Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Philadelphia 1-3, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.06%

54 points 23 29-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

98		22	0		-	0	In		No			2	37	54	7									206
97		21	0		-	1	In		No					100										1
96		21	1		-	0	In		No				15	69	15									13	*
95		20	1		-	1	78.8	%	No				11	26	42	18	3							66	*
94		19	1		-	2	59.8		No				3	18	38	35	4	1						234	*
93		19	2		-	1	39.8		No				3	8	29	37	20	3	0					610	*
92		18	2		-	2	20.0		No			0	1	3	17	34	32	12	1					1,567	*
91		18	3		-	1	7.7		No				0	1	7	27	39	21	5	0				3,294	*
90		17	3		-	2	2.3		No				0	0	2	15	36	34	11	1	0			7,166	*
89		17	4		-	1	0.5		No				0	0	0	6	26	40	22	5	0			13,413	*
88		16	4		-	2	0.1		No				0		0	2	15	37	34	11	1	0		23,613	*
87		15	4		-	3	0.0		No						0	1	7	28	39	21	4	0		38,066	*
86		15	5		-	2	0.0		No						0	0	3	17	39	32	9	0	0	59,227	*
85		14	5		-	3	Out		No							0	1	9	31	40	18	1	0	84,718	*
84		14	6		-	2	Out		No							0	0	4	22	42	28	4	0	60,717
		13	5		-	4	Out		No								0	4	21	42	29	5	0	54,485	*
83		13	6		-	3	Out		No								0	1	12	38	39	10	0	68,949
		14	7		-	1	Out		No								0	1	13	38	39	9	0	77,268	*
82		13	7		-	2	Out		No								0	0	6	29	46	17	1	91,395
		12	6		-	4	Out		No								0	0	6	28	47	18	1	87,212	*
81		12	7		-	3	Out		No								0	0	2	19	48	28	3	96,928
		13	8		-	1	Out		No									0	3	19	48	27	3	107,559	*
80		12	8		-	2	Out		No								0	0	1	11	44	38	6	113,036
		11	7		-	4	Out		No									0	1	10	43	39	7	110,968	*
79		11	8		-	3	Out		No									0	0	5	35	47	12	110,052
		12	9		-	1	Out		No									0	0	6	37	46	12	77,532
		10	7		-	5	Out		No										0	4	33	49	14	43,337	*
78		11	9		-	2	Out		No										0	2	26	52	20	114,134
		10	8		-	4	Out		No									0	0	2	25	52	21	115,438	*
77		10	9		-	3	Out		No										0	1	17	52	30	101,975
		11	10		-	1	Out		No										0	1	17	52	30	111,666	*
76		10	10		-	2	Out		No										0	0	10	49	40	94,964
		9	9		-	4	Out		No										0	0	10	48	41	96,566	*
75		9	10		-	3	Out		No											0	5	42	52	76,703
		10	11		-	1	Out		No											0	6	42	52	84,311	*
74		9	11		-	2	Out		No											0	3	35	62	64,939
		8	10		-	4	Out		No											0	3	34	63	65,633	*
73		8	11		-	3	Out		No											0	1	26	72	47,465
		9	12		-	1	Out		No											0	1	27	72	52,448	*
72		8	12		-	2	Out		No											0	1	20	80	73,835	*
71		7	12		-	3	Out		No												0	14	86	50,915	*
70		7	13		-	2	Out		No												0	9	91	33,097	*
69		6	13		-	3	Out		No												0	6	94	20,878	*
68		6	14		-	2	Out		No													4	96	12,319	*
67		5	14		-	3	Out		No													2	98	6,948	*
66		5	15		-	2	Out		No													1	99	3,479	*
65		4	15		-	3	Out		No													0	100	1,737	*
64		4	16		-	2	Out		No													0	100	840	*
63		4	17		-	1	Out		No													0	100	360	*
54	-62						Out		No														100	428	*

Total:							0.1	%	No			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	12	23	31	26	2,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Tampa Bay	NY Islanders	Toronto	Boston	Washington	Columbus	Pittsburgh	Montreal	Carolina

