"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 87.7%
70 points   31 20-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 3 Minnesota 5 +0.9
+0.1
Buffalo 2 Washington 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey vs Columbus+4.3+3.8+3.4-0.7-0.9-5.3
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.3
Toronto vs Florida+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.5
Philadelphia vs Montreal-0.3-0.3-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Detroit vs Nashville-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116230-0In94.6%964090,667
115220-1In88.2928780
114221-0In78.7851404,460*
113211-1In67.37822015,938*
112201-2In54.06931055,850*
111202-1In39.458411155,376*
110192-2In25.7465220409,912*
109193-1In14.4356230930,791*
108183-2In6.92471502,001,812*
107184-1In2.615769003,866,880*
106174-2In0.887714007,073,811*
105164-3In0.2474211011,877,841*
104165-2In0.0267292018,945,485*
103155-3In0.01573840028,087,445*
102156-2In0.00454590039,678,110*
101146-3In0.003350161052,517,845*
100147-2100.0%No022502530066,393,792*
99137-3100.0No013463560079,089,284*
98138-2100.0No0737431200044,004,944
127-4100.0No0736441300046,115,809*
97128-3100.0No326482210046,490,690
139-1100.0No326482110050,575,746*
96129-299.9No011647324000100,129,882*
95119-399.3No083942910046,864,142
1210-199.3No094042910050,970,845*
941110-297.5No04294718200091,662,783*
931010-392.6No01184529710081,391,546*
921011-282.8No009353815200069,307,530*
91911-367.3No004234025710055,957,085*
90912-248.1No00113343415300043,289,158*
89812-329.2No005233626810031,737,915*
88813-214.7No00213313417300022,284,644*
87713-35.9No015213628910014,791,721*
86714-21.9No002112936194009,390,574*
85614-30.4No00041937309105,622,366*
84615-20.1No00110303819303,208,682*
83515-30.0No00041939307001,718,843*
82516-20.0No0011033391420875,758*
81416-3OutNo00423432540416,122*
80417-2OutNo00214413590186,933*
79418-1OutNo007334316077,334*
78318-2OutNo03234726130,135*
77319-1OutNo01154637110,667*
76219-2OutNo009394933,531*
75220-1OutNo0530605992*
74120-2OutNo1276111283*
73121-1OutNo213691662*
72122-0OutNo13731315*
71022-1OutNo1002
70023-0OutNo03554290,538
Total:87.7%0.1%01120252111632100001,128,403,356

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPittsburghPhiladelphiaColumbusCarolinaNY IslandersFloridaNY RangersDetroitMontrealOttawaBuffalo
116230-06.2%00121310201512155701
115220-16.90141210191412164601
114221-05.9131313181512144600
113211-16.300141515171411134500
112201-26.300151617161410124500
111202-16.2001618191513101134000
110192-26.300172021131191134000
109193-16.300182224121081023000
108183-26.3001924261197923000
107184-16.20011026281086822000
106174-26.3001112729975712000
105164-36.2001132930875612000
104165-26.2001143030764511000
103155-36.3001163130654411000
102156-26.2001183230553411000
145-46.2001193329553411000
101146-36.3000213429543311000
157-16.3000213429543311000
100147-26.2000233528442200000
136-46.3000233528442200000
99137-36.3000263627332100000
148-16.3000253527332100000
98138-26.2110283526332100000
127-46.2110283626332100000
97128-36.2110303524332000000
139-16.2110303525332000000
96129-26.223033332222100000
118-46.233033332122100000
1310-06.2330333322221000000
95119-36.256134301922100000
1210-16.245134302022100000
108-56.266134301722100000
941110-26.199134261511100000
109-46.1910133261411100000
931010-35.81315130201111000000
1111-15.81315130211111000000
921011-25.3171922415700000000
910-45.1171922214700000000
91911-34.217202159400000000
1012-14.21720215940000000
90912-23.014171952000000
89812-31.810121421000000
88813-20.9560210000000
87713-30.42301000000
86714-20.11100000000
85715-10.00000000
84615-20.0000000
83616-10.0000000
82617-00.000
70-81No
Total:5.5%5.46.10.723.925.718.42.32.21.50.90.30.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 2 Washington 3 +0.1
NY Islanders 3 Minnesota 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs Columbus-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.1
Philadelphia vs Montreal+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Washington vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116230-0951400
115220-18838
114221-0797140
113211-167112200
112201-2541530000
111202-13919401100
110192-226214931000
109193-114205573000
108183-27175614401000
107184-1312522461300000
106174-218423572600000
105164-3043045631101000
104165-20218495519120000
103155-301948362723010000
102156-200441153365220000
101146-30013203331364601000
100147-200220227225811020000
99137-3001301172731119252000
98138-2007009281122377500000
127-400700927112248760000
97128-3030042209231671410000
139-10304220102315714100000
96129-20010115061724627220000
95119-300008039273393610000
941110-2000401424146314110000
109-4000301423146315210000
931010-30001001160442272320000
921011-200000903513736630000
91911-30000040230402712920000
90912-200000101303416172071000
89812-30000050230314291861000
88813-2000020130182829154000
87713-3015003193226112000
86714-2002001924332281000
85614-30000031329321851000
84615-2000015183228133000
83515-30000182333249200
82516-200003132832185100
81416-3001518322813300
80417-20029253323810
79418-100315313216300
78318-201722352680
77319-1021332351610
76219-201723402730
75220-1021537397
74120-2083444131
73121-13155329
72122-01360207
71022-15050
70023-0003314818
Total:00290181114910318110112321100000000