New York Rangers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 17.1%
49 points   21 20-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago 8 Washington 5 +0.4
NY Islanders 3 Anaheim 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Carolina+0.5*+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4
Toronto vs Arizona-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Florida vs San Jose-0.2*-0.1*-0.3*+0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
117340-0In87.0%8713154
112312-1In50.050502
111313-0In50.075254*
110303-1In50.050506*
109293-2In15.0208020*
108283-3In14.620681241*
107284-2In3.410721787*
106274-3In1.4770221210*
105275-2In0.94642830430*
104265-3In0.32533871876*
103255-4InNo144441011,626*
102256-3InNo0344618202,867*
101246-4InNo0254624504,844*
100247-3100.0%No01543329107,977*
99237-499.9No0935391520012,540*
98238-399.5No526412260018,909*
97228-498.4No31839271210027,456*
96229-394.8No11134292051038,053*
95219-487.1No062626281120050,570*
942110-374.1No031819342051064,857*
932010-455.8No0111123230122080,926*
922011-336.9No006625352250096,096*
911911-420.5No003215343212200110,638*
901912-39.6No00118263821500123,553*
891812-43.7No000316373210100133,237*
881813-31.2No0019293819400139,380*
871713-40.3No0004193828910057,564
1814-20.3No0000419382991082,458*
861714-30.1No00111323517300136,713*
851614-40.0No005233726810129,771*
841615-30.0No0021433331530117,322*
831515-4OutNo01725362471104,098*
821516-3OutNo0316343213288,685*
811416-4OutNo019273721474,240*
801417-3OutNo004193731959,418*
791317-4OutNo0021133391545,615*
781318-3OutNo01625432534,046*
771218-4OutNo0317443624,740*
761219-3OutNo00111404717,741*
751119-4OutNo016345911,949*
741120-3OutNo0327697,926*
731020-4OutNo0219794,843*
721021-3OutNo114853,036*
71921-4OutNo09911,829*
70922-3OutNo0595990*
69822-4OutNo0396534*
68823-3OutNo199272*
67824-2OutNo100120*
66724-3OutNo29860*
49-65OutNo100219*
Total:17.1%0.0%00244710131514129631,919,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoColumbusWashingtonBostonPittsburghMontrealBuffaloCarolinaFloridaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyOttawaDetroit
117340-07.1%5810189131297631
112312-1NoYes
111313-0No255025
110303-1No333333
109293-215.0515155355155
108283-34.9105202221510107
107284-25.7138172181558221
106274-36.7134202041977310
105275-25.6156201941876320
104265-36.701831919618664100
103255-46.0018321214176441000
102256-37.4020324214174320000
101246-45.5122223213183230000
100247-36.1223123222202130000
99237-46.4325124211191130000
248-26.632512322117113000
98238-36.37261222011811300000
227-56.47261232011711300000
97228-46.212261211901510200000
239-26.1122612118115102000
217-66.1132512018116112000
96229-36.11924118160130020000
218-56.0202311815013002000
2310-16.118251191711410200000
95219-45.6262011412010001000
2210-25.72620115130110010000
208-65.42720114120100010000
942110-34.73115110907001000
209-54.730141108070010000
2211-14.83115110908001000
198-74.83114110807001000
932010-43.629916504001000
2111-23.5291017604001000
199-63.329916504001000
922011-32.32351330200000
1910-52.22251330200000
2112-12.323614303000000
189-72.12051330200000
911911-41.313201101000000
2012-21.415302101000000
1810-61.213211101000000
901912-30.6710010000000
1811-50.6710110000000
891812-40.230000000000
881813-30.1100000000000
871713-40.0000000000
861714-30.0000000
851513-6No00
841615-3No0
49-83No
Total:1.1%6.23.40.32.52.20.11.90.10.10.30.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Arizona-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida vs San Jose+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Nashville+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Los Angeles vs St. Louis-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
117340-08713
112312-15050
111313-0502525
110303-15050
109293-21557010
108283-315566212
107284-23767617
106274-316591016141
105275-21350142034300
104265-30134182378701
103255-412618218159001
102256-3016181411200161120
101246-40916812252202250
100247-3041241026323460910
99237-401816226217110140200
98238-30503158159170210600
97228-402018889221261120100
96229-301004737222263200510
95219-4000151418421528011200
942110-3000020211613732220510
932010-4001005566284301220
922011-300000242418733236100
911911-400001202882932153000
901912-3000010125183326113000
891812-4000000037233122103100
881813-30000121124282010310
1712-50001210232821113100
871713-4000000311222721114100
861714-300013102126221241000
851614-40001310202623124100
841615-300001310202723124100
831515-400131021272312410
821516-3000131022282210300
811416-4001412242920820
801417-300151527291761
791317-40017183128132
781318-30002102533236
771218-401416333312
761219-30029264022
751119-4004194334
741120-302123947
731020-40073261
721021-3042571
71921-4011881
70922-311387
69822-40991
68823-3595
67824-2397
66724-3298
49-65100
Total:0000001111213152798777666554321