New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 12.1%
49 points   20 19-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)-0.3
*-0.0
Detroit 0 NY Rangers 1 (ot)-0.2
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1 +0.2
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Washington vs Carolina+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.2-0.2-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Toronto vs Calgary-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
Arizona vs Florida+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
117340-0In95.3%97033,889
113311-2In77.878229*
112312-1In30.8386213*
111302-2In42.058234650*
110292-3In25.03625310112*
109293-2In14.326345233399*
108283-3In7.3172463050954*
107284-2In3.610240371102,187*
106274-3100.0%1.462334216104,898*
105275-2100.00.5212445253010,355*
104265-3100.00.1111643346020,790*
103255-499.90.00010374310039,395*
102256-399.80.0005294817070,448*
101246-499.3No00321502510120,618*
100247-398.4No00114483520196,377*
99237-496.4No0008434530308,165*
98238-392.9No0043553700463,342*
97228-487.1No00227581210667,006*
96229-378.3No01185920200924,306*
95219-465.9No0011542950001,234,695*
942110-350.7No00645371010001,587,988*
932010-434.4No03324119410001,965,798*
922011-320.1No011938281120002,350,368*
911911-49.7No009293320710002,712,889*
901912-33.9No0041731281551003,028,317*
891812-41.2No0018223024113003,260,940*
881813-30.3No003132629207103,397,130*
871713-40.1No001617292815403,428,078*
861714-30.0No00292231251023,342,104*
851614-40.0No00141328321843,153,023*
841615-30.0No0001720342892,878,696*
831515-4OutNo0003133137172,547,707*
821516-3OutNo000172442272,179,014*
811416-4OutNo00031641391,804,826*
801417-3OutNo001937521,444,363*
791317-4OutNo000530641,122,283*
781318-3OutNo0022374840,378*
771218-4OutNo0011782611,607*
761219-3OutNo001188428,981*
751119-4OutNo00793288,907*
741120-3OutNo00595189,877*
731020-4OutNo0397120,633*
721021-3OutNo029873,324*
71921-4OutNo019943,135*
70922-3OutNo19924,278*
69822-4OutNo010013,280*
68823-3OutNo01006,994*
67723-4OutNo01003,484*
66724-3OutNo01001,677*
65624-4OutNo100794*
64625-3OutNo0100342*
49-63OutNo1004,117*
Total:12.1%0.0%000029101010101112121346,923,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoPhiladelphiaCarolinaBostonBuffaloNY IslandersDetroitFloridaTampa Bay
117340-06.6%814170411148112111
113311-211.1221167
112312-115.42381531888
111302-210.0222620242222
110292-34.524262617422
109293-24.3202926219111021
108283-35.22726253141021101000
107284-25.52526237132111000000
106274-36.525242310113211000000
105275-26.22322201695300000000
104265-36.02120172287300000000
103255-46.31918152669400110000
102256-36.218171330510500110010
101246-46.218161231510500110010
100247-36.119171130410500110010
236-56.219171130410500110010
99237-46.12118112749400110000
248-26.12018112849400110000
98238-35.82220112347400000000
227-55.72220112347400000000
249-15.82220112347400000000
97228-45.52321111836300000000
239-25.52421121936300000000
217-65.42321111835300000000
96229-34.92321111434200000000
218-54.82321111334200000000
2310-14.82321111434200000000
95219-44.1211910933100000000
2210-24.32120101033100000000
208-63.920199922100000000
942110-33.317168622100000000
209-53.116168521100000000
2211-13.518179722100000000
198-72.815157521100000000
932010-42.112116311000000000
2111-22.313126311000000000
199-62.011115311000000000
922011-31.3774210000000000
1910-51.2773110000000000
2112-11.2773110000000000
911911-40.6342100000000000
2012-20.6342100000000000
901912-30.2111000000000000
891812-40.100000000000000
881813-30.0000000000
871713-40.0000000000
861714-30.000000
851715-20.000000
841716-1No0
49-83No
Total:0.8%3.63.41.81.90.50.60.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Carolina-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
117340-095203
113311-27822
112312-131862
111302-242162346
110292-3251125310
109293-214123432233
108283-3710243303050
107284-246203730370110
106274-3142028404201610
105275-2121018504402530
104265-30110105142003460
103255-400005410361043100
102256-3000023102810480170
101246-40001100192005002510
100247-300001001120048035020
99237-40000000620043045030
98238-30000002110341530700
97228-4000011002525801210
96229-3000000016259020200
95219-4000000093531295000
942110-30000004242237111000
932010-4000011274412051000
922011-3000011453629113000
911911-4000005425332282000
901912-30001313272918720000
891812-400001415262717720000
881813-30001615252517820000
871713-40000161524251883100
861714-30000161423251893000
851614-4000016142326199200
841615-30000016142527187100
831515-40002616272816400
821516-30000282031271010
811416-4000031127352020
801417-30001519373260
791317-40002113243121
781318-300152449192
771218-400021650294
761219-3001946377
751119-4005394511
741120-302314917
731020-401235124
721021-300175132
71921-400114741
70922-3074250
69822-4053659
68823-3033166
67723-422673
66724-311881
65624-411683
64625-31486
63525-41694
62526-3496
49-61100
Total:000000000000208198777777777621