Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Montreal 1-0, playoff odds up 2.7 to 14.1%
44 points   19 19-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit 1 Montreal 0 +2.8
+0.2
Boston 0 NY Islanders 4 +0.4
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 -0.2
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 -0.2
Pittsburgh 8 Washington 7 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St. Louis vs Ottawa+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Calgary vs Florida+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Toronto vs Buffalo-0.1-0.4-0.3-0.1-0.2+0.3
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Columbus vs Carolina+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
NY Rangers vs Dallas-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120380-0In99.5%1000084,248
117361-1In50.050502*
116351-2In90.0901010*
115352-1In77.1831735*
114342-2In69.375241101*
113332-3In67.775231282*
112333-2In57.666322966*
111323-3In45.3574032,541*
110324-2In34.34748506,620*
109314-3In23.235578015,903*
108304-4In14.3256411036,418*
107305-3In7.7176816077,823*
106295-4In3.410692100158,567*
105296-3In1.35672710308,953*
104286-4In0.426134200573,544*
103287-3In0.1154414001,019,246*
102277-4100.0%0.00454770001,736,423*
101278-3100.00.0035521210002,834,383*
100268-4100.00.0026541810004,463,119*
99269-399.8No0185226310006,753,216*
98259-499.1No01247334310009,861,132*
972510-396.9No073839573000013,885,043*
962410-491.4No329425127200018,886,406*
952310-580.6No21940415145100024,829,116*
942311-464.4No1113431521113000031,582,525*
932211-545.2No0626112252082000038,886,448*
922212-427.3No0317172227165100046,375,352*
912112-514.2No01100316282513410053,585,098*
902113-46.3No005019233022920060,018,690*
892013-52.4No0020041427291861065,201,585*
882014-40.8No0010017193026133068,715,830*
871914-50.2No0000003112431228170,291,652*
861915-40.1No000001516303015369,777,564*
851815-50.0No0000029233425767,250,409*
841816-40.0No00000141533341362,908,862*
831716-50.0No00001927402357,179,583*
821717-40.0No00000419423450,460,295*
811617-50.0No0000212404643,221,025*
801618-4OutNo00017345835,979,687*
791518-5OutNo0004276929,086,810*
781519-4OutNo0002207822,812,476*
771419-5OutNo001148517,382,556*
761420-4OutNo000109012,847,665*
751320-5OutNo0006949,218,190*
741321-4OutNo004966,420,246*
731221-5OutNo002984,334,887*
721222-4OutNo001992,836,885*
711122-5OutNo01991,797,328*
701123-4OutNo001001,104,778*
691023-5OutNo00100655,580*
681024-4OutNo00100378,987*
671025-3OutNo0100209,736*
66925-4OutNo0100112,774*
65926-3OutNo010058,216*
64826-4OutNo010029,432*
63827-3OutNo010013,872*
62727-4OutNo01006,688*
44-61OutNo10089,072*
Total:14.1%0.0%01471257810111315171,016,364,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaTampa BayBuffaloNY IslandersNew Jersey
120380-06.2%333613771746163354
117361-1No5050
116351-2No10102020102010
115352-15.76611931417614339
114342-25.9432918115155415253
113332-36.7334615771748162152
112333-27.0452917771454133243
111323-36.15521120661445113243
110324-26.5552112177144593242
109314-36.4652132177124492232
108304-46.2663132277114482232
107305-36.3663132188104472232
106295-46.466413219994562222
105296-36.36641219101085563221
104286-46.35561117121275553221
103287-36.25571015141466643211
102277-46.2449813161657734311
101278-36.23311710171847734311
100268-46.3331358191938824311
99269-36.2221545202029815410
98259-46.2221734212129915400
248-66.2221734212129915400
972510-36.1331733202019815400
249-56.0331722202019815400
962410-45.7551622181818805400
239-65.6551622181808705300
2511-25.7441622181918805400
952310-55.0561421151507604300
2411-35.1561421161607604300
229-75.0561421151507604300
942311-44.1561121121206503200
2210-63.9561021111105403200
2412-24.1561121121206503200
932211-52.8457218804302200
2312-33.0457218804302200
2110-72.7457218804302200
922212-41.7234105502201100
2111-61.7234105502201100
912213-30.9112003301101100
902113-40.4011001101000000
892114-30.2000001100000000
882014-40.1000000000000000
872015-30.0000000000000
861915-40.0000000000000
851916-30.000000000000
841816-40.0000000000
831817-30.00000000
821717-40.0000000
811718-3No000
44-80No
Total:0.9%0.90.92.30.50.42.72.70.11.21.10.10.70.50.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 1 Montreal 0 -0.8
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Calgary vs Florida-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs New Jersey-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120380-099000
117361-15050
116351-29010
115352-177617
114342-2696241
113332-3687231
112333-25883102
111323-3451140030
110324-23412480500
109314-323125617010
108304-414116218020
107305-389653100500
106295-436645111900000
105296-3145881111501000
104286-40249129223020000
103287-30138166232030100
102277-4002618424114030000
101278-300161922462507010000
100268-4009171147551130100000
99269-30414014110412103010000
98259-402100031152130040301000
972510-300600201811362507030000
962410-403001019013745112072000
952310-5020041500328311501451000
942311-401011000221321141211130000
932211-500006001214111022420820000
922212-40003005120052212717610000
912112-5001028002213272614510000
902113-40000040001618282413410000
892013-500000200002820272312410000
882014-40000100002920272313510000
871914-5000000000392026231351000
861915-4000000001391926231351000
851815-500000001310202723124000
841816-40000000131122282210200
831716-50000001413263020610
821717-400000161730301320
811617-5000002924352450
801618-4000014163434101
791518-50000192841182
781519-4000042044274
771419-500021341368
761420-40017354314
751320-50004284821
741321-4002214929
731221-5001144738
721222-400094347
711122-50063856
701123-4043264
691023-5022672
681024-4012079
671025-3011584
66925-401188
65926-30892
64826-40595
63827-30496
62727-4298
61728-3199
60628-4199
59629-3199
44-58100
Total:000100220043002046677777788741