"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

National Hockey League Playoff Chances 50/50

Ottawa +5.2, Calgary -6.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
Pittsburgh464216-42895.6%-0.06.0%+0.020.0%+0.7351915125621111100003.0-0.044FloridaPittsburgh Penguins
AnaheimLOttawa 2-649228-5594.5-1.45.9-0.112.4-3.6233181648222210003.3-0.285Anaheim Ducks
Chicago453229-13692.2-0.25.8-0.011.7+0.521111971541063211004.2-0.031at ColumbusChicago Blackhawks
St. Louis443219-22090.1-0.25.6-0.09.2+0.41791871651174321004.6-0.043at San JoseSt. Louis Blues
Nashville425208-22290.0-0.25.6-0.09.8+0.41891861651174321004.6-0.036at MinnesotaNashville Predators
NY IslandersWDetroit 2-14432210-01189.2+2.75.6+0.28.5+2.01712181681133332111004.3+0.352Tampa BayNew York Islanders
Tampa BayLNew Jersey 2-3 (so)4412010-42280.8-0.15.1-0.04.9-0.21114119116119653211005.5+0.019at NY IslandersTampa Bay Lightning
Toronto4131910-31976.7+0.44.8+0.03.9+0.2912109116119754321105.9+0.087PhiladelphiaToronto Maple Leafs
DetroitLNY Islanders 1-2422178-81175.7-4.44.7-0.33.5-1.48111091161210764321106.1-0.4913Detroit Red Wings
Montreal4222011-2675.5+0.44.7+0.03.5+0.28111091161110764321106.0+0.078OttawaMontreal Canadiens
Vancouver3841811-2174.2+0.34.6+0.02.3+0.1511717617567764206.0+0.1012CalgaryVancouver Canucks
San Jose4021811-4972.9+0.24.6+0.01.9+0.1511717617568764206.1+0.0919St. LouisSan Jose Sharks
WinnipegWBoston 2-14021710-6469.7+4.74.4+0.31.8+0.54494135171410864206.9+0.3617Winnipeg Jets
Los Angeles3821611-6861.7+0.33.9+0.00.9+0.02751351668101086317.1+0.0818ArizonaLos Angeles Kings
NY Rangers3461510-41060.9-0.13.81.3+0.1347991666777654217.5-0.0511at CarolinaNew York Rangers
Washington3641510-6659.0-0.13.7-0.01.1+0.1346991666787654217.7-0.0521at New JerseyWashington Capitals
Florida365148-8-858.9+0.53.7+0.01.5+0.146669511111087643217.6+0.0524at PittsburghFlorida Panthers
Minnesota3451612-2855.3-0.53.5-0.00.9+0.02253941415121197418.0-0.0410NashvilleMinnesota Wild
CalgaryLDallas 1-23611715-2642.2-6.82.6-0.40.2-0.113283125811131311728.7-0.4814at VancouverCalgary Flames
BostonLWinnipeg 1-23521614-3-335.5-6.22.2-0.40.3-0.21233538101111101097539.7-0.5515Boston Bruins
OttawaWAnaheim 6-23431412-6034.6+5.22.2+0.30.3+0.11223538101010101097539.8+0.4716at MontrealOttawa Senators
DallasWCalgary 2-13141313-5-1530.0+3.91.9+0.20.1+0.0012142811131315141149.7+0.3122Dallas Stars
Columbus2941315-3-2419.2-0.11.2-0.00.1+0.001122634681011121312811.5-0.0425ChicagoColumbus Blue Jackets
Philadelphia2841114-6-1116.0-0.11.0-0.00.0+0.000122534579111314131011.9-0.0427at TorontoPhiladelphia Flyers
Colorado2841013-8-2115.1-0.30.9-0.00.0+0.0001121479111519211011.0-0.0323at BuffaloColorado Avalanche
Arizona2641116-4-2811.4+0.10.7+0.00.0+0.000021423691320271411.428at Los AngelesArizona Coyotes
New JerseyWTampa Bay 3-2 (so)3011216-6-2110.5+1.70.7+0.10.0+0.000011323468111316171412.6+0.2726WashingtonNew Jersey Devils
Buffalo2831317-2-389.5+0.20.6+0.00.0+0.000011124578101315171412.6-0.0220ColoradoBuffalo Sabres
Carolina214919-3-222.4-0.00.1-0.00.0000001011245813214314.4-0.0329NY RangersCarolina Hurricanes
Edmonton202720-6-410.8+0.00.00.0000000001248196613.4-0.0130Edmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Winnipeg 2 Boston 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-0.2
St. Louis-0.2
Nashville-0.3
Tampa Bay+0.5
Toronto+0.5
Detroit+0.6
Montreal+0.6
Vancouver-0.4
San Jose-0.4
Winnipeg+4.5
+0.3
+0.4
Los Angeles-0.5
NY Rangers+0.3
Washington+0.4
Florida+0.8
Minnesota-0.7
Calgary-0.5
Boston-5.9
-0.4
-0.2
Ottawa+0.7
Dallas-0.6
Columbus+0.3
Philadelphia+0.3
Colorado-0.4
Arizona-0.3
