Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 67.9%
54 points   25 16-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona 2 San Jose 3 (so)-0.5
Detroit 2 Dallas 4 -0.4
Toronto 1 St. Louis 2 (ot)-0.4
Nashville 1 Vegas 0 -0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.2+0.2+0.9
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-128In100.0%100156,441*
120323-2In98.7100002,996*
119313-3In98.1100008,268*
118314-2In96.71000021,148*
117304-3In94.7990149,176*
116305-2In92.09901109,791*
115295-3In88.497120231,927*
114285-4In83.196130462,893*
113286-3In76.493240886,144*
112276-4In68.1904701,614,647*
111277-3In58.185610002,810,092*
110267-4In47.278814004,692,958*
109268-3In35.7701119007,511,972*
108258-4In24.86015251011,574,587*
107259-3In15.54919311017,164,256*
106249-4In8.537223830024,531,172*
1052410-3In3.926244550033,795,741*
1042310-4In1.516245180044,996,944*
1032311-3100.0%0.4922551310057,842,239*
1022211-4100.00.1419561920071,928,786*
1012111-5100.00.02145526300086,512,701*
1002112-4100.00.0110503360000100,793,983*
992012-599.90.006444091000113,667,422*
982013-499.50.00436441330000124,237,448*
971913-598.2No02274716620000131,613,195*
961914-494.2No011946171251000135,186,783*
951814-585.7No00134115171130000134,662,330*
941815-471.6No0083510191882000130,134,090*
931715-553.7No0042761624175100122,004,983*
921716-435.6No0220211242612200110,984,822*
911616-521.0No01131620312261097,968,354*
901617-411.1No00803133031132083,925,294*
891517-55.4No0040172437225069,765,541*
881518-42.4No002003163632101056,278,147*
871418-51.0No0100193039182044,039,457*
861419-40.4No0000042142275033,424,291*
851319-50.1No0000021339369024,607,540*
841320-40.0No000017334416017,569,430*
831220-50.0No000004254724012,158,652*
821221-40.0No000217483308,148,222*
811121-50.0No000111444405,291,239*
801122-40.0No00007395413,325,375*
791123-30.0No0004326322,023,515*
781023-4OutNo02257041,190,235*
771024-3OutNo0118756676,748*
76924-4OutNo0013779371,906*
75925-3OutNo097714196,856*
74825-4OutNo057619100,301*
73826-3OutNo03712649,419*
72726-4OutNo02663223,142*
71727-3OutNo1603910,341*
70627-4OutNo051494,570*
69628-3OutNo043561,894*
68528-4OutNo03565713*
67529-3OutNo3070267*
66530-2OutNo2080100*
65430-3OutNo247621*
64431-2OutNo257512*
62-63OutNo1006*
54037-0OutNo0100154,943
Total:67.9%1.0%3522256678753101,931,496,466

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNashvilleWinnipegSan JoseSt. LouisLos AngelesDallasColoradoMinnesotaChicagoAnaheimVancouverEdmontonArizona
128370-06.2%361071181312129721
126350-2NoYes
125351-1No1717173317
124341-26.93371431410142110
123331-31.3531084101312176103
122332-25.916126101111131161011
121322-37.736961081312149721
120323-26.6269712812131210821
119313-36.2369711912121210721
118314-26.6269711912121310721
117304-36.2269711912121210821
116305-26.326971191212129821
115295-36.226981191212129821
114285-46.2259811101211129821
113286-36.32589111012111298210
112276-46.325810111111111198210
111277-36.335811101111101198210
110267-46.235813101210101088210
109268-36.3457159141091088210
108258-46.34471781599978210
107259-36.26462081788868110
106249-46.37452371977758110
1052410-36.29352562066648110
1042310-46.310342852255538110
1032311-36.212233142444438110
1022211-46.314233332533328110
1012111-56.215223422622218110
1002112-46.216323522622119110
992012-56.217323522611118110
982013-46.218433422511118110
971913-56.119643222311118110
961914-45.919742922111107110
951814-55.419742521711106110
941815-44.517642111411004110
931715-53.414531611011003110
921716-42.2932111700002000
911616-51.351170400001000
901617-40.721040200001000
891618-30.310020100000000
881518-40.200010100000000
871519-30.100000000000000
861419-40.000000000000000
851420-30.000000000000000
841320-40.000000000000
831321-30.0000000
821221-40.000000
811222-3No0000
801324-0No00
791123-3No00
54-78No
Total:4.2%12.03.42.621.21.715.31.51.51.20.95.10.70.70.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 2 San Jose 3 (so)+0.1
Nashville 1 Vegas 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
128370-01000
123-126100
122332-21000
121322-31000
120323-299100
119313-398200
118314-297300
117304-395401
116305-292601
115295-38891200
114285-4831310300
113286-37617204000
112276-46822407000
111277-3582750100000
110267-4473180130000
109268-336341101800000
108258-4253514124101000
107259-31533172292101000
106249-48291933342030000
1052410-34221853573050000
1042310-411516833117080000
1032311-3091210281512012001000
1022211-4048111917191171102000
1012111-50241011172522113030000
1002112-40128413276233706000000
992012-500161824102061409010000
982013-40003041714138231130300000
971913-5002011016683021526020000
961914-4001004142632614311051000
951814-500000211032711951511030000
941815-40000170119154615417920000
931715-50000040011161410621177100000
921716-400020051402471824155100000
911616-5000100211011511232414510000
901617-4000001700024142524156200000
891517-500000400011515242416720000
881518-40000200001615242517820000
871418-5001000001615242517820000
861419-4000000000261525261772000
851319-500000000027162626166100
841320-40000000028182825144100
831220-5000000031022302410200
821221-4000001413273119500
811121-50000161932291110
801122-40000031128362020
791123-300001520373160
781023-40002123440110
771024-300172747181
76924-40031949272
75925-30011246365
74825-400740448
73826-3004335014
72726-402255320
71727-301195426
70627-40115138
69628-384646
68528-443958
67529-333463
66530-22674
65430-33367
64431-22575
62-63100
54037-00100
Total:12235486621155242555433221110000