Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Philadelphia 1-3, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.06%
54 points   23 29-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Detroit 1 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
98220-0InNo237547206
97210-1InNo1001
96211-0InNo15691513*
95201-178.8%No11264218366*
94191-259.8No318383541234*
93192-139.8No3829372030610*
92182-220.0No0131734321211,567*
91183-17.7No017273921503,294*
90173-22.3No00215363411107,166*
89174-10.5No00062640225013,413*
88164-20.1No002153734111023,613*
87154-30.0No0172839214038,066*
86155-20.0No00317393290059,227*
85145-3OutNo0193140181084,718*
84146-2OutNo0042242284060,717
135-4OutNo042142295054,485*
83136-3OutNo0112383910068,949
147-1OutNo011338399077,268*
82137-2OutNo006294617191,395
126-4OutNo006284718187,212*
81127-3OutNo002194828396,928
138-1OutNo031948273107,559*
80128-2OutNo0011144386113,036
117-4OutNo011043397110,968*
79118-3OutNo005354712110,052
129-1OutNo00637461277,532
107-5OutNo0433491443,337*
78119-2OutNo02265220114,134
108-4OutNo002255221115,438*
77109-3OutNo01175230101,975
1110-1OutNo01175230111,666*
761010-2OutNo0010494094,964
99-4OutNo0010484196,566*
75910-3OutNo05425276,703
1011-1OutNo06425284,311*
74911-2OutNo03356264,939
810-4OutNo03346365,633*
73811-3OutNo01267247,465
912-1OutNo01277252,448*
72812-2OutNo01208073,835*
71712-3OutNo0148650,915*
70713-2OutNo099133,097*
69613-3OutNo069420,878*
68614-2OutNo49612,319*
67514-3OutNo2986,948*
66515-2OutNo1993,479*
65415-3OutNo01001,737*
64416-2OutNo0100840*
63417-1OutNo0100360*
54-62OutNo100428*
Total:0.1%No00000125122331262,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoBostonWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealCarolina
98220-010.7%6313010148001
97210-1NoYes
96211-022.2112222112211
200-2No255025
95201-16.038224462
190-3No38191913
94191-26.2341513322
202-04.84372244
180-45.025151010
93192-11.730521120
181-31.626431111
170-5No14777
92182-20.9151000000
193-01.7183111
171-4No1811100
160-6No1010
91183-10.371000000
172-30.450000
161-5No61
150-7No
90173-20.120000
184-00.13
162-40.2200
151-6No11
140-8No50
89174-10.0100
163-30.000
152-5No0
141-7No
130-9No
88164-20.000
175-00.0000
153-4No0
142-6No
131-8No
87165-1No0
154-3No0
143-5No
132-7No
121-9No
86155-2No0
166-0No
144-4No
133-6No
122-8No
111-10No
54-85No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 1 Philadelphia 3 +0.8
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
98220-01123211547
97210-1100
96211-0886915
95201-12362642183
94191-2318383541
93192-1216229372030
92182-2000211613432121
91183-100006027392150
90173-2000201436341220
89174-100006253923610
88164-2000213333415300
87154-3000520342710300
86155-200182432239200
85145-300211242921103000
84146-200311222822103100
83136-30031021282311300
147-10131122282210300
82137-200131123282110200
126-400028202824123100
81127-300031022292310200
138-10131122292210200
80128-2001312253021810
117-4000310233023920
79118-300141327311961
129-100151528301750
107-500031125322271
78119-20016183129132
108-4014153032153
77109-300182336267
1110-1000292535236
98-500162136288
761010-2000314333614
99-400313333715
75910-30016244326
1011-10016254226
74911-2002164339
810-4002154240
73811-30183754
912-10193753
72812-20043066
71712-3022177
70713-2011485
69613-30991
68614-20694
67514-30397
66515-2298
65415-3199
64416-20100
63417-10100
54-62100
Total:000000000001123446791012141514