Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Did not play, playoff odds up 5.5 to 81.6%

65 points 31 29-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+4.9

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Oilers vs Jets	+0.3-0.1-0.2-0.6-0.5-0.6		+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Lightning vs Ducks	+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2
Blue Jackets vs Wild	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

103	19	0		-	0	In		No			1	7	89	3											628
102	18	0		-	1	In		No					87	13											63
101	18	1		-	0	In		No			0	2	81	16	0										365	*
100	17	1		-	1	In		No			0	1	67	32	0	0									1,275	*
99	16	1		-	2	In		No				1	53	46	1	0									3,928	*
98	16	2		-	1	In		No				0	39	59	2	0									9,715	*
97	15	2		-	2	In		No				0	26	70	3	1									23,077	*
96	15	3		-	1	In		No				0	16	77	5	2									45,272	*
95	14	3		-	2	100.0	%	No				0	8	81	6	5	0								85,825	*
94	14	4		-	1	100.0		No				0	4	80	7	9	0								141,939	*
93	13	4		-	2	100.0		No				0	2	75	8	16	0								225,689	*
92	13	5		-	1	99.9		No				0	1	68	8	23	0								161,569
	12	4		-	3	99.9		No				0	0	68	7	25	0								160,218	*
91	12	5		-	2	99.7		No				0	0	59	6	34	0								250,035
	11	4		-	4	99.7		No				0	0	59	6	35	0								188,725	*
90	12	6		-	1	99.3		No				0	0	49	5	45	1	0							257,712
	11	5		-	3	99.1		No				0	0	49	5	46	1								287,459	*
89	11	6		-	2	98.2		No				0	0	40	4	55	2	0							365,145
	10	5		-	4	98.1		No				0	0	39	3	55	2								284,677	*
88	11	7		-	1	96.5		No				0	0	31	2	63	3	0							322,899
	10	6		-	3	95.9		No				0	0	30	2	63	4	0							386,843	*
87	10	7		-	2	93.1		No				0	0	23	1	69	7	0							414,075
	9	6		-	4	92.2		No				0		22	1	69	8	0							179,114
	11	8		-	0	93.4		No				0		23	1	69	7	0							150,295	*
86	10	8		-	1	88.7		No				0	0	16	1	72	11	0							319,973
	9	7		-	3	87.1		No				0	0	16	1	71	13	0	0						398,599	*
85	9	8		-	2	81.3		No				0		11	0	70	19	0							369,108
	8	7		-	4	79.3		No				0		11	0	69	21	0	0						163,845
	10	9		-	0	81.9		No						11	0	71	18	0	0						134,395	*
84	9	9		-	1	73.3		No				0		7	0	66	26	0							260,914	*
	8	8		-	3	70.9		No				0		7	0	64	29	0	0						313,947	*
83	8	9		-	2	62.0		No				0		4	0	58	37	1	0						262,593
	7	8		-	4	60.9		No						4	0	57	38	1	0						210,879	*
82	8	10		-	1	51.7		No						2	0	49	46	3	0						162,867
	7	9		-	3	48.2		No						2	0	46	48	3	0						197,702	*
81	7	10		-	2	37.7		No						1	0	36	55	7	0	0					264,503	*
80	7	11		-	1	26.4		No						1	0	26	60	13	1	0					178,413	*
79	6	11		-	2	16.5		No						0		16	59	22	3	0					115,494	*
78	6	12		-	1	8.9		No						0	0	9	51	32	7	1	0				68,419	*
77	5	12		-	2	4.2		No						0		4	40	40	14	2	0	0			39,636	*
76	5	13		-	1	1.7		No						0		2	25	43	24	6	0	0			20,503	*
75	4	13		-	2	0.5		No								1	14	36	35	13	2	0			10,216	*
74	4	14		-	1	0.1		No								0	7	27	38	23	6	0			4,671	*
73	3	14		-	2	Out		No									2	14	37	34	12	1			1,983	*
72	3	15		-	1	Out		No									0	7	26	39	24	4			748	*
71	2	15		-	2	Out		No									0	1	18	40	34	6			273	*
70	2	16		-	1	Out		No											5	34	43	18			98	*
69	2	17		-	0	Out		No											5	20	55	20			20	*
68	1	17		-	1	Out		No													33	67			3	*
65	0	19		-	0	Out		No												0	16	84			616

