How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 3 Liverpool 4 -1.6
-4.7
+4.1
-1.0
Leicester City 0 Arsenal 0 -0.4
-1.2
+0.8
-0.2
Everton 1 Tottenham Hotspur 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Middlesbrough 1 Stoke City 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Stoke City 1 Manchester City 4 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Watford 1 Chelsea 2 -0.1
-0.1
Southampton 1 Watford 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Manchester United 2 Southampton 0 -0.1
-0.1
Liverpool 0 Burnley 2 +0.1
+0.2
Sunderland 1 Middlesbrough 2 -0.1
West Brom 1 Everton 2 +0.1
Hull City 2 Leicester City 1 -0.1
Chelsea 2 West Ham 1 -0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Crystal Palace 0 -0.1
-0.1
Manchester City 2 Sunderland 1 -0.1
Burnley 0 Swansea City 1 -0.1
Bournemouth 1 Manchester United 3 -0.1
Swansea City 0 Hull City 2 +0.1
West Ham 1 Bournemouth 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Arsenal-0.7-0.3+0.9
-3.1-1.0+3.9
+5.1+0.8-5.7
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Manchester City vs West Ham-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Hull City vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Chelsea vs Burnley-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Everton vs Stoke City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
West Brom vs Middlesbrough*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Leicester City vs Swansea City*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Southampton vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
83-109YesYes100No3,710*
8225-6-599.5%Yes991No186*
8124-8-4YesYes100No302*
8024-7-599.3Yes991No550*
7924-6-699.0Yes991No885*
7823-8-598.6Yes991No1,537*
7723-7-698.2Yes982No2,442*
7622-9-597.5Yes9820No3,781*
7522-8-695.9Yes9640No5,875*
7422-7-794.4Yes9450No9,027*
7321-9-692.0Yes9280No13,089*
7221-8-788.9Yes891100No19,265*
7121-7-884.3Yes841510No28,154*
7020-9-778.6100.0%7920200No39,301*
6920-8-872.0100.07225300No55,922*
6819-10-763.4100.06331500No76,687*
6719-9-853.8100.054378100No103,141*
6619-8-943.699.9444113200No136,409*
6518-10-833.199.53343204000No178,349*
6418-9-923.398.72341268100No229,640*
6318-8-1014.796.7153632143000No289,644*
6217-10-98.492.282835217100No360,763*
6117-9-104.184.04193328123000No442,523*
6016-11-91.770.6211273220720000No533,334*
5916-10-100.552.7151730281441000No631,650*
5816-9-110.133.20292230231030000No738,525*
5715-11-100.016.60031325291982000No849,016*
5615-10-110.06.200151627271661000No957,147*
5515-9-120.01.60001718282614510000No1,064,661*
5414-11-11No0.3000282028241241000No1,164,534*
5314-10-12No0.0000292128231131000No1,257,100*
5214-9-13No0.000003102228221030000No1,330,876*
5113-11-12NoNo0013112328219200000.0%1,390,397*
5013-10-13NoNo00014122428209200000.01,425,424*
4913-9-14NoNo0001413252819820000.01,441,292*
4812-11-13NoNo0001515262818610000.11,430,458*
4712-10-14NoNo000161728271551000.91,395,363*
4611-12-13NoNo00028202925123003.71,340,736*
4511-11-14NoNo00031023302292010.81,267,533*
4411-10-15NoNo0014142830185123.31,176,307*
4310-12-14NoNo001720322711240.21,072,580*
4210-11-15NoNo000311273420458.2959,337*
4110-10-16NoNo0016203530973.8845,255*
409-12-15NoNo00021231381685.2733,293*
399-11-16NoNo001725422692.5620,256*
389-10-17NoNo00317433696.5518,729*
378-12-16NoNo00111404898.5423,196*
368-11-17NoNo0017345899.4340,530*
358-10-18NoNo004286899.8268,163*
347-12-17NoNo002227699.9207,004*
337-11-18NoNo011683100.0156,064*
327-10-19NoNo001288100.0115,453*
316-12-18NoNo00892100.083,738*
306-11-19NoNo0595Yes59,296*
296-10-20NoNo0496Yes40,880*
285-12-19NoNo0298Yes27,885*
275-11-20NoNo0199Yes18,410*
265-10-21NoNo199Yes11,717*
255-9-22NoNo0100Yes7,398*
244-11-21NoNo0100Yes4,446*
234-10-22NoNo0100Yes2,731*
1-22NoNo100Yes6,824*
Total:1.9%11.0%2333444555566666777719.9%27,918,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship