New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Buffalo 4-1, playoff odds up 0.07 to 0.2%
54 points   23 28-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
100230-0InNo2051254205
99220-1InNo2957147
98221-0InNo42174212*
97211-196.9%No316341925332*
96201-292.1No11033291962114*
95202-182.8No51925341520354*
94192-265.3No112153725810942*
93193-144.3No168313419302,176*
92183-222.7No02318363010104,589*
91184-19.7No1182738204008,822*
90174-23.4No003173731101015,990*
89164-30.8No00182939204027,253*
88165-20.1No000318383191043,060*
87155-30.0No001930391930064,150*
86156-20.0No0032040307090,132*
85146-30.0No001103439151056,711
157-1OutNo01113438141062,637*
84147-2OutNo0052543242075,625
136-4OutNo0052443263075,613*
83137-3OutNo021440376085,939
148-1OutNo021540376093,929*
82138-2OutNo018334612199,846
127-4OutNo0173246131104,571*
81128-3OutNo0032350222104,745
139-1OutNo0032350212114,075*
80129-2OutNo0011449315109,538
118-4OutNo011348325118,003*
79119-3OutNo007414110106,338
1210-1OutNo0084339967,409
108-5OutNo00639431248,241*
781110-2OutNo00433471698,803
109-4OutNo03314818109,015*
771010-3OutNo0122502788,784
1111-1OutNo0122502796,294*
761011-2OutNo0015483689,115*
910-4OutNo013483967,644*
75911-3OutNo008434961,035
1012-1OutNo08434966,205*
74912-2OutNo05366047,402
811-4OutNo04356151,252*
73812-3OutNo02277072,153*
72813-2OutNo01207950,843*
71713-3OutNo0148633,597*
70714-2OutNo099121,331*
69614-3OutNo069413,063*
68615-2OutNo3977,248*
67515-3OutNo2983,988*
66516-2OutNo1992,001*
65517-1OutNo0100938*
54-64OutNo100941*
Total:0.2%No000000148162725182,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoBostonWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphia
100230-05.4%161317291551113
99220-128.6145729
98221-0No572914
210-2No20402020
97211-19.114149365514
200-310.050103010
96201-26.01622119131511
212-02.83128118116
190-418.255927
95202-13.235161910561
191-37.53022199543
180-5No6020
94192-24.23413146320
203-05.43917005632
181-44.740107611
170-6No141414
93193-12.43270033110
182-32.92870022110
171-54.324413231
160-7No25
92183-21.11730011000
194-01.6232001111
172-40.7142101100
161-6No11111
91184-10.891000000
173-30.7810000000
162-50.46000
151-72.0442
140-9No50
90174-20.330000000
185-00.2400000
163-40.12000000
152-60.2100
89175-10.1100000
164-30.01000
153-50.000
88165-20.0000
176-0No00
154-4No00
143-6No0
87166-1No00
155-3No0
144-5No0
86156-2No0
85146-3No0
54-84No
Total:0.0%0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1 -0.6
Detroit 1 Philadelphia 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Vegas+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Arizona-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Chicago vs Ottawa-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
100230-09114637420054
99220-12929141414
98221-082588842
97211-13313362519253
96201-214523263291962
95202-11411161241341520
94192-20109314237025810
93193-10004262300341930
92183-20112117136301010
91184-1000081273820400
90174-20000211737321110
89164-30000007283821500
88165-200002153433132000
87155-30000623352592000
86156-2002102632218200
85146-300031225292082000
157-10031326281982000
84147-20141425281982000
136-40031224282092000
83137-30014122428209200
148-100141324282082000
82138-20015132528197200
127-40014122328219200
81128-30014132529198200
139-10014132528197200
80129-20001515272817610
118-4001413262919710
79119-300151629291640
1210-100161829271430
108-50141327311861
781110-20018213226102
109-40016193128122
771010-3002102634226
1111-1002102534226
761011-2001417343312
910-4000415333513
75911-30018264124
1012-10018264124
74912-2003184236
811-4003174238
73812-30193852
72813-20053065
71713-3022276
70714-2011485
69614-30991
68615-20595
67515-3397
66516-2298
65517-1199
54-64100
Total:000000000000000123456789101111119