How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)*-0.1
Predators 2 Islanders 5 +0.1
Kings 4 Canadiens 3 +0.1
Panthers 2 Stars 4 +0.1
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames+0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Wings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
113-115In76.2%100227*
112161-1In50.29810333*
111151-2In41.59721965*
110152-1In29.195412,240*
109142-2In18.288934,957*
108143-1In9.878166009,425*
107133-2In4.66524100017,432*
106134-1In1.84934171027,859*
105124-2In0.53340242024,599
135-0In0.53341242018,071*
104125-1In0.120433051030,615
114-3In0.118443162028,541*
103115-2In0.0840331440061,042*
126-0In0.094134123017,464*
102116-1In0.043332248046,412*
105-3InNo332302781047,364*
101106-2InNo1232437132062,240
95-4InNo1222140142024,464
117-0InNo1242436132023,465*
100107-1InNo0151645195055,050
96-3InNo0131447206062,310*
9997-2InNo087482512067,010
86-4InNo076482414027,608
108-0InNo098472411024,784*
9898-1InNo043432623163,635*
87-3InNo0434325251049,291
9788-2InNo213423382057,460
77-4InNo113322412023,839
99-0InNo213524362021,241*
9689-1InNo102520504039,763
78-3InNo002417545045,673*
9579-2InNo001612629038,527
68-4InNo001612639030,152*
94710-1InNo00976815128,899*
69-3100.0%No009669151021,749
93610-2100.0No005466233035,845*
92611-199.7No21593170023,496*
91511-298.5No104637151014,620*
90512-194.7No003435255008,389*
89412-284.6No021283514204,743*
88413-167.1No10174026712,233*
87313-246.7No5833361521,094*
86314-127.7No2323353070430*
85214-28.9No183141191190*
84215-11.5No1154633467*
83115-2OutNo1132471119*
82116-1OutNo2550254*
81117-0OutNo2550254
80017-1OutNo1001
79018-0OutNo224512399
Total:99.7%0.4%6151226132241000001,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers 2 Stars 4 -0.2
Kings 4 Canadiens 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Flames-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Hurricanes vs Wild+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
115180-08317
114170-17921
113171-06931
112161-1504810
111151-2415621
110152-129664010
109142-218699030
108143-110681605100
107133-25612328200
106134-124730411610
105124-2033337131120
135-0132338131120
104125-101931121317620
114-3018311313186020
103115-20824171023140400
102116-1041518725240800
105-3314176242608010
101106-2181632136113020
95-4171531938214020
117-0181632135113020
100107-1031211441419050
96-3031011342520060
9997-201707399240120
86-401606399230140
108-001808398240110
9898-10040331132512301
87-300403301324125010
9788-20211916222380200
77-401011716202410200
99-00201201622236020
9689-1101015163510400
78-3000915143530500
9579-200041293620900
94710-10018436711401
69-300184367214110
93610-200051262421230
92611-102015172657000
91511-201003511271015010
90512-100021132115250500
89412-2091212173321420
88413-1374133552671
87313-2141724935162
86314-102311123130920
85214-215322352491
84215-11925392211
83115-251621262111
82116-17525
81117-0502525
80017-1100
79018-0392738166
Total:0687392061212113010000000000