Brentford F.C. Chase for the ChampionshipBrentford beat Grimsby 4-0, odds of winning the cup up 1.1% to 4.1% | Chance of winning the title:
| 4.1 | % | Change: | 1.1 | | being promoted: | 17.0 | % | | 3.8 | | being demoted: | 7.2 | % | | -3.37 | | | Average finish: | 12.22 | | | 1.26 | |
Record: 3 points, 1 - 0 - 1 3 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Brentford: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Brentford is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 8/16 | Impact | | | Brentford | 4 | | Grimsby | 0 | | | 1.1 | | (1.18) | | | Worst | -0.94 |
(-1.01)
| 1.14 | | (1.26) | (1.18) | 1.15 | Best | | |
Week of 8/23 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Barnet | -1.2 |
(-1.02)
| Brentford | 1.4 |
(1.17)
| -0.4 |
(-0.24)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | Bury | |
(-0.01)
| Morecambe | |
(-0.00)
| |
(0.04)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | Shrewsbury | |
(0.00)
| Aldershot | |
(-0.01)
| |
(0.04)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | | -1.32 |
(-1.03)
| 0.00 | | (0.00) | (1.25) | 1.60 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Brentford finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | | 44 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 34 | - | 3 | - | 7 | .795 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 32 | - | 8 | - | 4 | .788 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 33 | - | 4 | - | 7 | .780 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 32 | - | 6 | - | 6 | .773 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 5 | | 33 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .765 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 12 | | 32 | - | 4 | - | 8 | .758 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 18 | | 32 | - | 3 | - | 9 | .750 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 37 | | 32 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .742 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 41 | | 31 | - | 4 | - | 9 | .735 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 70 | | 31 | - | 3 | - | 10 | .727 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 134 | | 31 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .720 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 186 | | 31 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .712 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 322 | | 30 | - | 3 | - | 11 | .705 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 478 | | 30 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .697 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 818 | | 30 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .689 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,188 | | 29 | - | 3 | - | 12 | .682 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,651 | | 29 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .674 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,396 | | 29 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .667 | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3,538 | | 29 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .659 | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 5,018 | | 28 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .652 | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 7,061 | | 28 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .644 | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 9,635 | | 27 | - | 3 | - | 14 | .636 | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 13,049 | | 27 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .629 | Yes | 90 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 17,612 | | 27 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .621 | 100.0 | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 23,134 | | 27 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .614 | 100.0 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 29,980 | | 26 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .606 | 99.9 | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 39,108 | | 26 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .598 | 99.8 | 70 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 49,658 | | 26 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .591 | 99.5 | 61 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 62,752 | | 25 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .583 | 99.0 | 51 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 78,260 | | 25 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .576 | 97.9 | 42 | 40 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 95,891 | | 25 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .568 | 95.6 | 32 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 115,948 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .561 | 91.9 | 23 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 138,766 | | 24 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .553 | 85.8 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 164,300 | | 24 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .545 | 77.0 | 8 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 191,018 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .538 | 65.8 | 4 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 219,848 | | 23 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .530 | 53.5 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 249,865 | | 23 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .523 | 41.7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 281,187 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .515 | 32.2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 311,871 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 21 | .508 | 24.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 342,059 | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .500 | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 369,945 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .492 | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 394,160 | | 21 | - | 1 | - | 22 | .485 | 6.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 418,130 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 23 | .477 | 2.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 434,118 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 22 | .470 | 0.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 446,388 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 23 | .462 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 451,493 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 24 | .455 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 455,437 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 23 | .447 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 449,015 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 24 | .439 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 438,081 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 25 | .432 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 423,651 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 24 | .424 | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 402,076 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 25 | .417 | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 378,015 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 26 | .409 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 350,396 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 25 | .402 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | | 320,755 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 26 | .394 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2.6 | | 288,997 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 27 | .386 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 7.0 | | 257,600 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 26 | .379 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 15.0 | | 226,179 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 27 | .371 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 26.7 | | 195,260 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 28 | .364 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 40.2 | | 166,916 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 27 | .356 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 54.8 | | 140,096 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 28 | .348 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 26 | 67.7 | | 117,042 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 27 | .341 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 37 | 78.6 | | 96,095 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 28 | .333 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 47 | 86.2 | | 77,093 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 29 | .326 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 57 | 91.8 | | 60,841 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 28 | .318 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 95.4 | | 47,907 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 29 | .311 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 97.6 | | 36,768 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 30 | .303 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 98.7 | | 27,806 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 31 | .295 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 99.4 | | 20,788 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 30 | .288 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.8 | | 15,300 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 29 | .280 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 99.8 | | 10,975 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 30 | .273 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | | 7,720 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 31 | .265 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 5,321 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 32 | .258 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | | 3,669 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 31 | .250 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | | 2,563 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 32 | .242 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 1,669 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 31 | .235 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 1,057 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 32 | .227 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 698 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 33 | .220 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | | 413 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 32 | .212 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 259 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 31 | .205 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 176 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 32 | .197 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 94 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 33 | .189 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 64 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 32 | .182 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 27 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 33 | .174 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 19 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 32 | .167 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 3 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 31 | .159 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 5 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 32 | .152 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 33 | .144 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 44 | .000 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 17.0% | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7.2% | | 10,000,000 |
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