"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lightning 0 Jets 2 +0.8
+0.1
Hurricanes 4 Predators 3 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche vs Canadiens-4.9*+0.1+0.3+5.0+6.2+6.1
-0.4+0.0+0.0+0.4+0.5+0.5
Sabres vs Flyers-0.3-0.7*-0.3*-0.1*+0.0+0.6
Maple Leafs vs Devils*+0.1-0.7*-0.3*-0.3*-0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Bruins vs Hurricanes*+0.0-0.4-0.4*-0.2-0.4+0.3
Panthers vs Penguins*-0.1*-0.3*-0.2-0.4*-0.3+0.3
Capitals vs Wild*-0.0-0.3*-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119-137InYes100255*
118418-3In81.0%95521*
117397-6In64.17232639*
116398-5In61.282613103*
115399-4In42.472721177*
114389-5In30.565728285*
1133810-4In21.562831516*
1123710-5In14.45012390945*
1113610-6In8.1441243001,525*
1103611-5In3.9351450002,466*
1093511-6In1.5281556114,039*
1083512-5In0.7211562115,991*
1073412-6In0.2151566228,757*
1063413-5In0.0111468440012,928*
1053313-6In0.061269650018,173*
1043314-5In0.04116610800025,072*
1033214-6InNo286215120033,710*
1023215-5InNo1755201601044,303*
1013115-6InNo0547252111055,872*
1003116-5100.0%No03363026230070,033*
993016-6100.0No02263330450084,675*
983017-5100.0No0117343288100100,680*
972917-699.9No011032311311200115,669*
962918-599.6No00528281916400131,358*
952818-698.6No02222225207100145,280*
942718-796.2No0116152823123000156,059*
932719-690.9No001192923197200165,784*
922619-781.4No00742620241441000170,916*
912620-667.2No0042211526219200172,179*
902520-749.6No00211592326176100169,852*
892521-632.3No010105172724124100163,461*
882421-718.3No0062102328208200153,412*
872422-68.8No00315162726155100142,506*
862322-73.7No00102921292311300128,113*
852323-61.3No0101414262918610112,831*
842223-70.4No000027193026123097,529*
832224-60.1No0013122631206182,178*
822124-70.0No0001719312812268,275*
812125-60.0No0000312273320454,793*
802025-70.0No0017213528843,743*
792026-6OutNo00031532351433,428*
781926-7OutNo001928402125,452*
771927-6OutNo01522423118,696*
761928-5OutNo00315433913,577*
751828-6OutNo011038519,535*
741829-5OutNo0633606,650*
731729-6OutNo00428684,588*
721629-7OutNo0222762,903*
711630-6OutNo116821,886*
701631-5OutNo112871,127*
691531-6OutNo01189717*
681532-5OutNo0693377*
671432-6OutNo496253*
661433-5OutNo496118*
651333-6OutNo19987*
33-64OutNo100323*
Total:55.9%0.0%0171091189987654322,864,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Lightning 0 Jets 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Canadiens+0.7-0.0-0.0-0.8-0.9-0.9
Bruins vs Hurricanes+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Sabres vs Flyers+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Maple Leafs vs Devils+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Panthers vs Penguins+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-137100
118418-381145
117397-6648326
116398-56120613
115399-44229721
114389-531357271
1133810-4224061292
1123710-514351023350
1113610-68369335800
1103611-543195351500
1093511-61268733230010
1083512-51206828341010
1073412-601541022432020
1063413-50113111651313100
1053313-6062111159524200
1043314-50411066164530000
1033214-620835977660000
1023215-510615471261000100
1013115-600504671951510100
1003116-5003036525422202100
993016-60020263303273132000
983017-500101723223053431000
972917-6011013113067562000
962918-50050280276135113000
952818-60202202161951661100
942718-701016015424320943100
932719-6000110932622111872000
922619-70007412511910141251000
912620-6004212101481816124100
902520-70021015094181719103100
892521-60100100521515241882000
882421-7000602110922251672000
872422-6000310541626241561000
862322-7000100228192623135100
852323-60100103112127211141000
842223-700000151323271992000
832224-6000016152526177200
822124-70000028182725145100
812125-6000131122282210300
802025-70001514262818710
792026-6002819292613300
781926-7001311243121710
771927-600161730291430
761928-50031126322161
751828-6016183329121
741829-502122735203
731729-60162336277
721629-70315363510
711630-6029304117
701631-507254325
691531-601214731
681532-51154539
671432-6174349
661433-5183062
651434-413168
641233-722870
631234-61090
621336-32278
611135-61783
33-60100
Total:0001071918210173556655443221100