Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Nashville 1-3, playoff odds down 1.9 to 97.1%
86 points   41 29-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Los Angeles 5 Winnipeg 2 -1.0
-0.1
Nashville 3 Calgary 1 -0.9
-0.1
FridayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10280-0InNo08019107,363,462
10170-1InNo54415014,066,468
10071-0InNo3552131043,618,999
60-2InNo2654191012,002,700
9961-1InNo1350335074,444,781
50-3InNo84540705,850,693
9862-0InNo53547130115,417,704
51-2InNo3305017054,437,425
40-4InNo123532211,785,681
9752-1InNo11651312168,822,357
41-3InNo0124936322,125,478
30-5InNo0745444347,951
9653-0InNo0642466174,506,300
42-2InNo0438498102,896,164
31-4InNo033452115,393,282
20-6InNo128571442,570
9543-1100.0%No012654190212,739,261
32-3100.0No01225323033,443,816
21-599.9No01753290788,668
10-799.8No012533402,961
9444-099.9No001450350164,929,573
33-299.8No001249390103,735,273
22-499.6No010454406,117,207
11-699.3No074251164,098
00-898.8No64053185
9334-198.7No00636571160,886,386
23-397.7No053261225,302,578
12-596.4No0327664598,509
01-794.8No2237052,287
9235-096.3No022371499,782,408
24-294.3No022172658,850,683
13-491.8No01177483,087,834
02-688.6No113751124,361
9125-186.5No0111751472,998,019
14-381.5No00873199,569,913
03-575.7No067024150,153
9026-077.3No05722337,738,588
15-270.4No04663017,800,425
04-463.0No026137583,318
8916-154.6No015345018,398,807
05-345.3No01455501,446,560
8817-041.9No0425808,162,615
06-232.3No0326702,242,632
8707-118.7No01979201,987,003
8608-011.2No0118540924,864
Total:97.1%No03102433283001,845,480,900

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoMinnesotaSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonSt. LouisNashvilleLos AngelesWinnipeg
10280-06.3%001539309800
10170-16.3001838326600
10071-06.2002238334400
60-26.200223933330
9961-16.2002538332200
50-36.300254033110
9862-06.200283833110
51-26.200293931000
40-46.210304028000
9752-16.320333728000
41-36.230353725000
30-56.340383721000
9653-06.360383224000
42-26.280393221000
31-46.2100403217000
20-66.41404330130
9543-16.2181392616000
32-36.2231392512000
21-56.3281392290
10-77.133140196
9444-06.2341351811000
33-26.238135188000
22-46.243233166000
11-66.2492311440
00-83.54943295
9334-16.254226115000
23-36.159223104000
12-56.0642208200
01-75.16731762
9235-06.06821763000
24-25.96921562000
13-45.7713135100
02-65.47231131
9125-15.4723831000
14-35.1702721000
03-54.8672510
9026-04.869241000
15-24.464241000
04-43.9582210
8916-13.45121000
05-32.8431100
8817-02.640110000
06-22.03111000
8707-11.2180000
8608-00.71100000
Total:6.1%26.71.028.923.416.50.30.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Calgary 1 +1.1
Colorado 4 Edmonton 7 +0.3
St. Louis 4 Vancouver 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Winnipeg+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
Dallas vs San Jose-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10280-005228514001000
10170-12529633350000
10071-0102543891310010
60-2718341101810010
9961-1211231172940040
50-317127163470070
9862-004016193511101300
51-202013163613101700
40-401010133516112210
9752-10104122820303120
41-3000392521303630
30-5000252021404440
9653-0000161619704660
42-2000141318704980
31-4000310177052100
20-6017147057131
9543-100001512905417100
32-300001410905321200
21-50027705326300
10-702560533050
9444-0000015850287000
33-200014749318000
22-4001364534100000
11-6002442371410
00-8154035181
9334-10000153634221000
23-3000143236252000
12-500022736313000
01-70123323850
9235-0000223264431000
24-2000221254651000
13-4000117244971000
02-6011321548300
9125-10001111362841000
14-3000081261116100
03-5006961148200
9026-00005468894100
15-2000436310126100
04-400235812168100
8916-10001153717165100
05-301144821196100
8817-000412132416300
06-200323152718400
8707-1001917263214200
8608-001102143529800
Total:01205501194033141311100000