How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/31100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City vs Manchester United+0.0NoNo
-8.2-1.3+3.5
+0.9+0.1-0.4
Burnley vs Leicester CityNoNo+0.0
+5.9+0.5-7.2
-0.6-0.1+0.8
Hull City vs Liverpool+1.9+0.2-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Manchester City vs Swansea City-0.8+0.3+2.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Swansea City vs Southampton+1.9*-0.0-1.0
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace-1.2-0.2+1.5
Manchester United vs Hull City-0.5+0.2+1.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur+2.0+0.3-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Middlesbrough vs West Brom+1.1*-0.0-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Middlesbrough-0.4+0.2+1.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland+0.5-0.7-0.1
Arsenal vs Watford-0.2+0.1+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Watford vs Burnley+0.3*+0.0-0.3
Everton vs Bournemouth-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Leicester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
6916-0-0No37.7%063141192No1,114
6615-0-1NoNo100No1
6313-3-0NoNo3367No3*
6213-2-1No7.7815154615No13
6113-1-2NoNo3224431No36*
6012-3-1NoNo649431No83*
5912-2-2NoNo637553No194*
5811-4-1NoNo13455100No482*
5711-3-2NoNo12560141No922*
5611-2-3NoNo015572520No1,976*
5510-4-2NoNo08523540No3,744*
5410-3-3NoNo044542910No7,150*
5310-2-4NoNo233481620No12,520*
529-4-3NoNo1224824400No21,386*
519-3-4NoNo0134433910No35,436*
508-5-3NoNo06334017300No55,741*
498-4-4NoNo03223927810No85,775*
488-3-5NoNo0112333516300No125,301*
477-5-4NoNo052337268100No176,760*
467-4-5NoNo0213313417400No242,334*
457-3-6NoNo015213627910No318,508*
446-5-5NoNo00211303518400No402,386*
436-4-6NoNo005193629910No490,684*
426-3-7NoNo00192938204000.0%275,763
5-6-5NoNo001103037183000.0300,531*
415-5-6NoNo00041938308100.0648,185*
405-4-7NoNo00193139172000.1703,948*
394-6-6NoNo0042141286000.4357,321
5-3-8NoNo0032041297100.5378,318*
384-5-7NoNo00110353814201.8463,533*
5-2-9NoNo001103438142001.9272,679*
374-4-8NoNo0042342255005.6430,920
3-7-6NoNo0042542245005.0275,687*
363-6-7NoNo001143834111012.2320,713
4-3-9NoNo01133735121013.3330,842*
353-5-8NoNo0062841214025.0568,653*
343-4-9NoNo0021739329141.4476,934*
332-6-8NoNo019314017259.6380,022*
322-5-9NoNo003214228575.9285,576*
312-4-10NoNo011137391187.7202,995*
302-3-11NoNo00527462194.8137,004*
291-5-10NoNo0217473498.284,906*
281-4-11NoNo009414999.649,400*
271-3-12NoNo004326499.926,316*
260-5-11NoNo012376100.012,625*
250-4-12NoNo11585Yes5,371*
240-3-13NoNo0793Yes1,995*
230-2-14NoNo0496Yes529
220-1-15NoNo100Yes117
210-0-16NoNo0100Yes1,128
Total:No0.0%00000001246101317171395215.7%8,974,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship