How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.3
-0.3
-0.2
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Manchester United 1 Leicester City 0 +0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.1
+0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Sheffield United+1.4-0.4-1.1
+5.9-1.5-5.0
-2.9+0.3+2.7
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Bournemouth vs Everton-1.2-0.5+1.4
-5.1-1.6+5.8
+2.8+0.4-2.8
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.3+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Watford vs Arsenal+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Arsenal vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.2+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Everton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
88-109YesYes100No8,307*
8725-5-499.1%Yes991No115*
8624-7-399.6Yes1000No234*
8524-6-499.5Yes991No389*
8424-5-599.5Yes991No743*
8323-7-499.4Yes991No1,314*
8223-6-599.2Yes991No2,208*
8122-8-499.1Yes991No3,544*
8022-7-598.1Yes982No5,983*
7922-6-697.2Yes9730No9,524*
7821-8-596.5Yes9630No14,906*
7721-7-694.5Yes9450No22,878*
7621-6-792.7Yes9370No34,936*
7520-8-689.9Yes901000No51,507*
7420-7-786.5Yes861300No74,721*
7319-9-682.1Yes821710No106,695*
7219-8-776.8Yes772210No150,399*
7119-7-870.4Yes702720No207,194*
7018-9-763.2100.0%6333400No279,529*
6918-8-854.7100.055387000No372,242*
6818-7-946.0100.0464310100No486,581*
6717-9-836.799.9374616200No623,674*
6617-8-927.899.62846224000No789,392*
6516-10-819.699.02044288100No981,312*
6416-9-912.797.513383413200No1,195,694*
6316-8-107.494.373037205100No1,436,368*
6215-10-93.788.14213627102000No1,694,916*
6115-9-101.777.821331321751000No1,967,972*
6015-8-110.663.017223325102000No2,243,430*
5914-10-100.244.9031329311861000No2,517,229*
5814-9-110.027.20162031261231000No2,771,469*
5713-11-100.013.200211243021920000No3,002,766*
5613-10-110.04.900141527281761000No3,198,855*
5513-9-12No1.300161829261451000No3,353,550*
5412-11-11No0.20002821292412310000No3,452,070*
5312-10-12No0.00003102329221030000No3,493,902*
5212-9-13No0.0001312242920920000No3,474,668*
5111-11-12NoNo0014132528197200000.0%3,392,533*
5011-10-13NoNo0001515262817610000.03,254,091*
4911-9-14NoNo0001617272716510000.03,073,145*
4810-11-13NoNo000271828261441000.12,844,762*
4710-10-14NoNo000292129241230000.52,586,667*
4610-9-15NoNo000031123302292002.12,308,173*
459-11-14NoNo00014142729186107.02,021,403*
449-10-15NoNo000016183028133016.91,735,703*
439-9-16NoNo00002102432238131.91,461,973*
428-11-15NoNo001415303116349.61,208,474*
418-10-16NoNo00018243525666.6979,347*
408-9-17NoNo00041634341280.1777,715*
397-11-16NoNo001929412089.4603,562*
387-10-17NoNo000521433094.9460,336*
377-9-18NoNo00214424197.7342,697*
366-11-17NoNo0019385299.1248,818*
356-10-18NoNo005326299.7177,975*
346-9-19NoNo003267299.9123,407*
335-11-18NoNo012079100.083,439*
325-10-19NoNo011585100.055,060*
315-9-20NoNo001089100.035,602*
304-11-19NoNo0793Yes21,781*
294-10-20NoNo0595Yes13,581*
284-9-21NoNo0397Yes8,035*
273-11-20NoNo298Yes4,545*
263-10-21NoNo199Yes2,529*
253-9-22NoNo199Yes1,352*
243-8-23NoNo0100Yes711*
232-10-22NoNo199Yes391*
222-9-23NoNo199Yes180*
7-21NoNo100Yes8,317*
Total:3.3%20.7%356677666665555443327.5%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship