Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Beat Devils 3-2, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99999%

91 points 44 14-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Devils 2 Oilers 3	*In		+4.3		+0.0
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3			+4.3		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Stars vs Flames			+0.3+0.2*+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
Oilers vs Jets			+2.4+2.3+1.7-2.5-2.3-7.5		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Blackhawks			+2.6+1.1+1.1-0.9-1.4-1.4
Kings vs Islanders			+1.4+0.4+0.5-1.0-1.2-1.1
Senators vs Red Wings			+0.4+0.2+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Oilers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

129	-133						In		Yes		100																308,757	*
128		18	2		-	1	In		100.0	%	100	0															202,799
		17	1		-	3	In		100.0		100	0															40,994	*
127		18	3		-	0	In		100.0		100	0															210,106
		17	2		-	2	In		100.0		100	0															203,553	*
126		17	3		-	1	In		99.9		100	0															383,561
		16	2		-	3	In		99.9		100	0															111,672	*
125		16	3		-	2	In		99.7		100	0	0														329,937
		17	4		-	0	In		99.8		100	0	0														297,598
		15	2		-	4	In		99.6		100	0	0														44,321	*
124		16	4		-	1	In		99.3		99	0	0														512,156
		15	3		-	3	In		99.0		99	1	0														190,989	*
123		15	4		-	2	In		98.0		99	1	0														412,711
		16	5		-	0	In		98.3		99	1	0														317,606
		14	3		-	4	In		97.7		98	2	0														69,973	*
122		15	5		-	1	In		96.0		97	3	0														512,445
		14	4		-	3	In		95.3		97	3	0														227,952	*
121		14	5		-	2	In		91.7		95	5	0														387,825
		15	6		-	0	In		92.6		95	5	0														264,849
		13	4		-	4	In		90.5		94	6	0														77,762	*
120		14	6		-	1	In		85.7		91	9	1														420,717	*
		13	5		-	3	In		84.5		90	10	1	0													181,428
119		13	6		-	2	In		76.0		84	14	1														281,797
		14	7		-	0	In		77.4		86	13	1														176,677
		12	5		-	4	In		73.4		82	16	1														63,133	*
118		13	7		-	1	In		64.6		77	21	3	0													249,540
		12	6		-	3	In		61.9		74	23	3	0													136,603	*
117		12	7		-	2	In		49.0		65	30	5	0													162,192
		13	8		-	0	In		51.3		68	28	5	0													96,343
		11	6		-	4	In		45.9		63	33	5	0													39,083	*
116		12	8		-	1	In		35.5		55	37	8	0													126,328
		11	7		-	3	In		32.7		51	40	8	0													73,278	*
115		11	8		-	2	In		21.1		41	46	13	0	0												75,177
		12	9		-	0	In		21.9		42	45	13	0	0												62,294	*
114		11	9		-	1	In		11.9		29	51	18	1	0												51,998
		10	8		-	3	In		10.4		27	53	19	1	0												31,294	*
113		10	9		-	2	In		5.3		19	54	24	3	0												51,914	*
112		10	10		-	1	In		2.1		11	53	30	6	0												28,177	*
111		9	10		-	2	In		0.5		5	48	34	12	0												15,786	*
110		9	11		-	1	In		0.1		2	41	35	21	0												7,872	*
109		8	11		-	2	In		No		1	34	34	30	1												4,103	*
108		8	12		-	1	In		No		0	25	31	42	2												1,728	*
107		7	12		-	2	In		No		0	17	24	57	3												830	*
106		7	13		-	1	In		No			11	18	65	6												297	*
105		6	13		-	2	In		No			13	10	62	14		1										129	*
104		6	14		-	1	In		No			3	11	63	23												35	*
103		5	14		-	2	In		No				15	55	30												20	*
102		5	15		-	1	In		No					50	50												4	*
100		4	16		-	1	In		No					100													1
91		0	21		-	0	99.8	%	No						2	3	84	11	0								616

Total:							100.0	%	86.1	%	90	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	0								7,446,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils 2 Oilers 3	-0.1
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oilers vs Jets	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.2
Rangers vs Blackhawks	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

129	-133						100
128		18	2		-	1	100	0	0
		17	1		-	3	100	0	0
127		18	3		-	0	100	0	0
		17	2		-	2	100	0	0
126		17	3		-	1	100	0	0
		16	2		-	3	100	0	0
125		16	3		-	2	100	0	0		0
		17	4		-	0	100	0	0		0
		15	2		-	4	100	0	0		0
124		16	4		-	1	99	0	0		0
		15	3		-	3	99	0	1		0
123		15	4		-	2	98	1	1		0
		16	5		-	0	98	1	1		0
		14	3		-	4	98	1	2		0
122		15	5		-	1	96	1	3		0
		14	4		-	3	95	1	3	0	0
121		14	5		-	2	92	3	5		0
		15	6		-	0	93	3	5		0
		13	4		-	4	91	3	6		0
120		14	6		-	1	86	5	9	0	1
		13	5		-	3	84	5	10	0	1		0
119		13	6		-	2	76	8	14	0	1
		14	7		-	0	77	8	13	0	1
		12	5		-	4	73	9	16	0	1
118		13	7		-	1	65	12	21	0	3		0
		12	6		-	3	62	12	23	0	3		0
117		12	7		-	2	49	16	30	0	5		0
		13	8		-	0	51	16	27	0	5		0
		11	6		-	4	46	17	32	0	5		0
116		12	8		-	1	35	19	36	1	8		0
		11	7		-	3	33	19	39	1	8		0
115		11	8		-	2	21	19	44	3	13		0		0
		12	9		-	0	22	20	43	3	13		0		0
114		11	9		-	1	12	18	46	5	18	0	1		0
		10	8		-	3	10	17	47	6	19		1		0
113		10	9		-	2	5	13	45	10	24	0	3		0
112		10	10		-	1	2	9	38	15	30	0	6		0
111		9	10		-	2	1	5	29	19	34	0	12		0
110		9	11		-	1	0	2	19	22	35	0	21		0
109		8	11		-	2		1	12	22	33	1	30		1
108		8	12		-	1		0	7	19	29	2	42		2
107		7	12		-	2		0	3	13	21	3	57	0	3
106		7	13		-	1			1	10	15	3	64	0	6
105		6	13		-	2				13	8	2	62		14				1
104		6	14		-	1				3	6	6	63		23
103		5	14		-	2					10	5	50	5	30
102		5	15		-	1							50		50
100		4	16		-	1							100
91		0	21		-	0										2	0	2	7	77	5	6		0

Total:							86	4	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0