How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +1.5
+6.0
-3.4
+1.1
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.3
-0.3
-0.2
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.2
+0.3
+0.3
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-2.3-0.8+2.8
-7.0-1.8+8.1
+1.3+0.1-1.3
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.7+0.3-0.7
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.6+0.3+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Watford vs Arsenal+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.1
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.2+0.2+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.2+0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.0+0.2-0.1
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tottenham Hotspur finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
91-107YesYes100No8,249*
9026-4-398.6%Yes991No71*
8925-6-2YesYes100No153*
8825-5-399.7Yes1000No313*
8725-4-4YesYes100No564*
8624-6-399.8Yes1000No986*
8524-5-499.8Yes1000No1,845*
8423-7-399.7Yes1000No3,087*
8323-6-499.4Yes991No5,167*
8223-5-599.0Yes991No8,630*
8122-7-498.7Yes991No13,633*
8022-6-598.0Yes9820No21,492*
7921-8-497.2Yes9730No33,232*
7821-7-596.1Yes9640No50,019*
7721-6-694.4Yes9460No73,741*
7620-8-592.4Yes9280No106,159*
7520-7-689.7Yes901000No150,543*
7419-9-586.2Yes861300No209,398*
7319-8-682.0Yes821710No286,344*
7219-7-776.7Yes772210No382,030*
7118-9-670.4100.0%7027200No501,263*
7018-8-763.3100.06333400No648,484*
6918-7-855.0100.055386000No822,437*
6817-9-746.2100.0464310100No1,020,649*
6717-8-837.199.9374615200No1,248,979*
6616-10-728.399.72846214000No1,502,239*
6516-9-820.199.22044287100No1,768,648*
6416-8-913.397.9133934122000No2,051,214*
6315-10-87.895.083137194100No2,331,772*
6215-9-94.189.4422372692000No2,607,045*
6115-8-101.979.92143232164100No2,866,481*
6014-10-90.765.81724342392000No3,093,108*
5914-9-100.248.2031530301651000No3,281,357*
5814-8-110.030.0017213125113000No3,417,016*
5713-10-100.015.20031226302072000No3,501,613*
5613-9-110.05.900151628281651000No3,518,810*
5512-11-100.01.7000272029251341000No3,478,031*
5412-10-11No0.30002102229231030000No3,380,531*
5312-9-12No0.0000312242921920000No3,220,862*
5211-11-11No0.0000141325281982000No3,019,307*
5111-10-12No0.0000151526271871000No2,775,815*
5011-9-13NoNo0001616272716610000.0%2,506,276*
4910-11-12NoNo0001717282615510000.02,220,643*
4810-10-13NoNo000281928251341000.11,929,839*
4710-9-14NoNo0000292129241130000.41,649,068*
469-11-13NoNo000131124292192002.01,382,620*
459-10-14NoNo00014142729186106.81,132,049*
449-9-15NoNo00016183027133016.8911,794*
438-11-14NoNo0002102432238131.9720,392*
428-10-15NoNo001415303116349.9556,690*
418-9-16NoNo0018233525667.2421,024*
407-11-15NoNo00041534351280.7311,658*
397-10-16NoNo001928412189.9226,238*
387-9-17NoNo000421433195.2161,289*
376-11-16NoNo00214424397.8111,679*
366-10-17NoNo0019375499.275,384*
356-9-18NoNo005316499.849,971*
345-11-17NoNo03247399.932,064*
335-10-18NoNo011880100.020,190*
325-9-19NoNo11386Yes12,290*
314-11-18NoNo0991Yes7,520*
304-10-19NoNo0694Yes4,309*
294-9-20NoNo0595Yes2,400*
283-11-19NoNo298Yes1,295*
273-10-20NoNo298Yes699*
263-9-21NoNo100Yes358*
253-8-22NoNo199Yes154*
8-24NoNo100Yes8,310*
Total:7.2%35.1%7910988766554433221113.0%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship