Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance of Direct PlayoffChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIFriday
Tappara83223-67-240100.0%100.0%66239200000000001.5+0.011Tappara
KalPaLTPS 2-3 (so)79120-66-724100.099.8-0.02242277200000000002.3-0.072KalPa
TPSWKalPa 3-2 (so)76119-78-535100.0+0.099.3+0.211294113410000000002.8+0.073TPS
HPKWKarpat 3-2 (ot)67114-1010-52499.2+0.386.3+2.214133621127421000004.8+0.124HPK
HIFK60214-713-4494.8+0.160.3+0.1014162118141064211006.35at JYPHIFK
Pelicans60115-615-3692.8+0.252.3+0.1003121919161285321106.76Pelicans
Assat56215-416-3-1386.4+0.337.4-0.0001713161614118642117.6+0.017at LukkoAssat
JYP56212-612-8284.5+0.334.3+0.0001612151614119643217.8+0.018HIFKJYP
KarpatLHPK 2-3 (ot)51112-517-5-652.6-2.88.7-1.900013581013131312108410.2-0.2110Karpat
Ilves50112-417-6-1046.6+0.66.5-0.000012469121313131210610.6+0.029Ilves
JukuritWSport 4-3 (ot)5113-318-6-1244.2+3.15.6+0.400002369111314141210610.8+0.1911Jukurit
KooKoo47210-516-7-2235.8+0.54.1+0.000001347911131414141011.3+0.0212SaiPaKooKoo
SportLJukurit 3-4 (ot)5011-416-9-2435.3-3.23.7-1.00000124791213141513911.3-0.2014Sport
SaiPa45111-319-6-2519.4+0.41.3+0.00000012358101316202112.5+0.0215at KooKooSaiPa
Lukko4218-619-6-238.5+0.20.3+0.000000011246913214213.5+0.0113AssatLukko

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Jukurit 4 Sport 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Pelicans*+0.1
Assat+0.2
JYP*+0.2
Karpat*+0.1
Ilves+0.2
Jukurit+2.4
+0.3
+0.2
KooKoo*+0.1
Sport-3.5
-1.1
-0.2
SaiPa+0.2
Karpat 2 HPK 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
HPK+0.4
+2.2
+0.1
HIFK+0.1
Pelicans+0.1
*-0.1
Assat*+0.1
*-0.1
JYP+0.2
*-0.1
Karpat-3.0
-1.9
-0.2
Ilves+0.5
+0.0
Jukurit+0.4
+0.0
KooKoo+0.4
+0.0
Sport+0.4
+0.0
SaiPa+0.3
Lukko+0.1
TPS 3 KalPa 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
KalPa-0.1
TPS+0.3
+0.1
Pelicans*+0.1
JYP-0.2
Friday
KooKoo vs SaiPaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
HPK86.2*86.3*86.386.486.486.5
HIFK94.794.9*94.894.994.994.9
60.1*60.4*60.460.560.560.5
Pelicans92.7*92.892.992.992.992.9
52.1*52.3*52.352.552.552.5
Assat86.286.486.486.586.586.5
37.2*37.4*37.437.537.537.5
JYP84.384.584.684.684.684.6
34.1*34.3*34.334.434.434.5
Karpat52.252.752.753.053.052.9
8.7*8.7*8.78.88.88.8
Ilves46.246.746.747.047.046.9
6.4*6.5*6.56.56.56.5
Jukurit43.8*44.2*44.244.544.644.5
KooKoo44.638.038.032.532.527.3
6.14.34.33.23.22.3
10.711.211.211.511.511.9
Sport34.935.435.435.635.535.5
SaiPa12.916.616.620.720.726.3
0.60.90.91.41.42.1
13.012.712.712.412.411.9
Lukko8.3*8.5*8.58.68.68.6
JYP vs HIFKHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
HPK86.3*86.4*86.4*86.486.486.4
HIFK92.394.394.395.895.897.2
50.857.457.463.463.469.8
6.86.56.56.16.15.8
Pelicans92.792.792.792.8*92.892.9
*52.352.452.452.552.452.2
Assat86.286.386.3*86.486.486.6
37.437.537.5*37.4*37.437.2
JYP89.686.486.483.183.179.2
43.636.736.730.930.825.2
7.27.67.68.08.08.4
Karpat52.352.452.4*52.7*52.753.1
8.88.88.8*8.8*8.88.6
Ilves46.246.446.446.7*46.747.0
6.66.66.6*6.5*6.56.4
Jukurit43.843.944.0*44.2*44.244.6
KooKoo35.435.635.635.9*35.936.2
4.14.24.24.14.24.1
Sport34.935.135.135.3*35.335.7
SaiPa19.119.219.2*19.4*19.419.7
Lukko8.38.48.4*8.58.58.6
Lukko vs AssatHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
TPS99.499.399.399.399.399.2
HPK87.286.686.786.186.185.5
HIFK61.860.960.959.959.958.8
6.36.36.36.36.36.4
Pelicans92.892.892.8*92.8*92.892.7
53.953.052.951.952.050.6
6.76.76.76.86.86.8
Assat81.585.185.188.188.191.1
29.634.434.439.339.345.3
8.17.87.87.47.47.1
JYP84.684.5*84.5*84.5*84.584.4
35.734.834.833.933.932.8
7.77.87.87.87.87.8
Karpat52.852.852.8*52.7*52.752.4
9.39.09.08.68.68.2
Ilves46.8*46.746.7*46.6*46.646.4
6.96.76.76.46.46.0
Jukurit44.444.344.3*44.2*44.244.0
6.05.85.85.55.55.2
KooKoo36.035.935.9*35.8*35.835.6
4.44.24.24.04.03.8
Sport35.435.435.3*35.3*35.235.1
3.93.83.83.63.63.4
SaiPa19.519.519.5*19.4*19.419.2
1.41.41.41.31.31.2
Lukko12.29.08.96.86.85.1
0.60.30.30.20.20.1
13.113.413.413.713.713.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.