Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLeagueChance will finish season at seed
3/8PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change123456Avg.ChangeRPITuesday
SloveniaWSpain 3-162-00-01342.4%+13.542.4%+13.54222208612.2+0.601MexicoSlovenia
IcelandWAustralia 3-051-10-0427.7+9.427.7+9.428242315832.6+0.711at SpainIceland
MexicoWBelgium 5-041-00-1418.0+5.518.0+5.5182421211143.0+0.733at SloveniaMexico
SpainLSlovenia 1-331-01-0110.2-16.610.2-16.61018202120103.5-0.674IcelandSpain
AustraliaLIceland 0-300-02-0-60.9-6.20.9-6.21681829384.8-0.675BelgiumAustralia
BelgiumLMexico 0-500-02-0-160.7-5.60.7-5.61581726434.9-0.695at AustraliaBelgium

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday, 3/8
Spain 1 Slovenia 3
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League100.0*Average seed
Slovenia+18.6
+18.6
+0.7
Iceland-0.3
-0.3
-0.0
Mexico-0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Spain-18.0
-18.0
-0.8
Australia+0.5
+0.5
+0.0
Belgium-0.7
-0.7
Australia 0 Iceland 3
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League100.0*Average seed
Slovenia-1.5
-1.5
Iceland+11.5
+11.5
+0.8
Mexico-2.3
-2.3
Spain-0.8
-0.8
Australia-6.3
-6.3
-0.7
Belgium-0.5
-0.5
Belgium 0 Mexico 5
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League100.0*Average seed
Slovenia-0.7
-0.7
-0.0
Iceland-1.2
-1.2
Mexico+8.9
+8.9
+0.8
Spain-0.9
-0.9
-0.0
Australia-0.5
-0.5
Belgium-5.6
-5.6
-0.7
Tuesday, 3/10
Slovenia vs MexicoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League100.0*Average seed
Slovenia66.349.949.938.138.118.3
66.349.949.938.138.118.3
1.51.81.82.12.12.9
Iceland23.729.229.232.632.631.1
23.729.229.232.632.631.1
Mexico1.59.59.516.716.735.3
1.59.59.516.716.735.3
3.73.33.32.92.92.2
Spain7.310.010.011.111.113.1
7.310.010.011.111.113.1
Australia0.60.80.80.90.91.3
0.60.80.80.90.91.3
Belgium0.5*0.7*0.70.70.70.8
0.5*0.7*0.70.70.70.8
Spain vs IcelandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League100.0*Average seed
Slovenia43.846.246.242.942.940.7
43.846.246.242.942.940.7
Iceland10.320.520.532.032.045.3
10.320.520.532.032.045.3
3.42.82.82.32.31.8
Mexico22.621.721.719.519.512.9
22.621.721.719.519.512.9
Spain20.88.88.84.94.90.3
20.88.88.84.94.90.3
2.73.43.43.73.74.4
Australia1.41.51.50.40.40.5
1.41.51.50.40.40.5
4.94.94.94.94.94.8
Belgium1.11.31.30.30.30.2
1.11.31.30.30.30.2
4.94.94.95.05.04.9
Australia vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League100.0*Average seed
Slovenia42.343.243.243.243.242.5
42.343.243.243.243.242.5
2.22.12.12.12.12.1
Iceland27.727.827.827.827.827.7
27.727.827.827.827.827.7
Mexico18.018.118.118.118.1*18.0
18.018.118.118.118.1*18.0
3.03.03.03.03.02.9
Spain10.010.910.910.910.910.3
10.010.910.910.910.910.3
3.63.53.53.43.43.5
Australia2.00.00.0NoNoNo
2.00.00.0NoNoNo
4.14.74.75.25.25.5
BelgiumNoNoNo0.00.01.5
NoNoNo0.00.01.5
5.65.25.24.74.74.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.