Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Columbus 4-1, playoff odds up 3.2 to 77.5%
14 points   7 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +3.5
+0.2
+1.3
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.4
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.4
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-162In99.9%1001,135*
1235015-9In99.31000581*
121-122In99.91002,203*
1204917-8In99.4100002,006*
1194918-7In99.1100002,781*
1184818-8In98.099104,162*
1174819-7In97.499105,708*
1164719-8In95.898118,016*
1154619-9In93.9972110,618*
1144620-8In90.79631014,146*
1134520-9In86.89442018,201*
1124521-8In81.49253023,758*
1114421-9In75.28974029,656*
1104422-8In67.28496037,162*
1094322-9In57.279138044,539*
1084323-8In46.37216120053,861*
1074223-9In34.96420151063,093*
1064224-8In24.55524201073,226*
1054124-9In15.245272520083,830*
1044125-8In8.536303040093,814*
1034025-9In3.9263235710104,292*
1024026-8In1.51831391010112,755*
1013926-9100.0%0.411294315200120,296*
1003927-8100.00.16264420400127,036*
993827-9100.00.032143266100131,845*
983828-899.80.0116403110200134,136*
973728-999.6No0113535154000134,812*
963729-898.7No072837197100134,310*
953629-996.5No04223622123000130,753*
943630-891.9No02153323187100125,423*
933530-983.5No0110282123124100119,088*
923531-870.6No0162217251982000110,470*
913431-954.3No0316112425155100101,035*
903432-837.6No021161927221030092,130*
893332-923.2No01731325271761081,322*
883333-812.7No00417192824123071,007*
873233-96.1No00204132629197161,714*
863234-82.6No0101719302612252,427*
853134-91.0No00001413273219444,028*
843135-80.3No00027223427835,896*
833035-90.1No00141532341429,535*
823036-80.1No0002928392123,669*
812936-90.0No001622423018,439*
802937-8OutNo00316413914,380*
792837-9OutNo0111394910,888*
782838-8OutNo01735578,360*
772738-9OutNo00529656,062*
762739-8OutNo00324734,422*
752639-9OutNo0219793,295*
742640-8OutNo0114852,204*
732540-9OutNo011881,605*
722440-10OutNo18911,101*
712441-9OutNo595730*
702442-8OutNo397477*
692342-9OutNo199314*
682343-8OutNo397220*
672243-9OutNo397115*
14-66OutNo100413*
Total:77.5%9.1%16122016765543322,723,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleLos AngelesChicagoDallasCalgaryMinnesotaVancouverSan JoseSt. LouisArizonaEdmontonColoradoWinnipeg
162740-05.3%81076651010568108
135558-11NoYes
1325612-6No252550
1315512-7No8817833817
1305412-817.6612666181812612
1295413-711.5124151288812888
1285313-84.527711117111421477
1275213-95.49735121454951195
1265214-87.9678313691275978
1255215-75.079756891378868
1245115-85.36108686111067977
1235015-96.079689710886976
1225016-88.149781069778988
1215017-76.56757106101079975
1204917-86.4687610711969967
1194918-75.76886979878977
1184818-85.96966979979977
1174819-76.569769699610977
1164719-86.76867979978977
1154619-96.4696610710979977
1144620-86.2697710791079976
1134520-96.459661079979976
1124521-86.0596610791079966
1114421-96.3696610791079966
1104422-86.251066106101069966
1094322-96.151066106101069966
1084323-86.251066116101069965
1074223-96.25115611611106101055
1064224-86.35115511611115101055
1054124-96.25125512511115101055
1044125-86.34134412512125101044
1034025-96.34144413412124111044
1024026-86.34154414413134101133
1013926-96.23153314313133111133
1003927-86.23163314314133111132
993827-96.33173315314142111122
983828-86.33173315314142111122
973728-96.24173315314142111122
963729-86.14174314313132111022
953629-95.95164414313122101022
943630-85.761544133121129922
933530-95.361454113101028821
923531-84.461244938826611
913431-93.45933726615411
903432-82.44632424413311
893332-91.42422313212200
883333-80.81211211101100
873233-90.31100101100000
863234-80.20000000000000
853134-90.00000000000000
843135-80.00000000000000
833035-90.0000000000
823137-60.00000000
813037-7No0
14-80No
Total:4.8%3.811.43.43.410.23.29.59.42.77.97.82.52.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.8
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-162100
1245115-81000
1235015-99900
1225016-8100
1215017-71000
1204917-899000
1194918-799100
1184818-898110
1174819-797210
1164719-896211
1154619-994321
1144620-8915310
1134520-9878420
1124521-881105030
1114421-97514704000
1104422-86717906000
1094322-957221208000
1084323-84626150110000
1074223-9352919115101000
1064224-824312221810100
1054124-91530243213120000
1044125-89272462352040000
1034025-94222392384070010
1024026-821619122013701010100
1013926-90111415151710113102000
1003927-806916920142154104000
993827-90351641916416730601000
983828-801213115158131250912000
973728-9011001012129169112340000
963729-80070681541812213670100
953629-90040341511513611111023000
943630-800201213011111171613562000
933530-900100906715318121111410000
923531-80100603316116817131051000
913431-9000301114011320111511620000
903432-8000200100611871417138310000
893332-90100703012281619161041000
883333-8000041071391721191252000
873233-90000200401391722211362000
863234-80101001391723221462000
853134-900000100139172423156200
843135-800000013918252314510
833035-90000014102026231240
823036-800000151323282181
812936-9000027172828154
802937-8003102233247
792837-9001517313214
782838-8000210283822
772738-9016223932
762739-8003164040
752639-902113652
742640-8063162
732540-9042670
722440-10022177
712441-921682
702442-80891
692342-90694
682343-8694
672243-9595
662244-8496
14-65100
Total:977566444533343422222222211111