Total:						81.6	%	No			0	0	1	28	2	51	16	2	0	0	0	0			7,446,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oilers vs Jets	-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	19	0		-	0					0	1	7	0	89	1	3
102	18	0		-	1									87		13
101	18	1		-	0						0	2		79	2	16		0
100	17	1		-	1						0	1	0	62	5	31	0	0		0
99	16	1		-	2							0	0	45	8	45	0	1		0
98	16	2		-	1							0	0	28	10	58	1	2	0	0
97	15	2		-	2							0	0	15	11	66	3	3	0	1
96	15	3		-	1							0	0	6	10	69	9	4	0	2	0
95	14	3		-	2							0	0	2	7	62	18	5	1	5	0	0
94	14	4		-	1							0	0	0	4	48	32	5	2	9	0	0
93	13	4		-	2								0	0	2	31	44	4	4	14	1	0
92	13	5		-	1								0	0	1	17	51	3	5	18	5	0
	12	4		-	3								0	0	0	16	52	2	5	19	6	0	0
91	12	5		-	2								0	0	0	7	52	1	5	19	15	0	0	0	0
	11	4		-	4								0		0	7	52	1	5	19	16	0	0	0	0
90	12	6		-	1								0		0	2	47	0	5	15	30	0	0	0	0	0
	11	5		-	3								0		0	2	47	0	4	14	32	1	0	0	0	0
89	11	6		-	2								0		0	1	39	0	3	8	47	1	1	0	0	0	0
	10	5		-	4								0		0	1	39	0	3	8	48	1	1	0	0	0	0
88	11	7		-	1								0		0	0	31	0	2	3	60	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
	10	6		-	3								0		0	0	30	0	2	3	61	1	1	1	1	0	0
87	10	7		-	2								0		0	0	23	0	1	1	68	1	2	2	2	0	0	0
	9	6		-	4								0			0	22	0	1	1	68	1	2	3	2	1	0	0
	11	8		-	0								0			0	23		1	1	69	1	2	2	2	0	0
86	10	8		-	1								0		0	0	16		1	0	72	0	1	3	4	2	0	0	0
	9	7		-	3								0		0	0	16		1	0	71	0	1	4	5	2	0	0	0
85	9	8		-	2								0			0	11		0	0	70	0	1	3	7	6	2	0	0
	8	7		-	4								0				11		0	0	69	0	1	4	7	6	2	0	0
	10	9		-	0												11		0	0	71	0	1	3	7	5	2	0	0
84	9	9		-	1								0				7		0	0	66	0	0	2	7	10	5	1	0
	8	8		-	3								0				7		0	0	64	0	0	2	8	11	6	1	0	0
83	8	9		-	2								0				4		0		58	0	0	1	6	14	12	4	1	0
	7	8		-	4												4		0		57	0	0	1	6	14	13	5	1	0
82	8	10		-	1												2		0		49		0	0	4	13	18	11	2	0	0
	7	9		-	3												2		0		46		0	0	3	13	20	13	3	0	0
81	7	10		-	2												1		0		36		0	0	1	9	22	22	8	1	0
80	7	11		-	1												1		0		26		0	0	0	5	19	30	17	3	0	0
79	6	11		-	2												0				16			0	0	2	12	31	30	8	1	0
78	6	12		-	1												0		0		9				0	0	6	25	39	18	3	0	0
77	5	12		-	2												0				4				0	0	2	15	40	29	9	1	0
76	5	13		-	1												0				2					0	0	7	30	38	19	4	0	0
75	4	13		-	2																1						0	2	18	36	31	11	2	0
74	4	14		-	1																0							0	9	27	36	21	6	0	0
73	3	14		-	2																							0	2	15	37	32	12	1	0
72	3	15		-	1																								0	8	25	37	25	4	0
71	2	15		-	2																								0	2	16	37	36	8	0
70	2	16		-	1																										3	32	33	31	2
69	2	17		-	0																										5	15	50	25	5
68	1	17		-	1																													67	33
65	0	19		-	0																												6	43	51

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	0	5	23	1	2	5	47	0	1	1	2	4	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0