"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Everton Title Chances

Did not play, average seed unchanged at 10.7
47 points   12-11-14

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/9100.0*Average seed
Everton 0 Sunderland 2 -0.6
Stoke 3 Tottenham 0 -0.1
Aston Villa 1 West Ham 0 +0.1
Crystal Palace 1 Man United 2 +0.1
Week of 5/16100.0*Average seed
West Ham 1 Everton 2 +0.6
Liverpool 1 Crystal Palace 3 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Tottenham+0.5-0.0-0.6
Newcastle vs West Ham+0.3+0.1-0.3
Crystal Palace vs Swansea-0.2+0.2+0.2
Arsenal vs West Brom+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Everton finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DemotedCount
501-0-0NoNo8119No9,602,147,025
480-1-0NoNo40518No4,302,874,496
470-0-1NoNo1050382No7,068,520,879
Total:NoNo4936151No20,973,542,400
Points
Chance Will Win Championship