"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 97.9%
75 points   36 19-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 1 Tampa Bay 5 +0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Toronto-1.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.9+0.9+0.9
-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Carolina vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.2
New Jersey vs Pittsburgh+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Florida vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1+0.1
+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Montreal vs Columbus*-0.0-0.2-0.2*-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123240-0In98.8%991166
120221-1In81.3811916*
119211-2In73.2732756*
118212-1In52.65347152*
117202-2In51.65248432*
116203-1In38.5396101,029*
115193-2In28.8297102,324*
114194-1In22.02207704,800*
113184-2In15.41608408,759*
112174-3In9.410089115,282*
111175-2In5.97092125,072*
110165-3In3.24094238,542*
109166-2In1.62094456,333*
108156-3In0.610926077,081*
107157-2In0.20089100100,778*
106147-3In0.10085150124,074*
105148-2In0.0007921069,607
137-4In0.0007921078,039*
104138-3In0.0007128079,454
149-1In0.0007128085,193*
103139-2InNo0063361081,835
128-4In0.0006336195,076*
102129-3InNo0053452086,746
1310-1InNo053452093,823*
1011210-2InNo0043534096,773*
119-4InNo43534079,328*
1001110-3100.0%No345970078,759
1211-1InNo34597084,820*
991111-2100.0No2563110066,179
1010-4InNo256312079,804*
981011-3100.0No17641910123,858*
971012-299.8No116026300100,626*
96912-399.0No6533281078,054*
95913-295.9No343331740057,795*
94813-387.9No2332727112040,655*
93814-272.7No12218322161027,463*
92714-350.2No01492733152017,606*
91715-229.5No08318362671010,703*
90615-314.8No0519303517306,295*
89616-25.1No203193829813,389*
88516-31.6No119323718201,770*
87517-20.5No00519392970876*
86417-3OutNo2103636161399*
85418-2OutNo162049222192*
84419-1OutNo3751271273*
83319-2OutNo4384212426*
82320-1OutNo4314437*
81220-2OutNo40605*
80221-1OutNo50502*
75024-0OutNo1114642166
Total:97.9%0.5%10513772110000002,080,292

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersBostonWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroitOttawa
123240-04.2%44131313161687411
120221-16.31319191319666
119211-23.62059112120554
118212-15.914355101694311
117202-27.40142577141044310
116203-16.3015555613743210
115193-26.8016434512542110
114194-16.7016822313432100
113184-25.800742231222110000
112174-35.800791111122110000
111175-26.10082111111201000
110165-36.200840011112010000
109166-26.300850001102010000
108156-36.300860001101000000
107157-26.4108600011010000
146-46.1008600012010000
106147-36.3108500012010000
158-16.21086000120200000
105148-26.1108600012010000
137-46.3008500012020000
104138-36.2008500012020000
149-16.2008600012020000
127-56.4008400013020000
103139-26.411850001202000
128-46.2018400012020000
102129-36.40183000120200000
1310-16.21184000120200
118-56.101830001202000
1011210-26.30282000120200000
119-46.40381100120200000
1001110-36.20579110110200000
1211-16.3057911011020000
991111-26.21875211100200000
1010-46.21874111111200000
981011-36.4112692219120000
1112-16.311369221912000
971012-26.33176232181100000
911-46.3418603218120000
96912-36.39225243261100000
1013-16.482252432611000
95913-25.917234143241100000
94813-35.42720313213110000
93814-24.4311421211210000
92714-33.027713110100000
91715-22.118270000000
90615-30.8914000000
89616-20.23010000
88617-10.1110
87517-20.100
75-86No
Total:6.1%2.75.175.20.90.70.510.30.41.50.10.40.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Boston-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Toronto+0.6+0.1+0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5
Montreal vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123240-0991
120221-18119
119211-27327
118212-15347
117202-252048
116203-1380610
115193-2290710
114194-12200770
113184-215108400
112174-39108901
111175-26109201
110165-331094002
109166-2210093104
108156-31000912060
107157-200008640100
106147-300007870150
158-100007870150
105148-200006810121000
137-40000671112100
104138-3000055152028000
103139-2000411840360010
128-4000039195036001
102129-3000262070440020
1310-10252070450020
1011210-201419100510140
119-4001319111511140
1001110-3615121542307000
1211-1615121542370
991111-2291135238011000
1010-429113514801200
981011-3048442615019010
971012-20255288240260300
96912-30024148311310810
95913-20125531232117400
94813-3001122542522701120
93814-2010116515331021610
92714-300009562261331520
91715-2034221713626710
90615-3023018130351730
89616-2010021183730910
88516-30100829372040
87517-20031534321130
86417-3162135241031
85418-21192227261311
84419-115152727114
83319-241515232788
82320-11414141443
81220-2204040
80221-15050
75024-08304419
Total:0000351051292607020110000000000000