New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Montreal 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 0.5 to 2.4%
62 points   25 25-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey 3 Montreal 4 (ot)-0.5
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
San Jose vs Toronto+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Florida vs Carolina-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Columbus-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
102200-0100.0%No01134443073,196
101190-199.7No05326304,132
100191-099.5No022374121,895*
99181-198.4No011582272,141*
98171-296.4No0098740233,722*
97172-192.9No0588700586,580*
96162-286.9No0384130001,413,577*
95163-176.8No0176221002,905,558*
94153-262.3No00623350005,697,090*
93154-143.8No0044421220009,898,641*
92144-225.7No00264324710016,430,291*
91145-111.7No012343417400024,735,792*
90135-24.0No0420352911200019,939,774
124-44.0No0420342911200015,649,709*
89125-30.9No018253523710021,063,239
136-11.1No019263522610026,005,373*
88126-20.2No0031431331630041,785,057*
115-40.1No021229341840017,760,109*
87116-30.0No004183430112040,923,756*
127-10.0No001621352791028,942,643
86117-20.0No00192736215042,341,289
106-40.0No00192636226036,144,492*
85107-30.0No000314333414237,853,127
118-10.0No000316343313244,334,071*
84108-20.0No00017253825544,016,289
97-4OutNo0016233927623,073,341
119-0OutNo0017253824515,376,433*
8398-3OutNo00021335371235,768,946
109-1OutNo00021436361141,587,797*
8299-2OutNo001727442136,979,509
88-4OutNo001627442232,562,817*
8189-3OutNo000217453527,056,625
910-1OutNo000317453431,437,611*
80810-2OutNo00110414925,170,172
79-4OutNo0019405021,994,705*
79710-3OutNo0004326316,372,170
811-1OutNo0005336219,180,254*
78711-2OutNo002247425,666,700*
77611-3OutNo001168317,274,403*
76612-2OutNo00109011,131,612*
75512-3OutNo006946,654,909*
74513-2OutNo003973,802,503*
73514-1OutNo02982,001,114*
72414-2OutNo01991,003,863*
71415-1OutNo0100458,308*
70315-2OutNo0100200,066*
69316-1OutNo010077,001*
68216-2OutNo010028,563*
67217-1OutNo01008,959*
62-66OutNo10075,816*
Total:2.4%No000024681114171918873,775,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaBostonTorontoNY IslandersFloridaTampa BayBuffaloDetroit
102200-06.1%3113752314320110
101190-15.243137516102210
100191-06.4501385137211000
180-26.350139511722100
99181-16.155149585110000
170-36.155149575111000
98171-26.0581410553110000
182-06.1591495531100000
160-46.0581510443110000
97172-15.8591410532000000
161-35.9581410531000000
150-55.85715104210000
96162-25.4561410411000000
173-05.5571410511000000
151-45.3541410411000000
140-65.35314104110000
95163-14.951139410000000
152-34.749139410000000
141-54.547129400000000
94153-23.940118300000000
164-04.143118300000000
142-43.738108300000000
131-63.6361083000000
93154-12.92986200000000
143-32.72776200000000
132-52.5257620000000
121-72.2237620000
92144-21.61654100000000
155-01.8195410000000
133-41.4144310000000
122-61.313431000000
91145-10.88221000000
134-30.77221000000
123-50.66210000000
112-70.5521000
90135-20.32110000000
146-00.33110000000
124-40.22110000000
113-60.22100000
89136-10.1100000000
125-30.110000000
114-50.000000000
88126-20.000000000
137-00.000000000
115-40.000000000
87127-10.00000000
86117-20.000000
85118-10.000000
84108-20.00
62-83No
Total:0.2%1.60.40.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 3 Montreal 4 (ot)+0.1
Tampa Bay 5 Ottawa 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Winnipeg vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Florida vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
102200-0001012044430
101190-1040320630
100191-0020230741
99181-1000100150822
98171-200009087040
97172-100050880700
96162-200002084013000
95163-100001075022100
94153-200000611335000
93154-1000041342122000
92144-200022442247100
91145-100843334174000
90135-200221833291230000
89125-300162133261020000
136-100172233251020000
88126-200019243223920000
87116-3000210233122920000
127-10000311253020820000
86117-2000031225292082000
106-4000210233022102000
85107-3000031124292192000
118-1000031225292082000
84108-2000014132629197100
97-400014132529207100
8398-30001414273018510
109-10001515282917510
8299-2000161831291330
88-4000151730291430
8189-300017223427800
910-100002923342470
80810-2000031230361710
79-4000031230361810
79710-30001520393140
78711-2000211354390
77611-3000052652170
76612-20021654280
75512-3001951400
74513-200443520
73514-100234640
72414-20125731
71415-10018802
70315-2012844
69316-107867
68216-248511
67217-128018
66117-217425
65118-116831
64119-016237
63019-14060
62020-004060
Total:0000000000020456789101010109720