San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Losing to Boston 2-4 (9:35 2nd), playoff odds up 0.002 to 99.97%
77 points   35 17-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 1 Tampa Bay 5 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Boston+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-123In58.0%100631*
117192-2In36.91000812*
116193-1In31.110001,863*
115183-2In22.299013,844*
114184-1In16.198027,607*
113174-2In10.7970214,160*
112164-3In6.8951423,372*
111165-2In4.1921737,696*
110155-3In2.18731155,784*
109156-2In1.080416079,209*
108146-3In0.47162349,625
157-1In0.57262254,524*
107147-2In0.262829066,106
136-4In0.260931065,522*
106137-3In0.0501239074,990
148-1In0.0511138081,477*
105138-2In0.0401446087,189
127-4In0.0381448091,946*
104128-3In0.0281657092,983
139-1In0.0301554060,579
117-5In0.0241659040,164*
103129-2InNo191664095,423
118-4InNo1816660103,212*
102119-3InNo111573093,301
1210-1InNo121671059,122
108-5InNo91575041,815*
1011110-2InNo61479186,449
109-4InNo61380195,735*
1001010-3InNo31185277,205
1111-1InNo31184284,244*
991011-2InNo1887465,857
910-4InNo1887471,776*
98911-3InNo058870111,294*
97912-2InNo038611085,341*
96812-3InNo028117063,056*
95813-2InNo017425044,461*
94713-3InNo066330029,765*
93714-2100.0%No0564310018,618*
92614-3100.0No0455220011,156*
91615-299.8No034613106,305*
90515-398.9No246744103,455*
89516-294.9No1566494101,796*
88416-387.2No9615131030821*
87417-275.5No5543131591372*
86418-150.0No38310252221144*
85318-229.5No3221424291778*
84319-116.7No8442517294824*
83219-2OutNo1030303010*
82220-1OutNo1001
77023-0OutNo13184730179
Total:100.0%0.5%28105840000000002,241,098

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleSt. LouisVegasDallasMinnesotaColoradoVancouverChicagoArizonaAnaheimEdmontonLos Angeles
123230-06.1%281011211261013331
122220-1NoYes
121221-0No613316613196
120211-1No6629161316103
119201-24.9325141418121014154
118202-16.712761620118912432
117192-26.302961421137118432
116193-16.803761619139109332
115183-26.6037514191491110432
114184-16.5003761420148119432
113174-26.7003771519149109432
112164-36.3003781519148109432
111165-26.20026101418139108432
110155-36.40036131417139108332
109156-26.2003616131612898332
108146-36.2003621131411888332
107147-26.2002626121310878322
136-46.3002628121210877322
106137-36.300363411118867322
148-16.300253311118867322
105138-26.20025391197857321
127-46.30025411097857321
104128-36.3002548975747321
139-16.3002547975746321
103129-26.1002453864736221
118-46.3002455854736221
102119-36.3002361643726221
1210-16.2002361743726221
1011110-26.3001366532726221
109-46.3001367532716221
1001010-36.3101271421715221
1111-16.3101271421715221
991011-26.4101274311715221
910-46.2101175211715221
98911-36.3100177211705221
97912-26.3200079100705221
96812-36.4200080000705221
95813-26.1200081000705221
94713-36.2200081000705221
93714-26.1200082000704211
92614-36.5310081000704211
91615-26.24200800064221
90515-36.063107653221
89516-25.6941069044211
88416-34.9115116033111
87417-25.910615221111
86418-13.565113611
85318-2No312231
84319-14.288
77-83No
Total:6.3%0.50.21.73.751.97.46.64.97.53.66.32.52.01.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 5 Arizona 2 +0.2
Colorado 3 Vegas 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Boston-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
TuesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123230-08119
122220-1100
121221-06338
120211-17426
119201-25842
118202-14258
117192-237630
116193-131690
115183-2227701
114184-1168202
113174-211870020
112164-37891040
111165-24871070
110155-328420101
109156-21794014200
108146-3071511930
107147-20627123600
136-40608224700
106137-305093261200
148-1051932612000
105138-2040942719000
127-4038952721000
104128-30289725311000
103129-2197920422000
118-4187920442000
102119-311511145540000
1011110-2631186282100
109-45311762921000
1001010-3319364125110
1111-13193631251100
991011-210815914121200
910-410715715141300
98911-30050471426150000
97912-20030351041191000
96812-30020226530132200
95813-2001123590173600
94713-3061590173130000
93714-2020531622501000
92614-301045121390200000
91615-200347054301000
90515-32440634040000
89516-20151654901111
88416-39160513024420
87417-25054313238731
86418-138310111417961
85318-2322143121229133
84319-1844813833138
83219-2101020301020
82220-1100
77023-03111841207
Total:0284613324902010000000000000000000