Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat New Jersey 4-3 (ot), playoff odds up 3.8 to 92%
76 points   34 21-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey 3 Montreal 4 (ot)+3.8
+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Montreal vs Columbus+2.9+2.9+2.5-0.2-0.2-3.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
Boston vs Arizona-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
San Jose vs Toronto+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Florida vs Carolina-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.0+0.5
Buffalo vs Nashville-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Detroit+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
114190-0In45.6%584274,104
113180-1In24.938627,778
112181-0In14.4277340,876*
111171-1In7.117830129,217*
110161-2In3.010900403,484*
109162-1In0.95950974,961*
108152-2In0.229802,284,707*
107153-1In0.0199004,511,404*
106143-2In0.00100008,556,159*
105144-1In0.00991014,298,101*
104134-2In0.00991022,902,802*
103135-1InNo0973033,080,041*
102125-2InNo094600025,911,275
114-4InNo094600019,867,889*
101126-1100.0%No09010000032,261,392*
115-3InNo0891100025,689,823*
100116-2100.0No8217100039,195,387
105-4100.0No8118100031,153,876*
99106-3100.0No7027200044,022,214*
117-1100.0No74242000034,733,000
98107-2100.0No60355000046,562,529
96-4100.0No56386000021,352,470
118-0100.0No61344000016,661,132*
9797-399.9No4445110100037,853,368
108-199.9No4643100100046,358,744*
9698-299.7No3248180200044,022,966
87-499.6No3048190200036,439,230*
9588-398.3No18462905200032,206,288
99-198.5No1946280410039,215,184*
9489-295.1No103938094000033,288,167
78-494.4No9383809510027,556,850*
9379-384.9No4254201412300027,000,316*
810-187.8No528420131020021,143,932*
92710-270.6No11539015217100036,572,247*
91610-349.4No072901329174000025,752,797*
90611-228.0No021708292812200017,397,073*
89612-112.3No018042134248100010,839,191*
88512-24.1No003011028331951006,476,327*
87513-11.0No0103153131153003,537,827*
86413-20.2No0001620332710201,851,394*
85414-10.0No00002926342261874,436*
84314-20.0No0003143133153396,888*
83315-1OutNo0162237287157,596*
82215-2OutNo0021232381660,399*
81216-1OutNo00522442919,380*
80116-2OutNo021241456,156*
79117-1OutNo1632621,506*
78118-0OutNo32473362*
77018-1OutNo2148559
76019-0OutNo0099072,436
Total:92.0%0.0%04926140342110000873,775,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersOttawaBostonTorontoNY IslandersFloridaTampa BayPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffaloNew JerseyDetroit
114190-06.2%051026444312162120
113180-16.71101536333192142110
112181-06.31111743222141131010
111171-16.32131947111101121010
110161-26.2214215111161010000
109162-16.3315225300040010000
108152-26.3316225400030000000
107153-16.2317225400020000000
106143-26.2317235400020000000
105144-16.2317225400020000000
104134-26.3317225300120000000
145-06.3317225300120000000
103135-16.3317225311120000000
124-36.3417225211120000000
102125-26.2317215112221000000
114-46.3317215112221000000
101126-16.2316204923321100000
115-36.3316204723422100000
100116-26.2315184445622100000
105-46.2315184346713100000
127-06.2315194535622100000
99106-36.2313163868914200000
117-16.2313163967913200000
98107-26.221113329111215200100
96-46.221112309121316300100
118-06.321113339101215200100
9797-36.229102313151617400100
108-16.229112512141516300100
86-56.22892113161718400100
9698-26.22671715171919500100
87-46.23661516181909500100
109-06.22771715171818400100
9588-36.244510182021010600100
99-16.245510181921010500100
9489-25.96446182021010600201
78-45.96335172020011600201
910-05.96446182021010600101
9379-35.3833316171809600101
810-15.4833316181809600101
92710-24.5933212141408500101
69-44.3933112131407500101
91711-13.1832189905300100
90611-21.8522045503200100
89612-10.82110222011000
88512-20.310001110000
87513-10.100000000000
86413-20.000000000000
85414-10.000000000000
84415-0No000
76-83No
Total:5.7%3.89.611.426.58.910.411.30.95.22.80.10.00.70.00.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 3 Montreal 4 (ot)-0.8
Tampa Bay 5 Ottawa 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Columbus-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.9
Boston vs Arizona+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
San Jose vs Toronto-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Florida vs Carolina+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114190-04612420
113180-12513620
112181-01412730
111171-17108210
110161-23788200
109162-114915000
108152-202908000
107153-10185140000
106143-2007921000000
105144-1007030001000
104134-2006039001000
103135-1048490030000
102125-203757006000000
114-403657006000000
101126-1026640091000000
115-30256400101000000
100116-21666001520010000
105-41666001530010000
99106-38620020700200000
117-196500196002000000
98107-2456002213005000000
96-435302215006000000
118-045702113004000000
9797-314302025001000010000
108-114502023001000010000
9698-203101533001710020000
87-40301434001810020000
9588-30188380025500502000
99-1019838002440040100
9489-2010435002711008040000
78-40933400271100905100
9379-3041240222100131123000
810-1051270023190012010200
92710-2010151325001422171000
91610-300762300103281741000
90611-2002216005427291330000
89612-10010800121731261130000
88512-2000300162131241130000
87513-100100182130231131000
86413-2000000292128241241000
85414-10000028202824134100
84314-200002819282513410
83315-10002820292512300
82215-200292231241020
81216-10031125332160
80116-2014153134151
79117-10162339283
78118-0121438406
77018-1729568
76019-00021857230
Total:0012370010150094003042110000000000