Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays at Hurricanes, playoff odds up 0.2 to 99.9%

79 points 35 18-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	*-0.0
Panthers 2 Stars 4					+0.2
Kings 4 Canadiens 3					+0.1

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6			+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1		+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Wings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

114	-115						In		49.8	%	100																617	*
113		17	1		-	0	In		29.7		98	1	1														1,207	*
112		16	1		-	1	In		20.9		95	2	3														3,205	*
111		15	1		-	2	In		13.7		88	4	7														9,012	*
110		15	2		-	1	In		7.3		77	9	13	0	0												18,463	*
109		14	2		-	2	In		3.2		64	15	21	0	0												38,953	*
108		14	3		-	1	In		1.2		46	22	31	1	0												66,010	*
107		13	3		-	2	In		0.3		28	27	41	3	1	0											62,839
		14	4		-	0	In		0.3		29	27	40	3	1												48,242	*
106		13	4		-	1	In		0.0		16	27	47	8	2	0											97,631
		12	3		-	3	In		0.0		13	28	46	10	3	0											61,465	*
105		12	4		-	2	In		0.0		6	23	46	19	6	0	0										128,171
		13	5		-	0	In		0.0		6	24	46	18	6	0											95,582	*
104		12	5		-	1	In		No		2	18	39	30	10	1	0										158,097
		11	4		-	3	In		No		2	17	36	34	11	1	0										115,834	*
103		11	5		-	2	In		No		0	11	25	44	17	3	0										188,314
		12	6		-	0	In		No		1	11	28	41	17	2	0										82,423
		10	4		-	4	In		No		0	10	22	46	18	4	0										59,608	*
102		11	6		-	1	In		No		0	6	15	49	23	7	0										194,606
		10	5		-	3	In		No		0	5	12	50	23	9	0										158,445	*
101		10	6		-	2	In		No		0	3	6	48	25	18	0										211,390
		11	7		-	0	In		No		0	3	7	48	26	16	0										86,008
		9	5		-	4	In		No		0	2	5	48	25	21	0										72,588	*
100		10	7		-	1	In		No		0	1	2	42	25	30	0										186,185
		9	6		-	3	In		No		0	1	2	41	23	34	0										161,592	*
99		9	7		-	2	In		No			0	1	32	20	47	0	0									181,897
		10	8		-	0	In		No			0	1	33	21	45	0	0									72,193
		8	6		-	4	In		No			0	0	30	18	51	1										64,921	*
98		9	8		-	1	In		No			0	0	23	15	61	1	0									158,987	*
		8	7		-	3	In		No			0	0	22	13	63	1										105,734	*
97		8	8		-	2	In		No			0	0	15	9	73	3	0									121,388
		9	9		-	0	In		No			0	0	15	9	73	3	0									92,780	*
96		8	9		-	1	In		No			0	0	9	6	79	6	0									84,102
		7	8		-	3	In		No			0	0	9	4	81	6	0									73,432	*
95		7	9		-	2	In		No			0		5	3	81	11	0									113,171	*
94		7	10		-	1	100.0	%	No					3	1	77	18	1	0								72,751	*
93		6	10		-	2	100.0		No					1	0	70	26	2	0								45,976	*
92		6	11		-	1	99.8		No					0	0	59	35	5	0								25,848	*
91		5	11		-	2	99.3		No					0	0	45	43	12	1	0							14,466	*
90		5	12		-	1	97.0		No					0		32	44	21	3	0							7,161	*
89		4	12		-	2	91.2		No							19	37	35	8	1	0						3,568	*
88		4	13		-	1	78.2		No							13	25	40	19	3	0						1,461	*
87		3	13		-	2	59.4		No							6	15	39	32	8	1						626	*
86		3	14		-	1	36.4		No							2	5	29	34	26	3						231	*
85		2	14		-	2	17.9		No							1	1	15	40	35	7						84	*
84		2	15		-	1	7.1		No									7	14	36	43						14	*
83		1	15		-	2	16.7		No									17	17	33	17	17					6	*
82		1	16		-	1	Out		No										50		50						2
81		1	17		-	0	Out		No												100						1
79		0	18		-	0	Out		No											5	67	26	2				293