98		22	0		-	0	10.7	%	6	31	30	10	14	8	0	0	1
97		21	0		-	1	No						Yes
96		21	1		-	0	22.2		11	22	22		11	22			11
		20	0		-	2	No		25	50			25
95		20	1		-	1	6.0		38	22	4	4		6	2
		19	0		-	3	No		38	19	19	13
94		19	1		-	2	6.2		34	15	1	3		3	2		2
		20	2		-	0	4.8		43	7	2	2	4	4
		18	0		-	4	5.0		25	15		10		10
93		19	2		-	1	1.7		30	5	2	1	1	2	0
		18	1		-	3	1.6		26	4	3	1	1	1	1
		17	0		-	5	No		14	7		7		7
92		18	2		-	2	0.9		15	1	0	0	0	0	0		0
		19	3		-	0	1.7		18	3	1		1	1
		17	1		-	4	No		18	1	1	1		0	0
		16	0		-	6	No		10				10
91		18	3		-	1	0.3		7	1	0	0	0	0	0		0
		17	2		-	3	0.4		5	0	0	0	0
		16	1		-	5	No		6						1
		15	0		-	7	No
90		17	3		-	2	0.1		2	0	0		0	0
		18	4		-	0	0.1		3
		16	2		-	4	0.2		2	0	0
		15	1		-	6	No		1			1
		14	0		-	8	No		50
89		17	4		-	1	0.0		1	0	0
		16	3		-	3	0.0		0		0
		15	2		-	5	No		0
		14	1		-	7	No
		13	0		-	9	No
88		16	4		-	2	0.0		0		0
		17	5		-	0	0.0		0		0	0
		15	3		-	4	No		0
		14	2		-	6	No
		13	1		-	8	No
87		16	5		-	1	No		0
		15	4		-	3	No		0
		14	3		-	5	No
		13	2		-	7	No
		12	1		-	9	No
86		15	5		-	2	No		0
		16	6		-	0	No
		14	4		-	4	No
		13	3		-	6	No
		12	2		-	8	No
		11	1		-	10	No
54	-85						No

Total:							0.0	%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 1 Philadelphia 3	+0.8
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington	+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Washington	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

98		22	0		-	0						1		1	23	2	11		54		7
97		21	0		-	1													100
96		21	1		-	0									8		8		69		15
95		20	1		-	1									2	3	6		26		42		18	3
94		19	1		-	2											3		18		38		35	4	1
93		19	2		-	1											2	1	6	2	29		37	20	3	0
92		18	2		-	2								0			0	0	2	1	16	1	34	32	12	1
91		18	3		-	1											0	0	0	0	6	0	27	39	21	5	0
90		17	3		-	2												0	0	0	2	0	14	36	34	12	2	0
89		17	4		-	1												0		0	0	0	6	25	39	23	6	1	0
88		16	4		-	2												0			0	0	2	13	33	34	15	3	0	0
87		15	4		-	3															0	0	0	5	20	34	27	10	3	0	0
86		15	5		-	2																0	0	1	8	24	32	23	9	2	0	0
85		14	5		-	3																	0	0	2	11	24	29	21	10	3	0	0	0
84		14	6		-	2																		0	0	3	11	22	28	22	10	3	1	0	0
83		13	6		-	3																			0	0	3	10	21	28	23	11	3	0	0
		14	7		-	1																			0	1	3	11	22	28	22	10	3	0	0
82		13	7		-	2																			0	0	1	3	11	23	28	21	10	2	0	0
		12	6		-	4																			0	0	0	2	8	20	28	24	12	3	1	0	0
81		12	7		-	3																				0	0	0	3	10	22	29	23	10	2	0	0
		13	8		-	1																					0	1	3	11	22	29	22	10	2	0	0
80		12	8		-	2																					0	0	1	3	12	25	30	21	8	1	0
		11	7		-	4																				0		0	0	3	10	23	30	23	9	2	0
79		11	8		-	3																						0	0	1	4	13	27	31	19	6	1
		12	9		-	1																						0	0	1	5	15	28	30	17	5	0
		10	7		-	5																						0	0	0	3	11	25	32	22	7	1
78		11	9		-	2																							0	0	1	6	18	31	29	13	2
		10	8		-	4																								0	1	4	15	30	32	15	3
77		10	9		-	3																								0	0	1	8	23	36	26	7
		11	10		-	1																							0	0	0	2	9	25	35	23	6
		9	8		-	5																								0	0	1	6	21	36	28	8
76		10	10		-	2																								0	0	0	3	14	33	36	14
		9	9		-	4																									0	0	3	13	33	37	15
75		9	10		-	3																									0	0	1	6	24	43	26
		10	11		-	1																									0	0	1	6	25	42	26
74		9	11		-	2																										0	0	2	16	43	39
		8	10		-	4																										0	0	2	15	42	40
73		8	11		-	3																											0	1	8	37	54
		9	12		-	1																											0	1	9	37	53
72		8	12		-	2																											0	0	4	30	66
71		7	12		-	3																												0	2	21	77
70		7	13		-	2																												0	1	14	85
69		6	13		-	3																													0	9	91
68		6	14		-	2																													0	6	94
67		5	14		-	3																													0	3	97
66		5	15		-	2																														2	98
65		4	15		-	3																														1	99
64		4	16		-	2																														0	100
63		4	17		-	1																														0	100
54	-62																																				100

Total:												0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	6	7	9	10	12	14	15	14