How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators vs Red Wings+0.7+0.7+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.5
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3
Blue Jackets vs Wild-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Lightning vs Ducks-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Rangers vs Blackhawks-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0
-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
103210-0InNo0860824616
100191-1InNo40605*
99181-2InNo126651817*
98182-1InNo31460814265*
97172-2InNo364815271233*
96162-3InNo023423355748*
95163-298.5%No0119224511101,768*
94153-396.0No092044234004,123*
93154-286.6No0314363311209,027*
92144-368.8No01922372371018,497*
91145-246.3No0041131321740034,732*
90135-324.3No0241933281220061,062*
89136-29.4No0018243424810101,087*
88126-32.8No00212293318400157,012*
87127-20.5No00151834301220230,974*
86117-30.1No0001825372350318,914*
85118-20.0No000031535341210179,733
107-40.0No002133435142238,327*
84108-30.0No001625402450248,528
119-10.0No00162540245267,649*
83109-2OutNo002143835100323,920*
98-4OutNo00214373611279,496*
8299-3OutNo00173043190480,605*
88-5OutNo0062745220188,165*
81910-2OutNo0032046310299,266
89-4OutNo0021946330401,651*
80810-3OutNo011142460335,563
911-1OutNo011142460360,546*
79811-2OutNo00636580282,943
710-4OutNo00534610369,481*
78711-3OutNo00326710579,515*
77712-2OutNo0119800217,623
611-4OutNo0117820268,303*
76612-3OutNo0011881187,504
713-1OutNo0012871197,291*
75613-2OutNo07912288,356*
74513-3OutNo04933202,178*
73514-2OutNo02935133,565*
72414-3OutNo0190982,250*
71415-2OutNo0861347,434*
70315-3OutNo0811925,731*
69316-2OutNo0732712,666*
68216-3OutNo064365,657*
67217-2OutNo54462,305*
66218-1OutNo4951819*
65118-2OutNo3565293*
64119-1OutNo267473*
63120-0OutNo217924*
62020-1OutNo50504
61021-0OutNo1090616
Total:1.0%No00000001125915254117,446,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Senators vs Red Wings-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.5
Rangers vs Blackhawks+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
103210-0086008222
100191-14060
99181-2126293518
98182-131420408952
97172-2365431501981
96162-30233122122135
95163-201119202222311010
94153-30091731727230400
93154-20031149273301120
92144-3015341936123710
91145-200221102923217400
90135-301104163332812200
89136-20000162243424810
88126-300002112293318400
87127-2000000417333112200
86117-3000017243624610
85118-200000314333414200
107-4000212313517300
84108-30005203728910
83109-200111313618300
98-40019293720400
8299-3000418373110100
1010-100041836311010
81910-2019303919200
89-40018274022200
80810-3003173934600
911-1003173934600
79811-20019324313100
710-40017294515200
78711-30031847265000
812-1004214724500
77712-200110413511100
611-4018393713200
76612-3004284122500
713-1004284122500
75613-20116373212200
74513-3008283722500
73514-2031635321220
72414-301826372350
71415-203153534121
70315-30172640223
69316-2031639348
68216-3018314416
67217-2004214827
66218-101135036
65118-2054153
64119-133463
63120-02575
62020-15050
61021-01288
Total:00000000000101247111517191163100