"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks 4 Devils 3 +1.2
+0.3
Devils 2 D2 1 +0.8
-0.1
Oilers 4 Grizzlies 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Wolfpack vs Ducks-1.4-0.9+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.1
Ducks vs Bandidos+0.2-0.6-0.9
+0.1-0.1-0.4
Eagles vs Crusaders-0.6-0.4+0.1
Grizzlies vs Eagles+0.1-0.4-0.5
Grizzlies vs D2+0.1-0.2-0.4
D2 vs Devils-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Jays vs Oilers+0.1+0.0-0.1
Jays vs Oilers+0.1+0.0-0.1
Devils vs Jays-0.1-0.0+0.1
Crusaders vs Devils+0.0-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
D2 vs Ducks-0.6-0.1+0.3
-0.4-0.1+0.2
Crusaders vs Eagles+0.1-0.4-0.6
D2 vs Crusaders-0.5-0.3+0.1
Eagles vs Jays-0.3-0.2+0.2
Grizzlies vs Ducks-0.1*+0.0+0.3
-0.2+0.2+0.4
Devils vs Eagles+0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bandidos vs Devils+0.2+0.1-0.1
Oilers vs Grizzlies-0.2-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLTplayoffs12345678910Count
286-000In0425710371,394
275-001In033662051,941
265-010In010751512,953,914
4-002In10761302,946
254-011In0569252319,602
3-003In56622774
244-020100.0%0042441308,418,350
3-012In142441312,612
2-004In50502
233-021100.002450250645,059
2-013In284825235
223-030100.00104149010,078,625
2-022100.00104149017,304
1-014In33673
212-03199.83277000507,491
1-023In12673180
202-04099.611484004,975,649
1-03299.61148508,107
0-024In1002
191-04195.8049240149,113
0-033In49627
181-05094.5029350964,487
0-04294.1292601,118
170-05174.17424213,331
160-06069.56928365,454
Total:99.6%022532400029,557,020
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs