Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays Flames, playoff odds down 3.8 to 60.3%

66 points 29 25-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+1.5
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.7		-0.1
Panthers 2 Stars 4	-0.4
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hurricanes vs Wild	+1.9-0.4-0.4-3.2-3.0-3.2		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

100	17	0		-	0	In		No			11	4	85	1											301
99	16	0		-	1	In		No			2	2	94	2											54
98	16	1		-	0	In		No			2	2	92	4											254	*
97	15	1		-	1	In		No			1	2	85	11	0										824	*
96	14	1		-	2	In		No			0	1	79	19	1	0									2,570	*
95	14	2		-	1	In		No			0	0	63	34	3	0									6,012	*
94	13	2		-	2	In		No			0	0	48	47	5	0									14,275	*
93	13	3		-	1	In		No				0	30	58	11	1									27,849	*
92	12	3		-	2	100.0	%	No				0	16	62	17	4	0								52,285	*
91	12	4		-	1	100.0		No				0	7	60	23	9	0								85,615	*
90	11	4		-	2	99.9		No				0	3	52	26	19	0								77,669
	12	5		-	0	99.9		No				0	3	52	26	19	0								56,220	*
89	11	5		-	1	99.6		No				0	1	41	26	32	0								110,130	*
	10	4		-	3	99.5		No				0	1	38	27	34	1	0							76,799
88	10	5		-	2	98.4		No					0	28	23	47	2	0							142,205
	9	4		-	4	98.4		No					0	28	23	47	2	0							106,202	*
87	10	6		-	1	95.6		No					0	19	17	59	4	0							147,449
	9	5		-	3	94.6		No					0	16	18	61	5	0							152,908	*
86	9	6		-	2	88.7		No					0	10	12	67	11	1	0						197,217
	8	5		-	4	87.3		No					0	8	11	67	12	1	0						75,867
	10	7		-	0	89.4		No					0	11	11	67	10	0	0						74,725	*
85	9	7		-	1	77.8		No						5	7	66	20	2	0						208,251	*
	8	6		-	3	76.6		No					0	4	6	66	21	2	0	0					157,379
84	8	7		-	2	61.9		No						2	3	57	32	6	0	0					208,914
	7	6		-	4	59.3		No						2	3	55	34	7	0	0					82,517
	9	8		-	0	63.3		No						2	3	58	31	5	0	0					77,370	*
83	8	8		-	1	45.5		No						1	1	43	41	12	1	0					161,773
	7	7		-	3	42.5		No						1	1	41	42	14	2	0					178,143	*
82	7	8		-	2	27.6		No						0	0	27	44	24	5	0					169,328
	6	7		-	4	25.1		No						0	0	25	44	25	5	0					66,343
	8	9		-	0	28.6		No						0	0	28	43	23	5	0					63,935	*
81	7	9		-	1	15.3		No						0	0	15	39	34	11	1	0				116,715
	6	8		-	3	13.4		No						0	0	13	37	35	13	1					125,887	*
80	6	9		-	2	6.3		No						0	0	6	27	40	23	4	0				106,070
	5	8		-	4	6.3		No						0	0	6	27	40	23	4					80,124	*
79	6	10		-	1	2.3		No							0	2	16	38	34	9	0				65,919
	5	9		-	3	1.9		No						0		2	15	37	36	11	0				66,027	*
78	5	10		-	2	0.6		No								1	7	28	43	21	0				88,320	*
77	5	11		-	1	0.1		No								0	3	17	44	35	0				54,510	*
76	4	11		-	2	0.0		No								0	1	8	38	52	1				31,560	*
75	4	12		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	3	27	67	3				16,450	*
74	3	12		-	2	Out		No									0	1	17	77	5				8,318	*
73	3	13		-	1	Out		No										0	8	81	11				3,646	*
72	2	13		-	2	Out		No											4	77	19				1,532	*
71	2	14		-	1	Out		No											2	68	30				553	*
70	1	14		-	2	Out		No											1	59	40				190	*
69	1	15		-	1	Out		No												52	48				63	*
68	1	16		-	0	Out		No												63	37				19	*
67	0	16		-	1	Out		No												100					1
66	0	17		-	0	Out		No												19	81				293

