"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Watford+1.5-1.0-2.0
+4.5-2.7-6.0
-3.8+1.9+5.7
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Chelsea vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
West Brom vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Arsenal vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Leicester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton vs Everton-1.3-0.1+2.9
-3.6+0.0+7.7
+2.9-0.5-5.6
-0.7+0.1+1.5
West Ham vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Manchester City vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Aston Villa vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Watford vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Everton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
89-114YesYes100No219,592*
8827-7-499.9%Yes1000No965*
8727-6-5YesYes100No1,849*
8626-8-4100.0Yes1000No3,273*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No5,955*
8426-6-6100.0Yes1000No10,506*
8325-8-5100.0Yes1000No18,293*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No31,862*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No53,513*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No87,876*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No143,081*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No226,264*
7723-8-799.5Yes9910No353,696*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No543,132*
7522-9-798.7Yes99100No818,475*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No1,210,789*
7321-10-796.9Yes9730No1,758,980*
7221-9-895.3Yes95500No2,516,683*
7121-8-992.9Yes93700No3,533,349*
7020-10-889.6100.0%9010000No4,878,146*
6920-9-985.1100.08514100No6,619,001*
6820-8-1079.1100.07919200No8,833,479*
6719-10-971.5100.072253000No11,598,450*
6619-9-1062.3100.0623260000No14,960,522*
6518-11-951.699.95238101000No18,982,539*
6418-10-1040.199.840421530000No23,694,202*
6318-9-1128.799.2294223610000No29,084,867*
6217-11-1018.497.61839301120000No35,109,236*
6117-10-1110.393.710313418510000No41,683,288*
6017-9-124.985.5521332611300000No48,669,480*
5916-11-111.871.32112731207200000No55,894,155*
5816-10-120.551.31517292815510000No63,135,987*
5715-12-110.129.801820292412410000No70,101,750*
5615-11-120.012.900210222922103100000No76,546,574*
5515-10-130.03.80003112328219300000No82,209,072*
5414-12-120.00.7000141223282093000000No86,817,994*
5314-11-13No0.100014122328209300000No90,113,638*
5214-10-14No0.00001412232821103000000.0%91,993,214*
5113-12-13No0.000001311222821103000000.092,301,812*
5013-11-14No0.00000131122282210300000.091,020,641*
4913-10-15NoNo0000131022282211300000.088,228,963*
4812-12-14NoNo000013112228221030000.484,025,887*
4712-11-15NoNo0000131123292192002.378,641,806*
4612-10-16NoNo000014132529207108.572,291,288*
4511-12-15NoNo000015162829165021.365,284,387*
4411-11-16NoNo000002720312711239.857,889,424*
4311-10-17NoNo00000311263421559.650,403,630*
4210-12-16NoNo0000151834311176.343,074,572*
4110-11-17NoNo000021029391987.836,122,034*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.429,719,844*
399-12-17NoNo000214414397.723,985,008*
389-11-18NoNo00018365599.118,979,243*
378-13-17NoNo00004306699.714,722,389*
368-12-18NoNo0002237599.911,187,587*
358-11-19NoNo0011782100.08,332,684*
347-13-18NoNo0001188100.06,072,687*
337-12-19NoNo00892100.04,330,887*
327-11-20NoNo000595100.03,021,347*
317-10-21NoNo00397100.02,059,974*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes1,372,446*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes894,782*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes568,184*
275-12-21NoNo00100Yes351,495*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes212,892*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes124,142*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes70,488*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes39,429*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes21,433*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes10,982*
0-20NoNo100Yes229,106*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%1,758,055,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship