"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/21100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace 0 Everton 1 No
+6.5
-0.4
Liverpool 2 Swansea City 3 +3.5
-0.1
West Brom 2 Sunderland 0 -1.5
+0.0
Middlesbrough 1 West Ham 3 -0.8
Southampton 3 Leicester City 0 -0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chelsea vs Hull City-0.7+0.6+3.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Arsenal vs Burnley-0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crystal Palace finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
6416-0-0No1.3%011337427No1,274
6014-2-0NoNo100No1
5914-1-1NoNo100No2
5813-3-0NoNo404020No5*
5713-2-1NoNo77617No29
5613-1-2NoNo1757233No60*
5512-3-1NoNo654382No162*
5412-2-2NoNo3444310No397*
5311-4-1NoNo134481510No802*
5211-3-2NoNo127472240No1,664*
5111-2-3NoNo014453271No3,463*
5010-4-2NoNo08363815300No6,183*
4910-3-3NoNo03254124610No11,623*
4810-2-4NoNo011435331430No20,201*
479-4-3NoNo06253723710No33,640*
469-3-4NoNo0214333315300No54,546*
458-5-3NoNo017233625810No84,189*
448-4-4NoNo00213313417300No125,123*
438-3-5NoNo015213628910No179,932*
427-5-4NoNo002102936184000.0%248,337*
417-4-5NoNo0041937309100.0330,688*
407-3-6NoNo0193038194000.2424,312*
396-5-5NoNo0031838309100.8521,065*
386-4-6NoNo00193138183002.7620,781*
376-3-7NoNo0031939317008.0337,960
5-6-5NoNo0042040297007.0373,808*
365-5-6NoNo01103339152016.4781,127*
355-4-7NoNo0042243265030.7512,926
4-7-5NoNo0042343254029.5315,010*
344-6-6NoNo00113393610146.3411,357
5-3-8NoNo0112383711148.1429,715*
334-5-7NoNo006304319264.4512,599
5-2-9NoNo006294319264.7306,336*
324-4-8NoNo02184330679.5465,539
3-7-6NoNo02194429578.5300,502*
313-6-7NoNo011038401189.1338,857
4-3-9NoNo011037411289.6344,962*
303-5-8NoNo00528472095.3584,163*
293-4-9NoNo0218483298.3476,204*
282-6-8NoNo0110444599.4366,568*
272-5-9NoNo05365999.9270,575*
262-4-10NoNo022671100.0187,645*
252-3-11NoNo011882100.0121,734*
241-5-10NoNo001089100.074,128*
231-4-11NoNo0694Yes41,981*
221-3-12NoNo397Yes21,377*
210-5-11NoNo199Yes9,955*
200-4-12NoNo199Yes4,149*
190-3-13NoNo0100Yes1,512*
16-18NoNo100Yes1,792*
Total:No0.0%00000000123610141819161146.0%10,260,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship