New York Rangers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Columbus 0-2, playoff odds down 5.9 to 37.4%
20 points   9 9-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 2 NY Rangers 0 -5.9
-0.4
-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Chicago-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Washington vs Minnesota-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Philadelphia vs Calgary-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.1*+0.0+0.5
Tampa Bay vs NY Islanders+0.4*-0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.3
Winnipeg vs New Jersey+0.4+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2
San Jose vs Boston+0.3*+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3
Ottawa vs Arizona-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.3
Los Angeles vs Florida+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Montreal vs Toronto+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120-144InYes1005,350*
1194710-5In98.6%991583*
1184610-6In98.19911,021*
1174611-5In97.398201,812*
1164511-6In95.096313,277*
1154512-5In92.795415,704*
1144412-6In89.993519,571*
1134312-7In85.99172015,561*
1124313-6In81.08893024,938*
1114213-7In73.583134038,913*
1104214-6In65.278166059,130*
1094114-7In55.5712090088,509*
1084115-6In45.163241200127,466*
1074015-7In34.155281610181,863*
1064016-6In23.745322120252,731*
1053916-7In14.9363526300344,128*
1043917-6In8.1273632500459,904*
1033817-7100.0%3.81835378100600,304*
1023818-6100.01.412334112200768,743*
1013718-7100.00.472944183000963,687*
1003719-6100.00.13234324610001,180,513*
993619-799.90.011740301020001,428,450*
983519-899.60.011235341530001,686,268*
973520-798.8No0728362071001,951,208*
963420-896.7No042135241230002,217,421*
953421-791.9No0214312619710002,472,959*
943321-882.7No01825232513410002,708,306*
933322-767.9No00518172721920002,906,188*
923222-849.4No021211242716610003,063,590*
913223-730.9No017518272413410003,164,121*
903123-816.3No0042102228211030003,218,332*
893124-77.1No002151425271872003,207,877*
883024-82.6No001028192825144103,137,982*
873025-70.8No000003112329229203,018,589*
862925-80.2No000001515272817512,847,072*
852926-70.1No00000292131251022,637,607*
842826-80.0No00000141428311742,397,543*
832827-70.0No000002823342672,144,904*
822727-80.0No000014163334131,879,692*
812728-7OutNo0002102839201,623,319*
802628-8OutNo000162242291,370,776*
792629-70.0No000031642391,140,281*
782529-8OutNo001113949929,571*
772530-7OutNo00173459746,133*
762430-8OutNo00042867586,397*
752431-7OutNo00022375454,200*
742331-8OutNo0011781344,608*
732332-7OutNo011386256,300*
722232-8OutNo001090186,964*
712233-7OutNo00793134,173*
702133-8OutNo0059594,886*
692134-7OutNo039765,348*
682034-8OutNo029844,751*
672035-7OutNo019929,302*
662036-6OutNo19919,296*
651936-7OutNo19912,437*
641836-8OutNo01007,715*
631837-7OutNo01004,830*
621838-6OutNo01002,903*
611738-7OutNo01001,693*
601739-6OutNo1001,018*
591639-7OutNo0100580*
20-58OutNo1005,450*
Total:37.4%0.8%24810677888888759,284,748

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNew JerseyTorontoColumbusOttawaNY IslandersPittsburghDetroitCarolinaWashingtonBostonPhiladelphiaFloridaMontrealBuffalo
144620-05.6%38596101078967553
127516-516.73317171717
126506-6No20402020
125518-3NoYes
124508-4No772121147777
123498-512.16661515612126393
122499-47.2212481076885521084
121489-56.32837891189479644
120479-68.1112475111358666375
1194710-55.828510689691048662
1184610-64.3211610691059958543
1174611-56.9211685101059859553
1164511-65.928510691159958553
1154512-56.129595111059868453
1144412-66.4295105111069958453
1134312-76.2295105101168958543
1124313-66.62105105101059958543
1114213-76.22105105101169958443
1104214-66.32105115101059958443
1094114-76.12105115101159858443
1084115-66.32114115111159958442
1074015-76.32114125111159848442
1064016-66.22124124121249948332
1053916-76.22134134121249948332
1043917-66.32143144121249938332
1033817-76.32153143131339938221
1023818-66.22153143131339938221
1013718-76.32163153131339928221
1003719-66.23163152141329928221
993619-76.24173152141329928111
983519-86.25173152141329818111
973520-76.27173152131329817110
963420-86.010163143121228717110
953421-75.712154123111127616110
943321-85.1141341139926515110
933322-74.214114827714414110
923323-63.11283625513312000
913223-71.9852313312101000
903224-61.0521212101101000
893124-70.4210101100000000
883125-60.2100000000000000
873025-70.1000000000000000
863026-60.0000000000000000
852926-70.0000000000000000
842927-60.000000000000000
832827-70.00000000000
822828-60.000000
80-81No
792629-7No0
20-78No
Total:2.3%4.35.91.55.01.24.54.40.82.92.70.72.40.50.50.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 2 NY Rangers 0 +1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Winnipeg vs New Jersey-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Chicago+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Washington vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120-144100
1194710-5991
1184610-69801
1174611-597120
1164511-695131
1154512-593241
1144412-690351
1134312-78657020
1124313-681790300
1114213-7739130400
1104214-665121606000
1094114-7551620090000
1084115-64518240120000
1074015-7342127115001000
1064016-624223021911200
1053916-715213232321030000
1043917-68193152543050000
1033817-7415288257508001000
1023818-6110221122109012002000
1013718-70616131714130161130000
1003719-60310131015161193206010000
993619-701512514183206409020000
983519-8012921117617107014130000
973520-7016061291114110183701000
963420-8004037105141421961203000
953421-70020139211144161017271000
943321-800100170611710142051341000
933322-700000403694131710191031000
923222-8000020138110101421189310000
913223-700010016054141622189310000
903123-800000030219818231911410000
893124-7000002010429182320136200000
883024-8000010002038172222157310000
873025-700000000012715222317931000
862925-8000000000026142123181041000
852926-7000000002613212419103100
842826-80000000026132225199300
832827-700000002615242618720
822727-8000000271727261540
812728-7000001310223024101
802628-8000015142831183
792629-700000282234277
782529-80001415333513
772530-7000029284120
762430-800015224429
752431-70002154438
742331-8001104148
732332-700163657
722232-80043165
712233-70022672
702133-8012178
692134-7011783
682034-801387
672035-70990
662036-60793
651936-70595
641836-80496
631837-7397
621838-6298
611738-7199
601739-6199
591639-7199
581640-6199
571540-7199
20-56100
Total:1122223232323343444444444444443