How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary 3 Nashville 5 *+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Anaheim+4.5+4.0+3.6-1.0-1.2-5.3
+0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1*+0.0-0.3
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
San Jose vs NY Islanders-0.4-0.5-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Vancouver vs Boston-0.3-0.5-0.4*+0.2*+0.1+0.4
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.4*-0.2*-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
Minnesota vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.4*-0.3*+0.0*-0.2+0.3
Winnipeg vs Arizona+0.2*-0.1*-0.2-0.6*-0.1*-0.0
Carolina vs Colorado+0.3*-0.0*-0.0*-0.2*-0.3-0.2
Columbus vs Chicago+0.3*+0.1*-0.2*-0.2*-0.2-0.2
Toronto vs St. Louis+0.2*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-156In99.8%100573*
1185316-6In97.71000261*
1175216-7In96.29811422*
1165116-8In95.99811635*
1155016-9In95.69811950*
1145017-8In91.396321,321*
1134917-9In87.894422,097*
1124918-8In83.392533,072*
1114919-7In75.4896404,166*
1104819-8In67.68410605,782*
1094719-9In56.47912907,817*
1084720-8In46.4721611010,590*
1074620-9In34.46320161014,180*
1064621-8In24.05524202018,016*
1054521-9In14.94528253023,123*
1044522-8In8.034313050029,141*
1034422-9In3.625323571035,925*
1024423-8100.0%1.31732391110043,228*
1014323-9100.00.41030421530051,645*
1004324-8100.00.1626432140060,886*
994224-999.90.03214126710069,986*
984225-899.7No11538311120079,829*
974125-999.2No011333416510089,286*
964126-897.8No072636209200097,956*
954026-994.3No041934221451000107,118*
944027-887.7No02133022209300113,730*
933927-976.3No0192518241661000119,655*
923928-860.8No0518132422124100123,743*
913828-943.2No0313820261993000125,982*
903829-826.7No0184142525166100126,425*
893729-914.6No0142819272312410125,114*
883730-87.0No0021413242719820121,795*
873630-92.9No0010271827261440116,552*
863631-81.0No000131123302281110,545*
853531-90.4No000016172928153102,682*
843532-80.1No00000311243323694,364*
833432-90.0No0000161933301185,154*
823433-80.0No000031330371776,051*
813333-90.0No0001825412665,797*
803334-80.0No0001419423557,434*
793234-9OutNo00213404548,655*
783235-8OutNo019365440,780*
773135-9OutNo005316333,366*
763136-8OutNo003267127,278*
753036-9OutNo02207821,645*
743037-8OutNo01158417,071*
732937-9OutNo01128813,356*
722938-8OutNo089210,201*
712838-9OutNo06947,774*
702839-8OutNo04965,692*
692739-9OutNo002984,132*
682639-10OutNo2982,999*
672640-9OutNo2982,114*
662641-8OutNo1991,458*
652541-9OutNo0100971*
642441-10OutNo0100660*
632442-9OutNo0100479*
622443-8OutNo100313*
612343-9OutNo199195*
602344-8OutNo100136*
592143-11OutNo19978*
6-58OutNo100329*
Total:44.3%1.6%4511126777888992,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleAnaheimColoradoChicagoWinnipegEdmontonCalgaryVancouverMinnesotaDallasSan JoseSt. LouisArizonaLos Angeles
156750-09.3%566581159859679
128-129NoYes
1275913-3No333333
1265813-4No5050
1255612-7No171717171717
1245613-620.0101010201010101010
1235412-93.621141814447747
1225413-82.6810531015531013810
1215414-76.356558168132361393
1205314-88.81101335105106134985
1195315-74.51548109128798784
1185316-65.748675101110679576
1175216-77.8685788911566786
1165116-85.4777769896710676
1155016-94.4685567888610689
1145017-86.249576999677678
1134917-96.458666989777598
1124918-85.959576999568688
1114919-76.558666999668588
1104819-86.359666989659588
1094719-96.35956591010668588
1084720-86.251056510910559588
1074620-96.1511555101010569588
1064621-86.8410555101010559588
1054521-96.1412455111111549488
1044522-86.2413444111111449488
1034422-96.3413444121111449488
1024423-86.2314344121212439398
1014323-96.33153331212123310398
1004324-86.23153331313123310398
994224-96.33153331313133210298
984225-86.13163331313133210299
974125-96.24163331312133210288
964126-86.1515433121212329288
954026-95.8515433121111329277
944027-85.6614433101010328277
933927-94.8612433998326155
923928-83.959433766215144
913828-92.747322544213133
903829-81.734211333112122
893729-90.912111211101011
883730-80.411000111001000
873731-70.200000000000000
863631-80.100000000000000
853531-90.000000000000000
843431-100.0000000000000
833533-7No000000000
823433-80.00000
813434-7No0
803435-6No0
6-79No
Total:2.8%2.46.51.91.71.75.25.15.11.51.24.01.03.53.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 3 Nashville 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Anaheim-1.0-0.9-0.8+0.2+0.3+1.2
San Jose vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Winnipeg vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Vancouver vs Boston+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Nashville+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Buffalo+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey*+0.0+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Florida vs Detroit-0.0*+0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
121-156100
1205314-8991
1195315-7100
1185316-69820
1175216-796211
1165116-896211
1155016-996211
1145017-891432
1134917-988742
1124918-883953
1114919-775146400
1104819-8681790600
1094719-956221209000
1084720-8462616011000
1074620-93429191151010
1064621-82431222181120
1054521-91530243213103000
1044522-88262562352500000
1034422-94222392294070010
1024423-8116191319137010101000
1014323-90101416141711113212000
1004324-806917819142154104000
994224-90351641816416730701000
984225-812131141581312601012000
974125-9011009111281610113350100
964126-800705715417133137812000
954026-900402314113136111212251000
944027-8002111109101161614693100
933927-900100805614216121213731000
923928-80005023141126181414731000
913828-90003111108218101615941000
903829-800010070411351218181262000
893729-90010040208161319201583100
883730-800002104025121921171041000
873630-900010020015121923191151000
863631-80000100014111923211362000
853531-900000001410182421136100
843532-80000000141019242213510
833432-9000000014112126211130
823433-8000000151424281981
813333-9000027172828153
803334-8000013102332247
793234-9001516313314
783235-800210273822
773135-90016204132
763136-8003154043
753036-90193653
743037-80163063
732937-9032571
722938-8022079
712838-9011584
702839-8001189
692739-900892
682639-100694
672640-90595
662641-80397
652541-9298
642441-10199
632442-9199
622443-8199
612343-9298
602344-8100
592143-11199
6-58100
Total:2223233323333434333344444444444