Arsenal Title Chances

Did not play, title odds down 0.1 to 6.9%
10 points   2-4-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 1 Tottenham 1 -1.6
-3.3
+0.3
-0.4
Chelsea 3 Aston Villa 0 -0.5
-0.1
Southampton 2 QPR 1 -0.4
-0.4
Hull 2 Man City 4 -0.2
-0.4
Sunderland 0 Swansea 0 +0.1
+0.2
Crystal Palace 2 Leicester 0 +0.1
+0.2
Liverpool 1 Everton 1 *+0.1
+0.2
West Brom 4 Burnley 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Stoke vs Newcastle-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea vs Arsenal-2.2-0.0+4.2
-5.3-0.1+9.8
+0.6-0.1-1.0
-0.6+0.0+1.1
Tottenham vs Southampton+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Aston Villa vs Man City+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.3-0.5
Swansea vs Newcastle-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Leicester vs Burnley-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Man United vs Everton-0.2+0.3+0.2
Hull vs Crystal Palace+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
Liverpool vs West Brom+0.0+0.2-0.2
West Ham vs QPR-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sunderland vs Stoke+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arsenal finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
91-106YesYes100No58,712*
9026-2-499.9%Yes1000No2,192*
8925-4-399.9Yes1000No4,030*
8825-3-499.9Yes1000No7,376*
8724-5-399.7Yes1000No12,866*
8624-4-499.7Yes1000No22,185*
8524-3-599.4Yes9910No36,874*
8423-5-499.1Yes9910No61,330*
8323-4-598.7Yes9910No98,508*
8223-3-698.1Yes9820No155,028*
8122-5-597.1Yes9730No237,874*
8022-4-695.8Yes9640No358,006*
7921-6-594.1Yes9460No527,817*
7821-5-691.8Yes92800No761,491*
7721-4-788.8Yes891100No1,078,001*
7620-6-685.0Yes851410No1,497,822*
7520-5-780.4100.0%8019100No2,035,992*
7420-4-874.7100.07524200No2,716,415*
7319-6-768.0100.06829300No3,560,733*
7219-5-860.5100.06034500No4,577,289*
7119-4-952.2100.052398100No5,776,481*
7018-6-843.4100.0434312100No7,160,678*
6918-5-934.599.935461720000No8,717,622*
6817-7-826.099.62646235000No10,428,382*
6717-6-918.499.01843308100No12,253,373*
6617-5-1012.097.6123735132000No14,146,678*
6516-7-97.194.7730382051000No16,056,137*
6416-6-103.789.2421372792000No17,885,780*
6316-5-111.780.021332331640000No19,607,540*
6215-7-100.666.61724352481000No21,125,374*
6115-6-110.249.9031531301541000No22,362,883*
6015-5-120.032.4018233224920000No23,266,188*
5914-7-110.017.60031428301761000No23,792,633*
5814-6-120.07.600171930261341000No23,912,392*
5714-5-130.02.5000210243022920000No23,637,015*
5613-7-12No0.600141426291871000No22,936,955*
5513-6-13No0.1000161728271551000No21,898,161*
5412-8-12No0.0000282029251341000No20,538,957*
5312-7-13No0.00003102229231030000No18,937,548*
5212-6-14No0.000013122429209200000.0%17,132,486*
5111-8-13NoNo0001414262818710000.015,247,639*
5011-7-14NoNo0001616272716510000.013,320,667*
4911-6-15NoNo000271929261341000.011,435,682*
4810-8-14NoNo00002102230231020000.39,631,389*
4710-7-15NoNo000141326302071001.37,967,890*
4610-6-16NoNo00015172928154004.46,474,399*
459-8-15NoNo00028223225102011.45,153,274*
449-7-16NoNo00003132832185023.14,029,603*
439-6-17NoNo0001620332710138.63,090,442*
428-8-16NoNo000312293518355.52,322,369*
418-7-17NoNo00016223727670.61,710,261*
408-6-18NoNo00031535361282.31,234,300*
397-8-17NoNo0001929421990.3871,847*
387-7-18NoNo00422452895.1602,602*
377-6-19NoNo00216443897.7407,694*
366-8-18NoNo00110414899.0270,027*
356-7-19NoNo006365899.6174,883*
346-6-20NoNo003306799.8110,054*
335-8-19NoNo0022375100.067,718*
325-7-20NoNo011881100.040,712*
315-6-21NoNo01486Yes23,620*
304-8-20NoNo0990Yes13,712*
294-7-21NoNo0793Yes7,555*
284-6-22NoNo0496Yes3,914*
274-5-23NoNo397Yes2,169*
263-7-22NoNo199Yes1,023*
253-6-23NoNo199Yes516*
243-5-24NoNo199Yes266*
232-7-23NoNo298Yes112*
222-6-24NoNo496Yes48*
19-21NoNo100Yes31*
182-2-28NoNo5050Yes2*
100-0-32NoNo100Yes56,416
Total:6.9%35.7%79101098776554332211102.0%453,656,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)