Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays at Jets, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.9%

78 points 37 21-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.1		+0.2
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1			-0.0
Kings 4 Canadiens 3			-0.1

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6			-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	15	0		-	0	In		1.2	%	3	93	3	0													486
107	14	0		-	1	In		0.4		1	88	8	3													685
106	14	1		-	0	In		0.1		1	81	11	7													3,378	*
105	13	1		-	1	In		No		0	67	15	17	0												8,168	*
104	13	2		-	0	In		No		0	55	17	28	0												22,312	*
103	12	2		-	1	In		No		0	40	16	42	1												41,906	*
102	11	2		-	2	In		No		0	27	12	56	4												43,081
	12	3		-	0	In		No			28	13	55	3												38,581	*
101	11	3		-	1	In		No			17	9	66	7	0	0										88,983
	10	2		-	3	In		No			15	8	68	9												37,718	*
100	10	3		-	2	In		No			9	5	71	15	0	0										109,302
	11	4		-	0	In		No		0	10	6	71	13	0	0										69,879
	9	2		-	4	In		No			8	5	71	17	0	0										20,375	*
99	10	4		-	1	In		No			5	3	70	23	0	0										168,861
	9	3		-	3	In		No			4	2	68	25	0	0										87,935	*
98	9	4		-	2	In		No			2	1	62	34	0	0										185,947
	10	5		-	0	In		No			2	1	64	32	0	0										105,473
	8	3		-	4	In		No			2	1	59	37	1	0										41,793	*
97	9	5		-	1	In		No			1	0	53	44	1	1										231,248
	8	4		-	3	In		No			1	0	50	47	2	1										135,784	*
96	8	5		-	2	In		No			0	0	40	54	4	2										226,505
	9	6		-	0	In		No			0	0	42	53	3	2										119,234
	7	4		-	4	In		No			0	0	37	55	5	3										55,957	*
95	8	6		-	1	In		No			0	0	30	58	7	5	0									234,984
	7	5		-	3	In		No			0	0	27	58	9	6	0									146,000	*
94	7	6		-	2	In		No			0	0	19	57	14	10	0									201,935
	8	7		-	0	In		No			0	0	21	58	12	9	0									103,874
	6	5		-	4	In		No			0	0	17	54	17	12	0									51,798	*
93	7	7		-	1	In		No			0	0	12	51	20	17	0									179,082
	6	6		-	3	In		No			0	0	11	47	23	19	0									113,068	*
92	6	7		-	2	In		No			0		6	38	29	27	0									133,737
	7	8		-	0	In		No				0	7	41	26	26	0									69,298
	5	6		-	4	In		No					5	34	31	29	0									34,136	*
91	6	8		-	1	100.0	%	No					3	26	32	37	1	0								103,048
	5	7		-	3	100.0		No					3	23	34	40	1	0								63,402	*
90	5	8		-	2	100.0		No					1	14	33	48	3	0								65,064
	6	9		-	0	100.0		No					1	15	33	48	3	0								50,805	*
89	5	9		-	1	99.8		No					1	7	30	55	7	0	0							45,463
	4	8		-	3	99.8		No					0	6	29	55	9	0								25,298	*
88	4	9		-	2	99.2		No					0	2	23	56	17	1	0							42,520	*
87	4	10		-	1	96.8		No					0	1	16	51	28	3	0							21,354	*
86	3	10		-	2	90.8		No					0	0	10	39	41	9	1	0						11,174	*
85	3	11		-	1	77.6		No						0	6	25	47	20	3	0	0					4,736	*
84	2	11		-	2	60.0		No							3	14	43	31	8	1	0					1,999	*
83	2	12		-	1	41.5		No							2	6	34	41	16	2						605	*
82	2	13		-	0	19.1		No								2	17	44	28	9	1					246	*
81	1	13		-	1	9.8		No									10	27	29	29	4					51	*
80	1	14		-	0	11.1		No									11	11	44	17	17					18	*
79	0	14		-	1	Out		No												100						1
78	0	15		-	0	Out		No										2	19	48	30					293

Total:						99.9	%	0.0	%	0	3	2	36	37	10	11	1	0	0	0	0					3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	-0.4
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	+0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+0.1

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6	+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	+0.5+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	15	0		-	0	1	2	81	13	3		0
107	14	0		-	1	0	0	64	24	8	1	3
106	14	1		-	0	0	0	47	34	9	3	7
105	13	1		-	1		0	26	41	9	7	17	1	0
104	13	2		-	0		0	13	43	6	10	25	3	0	0
103	12	2		-	1		0	5	36	3	13	32	10	1	0
102	11	2		-	2		0	1	26	1	11	32	24	2	1
	12	3		-	0			1	27	1	12	32	22	2	1
101	11	3		-	1			0	17	0	9	26	40	3	4	0		0
	10	2		-	3			0	15	0	8	24	43	4	5
100	10	3		-	2			0	9	0	5	16	55	4	11	0	0	0
	11	4		-	0		0	0	10	0	6	18	53	4	9	0		0
	9	2		-	4			0	8	0	5	15	56	4	13	0	0	0
99	10	4		-	1			0	5	0	3	9	61	4	19	0	0	0	0
	9	3		-	3			0	4	0	2	8	61	3	22	0	0	0
98	9	4		-	2			0	2		1	3	58	2	32	0	0	0	0
	10	5		-	0			0	2		1	4	60	3	30	0	0	0	0
	8	3		-	4			0	2		1	3	56	2	35	0	0	0	0
97	9	5		-	1				1		0	1	51	1	43	0	1	1	0
	8	4		-	3				1		0	1	49	1	45	1	1	1	0
96	8	5		-	2				0		0	0	40	1	53	1	3	2	0
	9	6		-	0				0		0	0	42	1	52	1	2	2	0
	7	4		-	4				0		0	0	37	0	55	1	4	3	0
95	8	6		-	1				0		0	0	30	0	58	1	6	5	0	0
	7	5		-	3				0		0	0	27	0	58	1	8	5	0	0
94	7	6		-	2				0		0	0	19	0	56	1	13	9	2	0
	8	7		-	0				0		0	0	21	0	58	1	11	8	1	0
	6	5		-	4				0		0	0	17	0	54	1	16	10	2	0
93	7	7		-	1				0		0	0	12	0	51	1	19	13	4	0
	6	6		-	3				0		0		11	0	47	1	23	14	5	0	0
92	6	7		-	2				0				6		38	0	28	17	10	0	0
	7	8		-	0						0		7		41	0	26	16	9	0	0
	5	6		-	4								5		34	0	31	18	12	0	0
91	6	8		-	1								3		26	0	32	18	20	1	0	0
	5	7		-	3								3		23	0	34	18	22	1	0	0
90	5	8		-	2								1		14	0	33	15	33	3	1	0
	6	9		-	0								1		15	0	33	15	32	2	1	0
89	5	9		-	1								1		7	0	30	10	45	5	3	0	0
	4	8		-	3								0		6	0	29	10	46	6	3	0	0
88	4	9		-	2								0		2	0	23	5	52	8	9	1	0	0	0
87	4	10		-	1								0		1		16	2	50	8	20	2	1	0	0
86	3	10		-	2								0		0		10	0	39	5	36	5	3	1	0	0
85	3	11		-	1										0		6	0	25	2	44	6	9	5	2	0
84	2	11		-	2												3		14	1	43	4	13	15	7	1	0
83	2	12		-	1												2		6		34	2	11	22	19	4	1
82	2	13		-	0														2		17	1	7	18	31	17	4	2
81	1	13		-	1																10			12	24	33	16	6
80	1	14		-	0																11				17	22	33	6	11
79	0	14		-	1																							100
78	0	15		-	0																				3	14	31	35	14	1

Total:						0	0	0	3	0	1	4	31	1	36	1	10	6	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0