Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Plays at Lightning, playoff odds up 15.9 to 21.4%

69 points 30 27-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	-3.8		-0.3
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Senators vs Sabres	+0.7-1.5-1.6-1.8-1.7+0.3		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0
Devils vs Blue Jackets	+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.9-0.8		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bruins finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

97	14	0		-	0	In		No		0	0	17	11	40	31										395
96	13	0		-	1	In		No				6	5	36	52	1									341
95	13	1		-	0	In		No				1	1	27	67	3									1,811	*
94	12	1		-	1	99.8	%	No				0	1	15	76	8	0								4,965	*
93	11	1		-	2	99.3		No				0	0	8	75	16	1	0							13,897	*
92	11	2		-	1	98.0		No				0	0	4	69	25	2	0							29,697	*
91	10	2		-	2	94.6		No				0		1	57	36	5	0							33,856
	11	3		-	0	94.8		No				0		2	58	35	5	0							28,275	*
90	10	3		-	1	88.0		No				0		1	43	44	11	1	0						70,033
	9	2		-	3	86.0		No					0	0	40	46	13	1	0						33,378	*
89	9	3		-	2	75.4		No						0	27	48	22	2	0						96,206
	10	4		-	0	77.5		No						0	29	48	20	2	0						54,506
	8	2		-	4	73.3		No						0	25	48	24	3	0						19,603	*
88	9	4		-	1	60.3		No						0	16	45	33	6	0	0					147,696
	8	3		-	3	57.6		No						0	14	43	35	7	0						85,129	*
87	8	4		-	2	40.9		No						0	7	34	43	15	1	0					179,076
	9	5		-	0	43.1		No						0	8	35	42	14	1	0					92,204
	7	3		-	4	38.2		No						0	6	32	44	16	2						43,001	*
86	8	5		-	1	25.1		No						0	3	22	46	25	4	0					221,493
	7	4		-	3	23.1		No						0	2	21	46	27	4	0					141,349	*
85	7	5		-	2	12.0		No						0	1	11	40	38	10	0					234,594
	8	6		-	0	13.1		No						0	1	12	40	38	9	0					114,976
	6	4		-	4	10.5		No						0	1	10	39	40	10	0					60,831	*
84	7	6		-	1	5.1		No							0	5	29	46	19	0	0				242,948
	6	5		-	3	4.5		No							0	4	28	47	20	0	0				142,116
	5	4		-	5	3.8		No							0	4	27	47	21	1					18,054	*
83	6	6		-	2	1.6		No							0	2	17	47	32	1	0				220,043
	7	7		-	0	1.7		No							0	2	18	47	32	1	0				107,500
	5	5		-	4	1.2		No							0	1	17	47	34	1	0				58,141	*
82	6	7		-	1	0.4		No							0	0	9	41	46	4	0				194,966
	5	6		-	3	0.4		No							0	0	8	40	47	4	0				126,133	*
81	5	7		-	2	0.1		No								0	3	30	58	8	0				148,680
	6	8		-	0	0.1		No							0	0	4	31	57	8	0				74,988
	4	6		-	4	0.1		No								0	3	29	58	9	0				36,936	*
80	5	8		-	1	0.0		No								0	1	20	63	16	1	0			115,218
	4	7		-	3	0.0		No								0	1	18	63	17	1	0			68,966	*
79	4	8		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	10	61	27	2	0			72,028
	5	9		-	0	Out		No									0	10	61	26	2	0			55,749	*
78	4	9		-	1	Out		No									0	5	53	37	5	0			49,741
	3	8		-	3	Out		No									0	5	51	38	6	0			25,951	*
77	3	9		-	2	Out		No									0	2	40	47	11	0	0		24,391
	4	10		-	0	Out		No										2	40	47	10	0			19,621	*
76	3	10		-	1	Out		No										1	26	51	20	1	0		21,304	*
75	2	10		-	2	Out		No										0	15	49	32	4	0		10,405	*
74	2	11		-	1	Out		No											7	39	43	11	0		3,841	*
73	2	12		-	0	Out		No											3	27	48	21	1		1,680	*
72	1	12		-	1	Out		No											1	17	48	31	3	0	414	*
71	1	13		-	0	Out		No											1	8	38	40	13		141	*
70	0	13		-	1	Out		No													29	41	24	6	17
69	0	14		-	0	Out		No												1	12	58	25	3	296

Total:						21.4	%	No		0	0	0	0	0	7	15	23	27	23	5	1	0	0	0	3,547,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.6
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.0
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Senators vs Sabres	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Hurricanes vs Wild	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

97	14	0		-	0				0		0	6	12	9	3	40		30	0
96	13	0		-	1							1	5	3	2	35	0	52		1
95	13	1		-	0							0	1	1	1	26	1	65	2	3
94	12	1		-	1							0	0	0	0	14	1	72	5	8		0
93	11	1		-	2								0	0	0	6	2	67	9	16		1	0
92	11	2		-	1								0		0	3	1	55	15	25	0	2	0
91	10	2		-	2								0			1	1	38	19	36	0	5	0
	11	3		-	0								0			1	1	39	19	35	0	5	0
90	10	3		-	1								0			0	0	23	21	44	1	11	1	0
	9	2		-	3										0	0	0	21	19	45	1	13	1	0
89	9	3		-	2											0	0	10	17	46	2	22	2	0
	10	4		-	0											0	0	11	18	46	2	20	2	0
	8	2		-	4											0	0	9	16	46	3	24	3	0
88	9	4		-	1											0	0	4	12	39	5	33	6	0	0
	8	3		-	3											0	0	3	11	38	5	35	7	0	0
87	8	4		-	2											0	0	1	6	26	8	42	15	2	0	0
	9	5		-	0											0	0	1	7	27	8	41	14	1	0
	7	3		-	4												0	1	5	24	8	44	16	2	0
86	8	5		-	1												0	0	3	13	9	43	27	5	0	0
	7	4		-	3												0	0	2	12	9	43	28	5	0	0
85	7	5		-	2												0	0	1	4	7	34	39	13	1	0	0
	8	6		-	0											0	0	0	1	5	7	35	38	13	1	0	0
	6	4		-	4												0	0	1	4	6	33	40	14	2	0	0
84	7	6		-	1													0	0	1	4	21	42	26	6	1	0	0
	6	5		-	3													0	0	1	3	20	41	27	6	1	0	0
	5	4		-	5														0	1	3	19	41	28	7	1	0	0
83	6	6		-	2														0	0	1	9	32	37	16	4	0	0	0
	7	7		-	0														0	0	1	10	33	37	15	3	0	0
	5	5		-	4														0	0	1	8	31	37	18	4	0	0
82	6	7		-	1														0	0	0	3	18	36	29	12	2	0	0
	5	6		-	3														0	0	0	2	17	36	29	13	2	0	0
81	5	7		-	2															0	0	1	7	24	35	24	8	1	0
	6	8		-	0														0		0	1	7	26	35	23	7	1	0
	4	6		-	4																0	0	6	23	35	26	9	1	0	0
80	5	8		-	1																0	0	2	12	29	34	19	5	0	0
	4	7		-	3																0	0	2	11	28	34	20	5	1	0
79	4	8		-	2																0	0	0	4	16	32	32	14	2	0
	5	9		-	0																	0	0	4	16	33	32	13	2	0
78	4	9		-	1																	0	0	1	6	22	36	26	7	1	0
	3	8		-	3																		0	1	6	21	35	27	9	1	0
77	3	9		-	2																		0	0	2	10	29	36	19	3	0
	4	10		-	0																			0	2	11	30	36	18	3	0
76	3	10		-	1																			0	0	3	17	37	33	9	1	0
75	2	10		-	2																				0	1	8	27	40	21	3	0
74	2	11		-	1																					0	2	14	38	35	10	1
73	2	12		-	0																					0	0	6	28	42	21	2	0
72	1	12		-	1																							1	16	45	29	8	0	0
71	1	13		-	0																							1	7	34	36	18	4
70	0	13		-	1																									18	47	29	6
69	0	14		-	0																								1	7	42	36	14	0

Total:									0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	11	3	19	20	15	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0