"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Everton Title Chances

Beat Burnley 3-1, title odds up 0.4 to 0.7%
12 points   3-3-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley 1 Everton 3 +0.2
+2.6
-2.6
+0.8
Man United 1 Chelsea 1 +0.0
+0.2
Southampton 1 Stoke 0 -0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Sunderland 0 Arsenal 2 -0.2
-0.2
Liverpool 0 Hull 0 +0.2
Swansea 2 Leicester 0 -0.1
-0.1
Tottenham 1 Newcastle 2 +0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
QPR vs Aston Villa+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Swansea+0.3-0.2-0.4
+4.0-1.8-4.6
-1.2+0.3+1.5
+0.8-0.3-0.9
Chelsea vs QPR-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Hull vs Southampton+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Man City vs Man United-0.2+0.3+0.2
Stoke vs West Ham+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Burnley-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Newcastle vs Liverpool+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Aston Villa vs Tottenham+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Leicester vs West Brom+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Everton finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
85-99YesYes100No1,998*
8423-3-397.9%Yes982No94*
8323-2-494.2Yes946No224*
8222-4-394.3Yes946No384*
8122-3-489.2Yes8911No683*
8022-2-585.2Yes85141No1,166*
7921-4-479.7Yes80201No1,893*
7821-3-574.9Yes75241No3,209*
7720-5-467.8Yes683030No4,987*
7620-4-562.0Yes623440No8,061*
7520-3-653.2Yes534160No12,463*
7419-5-545.4100.0%45441000No18,345*
7319-4-637.4100.037471410No27,332*
7219-3-728.899.929492020No39,381*
7118-5-621.299.7214827400No55,316*
7018-4-715.099.5154433710No75,879*
6917-6-610.098.610393812100No102,449*
6817-5-76.297.06314118300No135,338*
6717-4-83.493.83234225610No174,909*
6616-6-71.788.2216393210100No222,835*
6516-5-80.779.8110333717300No277,299*
6416-4-90.368.1052438247100No339,523*
6315-6-80.153.70216353113200No405,732*
6215-5-90.038.60192835206100No475,984*
6115-4-100.024.30051934281120000No547,354*
6014-6-90.013.4002112833196100No619,088*
5914-5-10No6.1016203327113000No685,082*
5813-7-90.02.300021127322061000No742,456*
5713-6-10No0.70015183128133000No793,493*
5613-5-11No0.20021024322282000No829,874*
5512-7-10No0.000141528291751000No852,663*
5412-6-11No0.00017203126123000No856,504*
5312-5-12No0.000021125312182000No846,501*
5211-7-11NoNo0015152829165100No819,789*
5111-6-12NoNo0017203026123000No777,078*
5011-5-13NoNo000311243022920000.0%726,326*
4910-7-12NoNo001415282917510000.0664,673*
4810-6-13NoNo0017203026123000.0594,178*
4710-5-14NoNo00021124312281000.1522,125*
469-7-13NoNo000141529301640000.5448,971*
459-6-14NoNo0018223225102001.9377,577*
449-5-15NoNo003132832185005.2312,301*
438-7-14NoNo0016203327102012.0252,593*
428-6-15NoNo002122934184022.7199,501*
418-5-16NoNo00162136278136.6154,674*
407-7-15NoNo000213323515252.2116,817*
397-6-16NoNo017253923466.686,775*
387-5-17NoNo003183932878.762,759*
376-7-16NoNo011134401387.844,336*
366-6-17NoNo00628452093.430,460*
356-5-18NoNo00321472996.920,503*
345-7-17NoNo0115463898.613,331*
335-6-18NoNo19434799.38,754*
325-5-19NoNo06365899.75,264*
314-7-18NoNo03336499.93,221*
304-6-19NoNo12673Yes1,903*
294-5-20NoNo12079Yes1,075*
283-7-19NoNo01486Yes545*
273-6-20NoNo01188Yes326*
263-5-21NoNo694Yes155*
253-4-22NoNo694Yes79*
242-6-21NoNo397Yes32*
12-23NoNo100Yes1,940*
Total:0.7%12.9%124678898877654332102.9%15,406,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)