"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Toronto 3-4, playoff odds down 4.3 to 11.5%
43 points   17 18-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Toronto 4 Buffalo 3 -4.7
-0.3
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 -0.5
Calgary 5 Florida 2 +0.4
Columbus 4 Carolina 1 +0.3
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 +0.2
Minnesota 3 New Jersey 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit vs Boston+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2
Edmonton vs Florida+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Montreal vs Pittsburgh-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119380-0In98.2%9910171,059
116361-1InYes1005*
115351-2In73.3871315*
114352-1In72.57524251*
113342-2In69.57724200*
112332-3In55.265341669*
111333-2In44.0554321,950*
110323-3In33.0445245,264*
109324-2In23.034606013,489*
108314-3In14.424679031,883*
107304-4In8.0167113073,136*
106305-3In3.810721800158,367*
105295-4In1.55702410322,525*
104296-3In0.536431200626,617*
103286-4In0.1157384001,164,281*
102287-3100.0%0.004845700002,071,710*
101277-4100.00.0038491210003,523,333*
100278-3100.00.0028521820005,762,603*
99268-499.90.00205126310009,057,733*
98269-399.3No013463353100013,714,078*
97259-497.6No07384067200020,014,317*
962510-393.2No0429437116100028,187,535*
952410-484.1No22041616124000038,352,173*
942310-569.4No112364171992000050,420,191*
932311-450.7No062721525176100064,143,168*
922211-532.0No03181102526134100078,966,909*
912212-417.3No01110519292210200094,170,995*
902112-58.0No00602112529187100108,824,037*
892113-43.2No00201517292714410121,889,971*
882013-51.1No00100292230231020132,380,149*
872014-40.3No00000141427301861139,542,168*
861914-50.1No0000017193127122142,710,481*
851915-40.0No0000003112633215141,688,057*
841815-50.0No000001519343010136,539,349*
831816-40.0No000000211303818127,765,104*
821716-50.0No0000016224229116,109,307*
811717-40.0No000003154141102,444,405*
801617-50.0No000019375387,793,373*
791618-4OutNo00005306573,061,624*
781518-5OutNo0002237459,060,262*
771519-4OutNo0001178246,341,407*
761419-5OutNo000128835,295,833*
751420-4OutNo00089226,110,061*
741320-5OutNo0059518,725,414*
731321-4OutNo0039713,036,920*
721221-5OutNo002988,798,821*
711222-4OutNo01995,761,189*
701122-5OutNo01993,651,675*
691123-4OutNo001002,244,947*
681023-5OutNo01001,332,364*
671024-4OutNo0100767,830*
661025-3OutNo0100426,408*
65925-4OutNo0100228,016*
64926-3OutNo0100118,452*
63826-4OutNo010058,669*
62827-3OutNo010028,669*
61727-4OutNo010013,221*
60728-3OutNo01005,797*
59628-4OutNo01002,580*
58629-3OutNo01001,061*
43-57OutNo100171,663*
Total:11.5%0.0%01361246810111316202,063,883,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusWashingtonMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonPhiladelphiaFloridaTampa BayDetroitNY IslandersNew Jersey
119380-06.2%324813771871233266
116361-1No20204020
115351-26.771340137777
114352-19.84641018810410126244
113342-25.05521319451171324354
112332-37.54331217681561023243
111333-26.9433131968154932244
110323-36.3533132176145932244
109324-26.9543132277125822244
108314-36.4543142277125722133
107304-46.2554142288115722133
106305-36.365414229995622133
105295-46.35551320101196522222
104296-36.25471218121287532222
103286-46.24481016141477433222
102287-36.33310914161658333221
101277-46.23312711181849343211
100278-36.22215582020310244311
99268-46.22217462121210244311
98269-36.22218342222210154300
97259-46.13319232122110154300
2610-26.13319232122110154300
962510-35.95419222020110054300
249-55.8551822202009044300
238-75.8551822202009044300
952410-45.3661621171708044300
239-65.2761621161607043200
2511-25.3661621171708044300
942411-34.5761321141406033200
2310-54.3761221131306033200
229-74.2761221131306033200
932311-43.2659219904022100
2210-63.0658219904022100
2412-23.36592191004022100
922312-32.1446106603011100
2211-51.9435106603011100
2110-71.9435106602011100
912212-41.1223103301011000
902213-30.5111002201000000
892113-40.2001001100000000
882114-30.1000000000000000
872014-40.0000000000000000
862015-30.000000000000
851915-40.000000000000
841916-30.000000000000
831816-40.0000000000
821817-30.00000000
811818-20.0000
801819-1No0
43-79No
Total:0.7%0.90.82.00.40.32.32.30.11.10.10.50.50.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto 4 Buffalo 3 +1.1
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 +0.1
Calgary 5 Florida 2 -0.1
Minnesota 3 New Jersey 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Florida-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119380-098010
116361-1100
115351-2731313
114352-1732242
113342-270724
112332-35510341
111333-2441143020
110323-33311520300
109324-223115905010
108314-314106617020
107304-48969280400
106305-3466841018000
105295-414637101140100
104296-30254118221020000
103286-40142146230030100
102287-30030174238140300000
101277-400191922442507010000
100278-3001118114645012020000
99268-40051501418512003010000
98269-302110032133129040301000
97259-40170021171136160702000
962510-3004001118013836111061000
952410-4020051500347511501240000
942310-50101100025113116119920000
932311-40000600141311132251761000
922211-500003006120173232614410000
912212-40010029003216282411310000
902112-50000150011821282110310000
892113-4000002000131123272010310000
882013-500001000014122226201031000
872014-400000000141222262011410000
861914-50000000014122126211141000
851915-40000000001412222721103000
841815-5000000015132428208200
831816-400000001515272917500
821716-5000000271931281110
811717-400000031126352140
801617-5000001518363280
791618-400002103041151
781518-5000152345243
771519-400021544336
761419-500018394110
751420-40004324716
741320-50002245023
731321-4001175032
721221-5000124741
711222-40084250
701122-50053759
691123-4033067
681023-50022474
671024-4011980
661025-3001485
65925-4001090
64926-30793
63826-40595
62827-30397
61727-40298
60728-3199
59628-4199
58629-3199
43-57100
Total:000000110032002045666677889952