Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Florida 3-6, playoff odds down 7.5 to 65.8%
69 points   31 21-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Florida 6 Montreal 3 -7.5
-0.5
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1 +1.1
Pittsburgh 6 NY Rangers 5 -0.8
Detroit 1 Philadelphia 3 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington+0.8*+0.1*-0.0-0.6-0.4-0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus vs Tampa Bay-0.7-0.6-0.5*-0.0*+0.2+0.9
-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.9*+0.1*-0.0-0.7-0.7-0.7
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Boston+0.2*-0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115230-0In42.0%4258205
114220-1InNo1002
113210-2In20.020805*
112211-1In5.1592339*
111201-2In6.56913139*
110202-1In4.558771330*
109192-2In2.0208890988*
108193-1In0.510841412,135*
107183-2In0.310782014,552*
106184-1In0.000682938,724*
105174-2In0.0005837516,057*
104164-3InNo0047431026,953*
103165-2InNo00364816043,002*
102155-3InNo0265024063,525*
101156-2100.0%No1749340089,852*
100146-3100.0No011444410119,237*
99147-299.9No6375420151,294*
98137-399.6No3296160085,949
148-199.7No3306160093,585*
97138-298.7No222621310100,570
127-498.2No221611420104,393*
96128-394.8No1155525500105,897
139-194.7No1155524500114,661*
95129-286.6No09423512100228,054*
94119-371.9No05274023400105,982
1210-172.3No05274023500115,711*
931110-254.8No03153734101099,221
109-451.0No031336351210109,339*
921010-333.0No01626412240088,359
1111-133.6No01626402240096,494*
911011-217.5No0121538331010156,899*
90911-37.5No001729392040126,784*
89912-22.6No00218393191098,661*
88812-30.7No001931381830072,000*
87813-20.1No000420392970050,515*
86713-30.0No001113338161033,421*
85714-2OutNo052441254021,110*
84614-3OutNo02143737101012,830*
83615-2OutNo017274518207,447*
82515-3OutNo03194230603,994*
81516-2OutNo11037381211,950*
80517-1OutNo052743224927*
79417-2OutNo11646298426*
78418-1OutNo9324514184*
77318-2OutNo230363361*
76218-3OutNo417393923*
75219-2OutNo475315*
74119-3OutNo3333333*
73221-0OutNo1001
69023-0OutNo793205
Total:65.8%0.0%00516291714106310002,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoBostonWashingtonColumbusPittsburghCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroitOttawa
115230-05.9%2273467795111
114220-1No5050
113210-2No404020
112211-15.1286453
111201-28.6455011111
110202-18.82425011121
109192-26.41044520101100
108193-16.6204552000010
107183-26.0114651000010
106184-16.21246501000100
105174-26.11346471100100
104164-36.31643462110100
103165-26.1194142321110000
154-46.211040413211000
102155-36.311437374311100
166-16.2114373943111000
101156-26.1119333364211000
145-46.2120323265210000
100146-36.3126282676320000
157-16.21262827762200000
135-56.2228262586321000
99147-26.23322221973200000
136-46.4333222097320000
158-06.0333222187320000
98137-36.273717151083200000
148-16.163618161083200000
126-56.183716141083200000
97138-26.21338131110832000000
127-46.315381210983200000
149-06.1143813111083200000
96128-35.924349787320000
139-16.0223698983200000
117-55.927338777210000
95129-25.334286566210000
118-45.335265465210000
1310-05.534275466210000
94119-34.539183243110000
1210-14.539194344110000
108-54.239163233100000
931110-23.436102122100000
109-43.235921221000000
921010-32.1254111100000
1111-12.0264111100000
911011-21.115110000000
90911-30.5700000000
89912-20.120000000
88812-30.11000000
87813-20.0000
86814-1No00
69-85No
Total:4.1%16.518.210.39.74.53.91.50.90.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 6 Montreal 3 +0.8
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Boston-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Washington-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Columbus vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
115230-042058
114220-1100
113210-22080
112211-15923
111201-26913
110202-15186171
109192-220087190
108193-11008220141
107183-20007530201
106184-10006261293
105174-20000498136005
104164-3000341030430010
103165-20002111404700160
102155-301010604901240
101156-2476045123400
100146-301451372544010
99147-202312638054020
136-402312539055020
98137-30021143110610600
148-10121153110600600
97138-20011731206201310
127-4011631206101420
96128-300122101541240500
95129-200001714123401110
118-4000017138236013200
94119-300004123340023400
1210-100004124340023500
931110-2000021123370341010
109-400021103350351210
921010-300011422514122400
911011-200001113238331110
90911-30000051283920400
89912-2000011163732111000
88812-30000072737226100
87813-200002143132164100
86713-30005183127144100
85714-2017192925144100
84614-3002719272514510
83615-202717282615510
82515-3002617262616610
81516-202617272615510
80517-101171627251842
79417-2061831271520
78418-119193426102
77318-282633285
76218-3491730309
75219-2776720
74119-3333333
73221-0100
69023-0991
Total:0000211091502811601495311000000000