How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jackets 4 Senators 2 -4.1
-0.4
Lightning 0 Jets 2 +0.5
Flyers 2 Capitals 3 (ot)*-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche vs Canadiens+0.3*-0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Sabres vs Flyers-0.2-0.4*-0.1*+0.1*-0.1+0.3
Panthers vs Penguins*+0.0-0.4*-0.2*-0.1-0.3+0.1
Bruins vs Hurricanes*-0.1-0.2*-0.2*+0.0*-0.1+0.2
Maple Leafs vs Devils+0.1-0.3*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*+0.0
Capitals vs Wild-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
116-136InYes100238*
115397-7InNo67333*
1144110-2In25.0%75254*
113388-7In25.075254*
1123910-4In25.07561916*
111379-7In13.370323330*
1103710-6In3.8401543253*
1093610-7In1.83015541109*
1083611-6In0.521126312217*
1073612-5In0.317126822381*
1063512-6InNo131366440615*
1053412-7InNo81566651,113*
1043413-6InNo5146410801,718*
1033313-7InNo310611313002,781*
1023314-6InNo185320160104,205*
1013214-7InNo164524221206,355*
1003215-6InNo043429272409,318*
993115-7100.0%No02253130471013,267*
983116-699.9No021630338101018,325*
973016-799.8No0192931121530024,988*
963017-699.2No052427182061033,244*
952917-797.7No02182023241020043,295*
942918-694.1No01131325261651054,833*
932818-786.9No00972424221030068,057*
922819-675.1No0053202027176100082,157*
912719-759.3No00211514272412410097,581*
902720-641.0No01010822282082000112,792*
892620-724.9No1064152726165100127,943*
882621-612.8No0031820282411300141,249*
872521-75.7No00204132528198200153,141*
862522-62.1No0101618282614410162,027*
852422-70.7No0000310233022920167,547*
842423-60.2No0000151628291640170,405*
832323-70.0No000002923322491168,438*
822324-60.0No00015163031153163,107*
812224-70.0No0000292535236155,126*
802225-6OutNo001518353210144,662*
792125-7OutNo00212313817130,886*
782126-6OutNo0017254225116,282*
772026-7OutNo004194334101,128*
762027-6OutNo00213424485,526*
751927-7OutNo018385370,526*
741928-6OutNo005326357,561*
731828-7OutNo03267145,472*
721829-6OutNo002207835,776*
711729-7OutNo01158427,006*
701730-6OutNo0118819,922*
691630-7OutNo089214,543*
681631-6OutNo069410,176*
671531-7OutNo04966,958*
661532-6OutNo3974,729*
651432-7OutNo2983,116*
641433-6OutNo1992,018*
631333-7OutNo1991,227*
621334-6OutNo0100750*
611234-7OutNo0100446*
601235-6OutNo0100246*
58-59OutNo100248*
571137-5OutNo29854*
30-56OutNo100280*
Total:17.4%0.0%0012244567910111313132,864,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jackets 4 Senators 2 +0.7
Lightning 0 Jets 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Canadiens-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Penguins+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Sabres vs Flyers+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-136100
115397-76733
1144110-2255025
113388-7255025
1123910-425506136
111379-713573233
1103710-6436963492
1093610-72286832221
1083611-602166313212
1073612-50163927401020
1063512-613310165031310
1053412-7811311554141
1043413-6511365864530
1033313-7309358766700
1023314-610815281161000100
1013214-710604471761610200
1003215-600403462352220310
993115-7002025427327314210
983116-6020162282315364100
973016-701912813166783000
963017-6050240266117135110
952917-70201802061761882200
942918-6010130134204221255100
932818-70009722222213910300
922819-60005311911912151572000
912719-70021015013818191561000
902720-60100100841719221241000
892620-7100604213142521103100
882621-600030118821261993000
872521-7000200441424261882000
862522-601001161725251561000
852422-700000029192724135100
842423-60000001311212722113100
832323-700000015132427198200
822324-6000026162727165100
812224-7000002920292412300
802225-60014122529207100
792125-70001618292714300
782126-600310243122810
772026-700151730291430
762027-60021025342271
751927-70015183329121
741928-6002122935193
731828-700172237276
721829-600316363410
711729-70211324016
701730-6016254424
691630-7003194632
681631-602134441
671531-70193951
661532-6063460
651432-7032968
641433-6022474
631333-712079
621334-601486
611234-71090
601235-60991
591236-5496
581136-6496
571137-5694
561138-4496
30-55100
Total:000001020203032345677888876531