New York Rangers Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Detroit 1-0 (ot), playoff odds up 2.7 to 91.8%
61 points   30 16-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 0 NY Rangers 1 (ot)+2.7
+0.2
+0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Pittsburgh vs Boston+0.2*+0.0*+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.1
-0.1*-0.1-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia*+0.1*-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.1
Ottawa vs Columbus+0.3*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.2
Minnesota vs Nashville-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+2.2+2.1+2.0*-0.1*-0.0-2.9
+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*+0.1-0.2
+1.0+0.9+0.7-0.3-0.3-1.1
Washington vs Carolina+0.4*+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
-0.2-0.3-0.3*-0.0*+0.1+0.3
Arizona vs Florida+0.1*+0.1*+0.0-0.3*-0.2*-0.1
Toronto vs Calgary-0.1*-0.1*-0.2*+0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-131In99.6%100250*
120284-3In94.2964121*
119274-4In98.1982263*
118275-3In93.3955541*
117265-4In92.195501,070*
116266-3In84.58901101,940*
115256-4In80.58601313,339*
114257-3In72.279019105,683*
113247-4In62.071126209,186*
112248-3In51.4621334014,010*
111238-4In38.2511408020,673*
110239-3In27.24024413129,260*
109229-4In17.43024719239,893*
1082210-3In9.92134726452,796*
1072110-4In5.013244347067,387*
1062111-3In2.182384111082,346*
1052011-4In0.842314618097,623*
1042012-3In0.2212348260111,771*
1031912-4In0.0111647350123,993*
1021913-3100.0%0.00011434510132,883*
1011813-4100.0No00738542056,076
1712-6100.00.000637552081,734*
1001814-3100.0No003306240138,301*
991714-499.8No002236870054,681
1613-699.8No00223697079,288*
981614-599.5No0116711200125,968*
971615-498.7No0010691810115,150*
961616-396.7No0066327300102,083*
951516-492.0No04533571087,060*
941416-583.3No0240411420072,366*
931417-469.0No01264224610057,608*
921418-350.5No015353114410045,296*
911318-430.9No006243424920033,933*
901319-315.9No0214283018720024,781*
891219-46.2No1617292715510017,544*
881220-31.9No0282129251230012,215*
871120-40.4No003112430219207,855*
861121-30.0No01415252918615,092*
851021-4OutNo0171931271223,151*
841022-3OutNo0131127312351,851*
83922-4OutNo04183431131,061*
82923-3OutNo038283922604*
81823-4OutNo04194335324*
80723-5OutNo2124245190*
79724-4OutNo18355678*
78725-3OutNo297128*
77625-4OutNo5207520*
76727-1OutNo11899*
75627-2OutNo33673*
61-74OutNo100162*
Total:91.8%3.0%5113243910421100001,919,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonCarolinaPhiladelphiaNY IslandersBuffaloDetroitFloridaNew JerseyTampa Bay
131350-03.1%444326419191635292
126322-1NoYes
125312-2No5050
124313-1No5050
123303-211.11122112233
122293-35.912612241812666
121294-26.7251022531317227337
120284-34.1229274717161265292
119274-45.3246133821151545392
118275-36.3437146516171833282
117265-46.33371355201417343102
116266-35.8468145518151433392
115256-46.3689134417151424282
114257-35.88912134416121433281
113247-46.3111213133314131222271
112248-35.7141416123312111022261
111238-46.21818181223109922251
110239-36.3212220122287711141
109229-46.4242422211165511131
1082210-36.4262624321144411120
1072110-46.3282825421133210010
1062111-36.3282825731122200010
1052011-46.12727241142111100010
1042012-36.22525221562111100000
1031912-46.32323192183100000000
1811-66.32323182183110000000
1021913-36.22020162694100010000
1812-56.420201627104100010000
1011813-46.318171331125100010000
1712-66.217171332125100010000
1001814-36.216151136136100011100
1713-56.315141037146100011100
991714-46.01413840156100011100
1613-66.21413840157100011100
981614-56.11311742157100011100
1715-36.21312742157100011100
971615-46.11412741157100011100
1514-66.11412741157100011100
961616-36.01613738146100011100
951516-45.81815733125100010000
941517-35.2191672694100000000
931417-44.2191671862000000000
921418-33.2151361131000000000
911318-41.8109452100000000
901319-31.06522100000000
891219-40.4221100000
881220-30.11100000
871120-40.000000
861121-3No0
61-85No
Total:5.7%18.417.513.123.58.73.90.91.21.01.00.60.50.50.60.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 0 NY Rangers 1 (ot)-0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Pittsburgh vs Boston+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2
Ottawa vs Columbus-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Washington vs Carolina+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-131100
121294-2982
120284-39424
119274-49802
118275-39325
117265-492350
116266-38540110
115256-48150131
114257-372701910
113247-462912620
112248-35111133040
111238-4381310390080
110239-32713204400131
109229-41712204610192
1082210-31011204520264
1072110-45820413034070
1062111-3252034404100110
1052011-4131026504500180
1042012-30210175104800260
1031912-40100105104600350
1021913-300005410421045010
1011813-400002310352054020
1001814-300012102721062040
991714-4000011018310680700
981614-5000001142070112000
971615-400000542067218010
961616-300002320585270300
951516-40000210458350710
941416-500110291140114200
931417-4000001412394236100
921418-30005929731144100
911318-4000015169312411300
901319-30002682229219310
891219-40114112428199310
881220-30024132226209310
871120-40001412212620114100
861121-300141120252212410
851021-40141020262214410
841022-3014101827231241
83922-403112029231030
82923-3131323322160
81823-4015172834141
80723-51821392541
79724-4614382912
78725-3215029
77625-410205020
76727-1672211
75627-2333333
73-74100
61035-0496
Total:3210102002211037210142110000000000