New York Rangers Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Philadelphia 5-1, playoff odds up 7.5 to 56.3%
51 points   23 17-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers 5 Philadelphia 1 +6.7
+0.4
+0.1
NY Islanders 1 New Jersey 4 +0.4
Detroit 2 Dallas 4 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh+1.0+0.2+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.8
+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Boston vs Montreal+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125370-0In100.0%100017,458
120-121InYes10011*
119332-2In97.497338*
118322-3In97.2973109*
117323-2In94.59730329*
116313-3In91.89550903*
115314-2In86.892702,325*
114304-3In81.9881115,624*
113294-4In74.58415112,496*
112295-3In65.378212026,036*
111285-4In55.371263052,304*
110286-3In44.0633350100,025*
109276-4In32.8543970182,097*
108277-3In22.44445110316,728*
107267-4In13.534501500528,896*
106268-3In7.225532110846,464*
105258-4In3.21753272001,303,235*
104259-3In1.11151344001,933,559*
103249-4In0.3646407002,764,589*
1022410-3100.0%0.133846121003,814,707*
1012310-4100.00.013048182005,067,647*
1002311-3100.00.012148264006,518,360*
992211-4100.00.0014433481008,106,363*
982111-599.9No0835401520009,747,503*
972112-499.5No04264223500011,352,997*
962012-598.3No0217393011200012,806,548*
952013-495.2No019323519400013,994,589*
941913-588.4No0422342810200014,832,750*
931914-476.2No02132734185100015,231,152*
921814-558.7No017183328112000015,170,472*
911815-438.9No00392633206100014,657,054*
901715-521.5No001417312914300013,742,619*
891716-49.7No00018233324920012,502,252*
881616-53.5No0000313293118510011,041,946*
871617-41.0No00016203227122009,455,400*
861517-50.2No0002112633216107,861,250*
851518-40.0No0001518323013206,340,400*
841418-50.0No0000210263522504,961,316*
831419-40.0No00151835311003,768,596*
821319-5OutNo0021130381812,770,666*
811320-4OutNo001522412831,977,096*
801220-5OutNo00215393851,368,770*
791221-4OutNo001934479917,734*
781121-5OutNo005275414595,250*
771122-4OutNo002195721374,745*
761123-3OutNo01135729228,508*
751023-4OutNo0085338133,575*
741024-3OutNo005484776,128*
73924-4OutNo03415641,966*
72925-3OutNo01346422,193*
71825-4OutNo1287111,106*
70826-3OutNo022775,448*
69726-4OutNo017832,540*
68727-3OutNo13871,221*
67627-4OutNo1090507*
66628-3OutNo595205*
65629-2OutNo29884*
64428-5OutNo79329*
51-63OutNo10017,478*
Total:56.3%0.2%1511141312119865320217,612,396

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoColumbusPittsburghPhiladelphiaNY IslandersCarolinaFloridaDetroitMontrealOttawaBuffalo
125370-06.2%017103151512121144330
121352-0No333333
120342-125.0131313252513
119332-25.3588521218311353
118322-310.181521510131485561
117323-25.21512315131313107233
116313-34.901811417161111114332
115314-25.701793151513131243320
114304-36.001711316141213113332
113294-46.2018113161512131033320
112295-36.2018123161512121033320
111285-46.3019133161512121033220
110286-36.1019133161411121033220
109276-46.30110153161411121033220
108277-36.3011116216141111922220
107267-46.2011217216141111922210
106268-36.3011319216131010822210
105258-46.3011520216131010822110
104259-36.301162221613109711110
103249-46.20118231161299711110
1022410-36.20119241151298711110
1012310-46.31121251151198611110
1002311-36.31122261151188611100
992211-46.22123261141087600000
982111-56.24124251131087500000
2212-36.24124261141087500000
972112-46.2722525113976500000
2011-66.2722525112976500000
962012-56.21132523111865400000
2113-36.21132523111866400000
1911-76.11232523111865400000
952013-46.0174252019654300000
1912-65.9185252018654300000
2114-26.0174252019654300000
941913-55.5236231616443200000
2014-35.6225231717543200000
1812-75.4236221616443200000
931914-44.8256191314322100000
1813-64.7256181214322100000
921814-53.724513812211100000
911815-42.41848511110000000
901816-31.31134200000000000
891716-40.6512100000000000
881717-30.2201000000000000
871617-40.1100000000000000
861618-30.0000000000000000
851518-40.000000000000000
841519-30.000000000
831419-40.00000000
51-82No
Total:3.5%9.82.513.111.70.65.74.13.32.92.20.20.20.10.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 5 Philadelphia 1 -1.1
NY Islanders 1 New Jersey 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
125370-010000
120-121100
119332-2973
118322-3973
117323-295230
116313-392350
115314-287670
114304-3826111
113294-47591510
112295-36512200200
111285-455152603000
110286-344193215000
109276-433213817000
108277-3222242310000
107267-414214551411000
106268-37184310172201000
105258-431439152034020000
104259-311030212077040000
103249-40621251812110700000
1022410-30312261316151101001000
1012310-4016247191941431020000
1002311-3012193181981682040000
992211-4001131141514141630711000
982111-5008089189246111320000
972112-40040441742783139500000
962012-5002021131248612198220000
952013-40010108016510728118410000
941913-5000040931133111177310000
931914-400020419126727108410000
921814-50001010601723191311620000
911815-40000003091265131815720000
901715-50000010401627172318931000
891716-400000010803102025191031000
881616-500000003013112126201031000
871617-4000001001412222621103100
861517-5000000141223272093000
851518-400000015142427198200
841418-500000001616272716510
831419-4000002820302612200
821319-50000311253222600
811320-4000151732311310
801220-500021026372330
791221-40001418373360
781121-50002113342110
771122-400162649181
761123-30031850272
751023-40011148363
741024-3000742456
73924-403355210
72925-302275615
71825-401205820
70826-30155728
69726-4095635
68727-365143
67627-454352
66628-323860
65629-22476
64428-52476
63631-03664
62329-52080
61431-2100
51037-00100
Total:01231334272331039334555443322100