New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

88 points 40 14-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Devils 2 Oilers 3			-1.0
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3			+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Kings vs Islanders	-0.0InInInIn+0.0		-1.9-0.6-0.6+1.3+1.5+1.5		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Oilers vs Jets			-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.7+0.7+2.3
Rangers vs Blackhawks			+0.4+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2
Senators vs Red Wings			+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Stars vs Flames			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

125	-128						In		77.2	%	100																13,469	*
124		18	2		-	0	In		63.2		100	0															23,314	*
123		17	2		-	1	In		51.0		100	0															46,208	*
122		16	2		-	2	In		40.9		100	0															93,185	*
121		16	3		-	1	In		30.3		100	0															151,183	*
120		15	3		-	2	In		21.0		99	1															137,831
		16	4		-	0	In		21.3		99	1															108,835	*
119		15	4		-	1	In		13.7		98	2															213,479
		14	3		-	3	In		13.0		98	2															127,922	*
118		14	4		-	2	In		7.8		96	4															266,364
		15	5		-	0	In		8.1		96	4															203,062	*
117		14	5		-	1	In		4.3		92	8															331,604
		13	4		-	3	In		4.0		92	8															235,755	*
116		13	5		-	2	In		1.9		87	13															382,647
		14	6		-	0	In		2.1		88	12															170,247
		12	4		-	4	In		1.8		87	13															119,526	*
115		13	6		-	1	In		0.8		81	19	0														396,504
		12	5		-	3	In		0.7		81	19	0														317,505	*
114		12	6		-	2	In		0.3		73	27	0														421,525
		13	7		-	0	In		0.3		74	26	0														175,760
		11	5		-	4	In		0.2		73	27	0														146,675	*
113		12	7		-	1	In		0.1		64	36	0														373,613
		11	6		-	3	In		0.1		64	36	0														327,367	*
112		11	7		-	2	In		0.0		54	46	0														367,149
		12	8		-	0	In		0.0		55	45	0														145,044
		10	6		-	4	In		0.0		53	46	0														136,378	*
111		11	8		-	1	In		0.0		44	56	0	0													323,893	*
		10	7		-	3	In		0.0		43	56	0														221,192	*
110		10	8		-	2	In		0.0		34	66	0	0													450,051	*
109		10	9		-	1	In		No		25	74	1	0													174,408
		9	8		-	3	In		No		24	75	1	0													163,667	*
108		9	9		-	2	In		No		17	82	1	0													141,041
		10	10		-	0	In		No		18	81	1	0													109,750	*
107		9	10		-	1	In		No		11	87	2	0	0												168,533	*
106		8	10		-	2	In		No		7	89	4	1	0												111,550	*
105		8	11		-	1	In		No		4	88	6	2	0												67,100	*
104		7	11		-	2	In		No		2	85	9	4	0												40,281	*
103		7	12		-	1	In		No		1	80	10	9	0												21,608	*
102		6	12		-	2	In		No		0	71	12	16	1												11,493	*
101		6	13		-	1	In		No		0	60	12	25	3	0											5,279	*
100		5	13		-	2	In		No		0	48	10	37	5	0	0										2,582	*
99		5	14		-	1	In		No			36	9	45	9	1	0										1,084	*
98		4	14		-	2	In		No			26	2	55	14	2	0										419	*
97		4	15		-	1	In		No			16	2	49	21	8	4										184	*
96		3	15		-	2	In		No			11	4	41	14	23	7										56	*
95		3	16		-	1	In		No					36	29	29	7										14	*
94		3	17		-	0	In		No					25	25	25	25										4	*
93		2	17		-	1	66.7	%	No			33						33	33								3
92		2	18		-	0	In		No							100											1
88		0	20		-	0	11.9		No							3	1	7	21	36	23	8	0	0			616

Total:							100.0	%	4.2	%	66	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			7,446,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings vs Islanders	+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Senators vs Red Wings	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

128	20	0		-	0	95	5
127	19	0		-	1	88	12
126	19	1		-	0	82	18
125	18	1		-	1	73	27
124	18	2		-	0	63	37	0
123	17	2		-	1	51	49	0
122	16	2		-	2	41	59	0
121	16	3		-	1	30	69	0	0
120	15	3		-	2	21	78	1	0
119	15	4		-	1	14	84	2	0
	14	3		-	3	13	85	2	0
118	14	4		-	2	8	88	4	1
	15	5		-	0	8	87	4	1
117	14	5		-	1	4	88	6	2
	13	4		-	3	4	88	6	2
116	13	5		-	2	2	85	8	5
	14	6		-	0	2	86	8	5
115	13	6		-	1	1	80	9	10	0	0
	12	5		-	3	1	80	9	10	0	0
114	12	6		-	2	0	73	10	17	0	0
	13	7		-	0	0	74	10	16	0	0
	11	5		-	4	0	73	10	18	0	0
113	12	7		-	1	0	64	9	26	0	0
	11	6		-	3	0	63	9	27	0	0
112	11	7		-	2	0	54	7	38	0	0
	12	8		-	0	0	55	8	37	0	0
	10	6		-	4	0	53	7	39	0	0
111	11	8		-	1	0	44	6	50	0	0	0
	10	7		-	3	0	43	5	51	0	0		0
110	10	8		-	2	0	34	3	62	0	0	0	0
109	10	9		-	1		25	2	72	0	0	0	0
	9	8		-	3		24	2	73	0	1	0	0
108	9	9		-	2		17	1	80	0	1	0	0
107	9	10		-	1		11	0	86	0	2	0	0	0
106	8	10		-	2		7	0	89	0	4	0	1	0
105	8	11		-	1		4	0	88	0	6	0	2	0	0
104	7	11		-	2		2	0	85	0	9	0	4	0	0
103	7	12		-	1		1	0	80		10	0	8	0	0
102	6	12		-	2		0		71	0	12	0	15	1	0
101	6	13		-	1		0		60		12	0	25	1	1	0
100	5	13		-	2		0		48		10	0	37	2	3	0	0	0	0
99	5	14		-	1				36		9	0	45	2	7	1		0
98	4	14		-	2				26		2		55	2	12	2	0		0
97	4	15		-	1				16		2		49	1	21	8		3	1
96	3	15		-	2				11		4		41		14	20	4	2	5
95	3	16		-	1								36		29	21	7		7
94	3	17		-	0								25		25	25			25
93	2	17		-	1				33											33		33
92	2	18		-	0											100
88	0	20		-	0											0	3		1	5	3	21	36	23	8	0	0

Total:						4	62	6	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0