Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.5 to 10.7%
62 points   26 24-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Anaheim 5 Boston 3 +0.6
Florida 3 Edmonton 4 +0.6
Philadelphia 1 Washington 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto vs NY Rangers-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Los Angeles vs Boston+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Tampa Bay vs Calgary-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Montreal vs NY Islanders+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
106220-0In0.2%29620109,484
105210-1InNo09641,750
104211-0InNo092809,497*
103201-1InNo086130033,844*
102191-2InNo07920100114,446*
101192-1InNo6929200310,171*
100182-2100.0%No57385000793,150*
99183-1100.0No44451100001,747,346*
98173-299.9No31491902003,646,497*
97174-199.3No194729141006,820,865*
96164-297.1No10393819300012,083,748*
95154-391.2No528421168100019,625,229*
94155-279.0No21740020164000030,279,205*
93145-360.1No18310202611200043,337,469*
92146-238.4No032001532227100059,132,760*
91136-318.9No011008283217400035,544,849
147-120.3No011009283116400039,864,440*
90137-28.4No0040419332711200047,238,177
126-47.3No0040317322812200044,633,697*
89127-32.3No001018243423710049,912,408
138-12.5No001019253422710055,250,445*
88128-20.6No0000031430321640078,022,221*
117-40.4No000021229331950037,160,729*
87118-30.1No00015183429122078,900,625*
129-10.1No00001621342791040,009,745
86119-20.0No00002102735215058,515,878
108-40.0No0000192536236059,051,052*
85109-30.0No0000315343313254,960,852*
1110-10.0No00000316343213254,806,142*
841010-20.0No000018263823448,677,735
99-40.0No000017243925549,528,980*
83910-3OutNo00021536351141,562,896*
1011-10.0No000031537351041,442,715*
82911-2OutNo0001729432067,249,887*
81811-3OutNo000319453251,431,734*
80812-2OutNo000111424537,676,282*
79712-3OutNo0006355926,012,882*
78713-2OutNo0003277117,184,125*
77613-3OutNo001198010,663,449*
76614-2OutNo0012876,323,414*
75514-3OutNo008923,505,088*
74515-2OutNo004961,850,717*
73415-3OutNo0298906,982*
72416-2OutNo0199424,119*
71417-1OutNo0199179,842*
70317-2OutNo010072,950*
69318-1OutNo010026,495*
68218-2OutNo01009,158*
67219-1OutNo01002,619*
62-66OutNo100110,090*
Total:10.7%0.0%01250379111314141281,316,758,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoFloridaNY IslandersBostonTampa BayPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
106220-06.5%119412821114100000
105210-15.511935332211310100
104211-06.6118353142213100000
103201-16.1117323054323200000
102191-26.1116292876433310000
101192-16.21142525108532410000
100182-26.311120211412752510000
193-06.211120211411752510000
99183-16.31916171715962710000
172-36.318141618161071710000
98173-26.226111220181181820000
184-06.227121220181171820000
162-46.22691121191281820000
97174-16.2357823201291920000
163-36.2446723211391920000
152-56.2546723211391920000
96164-26.1734523211390920000
153-46.0834422211390930000
175-06.16355232113901020000
142-66.0933422201390930000
95154-35.71233320191180830000
165-15.81133321191290920000
143-55.51333219181180830000
94155-25.0153221715970720000
144-44.8153221614970620000
166-05.21532218161070720000
133-64.5153221413860620000
93145-33.7143211110650420000
156-14.0153211211750520000
134-53.414321109540410000
92146-22.51121176430310000
135-42.21021166320210000
157-02.81222187430310000
124-61.9921155320210000
91136-31.2611033210100000
147-11.4711144210110000
125-51.0511032110100000
90137-20.5310011100000000
126-40.4200011100000
148-00.73100221101000
89127-30.1100000000000
138-10.2100011000000
116-50.100000000000
88128-20.000000000000
87129-10.000000000000
86119-20.000000000000
851110-10.000000000000
841010-20.000000000
831011-1No00
62-82No
Total:0.7%2.10.60.50.42.12.01.10.80.00.80.30.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 5 Boston 3 -0.1
Florida 3 Edmonton 4 -0.1
Philadelphia 1 Washington 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Boston-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106220-00289810100
105210-107718004
104211-006626007000
103201-10513500130000
102191-2037420019100100
101192-123460026300200
100182-21344003070050000
99183-16380031140010000000
98173-22280026230018000200
97174-111801730002811040100
96164-201009300035210903000
95154-305324003661016081000
94155-202116002911002001640000
93145-301080017130020126112000
92146-20003081200141322271000
91136-300128007228311740000
90137-20001400211832281120000
126-40001300211631291330000
89127-30000100017223324920000
88128-20000000210253221820000
87118-30000000312263019720000
86119-2000000141427281872000
108-4000000031225292082000
85109-3000000141426281972000
1110-100000141426281872000
841010-20000015152728176100
99-40000014142628197100
83910-30001516282817510
1011-100001616282816510
82911-20001719302713300
81811-3000029233324810
80812-2000031330341720
79712-30001620383060
78713-20002113341120
77613-300052448220
76614-200021548350
75514-3001843480
74515-200435600
73415-300226711
72416-20118792
71417-10012853
70317-207875
69318-104879
68218-228414
67219-117821
66119-207128
65120-17030
64121-04258
63021-17822
62022-003961
Total:00000002003200306810109988764310