Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.9%
91 points   41 23-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal vs Carolina+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0No

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10990-0In0.0%01006,150,521
10880-1In0.00100012,952,624
10781-0In0.00100040,159,970
70-2In0.00100012,629,598
10671-1InNo0100078,327,865
60-3InNo9917,184,771
10572-0InNo991121,461,860
61-2InNo99166,849,582
50-4InNo9822,626,880
10462-1InNo973207,299,403
51-3InNo96432,601,090
40-5InNo946641,036
10363-0InNo9370214,311,712
52-2InNo9280151,631,652
41-4InNo891109,940,587
30-6InNo86140104,665
10253-1InNo86140313,494,863
42-3InNo8218061,614,711
31-5InNo782201,947,792*
10154-0InNo77230243,103,231
43-2InNo73270191,105,464
32-4InNo6831015,027,921
21-6InNo63370237,147*
10044-1InNo6238100296,343,685
33-3InNo564310062,131,922
22-5InNo50491002,198,187
11-7InNo4454216,256*
9945-0100.0%No48502000183,812,203
34-2100.0No44542000144,511,084
23-4100.0No3859300011,365,739
12-6InNo3264400179,924*
9835-1100.0No31636000179,256,844
24-3100.0No2667700035,237,030
13-5100.0No207190001,113,167*
9736-0100.0No19671300092,688,542
25-2100.0No166914010065,585,209
14-4100.0No1271160104,298,122
03-6100.0No971201045,084
9626-199.9No86425020067,788,227
15-399.9No66427020010,659,633
04-599.8No46231030209,365
9527-099.6No45337050030,039,884
16-299.4No352390610016,530,681
05-499.1No249420710649,516
9417-197.1No135481330014,642,326
06-396.3No03449134001,341,943
9318-091.5No02150208005,674,478
07-288.9No019492010101,785,860
9208-173.4No084025233001,382,774
9109-052.9No032723351110728,090
Total:99.9%0.0%0682830000003,021,620,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersTampa BayCarolinaPhiladelphiaFloridaBuffaloDetroit
10990-06.3%122960000000
10880-16.31229600000000
10781-06.31229600000000
70-26.3122960000000
10671-16.21229500000000
60-36.3122950000000
10572-06.212295010000000
61-26.21229401000000
50-46.2122940110000
10462-16.212293021000000
51-36.212291031000000
40-56.21229004200000
10363-06.212289042000000
52-26.312288062000000
41-46.21228507301000
30-66.302283094010
10253-16.2022820104010000
42-36.2022780125010000
31-56.201174014601000
10154-06.3011730157010000
43-26.3011700178010000
32-46.3011650209020000
21-66.30116012311020
10044-16.30115912411020000
33-36.20115412713020000
22-56.20114713115030000
11-75.90114223416040
9945-06.20114623215020000
34-26.30114223417030000
23-46.30113623718040000
12-66.301130340200500
9835-16.20112944120040000
24-36.30012544322050000
13-56.30002044623060000
9736-06.20011864624050000
25-26.30001654725050000
14-46.30001254926070000
03-66.2000855126080
9626-16.2111875027060000
15-36.3111665127070000
04-56.2111465227080
9527-06.2221375027060000
16-26.2322375027070000
05-46.2322265026800
9417-16.164316452507000
06-36.064305442408000
9318-05.7106505382107000
07-25.610650436207000
9208-14.6127603251505000
9109-03.31175021693000
Total:6.2%0.51.41.465.21.319.09.30.01.70.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Carolina-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Ottawa vs Pittsburgh+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Toronto vs New Jersey+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10990-0001000
10880-100991000
10781-000982000
70-200982000
10671-109450000
60-3945001
10572-087120010
61-286120010
50-48513020
10462-175210030
51-3742240
40-5722260
10363-0593406000
52-2573508000
41-4543610000
30-651361300
10253-1394714100
42-3364617100
31-5334520200
10154-02156194000
43-21954225000
32-41652257000
21-6144928900
10044-185424131000
33-375027171000
22-554528211000
11-744030252
9945-02462129200000
34-22422132200000
23-41372138300000
12-6131204440000
9835-103113506000000
24-302612556000000
13-50201160810000
9736-001956211200000
25-2016564122001000
14-401246713300100
03-609368154100
9626-108163179002000
15-3061631710002000
04-504162181300300
9527-0040531621005000
16-2305216230060100
05-420491626006010
9417-110351137112300
06-300341138112400
9318-00021644146800
07-200195441471010
9208-1008238111423400
9109-0030276173412100
Total:003336001316021000000000