Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.0008 to 0.1%
28 points   13 29-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado vs San Jose+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0*No*No*No*NoNo

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
104380-0In0.6%391144703,889
99-100InNo1002*
98353-0InNo50504*
97332-3InNo8771513*
96333-2InNo21542639*
95323-3InNo1059293104*
94324-299.1%No07553161327*
93314-398.2No448341320740*
92315-293.6No33732216001,736*
91305-387.3No1283028102003,477*
90295-473.0No1192133196107,301*
89296-353.4No0111230301330014,364*
88286-435.5No07623322381026,786*
87287-320.0No033143031164047,096*
86277-49.7No021723332591079,470*
85278-34.0No1031431321630130,795*
84268-41.3No001723352670206,109*
83269-30.4No0003153335140312,526*
82259-40.1No000182640231454,997*
812510-30.0No00041841343641,229*
802410-40.0No00021137445871,771*
792310-50.0No00016315491,146,268*
782311-40.0No00032360141,457,346*
772211-5OutNo0011662211,795,999*
762212-4OutNo011061292,139,035*
752112-5OutNo00657372,474,632*
742113-4OutNo00351452,770,941*
732013-5OutNo0245543,008,155*
722014-4OutNo0138623,174,881*
711914-5OutNo00031693,245,402*
701915-4OutNo0025753,221,082*
691815-5OutNo0019813,105,849*
681816-4OutNo015852,906,208*
671716-5OutNo011892,637,905*
661717-4OutNo08922,328,709*
651617-5OutNo05951,996,258*
641618-4OutNo04961,660,293*
631518-5OutNo02981,342,945*
621519-4OutNo02981,053,536*
611419-5OutNo0199802,956*
601420-4OutNo0199594,240*
591320-5OutNo0100425,991*
581321-4OutNo0100296,626*
571221-5OutNo0100199,200*
561222-4OutNo0100130,617*
551122-5OutNo010082,829*
541123-4OutNo010050,997*
531023-5OutNo010030,502*
521024-4OutNo010017,213*
511025-3OutNo01009,754*
28-50OutNo10014,196*
Total:0.1%0.0%0000000125296346,923,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonNashvilleSt. LouisLos AngelesCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizona
104380-05.7%1532223157555350
99-100NoYes
98353-050.0Yes
97332-3No315488
96333-22.62349510383
95323-33.8254410828211
94324-27.619461196510011
93314-36.4253714973200001
92315-25.5283212893000001
304-45.1253411973101000
91305-35.3252813962100100
294-56.42827138521000
316-14.9322613104220000
90295-45.2262110852100000
306-24.9262213851000000
284-64.4251911662000000
317-05.52818984111
89296-33.421168531000000
285-52.61914953100000
307-13.722169531000000
274-73.719148631000000
88286-42.415105320000000
297-22.416106320000000
275-61.91395321000000
308-03.6161354210
264-82.213853200
87287-31.2963210000000
276-51.195321000000
298-11.4106321000000
265-71.074211000
86277-40.653110000000
288-20.653110000000
266-60.54211000
299-00.8541110
85278-30.3211000000
267-50.22100000000
289-10.321000000
256-70.111000000
84268-40.1100000000
279-20.110000000
257-60.1100000
83269-30.000000000
258-50.00000000
2710-10.00000000
82259-40.00000000
81249-50.0000000
802410-40.000000
792310-5No000
782311-4No0
28-77No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs San Jose-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104380-01388393500520
99-100100
98353-05050
97332-3869888
96333-283104681015
95323-3118381292273
94324-20115271711328421
93314-3041617151336710
92315-20038821131714421
91305-3001442003042464200
90295-411216212317973100
89296-3000101212951114105200
88286-400076023271517147210
87287-30003301403917211693100
86277-40021070139182319114100
85278-3010300139182421135100
84268-400100013918252314510
83269-300000013918262414410
82259-40000001392028241230
812510-300000131123312380
802410-40000014153033161
792310-500000172238284
782311-40000031335408
772211-50017285014
762212-400003205422
752112-5001135531
742113-400075141
732013-50044551
722014-40023959
711914-50013267
701915-4002574
691815-5002080
681816-4001585
671716-5001189
661717-40892
651617-50694
641618-40496
631518-50397
621519-40298
611419-50199
601420-40199
591320-50100
581321-40100
571221-50100
561222-40100
551122-50100
541123-40100
531023-50100
521024-40100
511025-30100
50925-40100
49926-30100
28-48100
Total:00000000000000000000000011372661