How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lightning 0 Jets 2 +0.6
Flyers 2 Capitals 3 (ot)*+0.4
Rangers 3 Ducks 4 (ot)*+0.3
*+0.0
Hurricanes 4 Predators 3 -0.3
Blue Jackets 4 Senators 2 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Penguins-5.5-0.7-0.7+4.1+4.8+5.1
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Maple Leafs vs Devils+0.4*-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Avalanche vs Canadiens+0.4*+0.1*-0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Bruins vs Hurricanes+0.2*+0.1*-0.3-0.4*-0.1-0.2
Capitals vs Wild-0.1*-0.1*-0.3*+0.2*+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-140In99.6%100240*
122437-4In80.0901010*
121438-3In84.6851513*
120428-4In80.091935*
119418-5In76.297363*
118408-6In63.283134117*
117409-5In50.275204205*
1164010-4In47.574206381*
1153910-5In35.769248706*
1143810-6In25.060309001,122*
1133811-5In19.654331301,773*
1123711-6In11.148371502,917*
1113712-5In6.3384121004,483*
1103612-6In3.5314127006,723*
1093613-5In1.32544310109,736*
1083513-6In0.61941371114,003*
1073514-5In0.214404312019,576*
1063414-6In0.19374724026,726*
1053415-5In0.0633513600035,334*
1043315-6In0.0429526900045,753*
1033316-5InNo2245281301058,174*
1023216-6InNo11949121801071,206*
1013116-7InNo11443162402085,865*
1003117-6InNo010352029140100,978*
993017-7100.0%No072723343600115,892*
983018-6100.0No0418243751010130,638*
972918-799.9No03112337915200144,610*
962919-699.7No01621341420400154,486*
952819-799.0No13172719257100162,967*
942820-697.2No0112192329132000167,762*
932720-792.8No0081224291961000169,090*
922721-684.6No0056232625123100166,313*
912621-771.3No00331919281982000160,807*
902622-654.8No001114132625145100151,855*
892522-736.7No01097202722103000139,820*
882523-621.5No00053132527187200125,950*
872423-710.8No00317182725144100112,075*
862424-64.5No00103112328221020097,214*
852324-71.7No010151527281761083,065*
842325-60.6No000028212925113068,685*
832225-70.1No00014132630196156,076*
822226-60.0No0002720312712244,382*
812126-70.0No001413273219434,674*
802127-60.0No00017223527826,390*
792027-7OutNo0041532351419,773*
782028-6OutNo02929402114,209*
771928-7OutNo001522423110,186*
761929-6OutNo0031541417,077*
751829-7OutNo011038515,000*
741830-6OutNo0534613,279*
731730-7OutNo0426702,111*
721731-6OutNo0121781,313*
711732-5OutNo01882870*
701632-6OutNo11485535*
691633-5OutNo991321*
681533-6OutNo1594180*
671534-5OutNo397119*
661434-6OutNo29858*
651334-7OutNo39736*
32-64OutNo100263*
Total:68.0%0.1%15119139119765433212,864,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers 2 Capitals 3 (ot)*-0.1
Blue Jackets 4 Senators 2 +0.1
Rangers 3 Ducks 4 (ot)*-0.0
Islanders 5 Sharks 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Penguins+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.8-0.8
Maple Leafs vs Devils-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bruins vs Hurricanes-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Sabres vs Flyers-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-140100
123436-5100
122437-4801010
121438-38515
120428-480119
119418-576213
118408-66320134
117409-550252014
1164010-448261916
1153910-5363322180
1143810-625352739000
1133811-520352941110
1123711-611363071320
1113712-56312912165000
1103612-6428251618900
1093613-51232221181300100
1083513-6119162518190010
1073514-50141228152810200
1063414-609830123620310
1053415-5064288442142000
1043315-60422654842630000
1033316-52122249447700100
1023216-610181484871100100
1013116-7101404241261700200
1003117-60010035416524103100
993017-70070272213312142000
983018-60040181232353264100
972918-700301112213645782000
962919-6016020033597133000
952819-71301602751461961100
942820-601012019419424942000
932720-7000801222232611861000
922721-600050612112411141041000
912621-70033118019919151031000
902622-60011014013520171782000
892522-70100907218152316720000
882523-600005031121023241461000
872423-700031065172623135100
862424-600010003210202621124100
852324-7010011412222620103100
842325-6000000151424261882000
832225-70000027172625166100
822226-6000039192824134100
812126-700014122328219200
802127-60001515262817610
792027-70002820292612300
782028-601412263019710
771928-700171830281330
761929-600131125332161
751829-7015193428111
741830-603123035173
731730-700172435266
721731-60416363410
711732-5211324015
701632-615314022
691633-53224530
681533-613164139
671534-594249
661535-453460
651334-732869
641436-4892
631235-71388
621337-43367
32-61100
Total:01141101811218293545543322111000