Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Calgary 6-3, playoff odds up 0.3 to 99.6%
68 points   31 10-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3 +0.3
+4.0
+0.2
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Anaheim-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-5.5-1.0-1.0+4.1+4.4+4.4
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
Montreal vs Dallas-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.5
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.2-0.2*+0.0-0.0+0.2
Nashville vs Colorado-1.1-1.1-1.0+0.3+0.3+1.4
Florida vs Detroit+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
NY Islanders vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.5-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.4
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Columbus vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
135-138InYes100508,935*
134321-2In99.6%1000265*
131-133In100.010014,189*
130303-2In100.0100028,324*
129293-3In100.0100073,711*
128294-2In100.01000178,217*
127284-3In100.010000407,275*
126285-2In99.910000873,148*
125275-3In99.9100001,770,840*
124265-4In99.9100003,411,097*
123266-3In99.8100006,248,822*
122256-4In99.71000010,939,350*
121257-3In99.41000018,272,992*
120247-4In98.9991029,262,366*
119248-3In98.1991044,910,331*
118238-4In96.7982066,277,679*
117239-3In94.496400094,024,915*
116229-4In90.994600128,499,510*
1152210-3In85.8918000169,187,325*
1142110-4In78.78812000214,937,983*
1132111-3In69.48218000263,543,846*
1122011-4In57.97624000312,240,257*
1112012-3In45.06832100357,517,130*
1101912-4In31.958411000395,969,722*
1091913-3In20.2485020000424,140,781*
1081813-4In11.0385930000439,793,924*
1071814-3In5.0286741000441,483,667*
1061714-4In1.81973620000429,205,059*
1051614-5In0.51276750000404,064,875*
1041615-4In0.1775991000368,524,103*
1031515-5100.0%0.037291510000325,580,487*
1021516-4100.00.016582321000278,692,298*
1011416-5100.00.0156632420000231,033,515*
1001417-4100.00.0045440561000185,623,202*
991418-3100.0No03524561120000144,370,147*
981318-499.9No02514651931000108,751,230*
971319-399.5No0160434285310079,297,750*
961219-498.1No01003733667200055,986,785*
951220-394.4No5029141712510038,237,123*
941120-487.0No30200416161020025,251,720*
931121-375.1No101303741918610016,109,692*
921021-459.3No00803131825132009,940,209*
911022-342.4No0402311429226105,917,309*
90922-427.2No0201619283113203,398,660*
89923-315.7No011005233622401,880,191*
88823-48.2No006021536319001,002,407*
87824-33.9No00301931391610513,508*
86724-41.7No0100423432620253,619*
85725-30.7No010215413750119,301*
84625-40.2No0001936459054,169*
83626-30.1No005285215023,305*
82526-40.0No00220552219,452*
81527-30.0No0112533123,748*
80528-2OutNo08474141,425*
79428-3OutNo0738478486*
78429-2OutNo1375211177*
77329-3OutNo2864947*
76330-2OutNo31442516*
75230-3OutNo50504*
72-74OutNo1002*
68035-0OutNo01585508,858
Total:99.6%24.7%38463812000000006,138,871,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoWinnipegVancouverSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasColoradoMinnesotaArizonaEdmonton
138350-06.2%235979121117121200
137340-1No20202040
136341-0No88888152323
135331-15.138514151422810
134321-25.70331371091321127
133322-16.4145117913121611100
132312-25.7245108911101713100
131302-35.923610710111118121100
130303-26.21361179111117131100
129293-36.42461179111117121100
128294-26.31461179111117131000
127284-36.31461179111117131000
126285-26.21461179111117121000
125275-36.31461179111117131000
124265-46.21461179111117131000
123266-36.31461179111117131000
122256-46.31461179111117131000
121257-36.21461179111117131000
120247-46.31461179111117121000
119248-36.31461279111017121000
118238-46.31461279111017121000
117239-36.21561279111017121000
116229-46.2157136910101612900
1152210-36.3157136910101612900
1142110-46.2257146910101612900
1132111-36.226815691091511900
1122011-46.22791768991511800
1112012-36.327101858981410800
1101912-46.328112057881310700
1091913-36.33912215787129700
1081813-46.331013235777128600
1071814-36.331114244776117500
1061714-46.341215254666107500
1051614-56.24131625466596400
1041615-46.25141725466595400
1031515-56.26151825466585400
1021516-46.36161925465475300
1011416-56.37172024455474300
1001417-46.39182123454364300
991418-36.210202222444363200
981318-46.212212321443253200
971319-36.215232319433242200
961219-46.117232317432232100
951220-35.920232215432121100
941120-45.422212012422121100
931121-34.721181710321111000
921021-43.71815137211010000
911022-32.6141195110010000
90922-41.79763100000000
89923-31.05442000000000
88823-40.53221000000000
87824-30.211100000000
86724-40.110000000000
85725-30.00000000000
84625-40.000000000
83525-5No000
82627-2No000
81527-3No0
68-80No
Total:6.2%4.311.213.720.94.86.77.16.511.07.65.70.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Anaheim+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4
Nashville vs Colorado+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
135-138100
134321-21000
133322-11000
132312-2100
131302-31000
130303-210000
129293-310000
128294-210000
127284-3100000
126285-2100000
125275-3100000
124265-4100000
123266-3100000
122256-4100000
121257-399000
120247-499010
119248-3981100
118238-4971200
117239-394240000
116229-491360000
1152210-3866800000
1142110-47991200000
1132111-369131700000
1122011-458182400000
1112012-3452331110000
1101912-432263921000000
1091913-3202845520000000
1081813-41127491030000000
1071814-3523491831100000
1061714-42174429422000000
1051614-5111354144400000000
1041615-407255135811000000
1031515-50315572712310000000
1021516-40185717158211000000
1011416-5013520615172220000000
1001417-4001440412271451100000
991418-300340283715831000000
981318-4002501442051082110000
971319-300160024104111723301000
961219-40010013603828255220000
951220-3050029015361675410000
941120-403002000239066109410000
931121-31001301360441512931000
921021-400080031032161216931000
911022-300400230111391918930000
90922-40200160109516231882000
89923-30101000052921251772000
88823-40006002041425261661000
87824-300301016172725144100
86724-40100002921292311300
85725-3010013122529208100
84625-400001516282916510
83626-30002820312611200
82526-4000311263221610
81527-30015173229142
80528-2021025342270
79428-315153528142
78429-21102738214
77329-321951216
76330-2133138136
75230-37525
74231-2100
72132-2100
68035-00064252
Total:2513252122450111000000000000000000