Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.004 to 4%
57 points   24 26-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit vs Buffalo+1.5+1.5+1.2-0.5-0.5-1.8
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Columbus+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
Toronto vs NY Islanders+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
New Jersey vs Minnesota-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Florida vs Washington-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Montreal vs NY Rangers+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
103230-0In0.0%101866157,257
102220-1InNo15513453
101221-0InNo54648364*
100211-1InNo02425601,264*
99201-2InNo1336604,464*
98202-1100.0%No023742012,601*
97192-299.8No016795032,653*
96193-199.3No01177121075,181*
95183-297.2No066822300159,965*
94184-191.7No045434810310,654*
93174-280.8No02364317300565,217*
92164-363.9No1204328710951,438*
91165-244.2No093437163001,515,924*
90155-326.0No032239278102,246,765*
89156-212.9No01123235173003,176,736*
88146-35.2No0052237278104,205,812*
87147-21.7No002123136172005,314,507*
86137-30.4No00052138287003,032,499
148-10.5No00052238287003,303,416*
85138-20.1No000212343814103,524,116
127-40.1No000211333815103,690,408*
84128-30.0No00005234225307,769,167*
83129-20.0No00021439378003,850,900
118-40.0No00021339388104,166,209*
82119-30.0No00006304616203,749,502
1210-10.0No00016304516204,083,274*
811110-20.0No0003204825403,488,960
109-40.0No0002194727403,843,465*
801010-30.0No0001114337903,120,668
1111-10.0No0001114336903,397,869*
791011-2OutNo00534441605,541,546*
78911-3OutNo00224472614,480,190*
77912-2OutNo00115453823,464,289*
76812-3OutNo008384952,543,373*
75813-2OutNo004295891,783,288*
74713-3OutNo022063161,182,761*
73714-2OutNo01126225752,693*
72614-3OutNo0075835450,812*
71615-2OutNo045046256,705*
70515-3OutNo024157137,360*
69516-2OutNo01326869,931*
68416-3OutNo0237733,046*
67417-2OutNo0178314,815*
66418-1OutNo10906,230*
65318-2OutNo7932,464*
64319-1OutNo496855*
63219-2OutNo398280*
62220-1OutNo19991*
61120-2OutNo49625*
57-60OutNo1007,252*
Total:4.0%0.0%00001359141922169190,329,314

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPittsburghPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaNY IslandersFloridaNY Rangers
103230-06.0%35381164320000
102220-11.925281321922
101221-06.02126620121051
100211-16.2202232215126000
99201-26.716163271813700000
98202-16.3131223120148000
97192-26.310111332114800000
203-06.01111133211480000
96193-16.111111332114700000
182-36.31112133201470000
95183-26.014141301812600000
172-46.11415129181260000
194-06.013141301913600000
94184-15.718191251510500000
173-35.71819124159400000
162-55.4182022314940000
93174-25.12122217106300000
163-44.92023215106200000
185-05.22022218117300000
152-64.620222159620000
92164-33.919222963100000
175-14.1202221074100000
153-53.818212853100000
91165-22.816181532100000
154-42.615171432100000
176-03.117191632100000
143-62.413161421000000
90155-31.6911121100000
166-11.811121211000000
144-51.49101211000000
133-71.4810111000
89156-20.8560100000000
145-40.7460100000000
167-01.067011000000
134-60.645000000000
88146-30.32200000000
157-10.423000000000
135-50.322000000
87147-20.1110000000
136-40.11100000
158-00.11100000
86137-30.000000000
148-10.00000000
85138-20.00000000
84128-30.00000000
83129-20.000000
82119-3No00
811110-20.000
801111-1No00
57-79No
Total:0.3%1.31.50.10.50.30.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Buffalo-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Florida vs Washington+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs NY Islanders-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Ottawa vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
103230-001009906330150
102220-1211243834
101221-0041033131462
100211-10100202025160
99201-20009203053120
98202-1000316414826200
97192-2000110423544410
96193-1000533195884100
95183-200021376110122000
94184-10103252826521000
93174-200020364397741000
92164-3001020141612126100
91165-200009034311201651000
90155-300003022172027144000
89156-2000101202143026122000
88146-300050162333238100
87147-2002002122832195100
86137-30000004173230133000
148-1000000517323013200
85138-200000182435247100
127-400000172335258100
84128-3000002123034184000
139-1000002133034174000
83129-200001520352810100
118-400001519352910200
82119-300000192736205100
811110-20000417353012200
109-40000316343113200
801010-3000182635237100
791011-2000315323215300
78911-30017243625700
77912-200031432351510
76812-3001624392640
75813-2000214363891
74713-300172846172
73714-20031847284
72614-30011042389
71615-2005324616
70515-302234926
69516-201144838
68416-3084250
67417-2043461
66418-1022672
65318-211980
64319-101486
63219-2892
62220-1397
61120-2496
58-60100
57023-00100
Total:00000000000001030124791214141297410