Total:							99.9	%	0.2	%	4	8	15	28	14	29	2	0	0	0	0	0	0				3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Panthers 2 Stars 4	-0.3
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Flames	-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.7
Hurricanes vs Wild	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

115	18	0		-	0	53	47
114	17	0		-	1	45	55
113	17	1		-	0	30	68	1		1
112	16	1		-	1	21	74	2		3
111	15	1		-	2	14	74	4	0	7	0
110	15	2		-	1	7	70	9	0	12	1	0		0
109	14	2		-	2	3	60	14	1	19	2	0		0
108	14	3		-	1	1	45	20	2	25	6	1		0
107	13	3		-	2	0	28	22	5	29	11	3		1		0
106	13	4		-	1	0	16	20	8	29	18	8	0	2		0
	12	3		-	3	0	13	20	8	27	19	10	0	3		0
105	12	4		-	2	0	6	14	9	22	24	19	0	6		0		0
	13	5		-	0	0	6	14	10	23	23	18	0	6		0
104	12	5		-	1		2	8	9	15	24	30	0	10	0	1		0
	11	4		-	3		2	8	9	12	23	33	0	11		1		0
103	11	5		-	2		0	4	7	6	19	43	1	17	0	3		0
	12	6		-	0		1	4	8	8	20	40	1	17	0	2		0
	10	4		-	4		0	3	6	5	17	45	1	18	0	4		0
102	11	6		-	1		0	1	5	3	12	47	2	23	0	7		0
	10	5		-	3		0	1	4	2	10	47	3	23	0	9		0
101	10	6		-	2		0	0	2	1	5	43	6	25	0	18		0
	11	7		-	0		0	0	3	1	6	43	5	26	0	16		0
	9	5		-	4		0	0	2	0	4	41	6	24	0	21		0
100	10	7		-	1		0	0	1	0	2	32	9	24	0	31		0
	9	6		-	3		0	0	1	0	2	32	10	22	0	33	0	0
99	9	7		-	2			0	0	0	1	21	11	19	1	47	0	0		0
	10	8		-	0			0	0	0	1	21	11	20	1	45	0	0		0
	8	6		-	4			0	0	0	0	18	12	17	1	51	0	1
98	9	8		-	1			0	0	0	0	12	12	13	2	60	0	1	0	0
	8	7		-	3				0		0	10	12	11	2	63	0	1		0
97	8	8		-	2			0	0		0	5	10	7	2	73	0	3	0	0
	9	9		-	0				0		0	5	10	7	2	73	0	3	0	0
96	8	9		-	1				0		0	2	7	4	2	78	1	6	0	0
	7	8		-	3				0		0	2	7	3	2	79	2	6	0	0
95	7	9		-	2				0			1	4	1	1	77	4	11	0	0
94	7	10		-	1							0	2	0	1	69	9	17	1	1		0
93	6	10		-	2							0	1	0	0	55	15	23	4	2		0
92	6	11		-	1							0	0	0	0	38	21	27	8	5	0	0
91	5	11		-	2								0		0	23	22	27	16	11	0	1	0
90	5	12		-	1								0			11	20	22	22	20	0	3	0
89	4	12		-	2											4	15	11	26	32	2	8	1	0
88	4	13		-	1											2	11	4	21	34	6	19	3	0
87	3	13		-	2											1	5	1	13	27	12	32	8	1
86	3	14		-	1												2	0	5	16	13	33	25	6
85	2	14		-	2												1		1	5	11	30	38	12	2
84	2	15		-	1															7		7	29	36	21
83	1	15		-	2																17	17	17	33		17
82	1	16		-	1																	50			50
81	1	17		-	0																					100
79	0	18		-	0																			3	12	35	34	12	3

Total:						0	4	4	3	6	8	23	5	13	1	28	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0