Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays Penguins, playoff odds up 15.1 to 62.8%

69 points 31 24-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	-1.9		-0.0
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+1.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Senators vs Sabres	-8.8-0.8-0.5+8.7+9.2+10.8		-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.4
Devils vs Blue Jackets	+1.5+0.4+0.6-0.9-1.4-1.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sabres finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

105	18	0		-	0	In		No	11	16	52	9	9		2										297
104	17	0		-	1	In		No		18	29	35	18												17
103	17	1		-	0	In		No		8	22	20	39	4	8										79	*
102	16	1		-	1	In		No		3	8	27	43	10	9										328	*
101	15	1		-	2	In		No		1	3	21	32	19	25										1,080	*
100	15	2		-	1	In		No		0	1	14	22	25	37	0									2,903	*
99	14	2		-	2	In		No		0	0	8	14	29	49	0									6,955	*
98	14	3		-	1	In		No		0	0	4	7	27	61	0									14,715	*
97	13	3		-	2	In		No		0		2	3	22	72	1									29,067	*
96	13	4		-	1	In		No				1	1	15	80	3									50,697	*
95	12	4		-	2	100.0	%	No				0	0	10	84	6	0								83,502	*
94	12	5		-	1	100.0		No				0	0	6	84	10	0								126,246	*
93	11	5		-	2	99.9		No				0	0	3	80	17	0								100,950
	10	4		-	4	99.8		No				0	0	3	80	17	0								77,545	*
92	11	6		-	1	99.5		No				0	0	1	74	24	1	0							104,258
	10	5		-	3	99.3		No				0	0	1	72	26	1	0							127,731	*
91	10	6		-	2	97.9		No					0	1	62	35	2	0	0						160,665
	9	5		-	4	97.7		No				0		1	61	36	2	0	0						127,469	*
90	9	6		-	3	93.4		No						0	48	45	6	0	0						147,736
	10	7		-	1	94.1		No						0	49	45	6	0	0						180,567	*
89	9	7		-	2	85.9		No						0	34	51	13	1	0						195,921
	8	6		-	4	84.1		No						0	32	52	14	1	0						90,639
	10	8		-	0	86.6		No						0	35	52	12	1	0						68,252	*
88	8	7		-	3	71.1		No						0	20	51	25	4	0	0					160,812
	9	8		-	1	72.5		No						0	21	52	24	4	0						194,772	*
87	8	8		-	2	54.4		No						0	11	44	35	10	1	0					187,922
	7	7		-	4	51.0		No						0	10	41	37	11	1	0					87,374
	9	9		-	0	55.7		No						0	11	44	34	9	1						65,858	*
86	7	8		-	3	33.3		No						0	4	29	42	21	3	0					136,644
	8	9		-	1	35.4		No						0	5	31	41	20	3	0					165,728	*
85	7	9		-	2	18.9		No						0	1	17	41	32	8	0					140,360
	6	8		-	4	18.0		No							1	17	40	33	9	0					114,023	*
84	6	9		-	3	7.5		No						0	0	7	30	42	20	1	0				88,597
	7	10		-	1	8.6		No							0	8	31	42	18	1	0				109,790	*
83	6	10		-	2	2.6		No							0	3	19	44	32	2	0				82,582
	5	9		-	4	2.7		No							0	3	18	43	34	2	0				65,197	*
82	6	11		-	1	0.7		No							0	1	9	37	48	5	0				101,464	*
81	5	11		-	2	0.1		No							0	0	3	26	58	12	0				66,102	*
80	5	12		-	1	0.0		No								0	1	15	62	21	1	0			39,189	*
79	4	12		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	7	57	33	3	0			22,496	*
78	4	13		-	1	Out		No									0	3	46	44	6	0			11,399	*
77	3	13		-	2	Out		No										1	33	54	12	0			5,452	*
76	3	14		-	1	Out		No										0	22	54	23	1	0		2,447	*
75	2	14		-	2	Out		No											10	52	34	3			960	*
74	2	15		-	1	Out		No											4	42	46	7	1		368	*
73	1	15		-	2	Out		No											6	31	45	17	1		95	*
72	1	16		-	1	Out		No												7	66	28			29	*
71	1	17		-	0	Out		No													57	29	14		7	*
70	0	17		-	1	Out		No														100			1
69	0	18		-	0	Out		No												2	18	41	33	6	293

Total:						62.8	%	No	0	0	0	0	0	1	32	29	17	12	7	1	0	0	0	0	3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	+0.1
Bruins 3 Flames 4	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Senators vs Sabres	+0.5+0.1+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.7
Devils vs Blue Jackets	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

105	18	0		-	0		11	8	7	39	13	9		9				2
104	17	0		-	1				18	6	24	35		18
103	17	1		-	0			1	6	6	15	19	1	39		4		8
102	16	1		-	1			1	2	2	6	25	2	43		10		9
101	15	1		-	2			0	1	1	2	18	3	31	0	19		25
100	15	2		-	1			0	0	0	1	10	4	22	1	25		37		0
99	14	2		-	2				0	0	0	5	3	13	1	29		49		0
98	14	3		-	1				0		0	2	2	6	1	27	0	61		0
97	13	3		-	2				0			1	1	2	1	22	0	72	0	1
96	13	4		-	1							0	1	1	0	15	0	80	1	3
95	12	4		-	2							0	0	0	0	9	1	82	2	6		0
94	12	5		-	1								0	0	0	5	1	80	4	10	0	0
93	11	5		-	2							0	0	0	0	2	1	72	9	17	0	0
	10	4		-	4								0		0	2	1	71	9	17	0	0
92	11	6		-	1								0	0	0	1	0	60	14	24	0	1	0
	10	5		-	3								0		0	1	0	57	16	26	0	1	0
91	10	6		-	2										0	0	0	42	20	35	0	2	0	0
	9	5		-	4								0			0	0	41	20	36	0	2	0	0
90	9	6		-	3											0	0	25	23	44	1	6	0	0
	10	7		-	1											0	0	26	23	44	1	6	0	0
89	9	7		-	2											0	0	13	21	49	3	13	1	0
	8	6		-	4											0	0	11	21	49	4	14	1	0
	10	8		-	0											0	0	14	21	49	3	12	1	0
88	8	7		-	3											0	0	5	16	44	7	24	4	0	0
	9	8		-	1											0	0	5	16	45	7	23	4	0	0
87	8	8		-	2											0	0	1	9	32	12	34	10	1	0	0
	7	7		-	4												0	1	9	29	12	36	12	1	0
	9	9		-	0												0	2	10	33	12	34	10	1	0
86	7	8		-	3												0	0	4	16	13	39	23	5	0	0
	8	9		-	1												0	0	4	17	14	39	21	4	0	0
85	7	9		-	2												0	0	1	6	11	34	33	12	2	0	0
	6	8		-	4													0	1	6	11	33	34	13	2	0	0
84	6	9		-	3												0	0	0	1	6	20	37	27	8	1	0	0
	7	10		-	1													0	0	2	7	21	37	25	7	1	0	0
83	6	10		-	2														0	0	2	9	29	35	18	5	1	0	0
	5	9		-	4														0	0	2	8	28	35	19	6	1	0
82	6	11		-	1														0	0	1	2	14	32	31	16	4	0	0
81	5	11		-	2														0	0	0	0	5	19	33	28	12	2	0	0
80	5	12		-	1																0	0	1	7	23	34	25	8	1	0
79	4	12		-	2																0	0	0	2	11	28	35	19	4	0
78	4	13		-	1																		0	0	4	15	34	33	12	2	0
77	3	13		-	2																			0	1	6	24	39	25	4	0
76	3	14		-	1																				0	2	12	34	38	13	1	0
75	2	14		-	2																					0	4	21	48	24	3
74	2	15		-	1																						0	12	38	40	9	1	0
73	1	15		-	2																							6	34	37	20	3
72	1	16		-	1																								10	52	38
71	1	17		-	0																									57		43
70	0	17		-	1																											100
69	0	18		-	0																								1	11	32	35	18	2

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	22	10	24	5	15	10	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0