Arsenal Title Chances

Tied Man City 2-2, title odds down 1.2 to 3.7%
6 points   1-3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 2 Man City 2 -0.8
-2.3
+0.7
-0.3
Liverpool 0 Aston Villa 1 -0.1
-0.1
Sunderland 2 Tottenham 2 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Southampton 4 Newcastle 0 -0.2
-0.1
Stoke 0 Leicester 1 +0.1
+0.1
Chelsea 4 Swansea 2 -0.1
Crystal Palace 0 Burnley 0 +0.1
-0.1
West Brom 0 Everton 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Hull vs West Ham-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Man United vs QPR*-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa vs Arsenal-1.2-0.1+2.2
-4.1-0.2+7.6
+1.6-0.2-2.7
-0.7-0.0+1.2
Man City vs Chelsea+0.1+0.1-0.2
Swansea vs Southampton*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tottenham vs West Brom-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Newcastle vs Hull+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
West Ham vs Liverpool+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Everton vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Sunderland+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Leicester vs Man United-0.1+0.1*+0.0
QPR vs Stoke+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arsenal finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-108YesYes100No928*
8525-4-599.3%Yes991No136*
8425-3-699.1Yes991No233*
8324-5-599.7Yes1000No371*
8224-4-699.3Yes991No611*
8123-6-597.5Yes973No991*
8023-5-697.1Yes9730No1,559*
7923-4-796.1Yes964No2,351*
7822-6-694.5Yes9450No3,516*
7722-5-791.7Yes9280No5,091*
7622-4-889.0Yes89110No7,318*
7521-6-784.6Yes851510No10,490*
7421-5-880.4Yes801810No14,625*
7321-4-974.4100.0%7424200No19,994*
7220-6-867.2100.06729400No26,866*
7120-5-958.8100.05934600No35,518*
7019-7-849.4100.049401010No45,693*
6919-6-939.799.8404315200No58,529*
6819-5-1030.499.6304421400No73,252*
6718-7-922.198.9224227810No90,747*
6618-6-1014.597.315373313200No109,493*
6518-5-118.894.293036205100No131,044*
6417-7-104.788.25223526102000No153,160*
6317-6-112.278.42143131165100No177,941*
6217-5-120.864.317233324102000No201,045*
6116-7-110.347.103142930175100No225,118*
6016-6-120.129.7017213125113000No247,531*
5915-8-110.015.40031226302071000No267,474*
5815-7-120.06.300151729271551000No285,121*
5715-6-130.02.000028213024113000No299,435*
5614-8-12No0.40031224292182000No309,228*
5514-7-13No0.10014152728176100No314,052*
5414-6-14No0.00016172827155100No313,154*
5313-8-13No0.000028202925124100No308,249*
5213-7-14No0.00000310222923103000No296,815*
5113-6-15NoNo0013122429208200No281,830*
5012-8-14NoNo00151427281861000.0%264,642*
4912-7-15NoNo00161728271551000.1242,457*
4812-6-16NoNo00028202925123000.4219,520*
4711-8-15NoNo00031124302182002.0194,414*
4611-7-16NoNo0015152729175106.0170,979*
4511-6-17NoNo00027203126122014.4145,793*
4410-8-16NoNo003122632216127.6123,170*
4310-7-17NoNo001618322913244.0102,217*
4210-6-18NoNo00210263522560.982,860*
419-8-17NoNo0015193530975.066,856*
409-7-18NoNo0021231381685.552,374*
399-6-19NoNo01725422592.240,331*
388-8-18NoNo00318433596.530,347*
378-7-19NoNo00212414698.322,656*
368-6-20NoNo018365699.416,357*
357-8-19NoNo004306699.711,747*
347-7-20NoNo03247499.98,174*
337-6-21NoNo01188099.95,491*
326-8-20NoNo01387Yes3,686*
316-7-21NoNo01090Yes2,394*
306-6-22NoNo0595Yes1,499*
295-8-21NoNo595Yes962*
285-7-22NoNo298Yes568*
275-6-23NoNo199Yes314*
265-5-24NoNo100Yes199*
254-7-23NoNo199Yes98*
6-24NoNo100Yes866*
Total:3.7%20.8%456677776666554433216.5%6,130,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)