"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 54.6%
62 points   29 26-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis 1 Florida 2 +0.8
Arizona 3 Anaheim 2 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville vs Calgary-9.5-2.4-2.2+5.9+6.9+8.2
-0.6-0.2-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.0NoNo-0.0-0.0+0.0
Colorado vs Los Angeles+2.3+0.3+0.4-1.6-1.9-1.9
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Winnipeg+1.3+0.3+0.3-0.8-1.1-1.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
108230-0In2.5%26722098,854
107220-1In0.7177760816
106221-0In0.110801004,704*
105211-1In0.057817016,786*
104201-2In0.0372241058,836*
103202-1InNo1633330164,037*
102192-2In0.00514260433,481*
101193-1InNo03950110983,197*
100183-2InNo0275319102,112,657*
99184-1InNo0175228304,084,120*
98174-2InNo0104638607,463,950*
97164-3100.0%No053647120012,539,186*
96165-2100.0No022651200019,993,497*
95155-3100.0No117513010029,628,276*
94156-299.9No010464040041,860,262*
93146-399.7No053749900055,434,359*
92147-298.7No0227521710070,058,238*
91137-396.0No0118482940083,460,918*
90138-289.8No001139401010095,096,497*
89128-378.6No00627461920049,067,391
139-179.0No00627461920053,369,251*
88129-265.0No003174529500050,712,123
118-461.4No02154432600054,928,501*
87119-344.6No01836411310049,452,958
1210-145.2No01836401310053,790,518*
861110-227.9No00324442340096,715,104*
851010-314.8No001144134101085,880,835*
841011-26.7No000631411930073,138,068*
83911-32.5No00220412970059,051,245*
82912-20.8No001113638131045,694,560*
81812-30.2No00052643232033,486,341*
80813-20.0No00021742344023,521,891*
79713-30.0No01936459015,604,008*
78714-20.0No00428521509,906,017*
77614-30.0No00219552405,925,337*
76615-2OutNo0111533503,385,490*
75515-3OutNo006484601,812,255*
74516-2OutNo00340561924,402*
73416-3OutNo0131661438,282*
72417-2OutNo0123733197,111*
71418-1OutNo01778581,211*
70318-2OutNo01180931,985*
69319-1OutNo07791311,286*
68219-2OutNo479173,640*
67220-1OutNo272261,069*
66120-2OutNo06535319*
65121-1OutNo2395966*
64122-0OutNo455511*
63022-1OutNo1002
62023-0OutNo0316998,712
Total:54.6%0.0%003111921191384101,190,722,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleLos AngelesWinnipegVancouverDallasArizona
108230-06.3%007154091454510
107220-15.00821437107220
106221-06.70922427952300
105211-16.301126416852200
104201-26.101329395741200
103202-16.3001532374641100
102192-26.2001735344531100
101193-16.2002037323431100
100183-26.3002239302320100
99184-16.2002441291220100
98174-26.3002642281120000
97164-36.2102841261120000
96165-26.2103041250020000
154-46.3103140250020000
95155-36.2213438230010000
166-16.2213339230010000
94156-26.2513636200010000
145-46.2513735200010000
93146-36.21023931170010000
157-16.2813933170010000
135-56.21223929160010000
92147-26.21623927140010000
136-46.21833825130010000
158-06.21733926130010000
91137-36.02743520100000000
148-16.12433622110000000
126-55.9294331890000000
90138-25.7345291570000000
127-45.5365271370000000
149-05.6355291470000000
89128-34.940520940000000
139-15.1395221050000000
117-54.740518740000000
88129-24.138514520000000
118-43.83751252000000
1310-03.93751352000000
87119-32.83047210000000
1210-12.8304731000000
861110-21.9223411000000
109-41.618231000000
851010-30.911120000000
841011-20.45110000000
83911-30.2200000000
82912-20.010000000
81812-30.000000000
80813-20.000000000
79814-10.0000000
78714-20.0000
77614-3No00
62-76No
Total:3.4%18.72.416.111.05.90.00.10.30.00.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 3 Anaheim 2 -0.1
St. Louis 1 Florida 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Calgary+1.2+0.3+0.2-0.8-0.9-1.0
Colorado vs Los Angeles-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108230-03237201100
107220-11167702310
106221-001079126200
105211-105753111500
104201-20368411490010
103202-1156701716012000
102192-20042901824015000
101193-102910016331110000
100183-20171001338211800010
99184-10890939402710120
98174-203705338035301500
97164-30142231104060111000
96165-200211312040101119000
95155-301051103413412910000
94156-200028024139040210000
93146-3000040159140494500000
92147-2000027416052413100000
91137-30001311404832621100000
90138-200001090391382332000000
89128-300000050270461466310000
139-100000050270451466310000
88129-20000317045137118410000
118-40002150441371110510000
87119-300018036015121713620000
1210-100018036015121613620000
861110-200003024002716211672000
851010-3000101400021020251882000
841011-2000600013122427187100
83911-30020001414262817510
82912-20010001617292814300
81812-300000028223326910
80813-200000031229361920
79713-300001519383250
78714-200002103343110
77614-3000052451200
76615-200021552310
75515-3001848430
74516-200441541
73416-300232651
72417-20124733
71418-1017785
70318-2011809
69319-1087913
68219-247917
67220-127226
66120-206535
65121-123959
64122-04555
63022-1100
62023-003169
Total:00000011052501912011235666543210