New Jersey+0.3
Buffalo+0.3
Calgary 1 Dallas 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+0.2
Vancouver+0.5
San Jose+0.4
Los Angeles+0.5
Calgary-6.5
-0.4
-0.2
Dallas+4.4
+0.3
Arizona+0.2
Ottawa 6 Anaheim 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh+0.7
Anaheim-1.4
-3.6
Chicago+0.4
St. Louis+0.4
Nashville+0.4
NY Islanders+0.3
Tampa Bay-0.4
+0.2
Toronto-0.4
+0.2
Detroit-0.4
+0.2
Montreal-0.5
+0.2
Vancouver+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Los Angeles+0.2
NY Rangers-0.3
Washington-0.3
Florida-0.6
Calgary+0.2
Boston-0.5
Ottawa+4.2
+0.3
Columbus-0.2
Philadelphia-0.2
Buffalo-0.2
Detroit 1 NY Islanders 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders+2.8
+0.2
+1.7
Tampa Bay+0.2
Toronto+0.2
Detroit-4.6
-0.3
-1.6
Montreal+0.3
NY Rangers*-0.1
Florida+0.4
Boston+0.4
Ottawa+0.3
Buffalo+0.2
New Jersey 3 Tampa Bay 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago*+0.3
Tampa Bay-0.6
-0.4
Toronto*+0.1
Detroit*-0.2
Florida*-0.2
Boston*+0.1
Columbus*-0.2
New Jersey+1.6
Saturday
Vancouver vs CalgaryIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver78.978.377.773.173.068.6
4.94.94.94.64.64.3
2.92.92.82.12.11.5
Calgary35.540.540.646.447.147.9
2.22.52.52.92.93.0
0.10.20.20.30.30.3
Montreal vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal80.079.579.074.574.570.0
5.05.04.94.74.74.4
4.44.44.23.23.22.4
Ottawa28.533.233.238.739.239.8
1.82.12.12.42.42.5
0.10.20.20.30.30.4
Minnesota vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville87.089.589.591.992.292.4
5.45.65.65.75.85.8
7.39.29.211.511.811.9
Minnesota60.560.159.554.254.249.1
3.83.83.73.43.43.1
1.21.11.10.70.70.5
Dallas29.629.329.429.829.830.5
New Jersey vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers61.560.760.860.360.260.5
Washington52.857.957.963.263.964.2
3.33.63.64.04.04.0
0.71.01.01.41.41.5
New Jersey13.212.812.49.59.57.4
0.80.80.80.60.60.5
Los Angeles vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles66.966.665.960.660.655.5
4.24.24.13.83.83.5
1.21.21.10.80.80.5
Calgary41.841.541.642.142.042.8
Arizona8.210.310.413.313.714.2
0.50.60.60.80.90.9
Columbus vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago90.092.192.193.894.094.0
5.65.75.85.95.95.9
8.811.111.113.714.014.1
Columbus22.622.622.118.418.415.1
1.41.41.41.11.20.9
Pittsburgh vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh96.996.896.795.595.594.1
6.16.16.1*6.0*6.05.9
23.423.322.819.119.115.8
Florida52.958.258.163.363.663.7
3.33.63.64.04.04.0
0.91.31.31.91.92.0
Toronto vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto80.780.580.076.075.971.7
5.05.05.04.84.74.5
4.94.94.73.53.52.6
Philadelphia12.215.115.118.619.119.3
0.80.90.91.21.21.2
Buffalo vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado11.614.414.417.717.917.9
0.70.90.91.11.11.1
Buffalo11.711.611.49.09.07.0
0.70.70.70.60.60.4
Carolina vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers55.060.060.064.965.565.6
3.43.73.74.14.14.1
0.81.21.21.61.71.7
Washington59.959.159.158.458.358.4
3.7*3.7*3.73.73.63.7
Carolina3.23.13.02.12.11.5
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
San Jose vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis87.289.789.792.092.392.4
5.45.65.65.75.85.8
6.88.68.610.911.211.3
San Jose77.277.076.472.172.167.7
4.84.84.84.54.54.2
2.62.52.41.71.71.2
Calgary41.841.541.642.142.142.8
NY Islanders vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders91.691.591.388.988.986.2
5.75.75.75.65.65.4
10.510.410.17.97.96.1
Tampa Bay76.480.380.383.984.384.4
4.85.05.05.25.35.3
3.34.44.45.96.16.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.