San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 2.2 to 80.6%
72 points   32 19-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas 0 Anaheim 2 -1.0
*-0.1
Chicago 1 Los Angeles 3 -0.9
NY Islanders 3 Minnesota 5 -0.4
Calgary 1 Boston 2 (ot)+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose-6.6-0.9-0.8+4.5+4.9+5.4
-0.4-0.1-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Winnipeg vs Los Angeles+1.2+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-0.9
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118230-0In98.2%1000090,688
117220-1In94.99901719
116221-0In90.998114,413*
115211-1In84.5952315,932*
114201-2In75.6913556,174*
113202-1In63.986690156,505*
112192-2In50.6789130408,402*
111193-1In36.36713200932,746*
110183-2In23.355182702,002,263*
109184-1In12.942223603,869,632*
108174-2In6.0292546007,073,882*
107164-3In2.31826550011,879,790*
106165-2In0.71025641018,944,876*
105155-3In0.15217210028,091,097*
104156-2In0.02177830039,670,238*
103146-3In0.01128260052,525,310*
102147-2100.0%0.008821000066,399,894*
101137-3100.0No047817100079,077,310*
100138-2100.0No0271252000090,104,711*
99128-399.8No0160334100046,489,016
139-199.8No0160334100050,575,012*
98129-299.2No0049416310048,053,800
118-499.0No0047416410052,068,977*
97119-396.1No035468830046,885,890
1210-196.2No035468830050,969,876*
961110-288.8No02446712920091,651,853*
951010-375.1No015425141771081,387,306*
941011-256.7No083421325163069,320,234*
93911-337.7No042518272870055,966,647*
92912-222.2No0216042338160043,298,591*
91812-311.7No0190215432910031,743,160*
90813-25.6No05008394330022,279,198*
89713-32.4No02004305580014,790,633*
88714-20.9No01001206215109,389,811*
87614-30.3No0000116125205,615,103*
86615-20.1No000055336403,204,019*
85515-30.0No00024246901,717,543*
84516-20.0No00130511710875,937*
83416-30.0No00019522630415,763*
82417-2OutNo011463660187,050*
81418-1OutNo06384511077,324*
80318-2OutNo3275020030,004*
79319-1OutNo1185130010,692*
78219-2OutNo010474313,456*
77220-1OutNo06385421,006*
76120-2OutNo229664257*
75121-1OutNo2374365*
74021-2OutNo277311*
73022-1OutNo1001
72023-0OutNo04702690,539
Total:80.6%0.2%1443263477510001,128,403,356

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNashvilleWinnipegDallasSt. LouisMinnesotaLos AngelesAnaheimCalgaryColoradoChicagoEdmontonVancouverArizona
118230-06.1%02113181711121115000
117220-15.003112201991111130
116221-05.6021131816101312150
115211-16.202114181711131114000
114201-26.402113171612131114000
113202-16.2021131716131411140000
112192-26.2021131615141511130000
111193-16.3021121514161612120000
110183-26.3021111313181812100000
109184-16.202110121121201390000
108174-26.20219101024221470000
107164-36.311188827241660000
106165-26.311166630261750000
105155-36.311155533271930000
104156-26.321144335292020000
145-46.321133335292120000
103146-36.321122236302220000
157-16.321122236302220000
102147-26.320022238302310000
136-46.220011137302410000
101137-36.330011138312410000
148-16.230011138312410000
100138-26.241111138312400000
127-46.241110038302500000
99128-36.251100037302500000
139-16.251100038302400000
117-56.252100036292600000
98129-26.272200035282400000
118-46.273200035282400000
97119-36.094300032252200000
1210-16.194300033262200000
108-55.994300031242300000
961110-25.6115400028221900000
109-45.5115400027212000000
951010-34.7105400022171600000
1111-14.7105400022171600000
941011-23.684300017131200000
910-43.584300016121200000
93911-32.4532000119800000
92912-21.42110007550000
91812-30.71000004330000
90813-20.30000002120000
89713-30.10000001110000
88714-20.1000000000000
87614-30.0000000000
86615-20.00000000
85616-10.000000
84516-20.00000
83517-10.000
72-82No
Total:5.0%5.22.21.61.01.01.027.622.118.30.60.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 1 Los Angeles 3 +0.2
Vegas 0 Anaheim 2 +0.1
Calgary 1 Boston 2 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.8
Winnipeg vs Los Angeles-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
118230-098200
117220-195401
116221-091711
115211-1841123
114201-27616350
113202-16422609000
112192-251279013000
111193-1363113019100
110183-2233118025200
109184-11329220305100
108174-2623241331030000
107164-32162423217600000
106165-211021427251201000
105155-305165203122010000
104156-202116123234120000
103146-301665284634100000
102147-2003522053763200000
101137-30130115215655010000
100138-2002054224571202000000
99128-3001012732372124010000
139-1001022732372124010000
98129-2000001533162856030100
118-4000001433152866040100
97119-300006290329147180300
1210-1000062903291371803000
961110-20002220122225112092000
951010-3000014001328321411771000
941011-20008006281111225163000
93911-30004002230162262880000
92912-20020116002220361920000
91812-3001009000111353292000
90813-20050000424382061000
89713-300200011232301651000
88714-200100004193128143000
87614-300000018213125112000
86615-20000021025322281000
85515-3000003132831185100
84516-200015173029143000
83416-30001821332510200
82417-200211273320610
81418-10141632301430
80318-20017233525810
79319-10213313317300
78219-201520362890
77220-1021032371810
76120-2052245262
75121-12945378
74021-299183627
73022-1100
72023-0011349325
Total:01212619152312102040664210000000000