Everton Title Chances

Season start, title odds unchanged at 5%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester vs Everton-1.4-0.3+2.3
-3.9-0.5+6.5
+3.1-0.1-4.9
-0.8-0.1+1.3
Newcastle vs Man City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Burnley vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Ham vs Tottenham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stoke vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Man United vs Swansea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
QPR vs Hull-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Brom vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Arsenal+1.5-0.8-1.8
+4.4-2.3-5.4
-3.7+1.5+4.9
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Southampton vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Tottenham vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Crystal Palace vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sunderland vs Man United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Chelsea vs Leicester-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Hull vs Stoke-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Man City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Swansea vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Aston Villa vs Newcastle-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Everton finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
96-114YesYes100No744,167*
9530-5-399.8%Yes1000No417*
93-94YesYes100No2,296*
9229-5-4100.0Yes1000No2,971*
9129-4-5100.0Yes1000No5,483*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No9,725*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No17,232*
8828-4-6100.0Yes1000No30,906*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No52,618*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No88,038*
8527-4-799.9Yes1000No145,781*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No235,861*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No374,355*
8226-4-899.8Yes1000No587,558*
8125-6-799.6Yes10000No901,640*
8025-5-899.4Yes9910No1,363,283*
7924-7-799.1Yes9910No2,028,103*
7824-6-898.6Yes9910No2,966,915*
7724-5-997.8Yes9820No4,270,578*
7623-7-896.7Yes97300No6,050,514*
7523-6-995.1Yes95500No8,433,287*
7423-5-1092.9Yes93700No11,570,987*
7322-7-989.7100.0%9010000No15,657,165*
7222-6-1085.5100.08614100No20,824,260*
7122-5-1180.1100.08019100No27,306,186*
7021-7-1073.2100.073243000No35,259,010*
6921-6-1164.8100.0653050000No44,861,211*
6820-8-1055.1100.0553681000No56,222,245*
6720-7-1144.599.945411320000No69,470,017*
6620-6-1233.699.634431940000No84,507,962*
6519-8-1123.498.7234126810000No101,406,834*
6419-7-1214.696.51536321430000No119,855,365*
6319-6-138.091.78283521710000No139,612,060*
6218-8-123.782.5418322813410000No160,329,886*
6118-7-131.467.81102532228200000No181,452,508*
6018-6-140.448.3041528291651000000No202,396,791*
5917-8-130.128.201720292513410000No222,519,940*
5817-7-140.012.600210232922103000000No241,153,676*
5717-6-150.04.00013122429209200000No257,617,116*
5616-8-140.00.800014142528198200000No271,245,348*
5516-7-150.00.1000015152627187200000No281,472,516*
5415-9-14No0.00000151526271761000000.0%287,863,879*
5315-8-15No0.00000151626271761000000.0290,158,934*
5215-7-16No0.0000016162727166100000.0288,263,287*
5114-9-15No0.0000001616272716610000.0282,101,480*
5014-8-16NoNo000001717272615510000.1272,067,735*
4914-7-17NoNo0000271928251341000.7258,520,334*
4813-9-16NoNo0000029212924113003.1242,041,310*
4713-8-17NoNo000003112430218109.8223,180,272*
4613-7-18NoNo000015152830175022.3202,711,706*
4512-9-17NoNo00001720322711239.6181,323,557*
4412-8-18NoNo00000312273420458.1159,684,063*
4312-7-19NoNo000016193530974.1138,446,017*
4211-9-18NoNo000021231381785.6118,177,791*
4111-8-19NoNo0001624422692.899,248,483*
4011-7-20NoNo0000317423796.782,058,967*
3910-9-19NoNo000111394998.666,708,147*
3810-8-20NoNo00016346099.553,353,502*
3710-7-21NoNo0003276999.841,952,301*
369-9-20NoNo0002217799.932,426,775*
359-8-21NoNo0011584100.024,633,283*
349-7-22NoNo0001189100.018,383,881*
338-9-21NoNo000892100.013,467,956*
328-8-22NoNo000595100.09,696,506*
318-7-23NoNo00397100.06,844,483*
307-9-22NoNo00298100.04,738,905*
297-8-23NoNo0199Yes3,216,045*
287-7-24NoNo0199Yes2,144,180*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,396,404*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes890,154*
256-7-25NoNo0100Yes555,635*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes338,421*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes202,089*
225-7-26NoNo0100Yes117,067*
215-6-27NoNo0100Yes66,271*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes36,463*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,756*
184-6-28NoNo0100Yes10,196*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes5,024*
0-16NoNo100Yes748,370*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%5,980,852,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)