Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 0.5%

56 points 22 29-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+0.1		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lightning vs Ducks	-0.3-0.1-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.4		-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Blue Jackets vs Wild			+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Stars vs Flames			-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94		19	0		-	0	In		No					2	0	33	64									616
92		17	0		-	2	In		No							17	83									6	*
91		17	1		-	1	95.8	%	No							25	71	4								24	*
90		16	1		-	2	94.6		No							4	90	5								92	*
89		16	2		-	1	85.6		No							2	84	14	1							382	*
88		15	2		-	2	70.9		No							2	69	27	2							1,092	*
87		15	3		-	1	58.2		No							1	57	38	4							2,843	*
86		14	3		-	2	43.7		No							0	43	48	8	0						7,018	*
85		13	3		-	3	31.5		No							0	31	54	14	0						15,260	*
84		13	4		-	2	19.6		No							0	20	57	23	0						30,679	*
83		12	4		-	3	11.3		No							0	11	54	34	1	0					57,230	*
82		12	5		-	2	5.9		No							0	6	46	46	3	0					99,065	*
81		11	5		-	3	2.7		No							0	3	36	55	6	0	0				159,652	*
80		11	6		-	2	1.1		No								1	26	62	11	0	0				120,623
		10	5		-	4	1.0		No								1	26	61	11	1	0				120,682	*
79		10	6		-	3	0.3		No								0	17	62	19	2	0	0			166,435
		11	7		-	1	0.4		No								0	17	62	19	1	0				174,796	*
78		10	7		-	2	0.1		No								0	10	58	29	4	0	0			220,089
		9	6		-	4	0.1		No								0	10	57	29	4	0	0			230,962	*
77		9	7		-	3	0.0		No								0	5	47	38	9	1	0			273,776
		10	8		-	1	0.0		No								0	5	48	38	9	1	0			286,715	*
76		9	8		-	2	0.0		No								0	2	36	44	16	2	0			317,199
		8	7		-	4	0.0		No								0	2	34	44	17	2	0			339,083	*
75		8	8		-	3	0.0		No								0	1	22	45	26	5	0			350,198
		9	9		-	1	0.0		No								0	1	24	45	25	5	0			218,299
		7	7		-	5	0.0		No								0	1	21	44	28	6	0			149,641	*
74		8	9		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	13	39	36	11	1			361,542
		7	8		-	4	Out		No									0	12	38	37	12	1			255,202
		9	10		-	0	Out		No									0	13	39	35	12	1			128,059	*
73		7	9		-	3	Out		No									0	6	28	41	21	3			351,578
		8	10		-	1	Out		No									0	7	30	41	19	3			224,459
		6	8		-	5	Out		No									0	5	26	41	23	4			147,162	*
72		7	10		-	2	Out		No									0	2	18	41	31	7			327,758
		6	9		-	4	Out		No									0	2	17	40	33	8			333,680	*
71		6	10		-	3	Out		No									0	1	9	33	42	16			274,653
		7	11		-	1	Out		No									0	1	9	34	41	15			291,641	*
70		6	11		-	2	Out		No										0	4	24	46	26			232,667
		5	10		-	4	Out		No									0	0	4	23	46	28			225,404	*
69		5	11		-	3	Out		No										0	1	14	44	41			165,338
		6	12		-	1	Out		No										0	1	14	44	40			178,012	*
68		5	12		-	2	Out		No										0	0	7	37	55			242,912	*
67		4	12		-	3	Out		No										0	0	3	28	69			159,465	*
66		4	13		-	2	Out		No											0	1	19	80			97,567	*
65		3	13		-	3	Out		No											0	0	12	88			54,862	*
64		3	14		-	2	Out		No												0	7	93			28,922	*
63		3	15		-	1	Out		No												0	3	97			13,669	*
62		2	15		-	2	Out		No												0	1	99			5,947	*
61		2	16		-	1	Out		No													0	100			2,268	*
60		1	16		-	2	Out		No													0	100			834	*
56	-59						Out		No														100			902	*

Total:							0.5	%	No					0	0	0	1	5	21	23	21	17	11			7,446,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lightning vs Ducks	+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stars vs Flames	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94		19	0		-	0									0	1	0		28	6	64	0
92		17	0		-	2													17		67	17
91		17	1		-	1													8	17	50	21	4
90		16	1		-	2														4	30	60	3	1	1
89		16	2		-	1														2	11	73	6	5	2	1
88		15	2		-	2														2	2	66	7	9	8	5	1	0
87		15	3		-	1														1	0	57	3	8	13	12	5	1	0
86		14	3		-	2														0	0	43	1	4	13	18	15	5	1	0
85		13	3		-	3														0		31	0	2	7	19	23	14	3	1	0
84		13	4		-	2														0		20	0	0	3	13	26	25	11	2	0
83		12	4		-	3														0		11		0	1	6	19	31	23	8	1	0
82		12	5		-	2														0		6		0	0	2	10	27	33	18	4	0
81		11	5		-	3														0		3		0	0	0	4	17	35	30	10	1	0
80		11	6		-	2																1			0	0	1	8	27	39	21	3	0	0
79		10	6		-	3																0				0	0	3	16	38	34	8	1	0
		11	7		-	1																0				0	0	3	16	38	34	8	0	0
78		10	7		-	2																0					0	1	8	30	43	16	2	0	0
		9	6		-	4																0					0	1	7	29	43	17	2	0	0
77		9	7		-	3																0					0	0	3	18	45	28	6	0	0
		10	8		-	1																0					0	0	3	19	44	28	6	0	0
76		9	8		-	2																0					0	0	1	9	38	38	13	2	0	0
		8	7		-	4																0						0	1	9	37	39	14	2	0	0
75		8	8		-	3																0						0	0	3	25	42	24	5	0	0
		9	9		-	1																0						0	0	4	27	42	22	4	0	0
		7	7		-	5																0						0	0	3	23	42	26	6	0	0
74		8	9		-	2																0						0	0	1	15	38	34	11	1	0
		7	8		-	4																						0	0	1	13	37	35	12	1	0
		9	10		-	0																						0	0	1	15	38	34	11	1	0
73		7	9		-	3																							0	0	6	27	40	22	4	0
		8	10		-	1																							0	0	7	30	40	20	3	0
		6	8		-	5																							0	0	5	26	40	24	5	0
72		7	10		-	2																							0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1
		6	9		-	4																								0	2	16	38	33	10	1
71		6	10		-	3																								0	1	8	30	40	19	2
		7	11		-	1																								0	1	8	30	40	18	2
70		6	11		-	2																									0	3	20	41	30	5
		5	10		-	4																								0	0	3	19	41	31	6
69		5	11		-	3																									0	1	10	35	42	12
		6	12		-	1																									0	1	11	36	41	11
68		5	12		-	2																									0	0	4	26	49	20
67		4	12		-	3																										0	2	16	50	32
66		4	13		-	2																										0	0	9	45	45
65		3	13		-	3																											0	4	38	58
64		3	14		-	2																											0	2	29	70
63		3	15		-	1																											0	1	20	79
62		2	15		-	2																												0	12	88
61		2	16		-	1																												0	7	93
60		1	16		-	2																													4	96
59		1	17		-	1																													4	96
56	-58																																			100

Total:															0	0	0		0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	16	20	19	15	10	4