San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 96.7%
60 points   29 16-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 +0.2
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4 -0.1
+0.1
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)-0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado vs San Jose-1.4-0.1-0.0+0.9+1.0+1.0
-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.6+0.6
Toronto vs Calgary+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Washington vs Carolina-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-130In99.6%1004,808*
120294-2In96.710001,304*
119284-3In94.7100003,191*
118285-2In92.199106,655*
117275-3In86.9991013,502*
116265-4In81.5982025,899*
115266-3In73.5973047,525*
114256-4In64.3955083,674*
113257-3In53.89280139,975*
112247-4In42.2881200223,099*
111248-3In30.8831710343,283*
110238-4In20.9762310506,010*
109239-3In12.8692920718,523*
108229-4In6.9603730983,178*
1072210-3In3.25045501,292,752*
1062110-4In1.33952801,644,130*
1052111-3In0.4305812002,015,020*
1042011-4In0.1216117102,383,542*
1032012-3In0.0136124102,731,320*
1021912-4In0.085931303,028,815*
1011913-3In0.0453385003,240,695*
1001813-4In0.0245449003,362,015*
991814-3InNo1354914103,374,366*
981714-4100.0%No02651211003,282,591*
971614-5100.0No01849303003,088,216*
961615-4100.0No011443860002,819,246*
951515-599.9No063645111002,488,322*
941516-499.7No0326491740002,128,524*
931416-598.7No0118482391001,766,108*
921417-495.9No11143261640001,418,295*
911418-389.5No0634252492001,104,299*
901318-478.1No0325213017410831,344*
891319-362.2No011614312610200605,076*
881219-444.0No00108263219500428,159*
871220-327.1No0541833281120292,399*
861120-414.4No02110283419400193,289*
851121-36.5No0105203629900123,293*
841021-42.5No002123137171076,204*
831022-30.8No00162341272045,252*
82922-40.2No00021540384026,022*
81923-30.0No01934487014,284*
80823-40.0No00427551317,717*
79824-3OutNo0217602013,893*
78724-4OutNo113582732,007*
77725-3OutNo0752365902*
76625-4OutNo444448432*
75626-3OutNo2355012178*
74627-2OutNo120601980*
73527-3OutNo25581724*
72528-2OutNo9553611*
70-71OutNo1003*
60035-0OutNo2983,889
Total:96.7%1.6%123128175321000046,923,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoAnaheimEdmontonNashvilleSt. LouisLos AngelesCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
130350-05.9%014912141518910800
127320-3NoYes
126332-0No5050
125322-1No14141457
124312-2No23142323955
123313-19.0110917131815106
122303-26.20144101420131698
121293-36.5003713131618138900
120294-25.4014712131517139800
119284-36.50147111415161210900
118285-25.90147111216161410900
117275-36.2014711131617139900
116265-46.1015711131616139900
115266-36.1015711131616139900
114256-46.3015711131616139900
113257-36.3015711131616149800
112247-46.2015711131616139800
111248-36.3015811131616138800
110238-46.2016811131615138800
109239-36.3016911131615138800
108229-46.20171011131615138700
1072210-36.20171111131515137700
1062110-46.30191211121514127600
1052111-36.201101410121514126600
1042011-46.301121610111413125500
1032012-36.20114189101413115500
1021912-46.2011621891312114400
1011913-36.2011923781312104300
1001813-46.2012126671211103300
991814-36.3012428551210102200
981714-46.3012631441110102200
971614-56.211283233111091100
961615-46.211303322119101100
951515-56.32131341110991100
941516-46.3423134119890000
931517-36.2743133108780000
921417-46.01162930007660000
911418-35.61682526005450000
901318-44.91992020003330000
891319-33.91991414002220000
881219-42.816799001110000
871220-31.711555000000000
861120-40.9632200000000
851121-30.4311100000000
841021-40.210000000000
831022-30.10000000
82922-4No00000
81822-5No0
80621-8No0
60-79No
Total:6.0%2.41.720.123.65.36.111.410.59.73.02.90.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs San Jose+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-130100
123313-1991
122303-2991
121293-3982
120294-29730
119284-395500
118285-292710
117275-3871210
116265-48216200
115266-37423300
114256-46430500
113257-354388000
112247-44246120000
111248-3315216010000
110238-421552211000
109239-3135628211000
108229-475334321000
1072210-3346396230000
1062110-41384211351000
1052111-3029421638100000
1042011-40213922212300000
1032012-301334281166011000
1021912-408263212010112000
1011913-30419340211521400000
1001813-40212330202051700000
991814-31629017239112100000
981714-4032301223161183011000
971614-501170819220245112000
961615-4001104132602792150000
951515-5006272602713611010000
941516-400313220231512116220000
931416-5001011601613191223510000
921417-401001010825026312210000
911418-30006542602522244210000
901318-400032122021129476410000
891319-3000110150140302711106200000
881219-40000010802614101514831000
871220-3000540180161319171041000
861120-400211000271522201251000
851121-3001050002817242213510
841021-40020003818262413410
831022-30010013920282411200
82922-4000001311233022810
81923-300151529321720
80823-4001721372850
79824-3003123340110
78724-40172549172
77725-3021948264
76625-41946376
75626-314384810
74627-24245518
73527-3255817
72528-295536
70-71100
60035-0298
Total:21014171910901034050300000000000000