How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)-1.2
-0.0
Bruins 3 Flames 4 +1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators vs Sabres+6.7+5.3+4.7-3.8-4.1-11.4
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4
Devils vs Blue Jackets+1.4+0.5+0.3-0.9-1.0-1.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
106200-0InNo193044430302
105190-1InNo3393913538
104191-0InNo21629262212219*
103181-1InNo0916352875662*
102171-2InNo47352914112,070*
101172-1InNo13252823214,989*
100162-2InNo1116203033011,402*
99163-1InNo009113248021,854*
98153-2InNo00452961041,604*
97154-1InNo0222273168,473*
96144-2100.0%No011158120107,734*
95145-1100.0No0010864077,475
134-3100.0No009865075,172*
94135-2100.0No0058680117,766
124-4100.0No005868089,374*
93136-199.8No00383140145,459*
125-399.8No003831500109,932
92126-299.3No001762210223,822*
115-499.1No0174241079,066*
91127-197.6No0653220150,236
116-397.1No0623430180,089*
90117-292.7No04944700192,835
106-492.5No04844700154,304*
89107-382.4No032501620150,003
118-183.6No034501520187,813*
88108-268.6No020492650173,727
97-467.7No019492750140,718*
8798-348.1No0939381310121,260
109-150.0No01040371210152,008*
8699-230.4No0427422340125,702
88-429.6No0426422450101,925*
8589-313.9No113373712097,815*
910-116.6No1153835100077,258
84810-26.2No00627432210131,121*
83811-12.0No021643373090,122*
82711-20.5No01735517060,155*
81712-10.1No032360141037,002*
80612-20.0No011360252022,398*
79613-1OutNo0652375011,815*
78513-2OutNo0240471106,292*
77514-1OutNo1265221102,980*
76414-2OutNo0164933201,366*
75415-1OutNo8394581575*
74315-2OutNo32553172239*
73316-1OutNo115443972*
72216-2OutNo6443215334*
71217-1OutNo1471147*
70218-0OutNo1001
69118-1OutNo50502
66020-0OutNo053659293
Total:71.9%No00000343261495100003,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)+0.1
Bruins 3 Flames 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Senators vs Sabres-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.8
Devils vs Blue Jackets-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106200-0192292519430
105190-1324161326135
104191-026101217262212
103181-10273123322875
102171-213163132901411
101172-101022152702321
100162-20100115191300330
99163-100054101324800
98153-200023512906100
97154-1001112207301
96144-20010015180120
95145-100009182440
134-300008182450
94135-200004178980
124-4000041788800
93136-10002168151400
125-300021671615000
92126-200011542222010
115-4010512324010
91127-100372732020
116-300342834030
90117-2002029421700
106-4002028431700
89107-3009234641620
118-10010244641520
88108-20031641826500
97-4003164182650
8798-301827123714200
109-10192813361320
8699-2004131338256000
88-400413133925600
8589-301493036163000
910-101510303615300
84810-2001517362910200
83811-100262436228100
82711-20012112933195100
81712-100316313115300
80612-200162033281120
79613-101825352371
78513-20021231351730
77514-1014193730900
76414-201929392020
75415-1315403371
74315-2162747154
73316-1314442910
72216-2621472133
71217-114294314
70218-0100
69118-15050
66020-01113652
Total:00000000020291422412742110000000