How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 2 Watford 0 +1.0
+5.7
-0.3
+0.6
Manchester City 2 Brighton & Hove 0 -0.2
-0.4
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 1 +0.1
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.1
-1.0
-0.0
Newcastle United 0 Leicester City 2 -0.5
West Ham United 3 Manchester United 1 +0.3
Wolverhampton 2 Southampton 0 -0.2
Bournemouth 2 Crystal Palace 1 -0.2
Cardiff City 1 Burnley 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Fulham vs Arsenal-1.4-0.5+1.9
-6.2-1.5+8.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Southampton vs Chelsea+0.2+0.1-0.3
+1.0+0.3-1.1
Liverpool vs Manchester City-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Cardiff City-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.8+1.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.8
Watford vs Bournemouth-0.2+0.5+0.1
Leicester City vs Everton-0.4+0.4+0.4
Manchester United vs Newcastle United-0.2+0.2+0.3
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
94-108YesYes100No282,714*
9325-3-399.9%Yes1000No2,244*
9224-5-299.8Yes1000No4,663*
9124-4-399.9Yes1000No9,052*
9024-3-499.8Yes1000No17,833*
8923-5-399.6Yes1000No33,502*
8823-4-499.3Yes991No61,217*
8722-6-398.9Yes9910No109,291*
8622-5-498.3Yes9820No188,527*
8522-4-597.5Yes9730No320,319*
8421-6-496.2Yes9640No528,032*
8321-5-594.5Yes94500No849,551*
8221-4-692.1Yes92800No1,335,662*
8120-6-589.0Yes891100No2,053,925*
8020-5-685.1Yes851410No3,085,528*
7919-7-580.2100.0%8019100No4,532,184*
7819-6-674.2100.07424200No6,509,662*
7719-5-767.3100.06729300No9,153,239*
7618-7-659.5100.05935500No12,600,131*
7518-6-751.0100.051409100No16,975,853*
7418-5-842.3100.0424413100No22,393,808*
7317-7-733.699.9344618200No28,932,183*
7217-6-825.499.72546244000No36,616,626*
7116-8-718.299.41843308100No45,401,215*
7016-7-812.298.5123836121000No55,175,025*
6916-6-97.696.783139183000No65,676,411*
6815-8-84.393.542440256100No76,637,211*
6715-7-92.288.02173732111000No87,643,973*
6615-6-101.079.71103237173000No98,223,784*
6514-8-90.468.30624382471000No107,909,261*
6414-7-100.154.503163531122000No116,209,908*
6314-6-110.039.8011029361951000No122,615,604*
6213-8-100.026.100521362792000No126,872,566*
6113-7-110.015.10021331331640000No128,624,555*
6012-9-100.07.50017233525910000No127,812,893*
5912-8-110.03.100031531311640000No124,438,695*
5812-7-120.01.10001823332492000No118,714,918*
5711-9-11No0.300031530311641000No110,972,499*
5611-8-12No0.1000182232251020000No101,638,136*
5511-7-13No0.000031328311851000No91,172,387*
5410-9-12No0.0000172031261230000No80,053,182*
5310-8-13No0.0000211263120710000No68,831,977*
5210-7-14No0.0000151730281441000No57,955,557*
519-9-13NoNo000292332239200000.0%47,736,481*
509-8-14NoNo00004142830186100000.038,482,571*
499-7-15NoNo000161931271230000.030,329,729*
488-9-14NoNo000211253121810000.023,367,304*
478-8-15NoNo000151629291641000.017,610,311*
468-7-16NoNo000282232251020000.212,945,380*
457-9-15NoNo000031328311851000.79,303,485*
447-8-16NoNo0016193227122002.46,528,463*
437-7-17NoNo0002112733206106.44,462,566*
426-9-16NoNo00015183329122014.02,980,246*
416-8-17NoNo0002102735205025.51,934,221*
406-7-18NoNo001519352910140.21,225,016*
395-9-17NoNo00212303617355.8755,862*
385-8-18NoNo0016233826670.1451,601*
375-7-19NoNo0031636341081.4261,747*
364-9-18NoNo01931411789.6147,434*
354-8-19NoNo00524452694.780,521*
344-7-20NoNo0317453597.442,507*
333-9-19NoNo0112414698.921,697*
323-8-20NoNo07375599.510,577*
313-7-21NoNo04306599.85,143*
302-9-20NoNo02237599.92,303*
292-8-21NoNo01198099.91,033*
282-7-22NoNo01486Yes400*
272-6-23NoNo991Yes163*
262-5-24NoNo793Yes73*
251-7-23NoNo991Yes23*
23-24NoNo100Yes10*
150-0-31NoNo0100Yes280,830
Total:4.2%35.0%48111213121087543211000000.2%2,258,143,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship