How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford 2 Arsenal 1 -1.1
-6.8
+0.4
-0.7
Manchester City 7 Stoke City 2 -0.3
-0.3
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Bournemouth 0 -0.1
-0.8
Crystal Palace 2 Chelsea 1 +0.1
+1.2
+0.1
Liverpool 0 Manchester United 0 +0.1
+0.2
Burnley 1 West Ham United 1 +0.3
Swansea City 2 Huddersfield Town 0 +0.2
Southampton 2 Newcastle United 2 +0.2
Leicester City 1 West Brom 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Arsenal-0.5-0.3+0.5
-5.6-2.4+5.0
+0.9+0.1-0.6
-0.8-0.3+0.7
Manchester City vs Burnley-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Huddersfield Town vs Manchester United+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Chelsea vs Watford-0.3+0.4*-0.0
Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southampton vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.1
Stoke City vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.0+0.0
West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
Swansea City vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
88-103YesYes100No14,801*
8723-5-299.6%Yes1000No272*
8623-4-398.7Yes991No520*
8522-6-297.5Yes982No1,016*
8422-5-396.9Yes973No1,877*
8322-4-495.2Yes955No3,459*
8221-6-392.9Yes9370No5,799*
8121-5-489.7Yes90100No10,272*
8020-7-386.1Yes86130No17,126*
7920-6-481.6Yes82181No27,729*
7820-5-576.0Yes762310No44,548*
7719-7-469.7Yes702820No69,743*
7619-6-561.9Yes623440No106,514*
7519-5-653.7100.0%5439700No159,286*
7418-7-545.5100.045441010No232,515*
7318-6-637.0100.037471510No332,237*
7217-8-528.899.9294821200No466,312*
7117-7-621.399.8214727400No638,481*
7017-6-715.099.61544337000No860,197*
6916-8-69.999.010393911100No1,130,387*
6816-7-76.197.76324317200No1,458,383*
6715-9-63.495.432444244000No1,843,881*
6615-8-71.891.321742318100No2,282,043*
6515-7-80.884.9111363713200No2,776,280*
6414-9-70.375.7062940204000No3,310,015*
6314-8-80.163.8032140278100No3,860,392*
6214-7-90.050.101133534142000No4,425,921*
6113-9-80.036.10182837215100No4,973,067*
6013-8-90.023.4004203628102000No5,475,270*
5913-7-100.013.40021230341851000No5,917,727*
5812-9-9No6.601622342692000No6,269,544*
5712-8-10No2.70031430321741000No6,510,723*
5611-10-9No0.90017223325102000No6,628,774*
5511-9-10No0.300031329311851000No6,614,817*
5411-8-11No0.10016203226123000No6,480,161*
5310-10-10No0.000021126312071000No6,213,821*
5210-9-11No0.0000151629281541000No5,842,497*
5110-8-12No0.000028223124113000No5,377,026*
509-10-11NoNo00031226302071000No4,852,973*
499-9-12NoNo0001516292816510000.0%4,293,250*
489-8-13NoNo000282030251230000.03,709,469*
478-10-12NoNo000311243021820000.03,140,880*
468-9-13NoNo001415272917610000.12,599,539*
458-8-14NoNo000171930261330000.42,107,525*
447-10-13NoNo00021024312281001.61,669,371*
437-9-14NoNo0014152830175105.01,291,994*
427-8-15NoNo00017213226102012.3974,775*
416-10-14NoNo0003122833195024.3719,418*
406-9-15NoNo001619342910140.0516,854*
396-8-16NoNo00211293618356.9365,218*
385-10-15NoNo0016223828672.0249,255*
375-9-16NoNo0021435371183.5165,337*
365-8-17NoNo001829431991.4107,142*
354-10-16NoNo00422462895.967,476*
344-9-17NoNo0215453898.141,047*
334-8-18NoNo019414999.224,236*
323-10-17NoNo006355999.813,962*
313-9-18NoNo03286899.97,770*
303-8-19NoNo12376Yes4,042*
293-7-20NoNo11782Yes2,108*
282-9-19NoNo11189Yes987*
272-8-20NoNo892Yes506*
262-7-21NoNo0694Yes202*
251-9-20NoNo496Yes103*
241-8-21NoNo397Yes38*
13-23NoNo100Yes14,610*
Total:1.1%20.0%136911111098765432211001.2%117,323,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship