Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays Sharks, playoff odds down 0.01 to 99.9%

76 points 34 18-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	+0.1		+0.2
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1			-0.0
Bruins 3 Flames 4			-0.1

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6			-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames			+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

110	17	0		-	0	In		12.8	%	17	83															478
109	16	0		-	1	In		4.7		9	89	2	0													639
108	16	1		-	0	In		1.6		4	93	3	1													2,905	*
107	15	1		-	1	In		0.4		2	89	7	2													7,155	*
106	15	2		-	0	In		0.1		1	82	11	6													19,040	*
105	14	2		-	1	In		0.0		0	70	15	15	0												35,544	*
104	13	2		-	2	In		0.0		0	56	17	27	0												36,706
	14	3		-	0	In		No		0	59	16	25	0												33,292	*
103	13	3		-	1	In		No		0	42	15	41	1												108,790	*
102	12	3		-	2	In		No		0	29	12	56	2		0										94,345
	13	4		-	0	In		No		0	30	13	54	2												76,512	*
101	12	4		-	1	In		No			19	9	67	5	0	0										146,190
	11	3		-	3	In		No			16	8	70	6		0										78,472	*
100	11	4		-	2	In		No			10	5	74	10	0	0										165,045
	12	5		-	0	In		No			12	6	73	9	0	0										90,552
	10	3		-	4	In		No			9	5	75	12	0	0										39,030	*
99	11	5		-	1	In		No			5	3	75	17	0	0										205,742
	10	4		-	3	In		No			4	3	74	19	0	0										127,483	*
98	10	5		-	2	In		No			2	1	68	28	0	0										211,736
	11	6		-	0	In		No			3	1	70	26	0	0										106,579
	9	4		-	4	In		No			2	1	67	30	0	0										56,404	*
97	10	6		-	1	In		No			1	0	59	38	1	1										218,939
	9	5		-	3	In		No			1	0	57	40	1	1										149,401	*
96	9	6		-	2	In		No			0	0	46	48	3	2										203,200
	10	7		-	0	In		No			0	0	49	46	3	2										96,924
	8	5		-	4	In		No			0	0	43	50	4	3										58,836	*
95	9	7		-	1	In		No			0	0	35	54	7	5	0									180,444
	8	6		-	3	In		No			0	0	32	55	8	5										129,511	*
94	8	7		-	2	In		No			0	0	22	55	13	10	0									150,352
	9	8		-	0	In		No			0	0	25	55	12	9	0									69,583
	7	6		-	4	In		No				0	20	54	14	11	0									44,609	*
93	8	8		-	1	In		No			0	0	14	50	19	17	0									116,056
	7	7		-	3	In		No				0	13	48	21	18	0									84,695	*
92	7	8		-	2	In		No					7	39	26	27	0									85,991
	8	9		-	0	In		No					7	39	26	27	0									65,454	*
91	7	9		-	1	100.0	%	No					4	28	30	38	1	0								59,157
	6	8		-	3	100.0		No					3	26	31	40	1	0								41,841	*
90	6	9		-	2	100.0		No					1	15	31	49	3	0								66,519	*
89	6	10		-	1	99.8		No					0	8	28	57	7	0								38,928	*
88	5	10		-	2	99.2		No					0	3	22	58	16	1	0							23,059	*
87	5	11		-	1	96.7		No					0	1	15	53	27	3	0							11,260	*
86	4	11		-	2	89.8		No					0	0	9	42	39	9	1	0						5,605	*
85	4	12		-	1	77.2		No							5	28	44	19	3	0						2,586	*
84	3	12		-	2	60.3		No						0	2	16	42	30	9	1	0					1,059	*
83	3	13		-	1	40.1		No							1	8	31	35	21	4						431	*
82	2	13		-	2	16.7		No							1	1	14	38	36	9	1					162	*
81	2	14		-	1	8.8		No									9	26	32	32						34	*
80	2	15		-	0	Out		No										18	55	9	18					11	*
79	0	14		-	3	Out		No												100						1
76	0	17		-	0	Out		No											2	22	74	2				293

Total:						99.9	%	0.0	%	0	8	3	46	29	6	7	0	0	0	0	0	0				3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	-0.4
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.2
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+0.0

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6	+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

110	17	0		-	0	13	4	82	1
109	16	0		-	1	5	5	84	5	2		0
108	16	1		-	0	2	2	82	11	3	0	1
107	15	1		-	1	0	1	67	22	6	1	2
106	15	2		-	0	0	1	47	34	9	3	6	0
105	14	2		-	1	0	0	27	43	8	7	14	1	0	0
104	13	2		-	2	0	0	12	44	6	11	24	3	0	0
	14	3		-	0		0	14	45	6	10	22	3	0	0
103	13	3		-	1		0	4	38	3	13	30	11	1	0
102	12	3		-	2		0	1	28	1	12	30	26	1	1			0
	13	4		-	0		0	1	29	1	12	30	25	1	1
101	12	4		-	1			0	18	0	9	24	43	2	3	0		0
	11	3		-	3			0	16	0	8	23	46	2	3			0
100	11	4		-	2			0	10	0	5	15	60	3	8	0	0	0
	12	5		-	0			0	11	0	6	16	57	2	7	0	0	0
	10	3		-	4			0	9	0	5	13	61	3	9	0		0
99	11	5		-	1			0	5	0	3	8	67	2	15	0	0	0
	10	4		-	3			0	4	0	3	7	67	2	17	0	0	0
98	10	5		-	2			0	2	0	1	3	65	2	26	0	0	0	0
	11	6		-	0				3	0	1	4	66	2	24	0	0	0	0
	9	4		-	4				2		1	3	64	1	29	0	0	0	0
97	10	6		-	1				1		0	1	58	1	37	0	1	1	0
	9	5		-	3				1		0	1	56	1	39	0	1	1	0
96	9	6		-	2				0		0	0	46	0	48	1	2	2	0
	10	7		-	0				0		0	0	49	0	46	1	2	2	0
	8	5		-	4				0		0	0	43	0	50	1	3	3	0
95	9	7		-	1				0		0	0	35	0	54	1	6	4	0	0
	8	6		-	3				0		0	0	32	0	55	1	7	5	0
94	8	7		-	2				0		0	0	22	0	55	1	12	8	1	0
	9	8		-	0				0		0	0	25	0	55	1	11	8	1	0
	7	6		-	4						0	0	20	0	54	1	13	10	2	0
93	8	8		-	1				0		0		14	0	49	1	19	13	4	0
	7	7		-	3						0	0	13	0	48	1	20	13	5	0	0
92	7	8		-	2								7		38	0	26	17	11	0	0
	8	9		-	0								8		40	0	25	16	10	0
91	7	9		-	1								4		28	0	30	18	20	1	0	0
	6	8		-	3								3		26	0	30	18	21	1	0	0
90	6	9		-	2								1		15	0	31	16	33	2	0	0	0
89	6	10		-	1								0		8	0	28	11	46	5	2	0			0
88	5	10		-	2								0		3		22	5	53	8	8	1	0	0
87	5	11		-	1								0		1	0	15	2	52	8	19	2	1	0	0
86	4	11		-	2								0		0		9	0	42	5	34	5	3	1	0	0
85	4	12		-	1												5		28	2	42	6	9	6	2	0
84	3	12		-	2										0		2		16	0	42	6	12	14	6	2	0
83	3	13		-	1												1		8	0	31	2	10	21	18	8	1
82	2	13		-	2												1		1		14	2	6	20	31	16	7
81	2	14		-	1																9			9	24	26	32
80	2	15		-	0																			9	18	45	18	9
79	0	14		-	3																						100
76	0	17		-	0																					1	5	29	44	19	1

Total:						0	0	1	7	0	3	7	39	1	28	0	6	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0