Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 4.8%
60 points   26 25-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Ottawa 0 Columbus 3 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Florida vs Los Angeles+1.8+1.8+1.6-0.6-0.6-2.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Carolina+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
Columbus vs San Jose-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0*+0.0+0.3
Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh+0.3-0.1-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.2
Toronto vs Montreal+0.3-0.1-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
Buffalo vs Washington-0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs NY Islanders+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
106230-0In0.0%008712022,992
105220-1InNo71272180
104221-0InNo5936501,077*
103211-1InNo43441204,039*
102201-2InNo314720114,264*
101202-1InNo194730339,653*
100192-2100.0%No11424070103,239*
99193-199.8No632481300236,866*
98183-299.0No323512310509,001*
97184-196.1No1144635400979,988*
96174-288.6No083545101001,791,093*
95164-374.1No042248224003,013,682*
94165-254.1No02114134111004,804,402*
93155-333.1No0142841233007,120,912*
92156-216.7No00115383591010,058,037*
91146-36.8No000628441820013,319,410*
90147-22.2No000217443060016,834,963*
89137-30.6No0018374013109,593,186
148-10.6No001837401310010,465,210*
88138-20.1No000326442330011,152,667
127-40.1No000325442440011,694,426*
87128-30.0No000115413480011,782,689
139-10.0No000116413480012,823,078*
86129-20.0No00083442151014,570,982*
118-40.0No0073243161010,814,234*
85119-30.0No000323452630024,814,806*
841110-20.0No00114423660013,188,299*
109-4OutNo0113413870010,051,705*
831010-3OutNo007334613109,887,207
1111-1OutNo0073346131010,753,198*
821011-2OutNo0032249232017,570,314*
81911-3OutNo011346346014,187,941*
80912-2OutNo006374312110,980,618*
79812-3OutNo00326482228,043,879*
78813-2OutNo00116463345,653,908*
77713-3OutNo009394393,747,954*
76714-2OutNo0042950162,379,920*
75614-3OutNo022052261,425,004*
74615-2OutNo01125038813,742*
73515-3OutNo0064350435,934*
72516-2OutNo033562222,201*
71416-3OutNo012573105,038*
70417-2OutNo00188147,369*
69418-1OutNo0128819,357*
68318-2OutNo07937,699*
67319-1OutNo05952,697*
66219-2OutNo298870*
65220-1OutNo199280*
62-64OutNo100106*
60023-0OutNo010022,956
Total:4.8%0.0%0000137142022191041286,113,272

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonNY IslandersTorontoWashingtonMontrealColumbusPittsburghCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroit
106230-06.2%0450440100000
105220-15.6492418
104221-05.5049237181100
103211-16.10447353821000
102201-26.114110305731100
101202-16.4335162576421000
100192-26.47282219105521000
203-06.27282120105521000
99193-16.113212614114632000
182-36.2142127131236320000
98183-26.223142891226320000
172-46.32514287122632000
194-06.2211528101226320000
97184-16.0349266111632000
173-36.0369265101522000
162-56.1388254101521000
96174-25.5455213814210000
163-45.546520280421000
185-05.643522381421000
152-65.447419270421000
95164-34.6482131502110000
175-14.7483141503110000
153-54.548212140211000
94165-23.441171301100000
154-43.24016020100000
176-03.643181301100000
143-63.13916020100000
93155-32.02803010000000
166-12.22913010000000
144-51.92602010000000
133-71.9250201000000
92156-21.11501000000000
145-41.01401000000000
167-01.21701000000000
134-60.9130100000000
91146-30.460000000000
157-10.5700000000000
135-50.460000000000
90147-20.1200000000000
136-40.1200000000
158-00.2300000000
125-60.1200000000
89137-30.0100000000
148-10.0100000000
88138-20.0000000000
87128-30.0000000
86129-20.0000
85119-30.000
841110-20.00
60-83No
Total:0.3%3.40.20.70.10.30.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida vs Los Angeles-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.9
Buffalo vs Washington+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
106230-000077100120
105220-15318272
104221-0371933650
103211-1212030440120
102201-21017404700201
101202-1311514501303
100192-21541381340070
99193-10221252604801300
98183-20111132705102310
97184-100015270460350400
96174-20000115035145010100
95164-3000003021148022400
94165-20000101014103411100
93155-30000000312814123300
92156-2000001114138369100
91146-300000061284419200
90147-2000002116433171000
89137-3000000733401730000
148-100000073439163000
88138-20000002203928920000
127-400000021938291020000
87128-30000000826342182000
139-100000008273421820000
86129-20000213282919720000
118-4000211253021920000
85119-30000313252820820000
841110-2000141425281972000
109-400031123292292000
831010-3000141224292082000
821011-2000141426291861000
910-4000131225302082000
81911-300014142730186100
80912-200001516292916400
79812-3000161932281220
78813-200002924342471
77713-30003133034172
76714-200152137297
75614-300211324015
74615-20005234626
73515-3002144440
72516-20073854
71416-30032968
70417-2012178
69418-101386
68318-20892
67319-10694
66219-2397
65220-1199
62-64100
60023-00100
Total:000000000001030611131198876543210