"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
UFA Norcross 99B Premier Title Chances Fall2016
Beat SSA Che Eli 3-1, title odds up 14.3 to 49.9%
25 points 5-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SSA Che Eli 1 UFA Norcross 99 3 | +11.4 | +17.1 | +0.5 | |||
| SSA Che Eli 2 Inter Atlanta F 1 | +2.7 | +2.6 | +0.1 | |||
| GS 99B Gold 1 UFA 99B Red 5 | -2.1 | +1.3 | ||||
| SSA Che Pre Bl 2 GSA 99 Premier 2 | +0.1 | +1.4 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UFA Norcross 99 vs KSA 99 Elite | +4.1-17.5-23.1 | +2.8-10.5-23.7 | +0.1-0.3-0.7 | |||
| Atlanta Fire - vs Inter Atlanta F | +0.2+0.2-0.1 | +1.5+1.4-0.9 | ||||
| GSA 99 Premier vs GS 99B Gold | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | +2.5+2.5-5.8 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UFA Norcross 99 finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 37 | -40 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 29,714,930 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 36.0 | % | Yes | 36 | 64 | No | 25,718,693 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 38.9 | Yes | 39 | 61 | No | 3,833,191 | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4.9 | 91.9 | % | 5 | 87 | 8 | 0 | No | 12,484,362 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.9 | 75.5 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 1 | No | 337,187 | |||||||||||
| 30 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 73.4 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 2 | No | 7,083,190 | |||||||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 65.2 | 65 | 31 | 4 | No | 1,466,162 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 6.4 | 6 | 40 | 39 | 13 | 1 | No | 1,454,478 | ||||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 38 | 13 | No | 207,227 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 49.9 | % | 93.9 | % | 50 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,299,420 | ||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:02 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
