How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brentford 2 Sheffield Wed 0 +1.3
+3.0
-1.2
+0.8
Bristol City 0 Middlesbrough 2 -0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Reading 0 Bolton 1 -0.2
-0.3
*-0.1
Leeds 2 Rotherham 0 -0.1
-0.2
Preston 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
+0.2
Birmingham 0 Swansea 0 +0.1
*+0.1
Hull City 0 Blackburn 1 -0.1
-0.2
Ipswich 1 Aston Villa 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Aston Villa vs Brentford-2.0*-0.0+4.3
-3.6+0.2+7.6
+0.5-0.1-0.9
-0.6+0.1+1.3
Swansea vs Leeds+0.0+0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.2-0.2
Bolton vs Birmingham-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Blackburn vs Reading-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Sheffield Wed vs Millwall+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Stoke vs Wigan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Norwich vs Preston+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
QPR vs Bristol City+0.0+0.0-0.1
Derby vs Ipswich-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rotherham vs Hull City-0.0+0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Blackburn vs Brentford-2.0-0.1+4.2
-3.6+0.1+7.4
+0.5-0.1-0.9
-0.6+0.1+1.3
Norwich vs Leeds+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.3+0.1-0.5
Middlesbrough vs West Brom-0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.2+0.3+0.1
Swansea vs Bristol City-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Aston Villa vs Reading-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Bolton vs Sheffield Utd-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Rotherham vs Millwall+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Nottingham vs Birmingham-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
QPR vs Wigan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Derby vs Preston+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Sheffield Wed vs Ipswich*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stoke vs Hull City-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brentford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
105-136YesYes100No21,300*
10430-7-699.9%Yes1000No1,302*
10330-6-7100.0Yes1000No2,223*
10229-8-699.9Yes1000No3,652*
10129-7-799.9Yes1000No5,874*
10029-6-899.9Yes1000No9,302*
9928-8-799.9Yes1000No14,637*
9828-7-899.8Yes1000No22,620*
9727-9-799.7Yes1000No34,450*
9627-8-899.6Yes1000No51,207*
9527-7-999.4100.0%9910No74,802*
9426-9-899.1100.09910No109,331*
9326-8-998.7100.09910No155,289*
9226-7-1098.0100.09820No219,165*
9125-9-997.1100.09730No302,818*
9025-8-1095.9100.096400No412,229*
8924-10-994.299.994600No554,440*
8824-9-1091.999.992800No732,721*
8724-8-1188.899.7891100No952,839*
8623-10-1084.999.48514100No1,223,474*
8523-9-1180.198.98019100No1,547,506*
8423-8-1274.098.17423200No1,930,573*
8322-10-1167.096.767294000No2,366,950*
8222-9-1258.894.559347100No2,868,452*
8121-11-1149.891.15038101000No3,420,119*
8021-10-1240.486.440411530000No4,022,628*
7921-9-1331.080.031422151000No4,662,884*
7820-11-1222.372.022402791000No5,322,896*
7720-10-1314.862.81536321430000No5,989,967*
7620-9-148.953.0928342071000No6,649,447*
7519-11-134.843.752033271230000No7,266,683*
7419-10-142.235.721328301971000No7,838,526*
7319-9-150.929.5172030251341000No8,329,015*
7218-11-140.324.60312252920920000No8,719,726*
7118-10-150.119.901617272616610000No9,003,673*
7017-12-140.014.8002920282413410000No9,152,185*
6917-11-150.09.400131122272110310000No9,184,152*
6817-10-160.04.700015132426199310000No9,071,802*
6716-12-15No1.800016152426188200000No8,832,852*
6616-11-16No0.5000026162525177200000No8,475,993*
6516-10-17No0.1000027162525167200000No8,014,192*
6415-12-16No0.000002717252516720000No7,463,729*
6315-11-17No0.0000027172524166200000No6,853,107*
6215-10-18No0.000002717252415620000No6,195,068*
6114-12-17NoNo000028172524156200000.0%5,513,145*
6014-11-18NoNo000028172524156100000.04,835,929*
5914-10-19NoNo00002818262414510000.04,176,308*
5813-12-18NoNo00013919262313510000.13,550,256*
5713-11-19NoNo000013102127221241000.72,972,218*
5613-10-20NoNo000141223272192002.72,450,530*
5512-12-19NoNo00015152527187107.91,990,312*
5412-11-20NoNo00028182826144017.61,583,908*
5312-10-21NoNo00013112330228131.61,245,704*
5211-12-20NoNo00001516293015348.2960,685*
5111-11-21NoNo000029243424764.2731,254*
5011-10-22NoNo00151733321277.4545,550*
4910-12-21NoNo0021129392087.0399,380*
4810-11-22NoNo001623422993.1288,472*
479-13-21NoNo00316413996.7204,949*
469-12-22NoNo00111384998.5142,641*
459-11-23NoNo017335999.497,636*
449-10-24NoNo004286899.865,450*
438-12-23NoNo02227699.943,189*
428-11-24NoNo011782100.027,775*
418-10-25NoNo011387100.017,587*
407-12-24NoNo00991100.010,801*
397-11-25NoNo0694Yes6,615*
387-10-26NoNo0496Yes3,927*
376-12-25NoNo0397Yes2,362*
366-11-26NoNo397Yes1,260*
356-10-27NoNo199Yes726*
345-12-26NoNo199Yes373*
335-11-27NoNo199Yes216*
325-10-28NoNo199Yes120*
7-31NoNo100Yes19,802*
Total:9.7%26.3%10988776655443332222111101.9%189,974,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship