Arsenal Title Chances

Did not play, title odds up 0.01 to 0.3%
17 points   4-5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 1 Man United 2 -0.5
-8.4
+0.3
-0.8
Chelsea 2 West Brom 0 -0.2
-0.1
Aston Villa 1 Southampton 1 +0.2
Man City 2 Swansea 1 -0.1
Everton 2 West Ham 1 +0.4
Stoke 1 Burnley 2 +0.4
+0.1
Newcastle 1 QPR 0 -0.3
Crystal Palace 3 Liverpool 1 +0.2
Hull 1 Tottenham 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Southampton+0.3-0.1-0.2
+6.7-1.3-4.9
-0.3-0.0+0.3
+0.8-0.1-0.6
West Brom vs Arsenal-0.2-0.1+0.2
-5.2-1.9+5.8
+0.4*-0.0-0.3
-0.7-0.2+0.7
Chelsea vs Tottenham-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Chelsea+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Southampton vs Man City+0.3*+0.0-0.6
Sunderland vs Man City+0.9+0.3-0.7
Man United vs Hull-0.6+0.5+0.9
Swansea vs QPR-0.5+0.5+1.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Swansea vs Crystal Palace-0.6+0.5+0.9
Man United vs Stoke-0.6+0.5+0.8
West Brom vs West Ham+0.6+0.3-0.7
Burnley vs Newcastle+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Everton vs Hull-0.4+0.3+0.5
West Ham vs Newcastle-0.3+0.5+0.1
Tottenham vs Everton+0.1+0.3-0.3
Leicester vs Liverpool+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Liverpool vs Stoke*-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arsenal finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
9526-0-099.9%Yes1000No1,794
88-90YesYes100No11*
8723-1-293.8Yes946No16*
8622-3-186.5Yes8713No52*
8522-2-287.0Yes8713No92*
8422-1-385.3Yes8515No163*
8321-3-276.9Yes77221No364*
8221-2-372.9Yes73252No682*
8120-4-265.8Yes66322No1,282*
8020-3-358.4Yes58383No2,253*
7920-2-450.0Yes504460No3,795*
7819-4-343.1Yes434890No6,097*
7719-3-434.6Yes3551130No10,010*
7619-2-527.1Yes2754181No15,766*
7518-4-420.3100.0%20532520No23,883*
7418-3-514.3100.014503230No35,592*
7317-5-49.999.910463860No52,031*
7217-4-56.399.6639451000No73,626*
7117-3-63.899.2432491510No101,168*
7016-5-52.298.3225502120No136,387*
6916-4-61.196.51185028300No179,731*
6816-3-70.593.40124635600No231,240*
6715-5-60.288.50739421110No289,396*
6615-4-70.181.304314616200No355,230*
6514-6-60.071.4022346245000No428,332*
6414-5-70.059.5011543319100No502,594*
6314-4-80.046.30093637142000No576,869*
6213-6-70.033.00052839225100No651,900*
6113-5-8No21.20219372910200No714,568*
6013-4-9No12.201113134184000No771,400*
5912-6-8No6.10062235259200No813,913*
5812-5-9No2.6002143132164100No838,776*
5712-4-10No0.900172333259200No849,046*
5611-6-9No0.2003142931175100No840,206*
5511-5-10No0.10017213226112000No812,222*
5411-4-11No0.0003122732196100No770,371*
5310-6-10No0.00015183128133000No714,668*
5210-5-11No0.00002923322392000No648,070*
519-7-10NoNo0004142830175100No576,192*
509-6-11NoNo001619312712300No499,851*
499-5-12NoNo002102532228100No423,785*
488-7-11NoNo001415293016510No352,914*
478-6-12NoNo00172032261120000.0%285,990*
468-5-13NoNo0021126322071000.1227,170*
457-7-12NoNo0015163129154000.4175,723*
447-6-13NoNo001823332491001.6133,507*
437-5-14NoNo003142932174004.897,681*
426-7-13NoNo001721342691011.070,801*
416-6-14NoNo003122933184022.649,822*
406-5-15NoNo00162135279137.433,849*
395-7-14NoNo0213313516253.822,213*
385-6-15NoNo016243825669.014,637*
375-5-16NoNo031535361081.29,058*
364-7-15NoNo01831411990.85,601*
354-6-16NoNo01523452794.83,385*
344-5-17NoNo0216453797.81,999*
334-4-18NoNo0110404998.51,062*
323-6-17NoNo63461Yes546*
313-5-18NoNo32374Yes297*
303-4-19NoNo11980Yes151*
292-6-18NoNo11683Yes81*
282-5-19NoNo100Yes29*
272-4-20NoNo7786Yes14*
17-26NoNo100Yes1,806*
Total:0.3%19.5%02611121211108765332110000.6%14,441,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)