99.010004,635*
1193411-4In98.599107,094*
1183311-5In97.3991010,898*
1173211-6In95.6982015,962*
1163212-5In93.6973022,538*
1153112-6In90.2955031,334*
1143113-5In85.6937042,650*
1133013-6In79.390100056,706*
1123014-5In71.4861310073,185*
1112914-6In61.8801810091,570*
1102915-5In51.17424200112,203*
1092815-6In39.166313000133,836*
1082816-5In27.95738500155,802*
1072716-6In17.9474571000177,515*
1062717-5In10.23752101000196,532*
1052617-6In4.92757123100212,393*
1042618-5In2.01960155100225,181*
1032518-6In0.612601610200233,014*
1022519-5In0.175717164000234,727*
1012419-6In0.035115236100232,770*
1002420-5In0.014312318310222,659*
992320-6100.0%0.01348381072000210,412*
982321-599.9No026541111241000193,796*
972221-699.7No01824110206200174,857*
962222-599.0No01213882884100153,728*
952122-696.8No070315351083000131,453*
942123-592.0No402433910126100110,847*
932023-683.4No20171389161240090,823*
922024-570.9No101113471819820072,916*
911924-654.5No006028416251641057,170*
901925-538.6No03020213272491044,056*
891825-624.5No010141824311640032,626*
881826-514.1No0190419332581023,901*
871726-67.2No00502133131152017,163*
861727-53.3No020172537225012,089*
851627-61.6No01041736301018,185*
841628-50.6No01021131381715,484*
831528-60.2No01724402533,544*
821529-5OutNo0318393372,262*
811429-60.1No001113741101,411*
801430-5OutNo07314615856*
791330-6OutNo03234924497*
781331-5OutNo2175725284*
771231-6OutNo1135432164*
761232-5OutNo19395076*
751233-4OutNo13434346*
741133-5OutNo4385826*
731033-6OutNo366411*
721135-3OutNo1006*
711035-4OutNo20805*
47-70OutNo100324*
Total:94.8%13.1%233371548222210003,849,140

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupSt. LouisChicagoNashvilleVancouverSan JoseWinnipegLos AngelesMinnesotaCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
145490-08.5%5510661561889831
133414-4NoYes
132415-3No5050
131416-225.0502525
130406-3No30101020101010
129396-421.4441411471171114744
128386-53.069156931891563
127387-44.42924896211013942
126377-57.7576331214181010102
125378-47.8758671481678741
124368-54.776957165141011821
123369-46.74596815718712620
122359-58.05587815816710730
1213510-46.35576716815810841
1203410-55.36576715916810730
1193411-46.15676714815811831
1183311-56.26676715815811831
1173211-66.46676715816810730
1163212-56.26676715815810731
1153112-66.36676715815810730
1143113-56.26686715815810731
1133013-66.16686715815810730
1123014-56.46686715815810730
1112914-66.46786716815810730
1102915-56.17786716815810630
1092815-66.1779671671589630
1082816-56.3789671671579630
1072716-66.2889671671579620
1062717-56.28910671671578520
1052617-66.29910671671478520
1042618-56.3101011671571477520
1032518-66.2101112671561367420
1022519-56.3111112671561366420
1012419-66.2121213661561356410
1002420-56.3131414661461255310
992320-66.2141515661451255310
982321-56.2151616661451145310
972221-66.2161717651341044210
962222-56.3171818651241034210
952122-66.218191865114933200
942123-55.61818186593733100
932023-65.11818175483622100
922024-54.41616154362521100
911924-63.31213123241311100
901925-52.49992231211000
891825-61.5666112110000
881826-50.9343101010000
871726-60.522200100000
861727-50.211100000000
851728-40.10000000000
841729-30.1000000000
831629-40.00000
821731-1No
811530-4No0
47-80No
Total:5.9%11.211.512.25.75.913.55.712.05.46.13.91.60.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver 0 Dallas 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Anaheim+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.6
San Jose vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs St. Louis+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-145100
125378-41000
124368-51000
123369-4100
122359-599000
1213510-49900
1203410-59910
1193411-498110
1183311-597210
1173211-696220
1163212-594330
1153112-6905500
1143113-5867700
1133013-6791110000
1123014-571141301000
1112914-662181801000
1102915-551232402000
1092815-6392730130000
1082816-528293535000
1072716-618294057110000
1062717-5102742981100000
1052617-65224215103301000
1042618-52173723105501000
1032518-6111303097902000
1022519-50721367101413000000
1012419-60313384112045110000
1002420-5017362102396330100
992320-6013310822165560200000
982321-50125051824481113110000
972221-6001802123029164422000
962222-500121631181994431100
952122-6007032805181737623100
942123-5040123031424297562000
932023-6020016192918611952000
922024-510011152907314101162000
911924-6000602260411581413731000
901925-5003012002012412171593100
891825-6010013108271521171031000
881826-50109004039182319104100
871726-6005020141021242010310
861727-502010141222251993000
851627-6010001513242718820
841628-5010001617262515620
831528-60002819262713400
821529-501411233020820
811429-600151528291741
801430-5019223323111
791330-605132735183
781331-50182338237
771231-651633379
761232-58264718
751233-44264624
741133-54193146
731033-65545
721135-33367
711035-42080
47-70100
Total:1310171644882244111111111000000000