Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2015-2016Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 31.9% 64 points 28 24-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Devils 2 Oilers 3 | +0.5 | | | | Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2 | +0.4 | | +0.0 | | Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3 | -0.2 | | | | Panthers 2 Rangers 1 | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Lightning vs Ducks | +4.7+4.6+3.4-3.8-3.6-10.0 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.7 | | Blue Jackets vs Wild | -0.7-0.7-0.6+0.7+0.6+1.6 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Rangers vs Blackhawks | -0.6-0.6-0.5*-0.0+0.2+0.5 | | -0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | Penguins vs Flyers | -0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 22 | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 3 | 21 | 76 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 616 | | 107 | | 21 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | | 14 | 86 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 106 | | 21 | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | | 15 | 81 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | * | 105 | | 20 | 1 | - | 1 | In | No | | 3 | 84 | 7 | 5 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 134 | * | 104 | | 19 | 1 | - | 2 | In | No | | 4 | 69 | 10 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | 491 | * | 103 | | 19 | 2 | - | 1 | In | No | | 1 | 59 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,361 | * | 102 | | 18 | 2 | - | 2 | In | No | 0 | 1 | 47 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 3,630 | * | 101 | | 18 | 3 | - | 1 | In | No | | 0 | 32 | 18 | 47 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 8,360 | * | 100 | | 17 | 3 | - | 2 | In | No | | 0 | 19 | 18 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 17,636 | * | 99 | | 17 | 4 | - | 1 | In | No | | 0 | 10 | 15 | 61 | 5 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 34,600 | * | 98 | | 16 | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | No | | 0 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 62,457 | * | 97 | | 15 | 4 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | No | | | 1 | 7 | 49 | 16 | 25 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 103,819 | * | 96 | | 15 | 5 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 162,547 | * | 95 | | 14 | 5 | - | 3 | 99.0 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 237,846 | * | 94 | | 14 | 6 | - | 2 | 96.1 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 326,933 | * | 93 | | 13 | 6 | - | 3 | 88.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 422,689 | * | 92 | | 13 | 7 | - | 2 | 74.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 266,329 | | | 12 | 6 | - | 4 | 72.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 253,126 | * | 91 | | 12 | 7 | - | 3 | 52.3 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 285,033 | | | 13 | 8 | - | 1 | 53.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 315,290 | * | 90 | | 12 | 8 | - | 2 | 33.4 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | 403,060 | * | | 11 | 7 | - | 4 | 28.1 | | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | 256,490 | * | 89 | | 11 | 8 | - | 3 | 13.9 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 326,546 | | | 12 | 9 | - | 1 | 15.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 358,032 | * | 88 | | 11 | 9 | - | 2 | 5.6 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 337,817 | | | 10 | 8 | - | 4 | 4.8 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 340,435 | * | 87 | | 10 | 9 | - | 3 | 1.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 301,874 | | | 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 1.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 330,522 | * | 86 | | 10 | 10 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 281,595 | | | 9 | 9 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | 283,567 | * | 85 | | 9 | 10 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | 474,888 | * | 84 | | 9 | 11 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 10 | 1 | | 382,069 | * | 83 | | 8 | 11 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | | 291,093 | * | 82 | | 8 | 12 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 211,170 | * | 81 | | 7 | 12 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 17 | 0 | 143,868 | * | 80 | | 7 | 13 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 44 | 29 | 0 | 93,405 | * | 79 | | 6 | 13 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 0 | 57,703 | * | 78 | | 6 | 14 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 57 | 0 | 33,414 | * | 77 | | 5 | 14 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 0 | 18,524 | * | 76 | | 5 | 15 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | 1 | 9,361 | * | 75 | | 5 | 16 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 87 | 2 | 4,541 | * | 74 | | 4 | 16 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 90 | 4 | 2,038 | * | 73 | | 4 | 17 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 90 | 7 | 843 | * | 72 | | 3 | 17 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 89 | 9 | 359 | * | 71 | | 3 | 18 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 79 | 20 | 135 | * | 70 | | 2 | 18 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | 29 | 45 | * | 69 | | 2 | 19 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 77 | 23 | 13 | * | 68 | | 1 | 19 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | 6 | * | 67 | | 1 | 20 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 64 | | 0 | 22 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | 76 | 616 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 31.9 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7,446,960 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesTuesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2 | -0.0 | | Panthers 2 Rangers 1 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Lightning vs Ducks | -0.5-0.4-0.3+0.3+0.3+1.0 | | Rangers vs Blackhawks | +0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Blue Jackets vs Wild | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 22 | 0 | - | 0 | | 3 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 62 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 21 | 0 | - | 1 | | | | 14 | | 86 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 21 | 1 | - | 0 | | | | 15 | | 81 | | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 20 | 1 | - | 1 | | | | 3 | | 84 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 19 | 1 | - | 2 | | | | 4 | 0 | 69 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 19 | 2 | - | 1 | | | | 1 | 0 | 59 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 18 | 2 | - | 2 | | 0 | | 1 | | 47 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 13 | 0 | | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 18 | 3 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 32 | 0 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 1 | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17 | 3 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 18 | 23 | 33 | 2 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 17 | 4 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 10 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 16 | 4 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 15 | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 15 | 5 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 14 | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 14 | 6 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 13 | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 31 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 13 | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 36 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 12 | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 12 | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 7 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 11 | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 11 | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 10 | 8 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 87 | | 10 | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 11 | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 86 | | 10 | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 85 | | 9 | 10 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 10 | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 84 | | 9 | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 83 | | 8 | 11 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 8 | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 81 | | 7 | 12 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 7 | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 79 | | 6 | 13 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | 78 | | 6 | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 77 | | 5 | 14 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 76 | | 5 | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 75 | | 5 | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | 74 | | 4 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 1 | | 73 | | 4 | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 3 | | 72 | | 3 | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 71 | | 3 | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 32 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 70 | | 2 | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 22 | 7 | 69 | | 2 | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 31 | 46 | 15 | 68 | | 1 | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 33 | 17 | 67 | | 1 | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 64 | | 0 | 22 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 29 | 69 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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