Total:						60.3	%	No			0	0	1	12	9	38	20	11	6	3	0				3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flyers 1 Blues 6	+0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hurricanes vs Wild	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

100	17	0		-	0					0	10	1	2	25	60	1	0
99	16	0		-	1						2	2		19	76	2
98	16	1		-	0						2	1	2	11	81	3	1
97	15	1		-	1						1		2	4	81	5	5	0
96	14	1		-	2						0		1	1	78	6	12	1	0	0
95	14	2		-	1						0		0	0	63	7	27	3	0	0
94	13	2		-	2						0		0	0	48	5	41	4	1	0
93	13	3		-	1								0	0	30	3	55	8	3	1	0
92	12	3		-	2								0		16	2	61	11	7	4	0	0
91	12	4		-	1								0		7	1	59	11	12	9	1	0
90	11	4		-	2								0		3	0	52	9	18	16	3	0
	12	5		-	0								0		3	0	52	9	17	16	3	0
89	11	5		-	1								0		1	0	42	5	21	22	9	0	0
	10	4		-	3								0		1	0	37	5	22	24	10	1	0
88	10	5		-	2										0	0	28	2	21	25	22	1	0	0	0
	9	4		-	4										0	0	28	2	21	25	23	1	0	0
87	10	6		-	1										0	0	19	1	17	20	39	3	1	0	0
	9	5		-	3										0	0	16	1	17	20	41	4	1	0	0
86	9	6		-	2										0	0	10	0	11	12	56	7	4	1	0	0
	8	5		-	4										0	0	8	0	11	11	56	7	4	1	0	0
	10	7		-	0										0	0	11	0	11	12	55	6	3	1	0	0
85	9	7		-	1												5	0	7	5	62	8	9	5	1	0	0
	8	6		-	3										0		4	0	6	4	61	8	9	5	1	0	0
84	8	7		-	2												2		3	1	56	7	14	13	5	1	0	0
	7	6		-	4												2		3	1	54	6	14	14	6	1	0	0
	9	8		-	0												2		3	1	56	6	13	12	4	1	0
83	8	8		-	1												1		1	0	43	4	14	21	13	3	0	0
	7	7		-	3												1		1	0	41	3	13	22	15	4	0	0
82	7	8		-	2												0		0	0	27	1	9	23	26	11	2	0	0
	6	7		-	4												0		0	0	24	1	8	23	28	12	3	0	0
	8	9		-	0												0		0	0	29	1	9	23	25	10	2	0
81	7	9		-	1												0		0	0	15	0	3	17	32	23	8	1	0
	6	8		-	3												0		0		14	0	3	17	32	24	8	1	0	0
80	6	9		-	2												0		0	0	6	0	1	8	27	33	19	5	0	0
	5	8		-	4												0		0		6	0	1	8	26	33	20	5	0	0
79	6	10		-	1														0		2	0	0	3	15	32	31	14	2	0
	5	9		-	3												0				2	0	0	2	14	32	32	15	3	0
78	5	10		-	2																1		0	0	6	21	36	28	8	1	0
77	5	11		-	1																0			0	1	9	29	38	19	3	0
76	4	11		-	2																0				0	3	17	38	34	8	0	0
75	4	12		-	1																0				0	1	7	28	43	19	2	0
74	3	12		-	2																					0	2	17	43	32	6	0	0
73	3	13		-	1																						1	6	32	43	16	1	0
72	2	13		-	2																						0	2	20	43	27	7	0
71	2	14		-	1																								9	35	39	15	2
70	1	14		-	2																								5	29	35	27	4
69	1	15		-	1																									16	33	38	11	2
68	1	16		-	0																									11	37	21	21	11
67	0	16		-	1																											100
66	0	17		-	0																									0	8	30	50	12

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	1	0	12	1	7	7	31	3	5	8	9	7	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0