Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Calgary 2-4, playoff odds down 8 to 36.2%
66 points   28 22-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Florida 2 Calgary 4 -8.7
-0.5
Carolina 3 Ottawa 0 +0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus vs NY Islanders+1.1+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.9-0.9
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal-0.2-1.2-1.0-0.5-0.6+0.7
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Colorado vs Buffalo+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
New Jersey vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
110220-0In8.9%17830172,327
109210-1In1.769402,580
108211-0In0.7397015,129*
107201-1In0.1198053,516*
106191-2In0.00991181,108*
105192-1In0.009820489,078*
104182-2In0.0096401,250,662*
103183-1In0.009370002,751,250*
102173-2100.0%No0871200005,743,064*
101174-1100.0No07920100010,736,730*
100164-2100.0No068293000019,023,094*
99154-3100.0No55386000030,886,401*
98155-299.9No4145130100047,671,528*
97145-399.3No2748220310068,218,248*
96146-297.4No16433206200093,096,681*
95136-392.2No8344001071000118,730,473*
94137-281.1No322420141540000144,640,319*
93127-362.6No1113501525112000078,582,842
138-164.0No112360152410200086,996,949*
92128-243.2No052601230205100091,394,975
117-440.5No052401130226100089,963,249*
91118-321.7No021406273215300089,123,814
129-123.0No0214072831153000098,106,723*
90119-210.0No007031934269200092,140,711
108-48.9No0060217332811200092,985,386*
89109-32.9No002018263422710082,376,684
1110-13.2No002019263421610090,480,162*
881010-20.8No00100314313216400154,637,347*
87910-30.2No0000162034271120130,697,959*
86911-20.0No000021026352160105,848,506*
85811-30.0No00000416333213280,964,062*
84812-20.0No000017243825559,295,907*
83712-30.0No000031435361140,942,427*
82713-2OutNo0001727442127,045,249*
81613-3OutNo000318463416,784,990*
80614-2OutNo0011042479,955,381*
79514-3OutNo000534615,516,469*
78515-2OutNo00226722,913,161*
77415-3OutNo00118811,427,580*
76416-2OutNo001288666,007*
75417-1OutNo0793283,483*
74317-2OutNo0496115,212*
73318-1OutNo029841,717*
72218-2OutNo29814,454*
71219-1OutNo1994,088*
70119-2OutNo01001,186*
69120-1OutNo100267*
68121-0OutNo29858*
67021-1OutNo10014
66022-0OutNo0100171,853
Total:36.2%0.0%061115051113111086422,073,141,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoNY IslandersBostonBuffaloTampa BayPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
110220-06.3%1142341111131001110
109210-16.6117274310181001000
108211-06.411727450017000100
107201-16.2218284500060000000
106191-26.2218284410050000000
105192-16.2218284410151000000
104182-26.2218284311151000000
103183-16.3217274122252000000
102173-26.3217263843343000000
101174-16.2115243565444010000
163-36.2115233475544110000
100164-26.2113203098736110000
153-46.31132030108736110000
99154-36.2111162313121028110000
165-16.211117241311938110000
98155-26.2181218171512211220000
144-46.3281216181613211220000
166-06.2191319161512210120000
97145-36.236811201815113220000
156-16.226913201814112220000
134-56.235710211915113220000
96146-26.14457222016114230000
135-46.15456222016114230000
157-06.14458222016114230000
95136-35.78334211915013230000
147-15.87334211915014230000
125-55.79333201915013230000
94137-25.110322181713011230000
126-45.011222171613011220000
148-05.310322191714012230000
115-64.811222161512010220000
93127-33.9112211312908220000
138-14.21122114131009220000
116-53.7112211211907220000
92128-22.7821198605110000
117-42.4821187605110000
139-02.7821198605110000
91118-31.4411044302110000
129-11.6511055403110000
107-51.2411044302010000
90119-20.7200022101000000
108-40.520002210100000
89109-30.210001100000000
881010-20.000000000000
871011-10.000000000000
86911-20.000000000000
85912-10.000000000000
84812-20.0000000
83712-3No00
66-82No
Total:2.3%3.81.82.12.77.36.75.20.24.50.81.00.00.00.00.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 2 Calgary 4 +1.3
Carolina 3 Ottawa 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Montreal-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Colorado vs Buffalo-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Columbus vs NY Islanders-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110220-09883100
109210-1249130
108211-013916000
107201-1018810000
106191-20082170010
105192-1007226002000
104182-2006136004000
103183-1004745007000000
102173-20345300121000000
101174-102258001720010000
100164-20125600227003000000
99154-3650002414006000000
98155-2239002224001300010000
97145-312701532002110030100
96146-201608350029300602000
95136-308331003280010071000
94137-203121002714001401540000
93127-30101100171800141251120000
138-1010120018180014124102000
92128-20005081800102302061000
117-40005081700102302261000
91118-30023120052273215400000
90119-20001600111733271120000
108-40001500111532281230000
89109-300002000062233241020000
1110-1000020017233224920000
881010-20001000210253121820000
99-400010019233122920000
87910-30000000311242921920000
86911-2000000031224282193000
85811-3000000131223282192000
84812-20000014122429219200
83712-300001413263019710
82713-2000151629301630
81613-300017203328100
80614-20002112837201
79514-30001418403430
78515-2000110344780
77415-300042556150
76416-20021659240
75417-100956340
74317-20450450
73318-10241560
72218-2133660
71219-1024751
70119-2019792
69120-114824
68121-07849
67021-1793
66022-038314
Total:001500280096004111121086543221000