How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Chelsea+1.0-0.8-1.5
+4.3-3.1-6.6
-2.4+1.4+4.2
+0.8-0.5-1.3
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City+0.2+0.1-0.4
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Watford vs Swansea City+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Leicester City vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
West Ham vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Manchester United vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Arsenal vs Stoke City-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
West Brom vs Southampton+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Norwich City vs Bournemouth*+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Everton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-107YesYes100No20,175*
8324-6-499.7%Yes1000No1,232*
8224-5-599.6Yes1000No2,151*
8123-7-499.4Yes991No3,890*
8023-6-598.9Yes991No6,656*
7922-8-498.4Yes982No11,160*
7822-7-597.4Yes973No18,232*
7722-6-696.4Yes9640No29,446*
7621-8-594.8Yes9550No46,686*
7521-7-693.1Yes9370No72,320*
7421-6-790.4Yes9090No109,737*
7320-8-687.1Yes87130No163,054*
7220-7-783.0Yes831610No237,987*
7119-9-677.9Yes782110No339,415*
7019-8-771.4100.0%7126200No477,103*
6919-7-864.1100.06432400No656,583*
6818-9-755.6100.05637600No885,633*
6718-8-846.5100.0464210100No1,173,357*
6618-7-937.099.9374516200No1,523,466*
6517-9-827.799.62845224000No1,942,878*
6417-8-919.298.81943298100No2,433,286*
6316-10-812.197.0123734143000No2,985,177*
6216-9-96.893.0728372161000No3,599,519*
6116-8-103.385.531935281230000No4,258,445*
6015-10-91.373.211128331961000No4,946,364*
5915-9-100.456.4051932271330000No5,637,427*
5815-8-110.137.20210253121820000No6,307,603*
5714-10-100.020.001415282917610000No6,930,966*
5614-9-110.08.300171929261341000No7,470,424*
5513-11-100.02.5000292229231030000No7,904,341*
5413-10-11No0.5000312242921920000No8,208,481*
5313-9-12No0.10001413252819820000No8,366,370*
5212-11-11No0.00001515262818710000No8,365,855*
5112-10-12No0.0000161627271661000No8,209,510*
5012-9-13NoNo0001617272616510000.0%7,897,090*
4911-11-12NoNo00002718282614510000.07,456,401*
4811-10-13NoNo0002819282513410000.16,901,497*
4711-9-14NoNo0000292129241230000.56,272,486*
4610-11-13NoNo000031123292292002.45,575,022*
4510-10-14NoNo00014132629197107.94,859,773*
4410-9-15NoNo000016172928154019.24,156,787*
439-11-14NoNo000282232259135.73,478,606*
429-10-15NoNo0000313283318454.52,854,639*
419-9-16NoNo00017213528871.32,287,665*
408-11-15NoNo000031332371584.01,797,865*
398-10-16NoNo001725422592.11,379,249*
388-9-17NoNo000317433696.41,036,561*
377-11-16NoNo00111394898.6762,002*
367-10-17NoNo0016345999.5546,853*
357-9-18NoNo003276999.8382,182*
346-11-17NoNo002207899.9262,118*
336-10-18NoNo011585100.0175,041*
326-9-19NoNo001090100.0112,934*
315-11-18NoNo00793100.071,851*
305-10-19NoNo0496Yes44,546*
295-9-20NoNo0397Yes26,318*
284-11-19NoNo0298Yes15,225*
274-10-20NoNo199Yes8,614*
264-9-21NoNo199Yes4,783*
253-11-20NoNo0100Yes2,460*
243-10-21NoNo0100Yes1,206*
5-23NoNo100Yes20,017*
Total:3.4%20.7%356666666665555443327.9%151,734,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship