Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays Senators, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.05%

59 points 28 33-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.2		-0.3
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	*-0.0
Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 3			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets			-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

91	16	0		-	0	99.0	%	No						1	65	32	1								294
90	15	0		-	1	In		No							100										2
89	14	0		-	2	68.8		No							16	53	31								32	*
88	14	1		-	1	52.1		No						1	15	37	37	10	1						144	*
87	13	1		-	2	35.8		No							8	28	44	18	2						517	*
86	13	2		-	1	21.8		No							2	20	38	31	9	1					1,531	*
85	12	2		-	2	8.7		No						0	1	8	32	37	19	3	0				3,952	*
84	12	3		-	1	2.9		No						0	0	3	19	39	31	9	0				9,182	*
83	11	3		-	2	0.7		No							0	1	9	30	41	19	1				19,583	*
82	11	4		-	1	0.1		No								0	3	19	43	33	2				36,577	*
81	10	4		-	2	0.0		No								0	1	9	37	48	5	0			64,922	*
80	9	4		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	4	26	60	10	0			104,434	*
79	9	5		-	2	Out		No									0	1	16	64	18	0			87,443
	8	4		-	4	Out		No									0	1	15	64	19	0			68,473	*
78	8	5		-	3	Out		No									0	0	8	62	30	0			98,168
	9	6		-	1	Out		No									0	0	8	62	29	0			115,499	*
77	8	6		-	2	Out		No									0	0	4	54	41	1	0		152,737
	7	5		-	4	Out		No										0	3	52	44	1	0		73,964
	9	7		-	0	Out		No										0	4	54	41	1			51,145	*
76	7	6		-	3	Out		No										0	1	42	54	3	0		152,131
	8	7		-	1	Out		No										0	1	43	53	2	0		177,393	*
75	7	7		-	2	Out		No										0	0	31	63	6	0	0	202,882
	6	6		-	4	Out		No											0	29	64	7	0		99,332
	8	8		-	0	Out		No											0	31	63	6	0		67,088	*
74	6	7		-	3	Out		No										0	0	19	68	12	0	0	176,393
	7	8		-	1	Out		No										0	0	21	68	11	0	0	156,699
	5	6		-	5	Out		No											0	17	69	14	0	0	47,622	*
73	6	8		-	2	Out		No											0	12	67	20	1	0	204,244
	5	7		-	4	Out		No											0	10	67	22	1	0	97,466
	7	9		-	0	Out		No											0	12	68	19	1	0	68,275	*
72	5	8		-	3	Out		No											0	6	60	32	3	0	150,660
	6	9		-	1	Out		No											0	6	61	30	3	0	179,829	*
71	5	9		-	2	Out		No												3	50	41	7	0	157,254
	4	8		-	4	Out		No												2	47	43	8	0	69,611
	6	10		-	0	Out		No												3	51	40	6	0	53,387	*
70	5	10		-	1	Out		No												1	38	49	12	1	97,569
	4	9		-	3	Out		No												1	34	50	14	1	117,616	*
69	4	10		-	2	Out		No												0	23	52	23	2	89,265
	3	9		-	4	Out		No												0	23	52	23	2	66,610	*
68	4	11		-	1	Out		No												0	14	49	33	4	50,412
	3	10		-	3	Out		No												0	12	47	36	5	51,022	*
67	3	11		-	2	Out		No												0	7	40	44	9	62,317	*
66	3	12		-	1	Out		No													3	29	51	17	34,192	*
65	2	12		-	2	Out		No													1	19	52	28	17,450	*
64	2	13		-	1	Out		No													0	11	49	40	7,481	*
63	1	13		-	2	Out		No														6	42	53	3,084	*
62	1	14		-	1	Out		No														3	31	66	1,030	*
61	1	15		-	0	Out		No														1	23	76	285	*
60	0	15		-	1	Out		No															21	79	71
59	0	16		-	0	Out		No															10	90	311

Total:						0.0	%	No						0	0	0	0	1	4	25	45	18	5	1	3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flyers 1 Blues 6	+0.6
Panthers 2 Stars 4	+0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.0
Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

91	16	0		-	0											1	1	47	18	32		1
90	15	0		-	1													100
89	14	0		-	2													3	13	53		31
88	14	1		-	1												1	2	13	33	4	37	10	1
87	13	1		-	2													1	7	22	6	44	18	2	0
86	13	2		-	1													0	2	13	7	36	32	10	1
85	12	2		-	2												0	0	1	4	4	29	36	21	5	0	0
84	12	3		-	1												0	0	0	1	2	14	34	32	14	3	0
83	11	3		-	2														0	0	1	5	21	35	27	10	2	0	0
82	11	4		-	1															0	0	1	8	25	34	22	8	1	0	0
81	10	4		-	2																0	0	2	12	28	32	19	6	1	0
80	9	4		-	3																0	0	0	3	15	31	32	16	3	0
79	9	5		-	2																		0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1	0
	8	4		-	4																		0	1	5	19	34	29	11	1	0
78	8	5		-	3																		0	0	1	8	26	37	23	5	0
	9	6		-	1																		0	0	1	9	26	37	22	4	0
77	8	6		-	2																		0	0	0	3	15	35	35	12	0	0
	7	5		-	4																			0	0	2	13	34	37	13	0	0
	9	7		-	0																			0	0	3	15	35	35	11	0	0
76	7	6		-	3																				0	0	5	24	43	26	2	0
	8	7		-	1																				0	1	6	26	43	23	1	0	0
75	7	7		-	2																			0	0	0	2	13	41	39	5	0	0
	6	6		-	4																					0	1	12	39	42	6	0	0
	8	8		-	0																					0	2	14	41	39	4	0
74	6	7		-	3																					0	0	5	29	52	12	1	0
	7	8		-	1																					0	0	6	31	51	11	1	0
	5	6		-	5																					0	0	4	27	53	14	1	0
73	6	8		-	2																					0	0	2	18	55	22	3	0	0
	5	7		-	4																						0	1	16	54	24	3	0
	7	9		-	0																						0	2	19	56	21	3	0
72	5	8		-	3																						0	0	8	48	35	8	1	0
	6	9		-	1																						0	0	9	50	33	7	1	0
71	5	9		-	2																					0		0	3	37	42	15	2	0
	4	8		-	4																							0	3	34	43	17	2	0
	6	10		-	0																							0	4	40	41	14	2	0
70	5	10		-	1																							0	1	25	44	25	5	0
	4	9		-	3																							0	1	21	44	28	6	0
69	4	10		-	2																								0	12	38	37	12	1
	3	9		-	4																							0	0	12	38	37	12	1
68	4	11		-	1																								0	6	29	42	21	2
	3	10		-	3																								0	5	26	43	24	3
67	3	11		-	2																								0	2	16	42	34	6
66	3	12		-	1																									1	8	34	44	13
65	2	12		-	2																									0	4	23	49	23
64	2	13		-	1																									0	1	14	49	36
63	1	13		-	2																										0	7	43	50
62	1	14		-	1																										0	4	31	65
61	1	15		-	0																											2	24	75
60	0	15		-	1																												23	77
59	0	16		-	0																												10	90

Total:																0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	11	19	29	16	8	3	1