Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 2014-2015Lost to Blackhawks 4-11, playoff odds down 6.3 to 4.6% 63 points 27 28-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Flyers 1 Blues 6 | -0.5 | | | | Coyotes 3 Canucks 1 | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | Panthers 2 Stars 4 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so) | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Hurricanes vs Wild | +0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.5-0.6-0.5 | | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Avalanche finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 15 | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | | | | | 44 | 33 | 23 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 315 | | 92 | | 14 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | | | | | 17 | 38 | 38 | 7 | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 91 | | 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | No | | | | | 9 | 39 | 40 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | 397 | * | 90 | | 13 | 1 | - | 1 | 98.5 | | No | | | | | 2 | 29 | 39 | 29 | 1 | | | | | | | | 1,235 | * | 89 | | 12 | 1 | - | 2 | 96.1 | | No | | | | | 1 | 22 | 33 | 40 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 3,821 | * | 88 | | 12 | 2 | - | 1 | 88.5 | | No | | | | | 0 | 13 | 25 | 51 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | 9,223 | * | 87 | | 11 | 2 | - | 2 | 78.2 | | No | | | | | 0 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 20,867 | * | 86 | | 11 | 3 | - | 1 | 61.6 | | No | | | | | | 3 | 8 | 51 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 40,384 | * | 85 | | 10 | 3 | - | 2 | 43.1 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 38 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 43,119 | | | 11 | 4 | - | 0 | 43.7 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 39 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 30,978 | * | 84 | | 10 | 4 | - | 1 | 27.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 25 | 47 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 67,087 | | | 9 | 3 | - | 3 | 24.4 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 47 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 50,677 | * | 83 | | 9 | 4 | - | 2 | 13.3 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 42 | 34 | 10 | 1 | | | | | 104,084 | | | 10 | 5 | - | 0 | 15.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 33 | 9 | 1 | | | | | 41,293 | | | 8 | 3 | - | 4 | 11.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 36 | 11 | 1 | | | | | 33,493 | * | 82 | | 9 | 5 | - | 1 | 5.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 3 | | | | | 128,906 | | | 8 | 4 | - | 3 | 5.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 42 | 21 | 3 | | | | | 111,411 | * | 81 | | 8 | 5 | - | 2 | 1.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 0 | | | | 178,945 | | | 9 | 6 | - | 0 | 2.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 0 | | | | 66,472 | | | 7 | 4 | - | 4 | 1.6 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 0 | | | | 63,914 | * | 80 | | 8 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 41 | 16 | 0 | | | | 184,235 | | | 7 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 0 | | | | 170,865 | * | 79 | | 7 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 29 | 0 | | | | 224,411 | | | 8 | 7 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 45 | 26 | 0 | | | | 81,749 | | | 6 | 5 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 32 | 0 | | | | 83,914 | * | 78 | | 7 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 43 | 0 | | | | 199,064 | | | 6 | 6 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 46 | 0 | | | | 187,278 | * | 77 | | 6 | 7 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 1 | | | | 210,439 | | | 7 | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 57 | 1 | | | | 77,432 | | | 5 | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 1 | | | | 78,432 | * | 76 | | 6 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 71 | 2 | | | | 163,830 | | | 5 | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 74 | 2 | | | | 148,558 | * | 75 | | 5 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 81 | 4 | | | | 147,254 | | | 6 | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 79 | 4 | | | | 60,440 | * | | 4 | 7 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 82 | 5 | | | | 46,540 | * | 74 | | 5 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 83 | 8 | | | | 101,021 | | | 4 | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 84 | 9 | | | | 83,986 | * | 73 | | 4 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 82 | 14 | | | | 75,070 | | | 5 | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 82 | 14 | | | | 54,516 | * | 72 | | 4 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 77 | 21 | | | | 46,858 | | | 3 | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 76 | 22 | | | | 33,591 | * | 71 | | 3 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 69 | 31 | | | | 47,475 | * | 70 | | 3 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 58 | 41 | | | | 24,209 | * | 69 | | 2 | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 48 | 52 | | | | 11,894 | * | 68 | | 2 | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 36 | 63 | | | | 4,815 | * | 67 | | 1 | 12 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 27 | 73 | | | | 1,918 | * | 66 | | 1 | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 84 | | | | 576 | * | 65 | | 1 | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | 85 | | | | 190 | * | 64 | | 0 | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | | | | 44 | | 63 | | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | | | | 295 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4.6 | % | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 40 | 3 | | | | 3,547,580 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Panthers 2 Stars 4 | +0.1 | | Coyotes 3 Canucks 1 | -0.1 | | Bruins 3 Flames 4 | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Hurricanes vs Wild | -0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Devils vs Blue Jackets | +0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 15 | 0 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 44 | 0 | 32 | 21 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 14 | 0 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 38 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 14 | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 0 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 13 | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 29 | 12 | 26 | 23 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 12 | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 12 | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 13 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 11 | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 7 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 86 | | 11 | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 85 | | 10 | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 12 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 13 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 84 | | 10 | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 9 | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 83 | | 9 | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10 | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8 | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 82 | | 9 | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8 | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 81 | | 8 | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 9 | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 7 | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 80 | | 8 | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 7 | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 79 | | 7 | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 8 | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 6 | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | 78 | | 7 | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 40 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 6 | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 77 | | 6 | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 7 | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 5 | 6 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | 76 | | 6 | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 5 | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 75 | | 5 | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 6 | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 46 | 30 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 4 | 7 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 33 | 5 | 0 | | | | 74 | | 5 | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | 4 | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | 73 | | 4 | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 48 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | 72 | | 4 | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 3 | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 71 | | 3 | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | 70 | | 3 | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 0 | | 69 | | 2 | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 1 | | 68 | | 2 | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 4 | | 67 | | 1 | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 39 | 10 | | 66 | | 1 | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 28 | 50 | 15 | | 65 | | 1 | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 21 | 49 | 27 | | 64 | | 0 | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 52 | 32 | | 63 | | 0 | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 40 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
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