Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.1
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-4.8-0.7-0.6+3.3+3.9+3.8
-0.3*-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.9-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.7+0.8
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.3-0.3-0.2*+0.0+0.1+0.3
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.3-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-164In100.0%1004,341*
1235716-9In99.810001,253*
1225717-8In99.710001,943*
1215617-9In99.610003,009*
1205618-8In99.1100004,829*
1195518-9In98.8100007,223*
1185519-8In98.3990010,791*
1175419-9In97.4991015,833*
1165420-8In95.9981123,029*
1155320-9In93.89811032,506*
1145321-8In90.99622045,392*
1135221-9In87.59532062,620*
1125222-8In82.39243085,087*
1115122-9In75.589650112,645*
1105022-10In67.285870146,737*
1095023-9In57.68011900189,640*
1084923-10In46.873141200240,270*
1074924-9In35.565181610301,620*
1064824-10In25.0562220200371,604*
1054825-9In15.8472525300450,560*
1044725-10In8.8372830400537,662*
1034726-9100.0%4.12830357100634,135*
1024626-10100.01.619303910100735,347*
1014627-9100.00.512294215200839,824*
1004527-10100.00.172643204000946,842*
994528-9100.00.0422432561001,050,392*
984428-1099.90.021740301020001,150,937*
974429-999.60.011235341430001,241,156*
964329-1098.8No08293618610001,321,452*
954330-996.9No052336221130001,386,599*
944230-1092.9No0317342316610001,430,426*
934231-985.4No02122921211131001,460,881*
924131-1073.7No01724172417720001,467,421*
914132-958.7No004181224231341001,454,342*
904032-1042.3No0213720262092001,423,347*
894033-927.2No0184142526155101,373,971*
883933-1015.7No0152820282311301,305,393*
873934-98.1No0031414262817611,224,073*
863834-103.7No0020282130251121,131,194*
853835-91.6No0010141528301741,034,150*
843735-100.6No00000292333257931,336*
833736-90.2No00001517333212825,375*
823636-100.1No00000211293819723,083*
813637-90.0No000017244127623,908*
803537-100.0No0000004184136532,014*
793538-90.0No00002133946445,736*
783438-100.0No000183555370,181*
773439-9OutNo00053064303,136*
763339-100.0No00032572244,371*
753340-9OutNo0022078194,117*
743240-10OutNo0011683151,627*
733241-9OutNo011288117,653*
723141-10OutNo0089189,328*
713142-9OutNo0069467,406*
703042-10OutNo049649,900*
693043-9OutNo039736,487*
682943-10OutNo029826,247*
672944-9OutNo019918,966*
662844-10OutNo19913,301*
652845-9OutNo01009,149*
642745-10OutNo01006,268*
632746-9OutNo01004,111*
622646-10OutNo01002,797*
612647-9OutNo01001,752*
602547-10OutNo01001,174*
58-59OutNo1001,208*
572348-11OutNo0100271*
0-56OutNo1003,002*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777731,054,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVancouverDallasMinnesotaSt. LouisCalgaryEdmontonWinnipegLos AngelesArizonaSan JoseColoradoNashvilleChicago
164820-06.2%6888778878878
1356411-7NoYes
1346311-8No5050
1336514-3No5050
1326212-8No13131325131313
1316213-7No881523158888
1306012-104.3913139444499913
1296114-77.375741351111134757
1286014-85.11099881391044566
1275914-97.88781210510699547
1265915-85.06510879610108875
1255815-96.56865811771087107
1245816-85.7878789710710676
1235716-97.2867610871099667
1225717-87.497787869911667
1215617-96.587661096899768
1205618-85.79777986989777
1195518-95.99667887999777
1185519-85.89776997999766
1175419-96.29767996999777
1165420-86.29777997999677
1155320-96.19777996999766
1145321-86.39777997999776
1135221-96.39766996999776
1125222-86.59667996999666
1115122-96.29666996999666
1105022-106.21066610969109666
1095023-96.31066610106101010666
1084923-106.21066610106101010666
1074924-96.31066610106101010666
1064824-106.31155510115101111555
1054825-96.21155511115111111555
1044725-106.21155511115111111555
1034726-96.21244412124121212444
1024626-106.21244412124121212444
1014627-96.21333313133131313333
1004527-106.31333313133131313333
994528-96.21333313133131313333
984428-106.21333313143131313333
974429-96.21333313133131313333
964329-106.21333313133131313333
954330-96.11333313133131313333
944230-105.81233312123121212333
934231-95.41033310103101010333
924131-104.69333993999333
914132-93.77333773777333
904032-102.65222552555222
894033-91.73111331333111
883933-101.02111221222111
873934-90.51000110111000
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.00000000000000
813637-90.0000000000000
803638-80.00000000000
793538-90.0000000
783438-10No0
773843-1No
763238-12No0
0-75No
Total:3.6%7.02.22.22.27.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.22.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.9
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-164100
1306012-10964
125-129100
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-810000
1215617-910000
1205618-899100
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-997210
1165420-896211
1155320-9944110
1145321-8915220
1135221-987730200
1125222-88210403000
1115122-97514605000
1105022-106718807000
1095023-9582211090000
1084923-1047261401200000
1074924-936301711510100
1064824-102531202181020000
1054825-916312232131030000
1044725-1092923523520400000
1034726-9424228239307001000
1024626-102181812201360101001000
1014627-901214151518901320020000
1004527-100791792012115410400000
994528-90451642015416720601000
984428-10022142171571312509120000
974429-90111101212119178111330000
964329-1000807815419112126601000
954330-9005034161171351111913000
944230-100030121401211107161245100000
934231-9002011107715318111094100000
924131-10001007044161167171294100000
914132-9000004022150123211013105200000
904032-10000211120711961316137310000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-10001005020813815201812520000
873934-9000030104013816222013620000
863834-1000002002001381622221572000
853835-9000101000138172322157200
843735-100000000013918242314610
833736-90000000014102026231240
823636-10000000000141223282192
813637-9000000026162729164
803537-1000000000392232258
793538-90000001515313315
783438-10000029263924
773439-900015204034
763339-1000003143945
753340-900193555
743240-1000053064
733241-90032473
723141-1000021880
713142-90011485
703042-10001089
693043-90793
682943-100595
672944-900496
662844-100298
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
58-59100
572348-110100
0-56100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333