How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 4 Leicester City 3 +2.0
+5.8
-4.6
+1.1
Southampton 0 Swansea City 0 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Watford 3 Liverpool 3 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Chelsea 2 Burnley 3 -0.1
Brighton & Hove 0 Manchester City 2 -0.1
Manchester United 4 West Ham United 0 -0.1
West Brom 1 Bournemouth 0 -0.1
Crystal Palace 0 Huddersfield Town 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Stoke City vs Arsenal-2.0-0.7+2.4
-5.5-1.7+6.3
+3.2+0.5-3.3
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Huddersfield Town vs Newcastle United-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Swansea City vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Burnley vs West Brom*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Manchester City vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Southampton vs West Ham United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Bournemouth vs Watford+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Leicester City vs Brighton & Hove-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Arsenal-2.0-0.7+2.5
-5.4-1.5+6.6
+3.0+0.4-3.3
-0.9-0.2+1.1
West Brom vs Stoke City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bournemouth vs Manchester City+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Manchester United vs Leicester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Chelsea vs Everton+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Huddersfield Town vs Southampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Swansea City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Watford vs Brighton & Hove-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Newcastle United vs West Ham United-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
88-114YesYes100No19,745*
8726-6-599.6%Yes1000No817*
8625-8-499.9Yes1000No1,407*
8525-7-599.9Yes1000No2,361*
8425-6-6100.0Yes1000No3,920*
8324-8-599.9Yes1000No6,555*
8224-7-699.9Yes1000No10,687*
8123-9-599.8Yes1000No16,542*
8023-8-699.7Yes1000No25,565*
7923-7-799.5Yes991No39,275*
7822-9-699.2Yes9910No58,986*
7722-8-798.8Yes9910No86,557*
7622-7-898.2Yes9820No125,951*
7521-9-797.2Yes97300No179,219*
7421-8-895.8Yes9640No250,983*
7320-10-793.8Yes94600No345,097*
7220-9-891.1Yes91900No469,328*
7120-8-987.2Yes871210No625,733*
7019-10-882.5100.0%8216100No821,977*
6919-9-976.2100.07622200No1,063,157*
6819-8-1068.4100.06828400No1,350,112*
6718-10-959.3100.059346100No1,692,054*
6618-9-1049.299.94939111000No2,085,249*
6517-11-938.499.738421630000No2,530,685*
6417-10-1027.999.228422361000No3,025,161*
6317-9-1118.497.7183930112000No3,562,499*
6216-11-1010.894.311323418510000No4,124,897*
6116-10-115.587.562334251020000No4,704,586*
6016-9-122.375.521329311861000No5,286,146*
5915-11-110.858.3172031261231000No5,837,922*
5815-10-120.238.20211253021920000No6,351,600*
5715-9-130.019.901415272817610000No6,808,775*
5614-11-120.07.70016182826155100000No7,180,352*
5514-10-130.02.10002819282513410000No7,454,453*
5413-12-12No0.30002921282312410000No7,618,983*
5313-11-13No0.000003102128231131000No7,665,817*
5213-10-14No0.000003102228221131000No7,592,838*
5112-12-13No0.0000131122282210300000.0%7,391,238*
5012-11-14NoNo00013112328211030000.07,084,934*
4912-10-15NoNo0001412232821920000.06,679,876*
4811-12-14NoNo00001413242820820000.26,190,843*
4711-11-15NoNo000151426281861001.35,651,067*
4611-10-16NoNo00016172827155105.35,064,898*
4510-12-15NoNo000028203025123014.34,457,236*
4410-11-16NoNo0003112531217129.23,865,825*
4310-10-17NoNo0001516303015347.53,287,811*
429-12-16NoNo00029243524665.42,750,623*
419-11-17NoNo000141634341279.72,257,195*
409-10-18NoNo0001928402189.31,820,386*
398-12-17NoNo001521433194.91,439,684*
388-11-18NoNo000214414397.81,116,480*
378-10-19NoNo0018375499.1850,613*
367-12-18NoNo005306599.7634,198*
357-11-19NoNo002247399.9463,285*
347-10-20NoNo0011881100.0331,788*
336-12-19NoNo011386100.0231,808*
326-11-20NoNo00991100.0158,815*
316-10-21NoNo00694100.0106,939*
305-12-20NoNo0496Yes69,743*
295-11-21NoNo0298Yes44,146*
285-10-22NoNo0298Yes27,638*
274-12-21NoNo199Yes16,818*
264-11-22NoNo199Yes9,936*
254-10-23NoNo0100Yes5,859*
244-9-24NoNo0100Yes3,258*
233-11-23NoNo0100Yes1,721*
3-22NoNo100Yes20,628*
Total:6.6%25.3%766666665555554444339.5%151,061,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship