Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays at Maple Leafs, playoff odds up 0.002 to 99.99%

83 points 38 18-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	-1.7		-0.3
Predators 2 Islanders 5	+0.3
Panthers 2 Stars 4			+0.1

Friday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6	+1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames			-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

117		17	0		-	0	In		77.7	%	100																1,719
116		16	0		-	1	In		65.4		100	0															3,413
115		16	1		-	0	In		55.9		100	0															14,248	*
114		15	1		-	1	In		44.2		100	0															27,085	*
113		15	2		-	0	In		33.4		99	1	0														37,513
		14	1		-	2	In		32.6		99	1	0														27,679	*
112		14	2		-	1	In		23.6		97	3	0														100,219	*
111		14	3		-	0	In		15.0		94	6	0														84,538
		13	2		-	2	In		15.0		93	7	0														91,168	*
110		13	3		-	1	In		8.8		88	12	0														174,780	*
		12	2		-	3	In		8.5		86	13	1		0												51,259
109		12	3		-	2	In		4.3		77	22	1	0	0												158,863
		13	4		-	0	In		4.3		78	21	1	0	0												132,182
		11	2		-	4	In		3.7		75	24	2	0													22,518	*
108		12	4		-	1	In		1.8		63	33	3	0	0												244,830
		11	3		-	3	In		1.6		61	35	4	0	0												96,131	*
107		11	4		-	2	In		0.5		45	47	7	0	0												208,292
		12	5		-	0	In		0.6		48	46	6	0	0												152,069
		10	3		-	4	In		0.5		43	48	8	1	0												36,058	*
106		11	5		-	1	In		0.1		30	57	11	2	0	0											258,577
		10	4		-	3	In		0.1		28	57	13	2	0	0											117,599	*
105		10	5		-	2	In		0.0		15	61	17	6	1	0											199,233
		11	6		-	0	In		0.0		16	62	16	5	1	0											134,036
		9	4		-	4	In		0.0		13	60	18	7	2	0											39,007	*
104		10	6		-	1	In		0.0		7	58	19	13	3	0	0										205,893
		9	5		-	3	In		0.0		6	55	19	15	4	0											101,276	*
103		9	6		-	2	In		No		2	46	17	27	7	1											143,084
		10	7		-	0	In		No		2	49	17	25	6	1											93,113	*
		8	5		-	4	In		No		2	43	16	29	8	1	0										28,443
102		9	7		-	1	In		No		1	35	12	38	11	3	0										126,026
		8	6		-	3	In		No		0	32	11	40	13	4	0										65,262	*
101		8	7		-	2	In		No		0	21	6	46	16	10	0										78,018
		9	8		-	0	In		No		0	22	7	46	16	10	0										66,560	*
100		8	8		-	1	In		No		0	13	3	46	18	20	0										60,791
		7	7		-	3	In		No		0	11	3	45	19	22	0										31,822	*
99		7	8		-	2	In		No			6	1	39	17	36	0										33,051
		8	9		-	0	In		No			6	1	40	17	35	0										28,100	*
98		7	9		-	1	In		No			3	0	30	14	52	1	0									34,256	*
97		6	9		-	2	In		No			1	0	21	9	66	3	0									19,888	*
96		6	10		-	1	In		No			0		13	6	75	6	0									10,033	*
95		5	10		-	2	In		No			0		7	3	79	11	0									5,041	*
94		5	11		-	1	In		No					4	1	77	17	1									2,059	*
93		4	11		-	2	In		No					2	0	69	27	2									993	*
92		4	12		-	1	In		No					0	1	56	37	6									350	*
91		4	13		-	0	99.3	%	No					1		40	47	12	1								139	*
90		3	13		-	1	In		No							30	42	28									53	*
89		3	14		-	0	93.3		No							7	53	33	7								15	*
88		2	14		-	1	In		No								67	33									3
86	-87						In		No									100									2	*
83		0	17		-	0	3.4		No									3	25	43	26	2					293

Total:							100.0	%	3.9	%	40	36	8	10	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0					3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	+0.5
Panthers 2 Stars 4	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Flames	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

117	17	0		-	0	78	22
116	16	0		-	1	65	35	0
115	16	1		-	0	56	44	0
114	15	1		-	1	44	55	0
113	15	2		-	0	33	66	1		0
	14	1		-	2	33	66	1		0
112	14	2		-	1	24	74	3	0	0
111	14	3		-	0	15	79	6	0	0	0
	13	2		-	2	15	78	6	0	0
110	13	3		-	1	9	79	12	0	0	0
	12	2		-	3	9	78	13	0	1	0			0
109	12	3		-	2	4	72	21	1	1	0	0		0
	13	4		-	0	4	73	20	1	1	0	0		0
108	12	4		-	1	2	62	30	3	3	0	0		0
	11	3		-	3	2	60	31	3	3	1	0		0
107	11	4		-	2	1	45	39	8	5	2	0		0
	12	5		-	0	1	47	38	8	5	1	0		0
	10	3		-	4	1	42	40	8	6	2	1		0
106	11	5		-	1	0	30	42	16	8	4	2		0		0
	10	4		-	3	0	27	42	15	8	5	2		0		0
105	10	5		-	2	0	15	37	24	9	8	6	0	1		0
	11	6		-	0	0	16	37	25	9	7	5	0	1		0
	9	4		-	4	0	13	36	24	9	9	7	0	2		0
104	10	6		-	1	0	7	27	30	8	11	13	0	3		0		0
	9	5		-	3	0	6	26	29	8	12	15	0	4		0
103	9	6		-	2		2	16	30	5	12	26	0	7	0	1
	10	7		-	0		2	17	32	5	12	24	0	6		1
	8	5		-	4		2	15	29	4	12	28	1	8		1		0
102	9	7		-	1		1	8	27	2	10	36	2	11	0	3		0
	8	6		-	3		0	7	25	2	9	38	2	13	0	4		0
101	8	7		-	2		0	3	18	1	5	41	5	16	0	10		0
	9	8		-	0		0	3	19	1	6	41	5	16	0	10		0
100	8	8		-	1		0	1	12	0	3	37	9	18	0	20		0
	7	7		-	3		0	1	11	0	2	36	9	19	0	22		0
99	7	8		-	2			0	6	0	1	26	13	17	1	36	0	0
	8	9		-	0			0	6	0	1	26	14	17	1	35		0
98	7	9		-	1			0	3	0	0	15	15	13	1	52	0	1		0
97	6	9		-	2				1		0	7	13	8	2	66	0	3		0
96	6	10		-	1				0			3	10	4	2	75	1	6	0	0
95	5	10		-	2				0			1	6	2	1	76	2	11	0	0
94	5	11		-	1							0	3	0	1	72	6	16	1	1
93	4	11		-	2							0	1		0	58	11	23	4	2
92	4	12		-	1								0		1	42	13	28	9	6	0
91	4	13		-	0								1			22	18	32	16	12		1
90	3	13		-	1											11	19	21	21	28
89	3	14		-	0											7		33	20	33		7
88	2	14		-	1														67	33
87	1	14		-	2															100
86	1	15		-	1																100
83	0	17		-	0															1	2	12	30	36	16	3	0

Total:						4	36	23	13	4	4	9	1	3	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0