How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton 3 Middlesbrough 1 +4.5
+7.6
-0.4
+0.7
Sunderland 0 Everton 3 +3.1
+7.2
-1.3
+0.9
Manchester City 4 Bournemouth 0 -0.9
-0.5
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Sunderland 0 -0.6
-0.6
Watford 3 Manchester United 1 +0.5
+0.4
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 2 +0.3
Swansea City 2 Chelsea 2 +0.2
+0.3
Stoke City 0 Tottenham Hotspur 4 -0.2
-0.4
Middlesbrough 1 Crystal Palace 2 +0.1
+0.3
+0.1
Burnley 1 Hull City 1 +0.1
+0.3
Arsenal 2 Southampton 1 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Crystal Palace 4 Stoke City 1 -0.1
-0.2
Manchester United 1 Manchester City 2 *-0.1
-0.2
Bournemouth 1 West Brom 0 +0.2
+0.1
Liverpool 4 Leicester City 1 -0.1
Hull City 1 Arsenal 4 *-0.1
West Brom 4 West Ham 2 -0.1
Southampton 1 Swansea City 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth vs Everton-5.2-2.2+4.4
-8.0-2.8+6.4
+0.2+0.0-0.1
-0.7-0.2+0.5
Swansea City vs Manchester City+1.6+0.7-1.4
+0.5+0.3-0.5
Middlesbrough vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.9+0.4-0.9
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Liverpool vs Hull City-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.3
Arsenal vs Chelsea-0.2+0.3-0.1
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.2-0.5
Manchester United vs Leicester City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Stoke City vs West Brom+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.4
West Ham vs Southampton+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Everton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
97-112YesYes100No35,712*
9626-5-299.8%Yes1000No490*
9526-4-399.9Yes1000No932*
93-94YesYes100No5,076*
9225-4-499.9Yes1000No5,790*
9124-6-3100.0Yes1000No10,299*
9024-5-499.9Yes1000No17,536*
8923-7-399.9Yes1000No29,232*
8823-6-499.9Yes1000No47,938*
8723-5-599.9Yes1000No76,078*
8622-7-499.8Yes1000No118,068*
8522-6-599.7Yes1000No180,402*
8421-8-499.5Yes1000No269,912*
8321-7-599.3Yes991No395,675*
8221-6-698.9Yes9910No567,029*
8120-8-598.4Yes9820No797,951*
8020-7-697.6Yes9820No1,100,632*
7919-9-596.5Yes9730No1,487,145*
7819-8-695.0Yes95500No1,971,081*
7719-7-793.0Yes93700No2,564,041*
7618-9-690.4100.0%909000No3,275,684*
7518-8-786.9Yes871300No4,105,952*
7418-7-882.5100.08217100No5,052,712*
7317-9-777.0100.07721100No6,112,340*
7217-8-870.5100.07027300No7,251,283*
7116-10-762.9100.063325000No8,449,177*
7016-9-854.3100.054387100No9,674,326*
6916-8-945.199.94542121000No10,880,984*
6815-10-835.899.83645173000No12,014,420*
6715-9-926.899.52745235000No13,054,107*
6615-8-1018.798.719423091000No13,927,841*
6514-10-912.096.9123635143000No14,584,788*
6414-9-106.993.2728372161000No15,014,337*
6313-11-93.586.442035281120000No15,187,256*
6213-10-101.675.721230331851000No15,089,826*
6113-9-110.661.016213326112000No14,726,702*
6012-11-100.243.70313283118610000No14,119,562*
5912-10-110.027.00162031261230000No13,290,053*
5812-9-120.013.800211253021820000No12,292,506*
5711-11-110.05.600151628281651000No11,162,710*
5611-10-120.01.700028203025123000No9,956,995*
5511-9-13No0.400031124302192000No8,713,915*
5410-11-12No0.1001414272918610000No7,482,867*
5310-10-13No0.0000161728271551000No6,309,414*
5210-9-14No0.0000282029241230000No5,211,643*
519-11-13No0.0000031123302292000No4,230,612*
509-10-14NoNo0001413262919710000.0%3,363,994*
499-9-15NoNo0001516282816510000.02,622,988*
488-11-14NoNo000282029251230000.02,001,143*
478-10-15NoNo000031023302292000.21,499,160*
468-9-16NoNo000141427291861001.01,099,231*
457-11-15NoNo00016183027133003.6787,681*
447-10-16NoNo0002102431228109.7553,392*
437-9-17NoNo0014152930164020.0379,581*
426-11-16NoNo00282333259134.6253,648*
416-10-17NoNo000314313316351.3166,880*
406-9-18NoNo0018243625666.8106,215*
395-11-17NoNo0041735341179.566,289*
385-10-18NoNo0011030401888.839,919*
375-9-19NoNo00523442794.423,934*
364-11-18NoNo00317443797.313,670*
354-10-19NoNo00111404899.07,644*
344-9-20NoNo16365899.54,117*
333-11-19NoNo03306699.82,161*
323-10-20NoNo02237699.91,079*
313-9-21NoNo11782Yes536*
303-8-22NoNo01783Yes258*
292-10-21NoNo694Yes131*
282-9-22NoNo595Yes61*
272-8-23NoNo595Yes20*
13-26NoNo100Yes35,317*
Total:20.9%62.4%2117141197543321111000000.2%283,882,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship