Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 28.4%
48 points   20 17-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston 0 NY Islanders 4 +0.8
+0.1
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 -0.4
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 -0.4
Detroit 1 Montreal 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary vs Florida-6.0-1.1-1.1+4.3+4.8+4.9
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
St. Louis vs Ottawa+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Buffalo-0.2-0.6-0.5-0.2-0.3+0.5
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Columbus vs Carolina+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3
NY Rangers vs Dallas-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.0+0.3
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122370-0In99.7%100084,248
118-119In94.110017*
117331-3In90.292851*
116332-2In87.9919165*
115322-3In81.787131584*
114323-2In71.5792011,693*
113313-3In62.2712814,214*
112314-2In52.26236211,012*
111304-3In40.652444025,710*
110305-2In29.942535057,177*
109295-3In19.9316080122,467*
108285-4In11.92266120243,184*
107286-3In6.314701600466,193*
106276-4In2.98702110848,507*
105277-3In1.1467281001,477,007*
104267-4In0.3261352002,467,847*
103268-3100.0%0.11534240003,953,229*
102258-4100.00.00444880006,088,074*
101259-3100.00.0035521210009,035,850*
100249-4100.00.002654181000012,908,592*
992410-399.8No01852263100017,789,130*
982310-499.2No012473343100023,670,107*
972311-397.1No073940573000030,434,932*
962211-492.2No430435116100037,844,000*
952111-582.5No22142414134100045,535,251*
942112-467.6No11337315201020000053,031,308*
932012-549.3No0729112241871000059,808,489*
922013-431.4No0320182326144100065,374,979*
911913-517.3No01120417292310200069,240,537*
901914-48.3No0060210252919710071,128,644*
891814-53.4No0030051729271441070,859,950*
881815-41.3No0010029223123102068,485,329*
871715-50.4No0000004142730185164,201,356*
861716-40.1No000001720322711258,404,920*
851616-50.0No00000312273320451,562,825*
841617-40.0No0000016203529944,162,346*
831517-50.0No0000021231371736,721,127*
821518-40.0No00001724422629,610,749*
811418-50.0No0000317423823,171,563*
801419-4OutNo000110385017,593,628*
791319-5OutNo0006336112,952,491*
781320-4OutNo000326719,240,688*
771220-5OutNo00219796,392,579*
761221-4OutNo00114864,289,224*
751121-5OutNo009902,784,398*
741122-4OutNo006941,749,851*
731123-3OutNo004961,063,004*
721023-4OutNo00298625,836*
711024-3OutNo0199356,577*
70924-4OutNo0199195,240*
69925-3OutNo199103,476*
68825-4OutNo010052,841*
67826-3OutNo010025,865*
66726-4OutNo010012,104*
65727-3OutNo01005,542*
48-64OutNo10088,173*
Total:28.4%0.0%0381314791010109971,016,364,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonPhiladelphiaTampa BayBuffaloDetroitNY IslandersNew Jersey
122370-06.3%223613771661232497
119351-1No333333
118341-27.17217771414714
117331-37.844424461881024482
116332-24.832211138101610721255
115322-36.7334814671761232266
114323-25.7333915771561133376
113313-36.33431018761461132265
112314-26.44431119761551032365
111304-36.1442122076145922254
110305-26.2552122177135822254
109295-36.2552142277125822243
108285-46.1663142287115722243
107286-36.2663142298105622232
106276-46.3664132110995622232
105277-36.36651320111186532232
104267-46.35561118131277432222
103268-36.34481015151467432321
102258-46.2449813171658343321
101259-36.23311710191849243311
100249-46.23213582120310253411
992410-36.22215462221211154410
982310-46.22217342222211154400
229-66.22217342222211154400
972311-36.13317232221111154400
2210-56.13317232221111154400
962211-45.84417222019110054400
2110-65.74517222019010054400
2312-25.84417222019110054400
952111-55.1561521171608043300
2212-35.2551521171709043300
2010-75.1551421171608043300
942112-44.2561221141307043300
2011-64.1561121131306033200
2213-24.3561221141307043300
932012-53.0458219905022200
2113-33.14582110905032200
922013-42.0335106603021100
912014-31.1123104302011100
901914-40.5011002201000000
891915-30.2001001100000000
881815-40.1000000000000000
871816-30.000000000000000
861716-40.000000000000
851717-30.000000000000
841617-40.0000000000
831618-30.000000000
821619-20.0000000
811317-70.000
48-80No
Total:1.8%1.51.74.51.01.05.95.70.32.90.21.41.11.10.10.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 0 NY Islanders 4 -0.1
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 +0.0
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Florida+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122370-010000
119351-1100
118341-2937
117331-39028
116332-28839
115322-3825131
114323-2727201
113313-362828010
112314-25210360200
111304-341114403000
110305-230125305010
109295-3201260070100
108285-4121065190300
107286-3686721006000
106276-436654111100100
105277-31360710117010000
104267-40250108225020100
103268-301391462340301000
102258-40028163242140400000
101259-300181712472507010000
100249-40010161148450130100000
992410-3051300438412102010000
982310-402100033132130040301000
972311-301600221711371507030000
962211-403001218013844111061000
952111-5020051600348311401341000
942112-4010211002412211412010200000
932012-500007001415111022419710000
922013-40000300614006222261551000
911913-50010210002215282412310000
901914-40000160001720282210310000
891814-5000003000021022272110310000
881815-400001000003122226201031000
871715-50000000014122226201141000
861716-40000000014122226211131000
851616-500000001412222721103000
841617-4000000015132428208100
831517-50000001616272817500
821518-4000000282031271110
811418-50000031227342040
801419-400001518353191
791319-500002113039162
781320-4000152243254
771220-500021542347
761221-40019374212
751121-50004304718
741122-4002224926
731123-3001164935
721023-4000104544
711024-30074153
70924-4043561
69925-3022969
68825-4012376
67826-311882
66726-401486
65727-301089
64627-40793
63628-3595
62528-4397
61529-3496
60429-4298
57-59100
48037-00100
Total:001100440084103168877665554310