"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 4 Tottenham 0 -1.2
+1.2
West Brom 0 Man United 3 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Tottenham vs Arsenal-2.7-1.5+2.6
-7.2-0.2+5.0
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Aston Villa vs Chelsea+2.4+1.0-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Hull vs Man City+0.7+0.4-0.5
+0.3+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Man United vs Liverpool+0.5+0.2-0.6
-0.6+0.3+0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Everton vs Cardiff-1.0+1.5+2.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
8910-0-098.5%Yes982No8,656
879-1-088.9Yes89110No39,782
869-0-171.3Yes712810No48,018
858-2-067.2Yes673120No97,415
848-1-144.3Yes444880No229,000
837-3-037.3Yes3750120No139,644
8-0-225.5Yes2656181No129,491
827-2-118.9Yes1954252No484,551
817-1-28.3100.0%8473960No536,389
6-4-013.0Yes1349334No130,008
806-3-15.0100.053846110No588,138
7-0-33.1100.033450130No192,330
796-2-21.6100.022552210No966,065
5-5-02.8100.032950180No81,964
786-1-30.499.901451340No678,401
5-4-10.7100.011751310No455,244
775-3-20.299.709464500No978,670
6-0-40.199.50744480No173,637
4-6-00.399.901147410No35,823
765-2-30.098.804365810No1,019,469
4-5-10.199.405395610No232,882
754-4-20.097.902286820No627,353*
5-1-40.096.8022669300No513,760
744-3-30.094.201187560No843,088
5-0-5No92.111775800No100,153
3-6-10.096.201207540No79,347
734-2-4No87.1011761200No630,092
3-5-2No90.501278900No249,113*
723-4-3No80.806741810No416,846
4-1-5No76.405712220No243,608
2-7-1No85.207781410No17,205
713-3-4No66.903642940No409,187
2-6-2No72.703702520No61,014
4-0-6No61.902603350No38,319*
703-2-5No51.101504090No233,906
2-5-3No56.901563660No125,232*
692-4-4No39.9040451410No148,598
3-1-6No36.2036461710No81,012*
682-3-5No24.2024462640No121,407*
1-6-3No29.402946213No19,729*
672-2-6No13.2013413790No51,574
1-5-4No16.3016433370No29,096*
661-4-5No6.9073344160No41,573*
651-3-6No3.232247271No19,785*
641-2-7No1.1112434030No8,662*
630-4-6No0.305365270No3,257*
620-3-7NoNo22261150No1,016*
610-2-8NoNo01460241No339
600-1-9NoNo64252No52
590-0-10NoNo2365110No1,540
Total:4.4%91.3%415294372000No12,361,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship