"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Anaheim 2-3, playoff odds down 5.4 to 25.8%
22 points   9 10-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida 2 Anaheim 3 -5.0
-0.3
-0.3
Detroit 4 St. Louis 3 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs San Jose-0.3*-0.3-0.4*-0.1*+0.2+0.4
Colorado vs Pittsburgh+0.3*+0.2*-0.0*-0.2*+0.0-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs NY Islanders*-0.1-0.5*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Columbus vs Minnesota-0.3*-0.1*-0.1*+0.2*-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116-140InYes100169*
1154410-5In97.7%98243*
1144310-6In95.3971286*
1134311-5In89.89334127*
1124211-6In84.19037232*
1114212-5In78.6853120430*
1104112-6In70.1815140696*
1094113-5In61.47571711,100*
1084013-6In48.965924201,643*
1073913-7In37.4571029402,372*
1063914-6In26.8461236603,574*
1053814-7In17.837143910105,262*
1043815-6In9.126164414107,219*
1033715-7In4.016164519309,827*
1023716-6100.0%1.71014442561013,152*
1013616-799.90.551141321010016,658*
1003617-699.80.12935361530021,649*
993517-799.50.01628382150027,313*
983518-698.7No0321382791033,476*
973418-796.6No021434321530040,233*
963419-691.8No018283223710046,862*
953319-782.3No00520282914300054,551*
943320-668.1No02142031228200061,914*
933220-749.7No01912282816510068,398*
923221-630.9No005620292412410074,231*
913121-716.0No002211242820930078,355*
903122-67.0No011516262717710082,192*
893022-72.6No0000281927251341083,899*
883023-60.7No000131123282192084,251*
872923-70.2No00015152728175183,091*
862924-60.0No0002921302510280,248*
852824-70.0No0001414283118475,924*
842825-6OutNo0028223426870,481*
832725-7OutNo00141532341464,135*
822625-8OutNo002927392258,132*
812626-7OutNo001521423151,139*
802627-6OutNo00315404243,762*
792527-7OutNo00110385236,911*
782528-6OutNo016326130,565*
772428-7OutNo003277024,923*
762429-6OutNo002217719,761*
752329-7OutNo01168315,552*
742330-6OutNo1118812,075*
732230-7OutNo08929,001*
722231-6OutNo05956,600*
712131-7OutNo04964,758*
702132-6OutNo03973,415*
692032-7OutNo2982,456*
682033-6OutNo1991,613*
671933-7OutNo1991,041*
661934-6OutNo0100703*
651834-7OutNo199440*
22-64OutNo100862*
Total:25.8%0.5%114767778991011131,517,502

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupBuffaloTampa BayTorontoWashingtonColumbusBostonNY IslandersCarolinaNY RangersPittsburghMontrealDetroitNew JerseyPhiladelphiaOttawa
140590-05.8%711722677771210645
122498-2NoYes
120478-4NoYes
119479-3NoYes
118469-4No1717331717
117448-710.03010101010101010
116449-613.832110710737731037
1154410-511.621212779257125227
1144310-64.7831457913351473214
1134311-56.3591335146653983310
1124211-68.61312754945241110356
1114212-55.11114114314433497337
1104112-65.51311113515444379335
1094113-55.41311153314443387335
1084013-65.81513153412334386335
1073913-76.11614163313333287325
1063914-66.21616163214332286214
1053814-76.31817172213232286214
1043815-66.21819182214222285214
1033715-76.31919182214222275114
1023716-66.51920182213222275113
1013616-76.42019183313222275113
1003617-66.12019184413222264113
993517-75.91818175412332264113
3416-95.71919165512323254113
983518-66.01818166611333253112
3619-45.81818156511333254112
973418-76.21617157711433343112
3519-55.81717157711343353112
3317-96.11717157710333343112
963419-65.6161514869433342112
3318-85.8161513879433343211
3520-45.9161614779443343112
953319-75.3151412767333332111
3420-55.1151413778333332111
3218-94.8141312767333332111
943320-64.5131210666323222111
3219-84.1121210655332221111
3421-44.0121210656333221111
933220-73.11098544222121111
3119-92.8997544222111101
923221-61.8665322111111000
913121-71.0333111110000000
903122-60.4211111000000000
893022-70.1110000000000000
883023-60.0000000000000000
872923-70.000000000000000
862924-6No00000000
853026-30.000000
22-84No
Total:1.6%4.84.64.11.81.62.60.90.80.80.71.20.80.40.30.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 2 Anaheim 3 +1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs San Jose+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Colorado vs Pittsburgh-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.0
Calgary vs Dallas-0.0*+0.0*+0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.0
Ottawa vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0
Winnipeg vs Chicago-0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116-140100
1154410-5982
1144310-695112
1134311-590334
1124211-684637
1114212-57963120
1104112-670115140
1094113-5611471701
1084013-649169024020
1073913-73720100290040
1063914-627191203420600
1053814-7181914135219010
1043815-69171413842130010
1033715-741213234830190030
1023716-62811328116024106010
1013616-705741913902921100100
1003617-6025411131103042150300
993517-70123511121277402105000
983518-6012171022010702619010
973418-700104731212100293150300
963419-600101435101212662207100
953319-700002316112199272143000
943320-600012037310102742282000
933220-7000101444920827166100
923221-600000131510102524145100
913121-70000002023816262313510000
903122-60001011471725221452000
893022-700000002271724231572100
883023-600000102715222317931000
872923-700000026132023191141000
862924-6000001511192420125100
852824-7000001410192421135100
842825-600141019252213510
832725-70014112126221230
822625-8000151323282081
812626-700016162829164
802627-6000292232268
792527-7001415313415
782528-600029253925
772428-7014184136
762429-60002133847
752329-700173458
742330-600042768
732230-7022176
722231-6011683
712131-7011288
702132-60892
692032-70694
682033-60495
671933-7298
661934-6199
651834-7298
641835-6100
631735-7199
621635-8100
611636-7199
22-60100
Total:0110111031214252555554455555555