"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders 3 Anaheim 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Carolina-0.2-0.3-0.3*-0.0+0.2+0.3
Vancouver vs Detroit-0.2-0.3*-0.2*-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Toronto vs Arizona+0.2*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Minnesota+1.8+1.7+1.5-0.2-0.2-2.2
+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.4
Colorado vs Nashville*-0.1*-0.1-0.3*+0.0*-0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs St. Louis+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
117-126In91.1%100347*
116264-2In69.3991261*
115254-3In64.69812540*
114255-2In59.397131,123*
113245-3In49.894242,159*
112246-2In39.5902803,813*
111236-3In31.68631006,469*
110226-4In22.980514010,663*
109227-3In15.572720016,879*
108217-4In9.2631027125,023*
107218-3In5.1521234135,840*
106208-4In2.5421441249,339*
105209-3In1.0311549564,668*
104199-4In0.32216558082,579*
1031910-3In0.1141559120100,613*
1021810-4In0.081361180118,196*
1011811-3In0.041060250133,353*
1001711-4InNo2757331061,230
1812-2InNo285633085,117*
991712-3InNo1551411063,109
1611-5InNo1550431090,740*
981612-4InNo0343513065,428
1713-2InNo0343512091,608*
971613-3100.0%No02355950082,291*
1512-5InNo0234595071,093*
961513-4100.0No01266480060,769
1614-2100.0No01276390085,384*
951514-3100.0No00196614100133,816*
941414-499.7No00126420300118,336*
931415-398.8No00758268100100,992*
921315-495.8No0449281540083,873*
911316-389.0No02382623920066,176*
901216-475.5No127202818610051,325*
891217-357.1No0171227271330037,932*
881117-436.2No0106213023920027,552*
871118-320.0No0621227301751018,874*
861018-47.9No2151831281220012,746*
851019-32.7No102102532237108,277*
84919-40.8No00416323115205,017*
83920-30.2No0018233526702,984*
82820-4OutNo031435341311,697*
81821-3OutNo152642224950*
80721-4OutNo041644288493*
79722-3OutNo29354114249*
78723-2OutNo6264523113*
77623-3OutNo215493447*
76624-2OutNo19523027*
75625-1OutNo67339*
74525-2OutNo33676*
62-72OutNo100167*
Total:94.9%0.8%8534377421100002,080,292

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaDallasEdmontonVancouverSt. LouisAnaheimArizonaLos AngelesChicago
126320-011.4%124911141016812921
123301-1NoYes
122291-2NoYes
121292-1NoYes
120271-416.71733171717
119283-15.666111762217116
118273-210.9421520991511114
117263-35.613612171313969811
116264-210.70469101091111161032
115254-36.30146129111113912931
114255-25.80165109101214812922
113245-36.6117510910111210111022
112246-26.0119599913128111021
111236-36.1111149991312712921
110226-45.9111548991211711821
109227-36.3211948881111711811
108217-46.4312437771011610811
107218-36.0402936661010510711
106208-46.3603535559949611
105209-36.3804124449948610
104199-46.41004624338837510
1031910-36.11205113337726410
1021810-46.21405512226615400
1011811-36.31605811116615300
1710-56.31605911115615300
1001711-46.41706111115514300
1812-26.11806011115514300
991712-36.31816210105504300
1611-56.31816201005504300
981612-46.11916210005504300
1713-26.21916310005504300
971613-36.11926210004403200
1512-56.31926210004403200
961513-46.21946110004403200
1614-26.21946110004403200
951514-36.32065820004403200
1413-56.4207572000340320
941414-46.221105431003302200
931415-36.223144841102302100
921315-45.925174151102201100
911316-35.527193351001101100
901216-44.82617254100110100
891217-33.52114173000000000
881117-42.2158102000000000
871118-31.38561000000000
861018-40.6322000000000
851019-30.21110000
84919-40.100000
83920-30.1000
62-82No
Total:5.9%16.84.649.91.81.41.41.34.74.81.03.92.90.30.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 3 Anaheim 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Carolina+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Detroit+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Minnesota-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.8
Florida vs San Jose-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126320-0991
121-123100
120271-48317
119283-18317
118273-28713
117263-38119
116264-269301
115254-3653312
114255-2593713
113245-3504424
112246-2405120700
111236-3325531000
110226-42357501400
109227-315577020100
108217-49539125201
107218-354711231301
106208-4239113356020
105209-31301153810050
104199-402297361710800
1031910-3014783125201210
1021810-4085824334016200
1011811-30428153861214000
1001711-4216838832490000
991712-310533395251710100
981612-400312589212820200
971613-300201651314394141000
961513-4001093147467363000
951514-30000411334698771000
941414-40020101379167143100
931415-30000702672552153100
921315-40004014431226693100
911316-300027130125518541000
901216-4001202402032579621000
891217-3010170121276121483100
881117-40001060202101818114100
871118-3005201215142221124100
861018-402105016162423145100
851019-3102002717252415620
84919-400002716242516720
83920-300027152527166200
82820-40171726261561
81821-301718322313510
80721-41392430191120
79722-3031220332480
78723-215153120216
77623-32623401513
76624-273015417
75625-1563311
74525-2171767
62-72100
Total:1723916351018362513111110000000000