How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Brentford vs Birmingham City+1.2-0.8-1.6
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.5
+1.0-0.6-1.4
Reading vs Sheffield Wedne-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Stoke City vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Wigan Athletic vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1-0.1
Millwall vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Hull City-0.0+0.1-0.1
Barnsley vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Huddersfield Town vs Derby County-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bristol City vs Leeds United-0.0+0.1-0.0
Luton Town vs Middlesbrough-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Nottingham Forest vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs Brentford-1.0-0.1+2.2
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
West Brom vs Millwall-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Derby County vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
QPR vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sheffield Wedne vs Barnsley-0.0+0.1-0.1
Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Fulham vs Blackburn Rovers-0.0+0.1-0.0
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Birmingham City vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Cardiff City vs Luton Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Hull City vs Reading-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brentford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
97-138YesYes100No26,269*
9629-9-899.9%Yes1000No3,229*
9528-11-799.9Yes1000No5,183*
9428-10-899.8Yes1000No8,339*
9328-9-999.8Yes1000No12,871*
9227-11-899.6Yes1000No19,277*
9127-10-999.5Yes1000No30,011*
9027-9-1099.2100.0%9910No43,909*
8926-11-998.8100.09910No64,861*
8826-10-1098.2100.09820No93,883*
8725-12-997.3100.09730No132,993*
8625-11-1096.099.996400No186,563*
8525-10-1194.299.994600No258,707*
8424-12-1091.799.892800No353,939*
8324-11-1188.199.5881100No476,128*
8224-10-1283.799.0841510No631,765*
8123-12-1177.898.17820200No827,245*
8023-11-1270.596.471263000No1,067,302*
7922-13-1161.993.662326100No1,357,647*
7822-12-1252.189.05237101000No1,704,091*
7722-11-1341.682.24241153000No2,112,733*
7621-13-1231.072.531422151000No2,580,333*
7521-12-1321.260.22139281020000No3,107,414*
7421-11-1413.045.91333321651000No3,691,566*
7320-13-137.031.37243323920000No4,323,373*
7220-12-143.218.5315292916610000No4,999,116*
7119-14-131.29.11821292412410000No5,699,485*
7019-13-140.33.503122428209310000No6,405,853*
6919-12-150.11.0015152526177200000No7,102,808*
6818-14-140.00.200271725251672000000No7,768,605*
6718-13-150.00.000028172524156200000No8,377,070*
6618-12-160.00.0000028172524156200000No8,902,894*
6517-14-15No0.00000281725241572000000No9,338,878*
6417-13-16NoNo000027162424167200000No9,656,100*
6317-12-17NoNo0000261523251883100000No9,850,564*
6216-14-16NoNo0000151322251910310000No9,891,296*
6116-13-17NoNo000001412212520114100000.0%9,803,646*
6016-12-18NoNo000001411202521124100000.09,574,949*
5915-14-17NoNo00001310192622135100000.09,217,792*
5815-13-18NoNo000013919262313510000.18,746,986*
5714-15-17NoNo000013102026231341000.98,177,261*
5614-14-18NoNo00001310212722113103.97,536,615*
5514-13-19NoNo0000141223282192011.46,841,107*
5413-15-18NoNo000015152628186124.76,117,168*
5313-14-19NoNo00002719302713242.25,394,405*
5213-13-20NoNo0000311253322660.34,674,641*
5112-15-19NoNo000151833311175.73,992,282*
5012-14-20NoNo00021129381986.63,363,393*
4912-13-21NoNo0001622422993.32,782,193*
4811-15-20NoNo000315414196.92,266,323*
4711-14-21NoNo000110375298.71,818,121*
4611-13-22NoNo0006316299.51,431,830*
4510-15-21NoNo003257299.81,111,229*
4410-14-22NoNo002197999.9849,822*
4310-13-23NoNo0011485100.0636,365*
429-15-22NoNo0001090100.0468,344*
419-14-23NoNo00793100.0339,178*
409-13-24NoNo00595100.0241,928*
398-15-23NoNo0397Yes168,842*
388-14-24NoNo0298Yes116,316*
378-13-25NoNo199Yes77,560*
367-15-24NoNo199Yes51,574*
357-14-25NoNo00100Yes33,185*
347-13-26NoNo0100Yes21,026*
336-15-25NoNo0100Yes12,971*
326-14-26NoNo0100Yes8,041*
316-13-27NoNo0100Yes4,727*
305-15-26NoNo0100Yes2,728*
295-14-27NoNo100Yes1,517*
285-13-28NoNo0100Yes925*
0-27NoNo100Yes22,406*
Total:4.2%8.3%44444444444444444444444412.5%207,019,696

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship