New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays at Panthers, playoff odds up 0.3 to 0.5%

61 points 27 29-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	-0.0
Flyers 1 Blues 6			+0.1
Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 3			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	+0.4+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.4		+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Senators vs Sabres	+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

95	17	0		-	0	In		No				1	1	9	81	8									293
94	16	0		-	1	In		No							75	25									4
93	16	1		-	0	In		No						5	82	14									22	*
92	15	1		-	1	95.6	%	No							69	27	4								90	*
91	14	1		-	2	93.0		No						0	50	42	6	1							273	*
90	14	2		-	1	84.5		No						0	36	49	15	1							877	*
89	13	2		-	2	69.0		No						0	22	47	26	4	0						2,329	*
88	13	3		-	1	50.7		No						0	11	40	38	10	1	0					5,507	*
87	12	3		-	2	32.2		No						0	5	28	43	21	4	0					12,232	*
86	12	4		-	1	16.6		No						0	1	15	39	33	10	1					23,994	*
85	11	4		-	2	6.9		No						0	0	7	29	40	21	4	0				43,819	*
84	10	4		-	3	2.1		No						0	0	2	16	38	34	10	0				73,164	*
83	10	5		-	2	0.5		No							0	0	7	29	43	21	0				114,583	*
82	9	5		-	3	0.1		No								0	2	16	44	38	1				99,239	*
	10	6		-	1	0.1		No							0	0	3	19	45	33	0				64,586
81	9	6		-	2	0.0		No								0	1	9	38	51	2				119,967
	8	5		-	4	0.0		No								0	1	8	37	53	2				103,671	*
80	8	6		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	3	26	67	4	0			131,953
	9	7		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	3	27	65	4	0			146,769	*
79	8	7		-	2	Out		No									0	1	17	74	8	0			175,509
	7	6		-	4	Out		No									0	1	15	75	9	0			95,999
	9	8		-	0	Out		No									0	1	17	73	8	0			58,285	*
78	7	7		-	3	Out		No									0	0	8	76	16	0			170,180
	8	8		-	1	Out		No									0	0	10	75	14	0			135,188
	6	6		-	5	Out		No									0	0	7	76	17	0			53,417	*
77	7	8		-	2	Out		No										0	4	71	24	1	0		197,900
	6	7		-	4	Out		No									0	0	3	70	26	1	0		108,225
	8	9		-	0	Out		No										0	5	72	23	1	0		65,346	*
76	6	8		-	3	Out		No										0	1	61	36	2	0		167,476
	7	9		-	1	Out		No										0	2	61	35	2	0		188,027	*
75	6	9		-	2	Out		No										0	0	49	45	5	0		172,873
	5	8		-	4	Out		No										0	0	47	47	6	0		90,430
	7	10		-	0	Out		No										0	1	50	44	5	0		57,670	*
74	5	9		-	3	Out		No											0	33	54	12	1	0	159,853	*
	6	10		-	1	Out		No										0	0	37	52	10	0	0	107,736
73	5	10		-	2	Out		No											0	22	56	21	2	0	116,420
	4	9		-	4	Out		No											0	22	55	21	2	0	93,831	*
72	4	10		-	3	Out		No											0	12	50	34	5	0	69,510
	5	11		-	1	Out		No											0	13	51	32	4	0	82,510	*
71	4	11		-	2	Out		No												6	40	43	10	0	102,889	*
70	4	12		-	1	Out		No												2	27	49	20	1	63,310	*
69	3	12		-	2	Out		No												1	15	48	33	3	37,031	*
68	3	13		-	1	Out		No												0	7	40	46	7	19,157	*
67	2	13		-	2	Out		No												0	3	29	55	13	9,200	*
66	2	14		-	1	Out		No													1	18	59	22	3,791	*
65	1	14		-	2	Out		No													0	10	57	33	1,536	*
64	1	15		-	1	Out		No													0	5	50	45	462	*
63	1	16		-	0	Out		No														2	35	63	126	*
62	0	16		-	1	Out		No														4	35	61	23
61	0	17		-	0	Out		No															20	80	298

Total:						0.5	%	No				0	0	0	0	0	2	4	12	48	24	7	2	0	3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Panthers 2 Stars 4	+0.1
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.0
Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Hurricanes vs Wild	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95	17	0		-	0							0	0	1		9		81		8
94	16	0		-	1													75		25
93	16	1		-	0											5		77	5	14
92	15	1		-	1													54	14	27		4
91	14	1		-	2											0		34	16	42		6	1
90	14	2		-	1												0	20	16	48	1	15	1
89	13	2		-	2											0		8	13	44	3	26	4	0
88	13	3		-	1											0	0	3	8	35	5	38	10	1	0
87	12	3		-	2												0	1	4	21	7	42	21	4	0
86	12	4		-	1												0	0	1	8	7	37	33	12	2	0
85	11	4		-	2												0	0	0	2	4	24	38	24	6	1	0	0
84	10	4		-	3												0	0	0	0	2	11	31	35	17	4	0	0
83	10	5		-	2														0	0	0	3	17	34	30	12	3	0	0
82	9	5		-	3																0	1	5	21	34	26	11	2	0
	10	6		-	1														0		0	1	7	23	35	24	8	1	0
81	9	6		-	2															0	0	0	2	10	26	34	22	6	1	0
	8	5		-	4																0	0	1	9	25	34	23	7	1	0
80	8	6		-	3																0	0	0	2	13	30	34	18	3	0	0
	9	7		-	1																0	0	0	3	14	30	33	17	3	0
79	8	7		-	2																		0	1	5	19	36	30	9	1	0
	7	6		-	4																		0	0	4	17	35	32	11	1	0
	9	8		-	0																		0	1	5	19	35	30	9	1
78	7	7		-	3																		0	0	1	7	26	40	22	3	0
	8	8		-	1																		0	0	1	9	29	39	20	2	0
	6	6		-	5																		0	0	1	6	24	40	25	4	0
77	7	8		-	2																			0	0	3	15	39	35	8	0	0
	6	7		-	4																		0	0	0	2	13	38	37	9	0	0
	8	9		-	0																			0	0	3	16	39	34	8	0	0
76	6	8		-	3																			0	0	0	6	28	46	19	1	0
	7	9		-	1																			0	0	1	6	28	45	18	1	0	0
75	6	9		-	2																				0	0	2	16	45	32	4	0	0
	5	8		-	4																					0	2	14	45	34	5	0	0
	7	10		-	0																					0	2	17	46	31	4	0	0
74	5	9		-	3																					0	0	7	35	44	12	1	0
	6	10		-	1																					0	0	7	37	43	11	1	0
73	5	10		-	2																					0	0	2	24	48	22	3	0	0
	4	9		-	4																					0	0	2	23	48	23	4	0
72	4	10		-	3																						0	1	11	43	35	10	1	0
	5	11		-	1																						0	1	12	44	34	8	1	0
71	4	11		-	2																						0	0	5	31	42	19	3	0
70	4	12		-	1																							0	1	18	41	31	8	0
69	3	12		-	2																								0	8	33	41	17	1
68	3	13		-	1																								0	3	21	43	30	4
67	2	13		-	2																								0	1	11	38	42	8
66	2	14		-	1																									0	5	26	52	16
65	1	14		-	2																										1	19	54	26
64	1	15		-	1																										1	10	50	39
63	1	16		-	0																											3	37	60
62	0	16		-	1																											9	39	52
61	0	17		-	0																											0	22	78

Total:												0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	13	18	21	15	7	3	1	0