"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United vs Arsenal-1.6-0.5+2.1
-4.7-1.3+5.7
+4.1+0.6-4.6
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Burnley vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bournemouth vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Watford vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Liverpool vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Manchester United vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Crystal Palace vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Leicester City vs Wolverhampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
West Ham United vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Burnley+2.1-0.5-1.6
+5.7-1.3-4.7
-4.6+0.6+4.1
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Southampton vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chelsea vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Everton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sheffield United vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Wolverhampton vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Norwich City vs Newcastle United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
91-114YesYes100No922,871*
9028-6-499.9%Yes1000No2,912*
88-89YesYes100No15,432*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No18,192*
8626-8-4100.0Yes1000No31,645*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No55,249*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No93,837*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No156,714*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No256,534*
8124-9-599.9Yes10000No413,148*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No652,487*
7924-7-799.7Yes10000No1,013,682*
7823-9-699.5Yes9910No1,548,903*
7723-8-799.2Yes9910No2,328,145*
7623-7-898.7Yes9910No3,439,416*
7522-9-798.0Yes98200No4,996,598*
7422-8-896.9Yes97300No7,146,566*
7321-10-795.4Yes95500No10,055,742*
7221-9-893.2Yes93700No13,922,821*
7121-8-990.1100.0%9010000No18,980,403*
7020-10-885.9100.08613100No25,460,778*
6920-9-980.5100.08018100No33,640,729*
6820-8-1073.6100.0742430000No43,731,717*
6719-10-965.1100.065305000No56,017,050*
6619-9-1055.3100.0553681000No70,653,921*
6518-11-944.599.944401320000No87,755,034*
6418-10-1033.499.533431940000No107,342,289*
6318-9-1123.098.6234127810000No129,346,356*
6217-11-1014.296.214353214300000No153,516,463*
6117-10-117.690.98273522810000No179,444,929*
6017-9-123.480.83173229144100000No206,601,415*
5916-11-111.265.01924312310200000No234,273,297*
5816-10-120.344.804142729187100000No261,693,980*
5715-12-110.124.8016182826155100000No287,894,577*
5615-11-120.010.20028202924124100000No311,988,684*
5515-10-130.02.9000310222823113100000No332,960,360*
5414-12-120.00.50000311222822103100000No349,942,925*
5314-11-13No0.1000131123282110300000No362,166,847*
5214-10-14No0.000001311232821103000000.0%369,102,345*
5113-12-13No0.000001311232821103000000.0370,361,628*
5013-11-14No0.00000131123282110300000.0365,877,542*
4913-10-15No0.00000014122328219200000.0355,776,212*
4812-12-14NoNo000001412242820820000.3340,562,320*
4712-11-15NoNo00000141325281971001.6320,743,174*
4612-10-16NoNo0000015152728175106.2297,285,038*
4511-12-15NoNo0000017192927133016.6271,095,599*
4411-11-16NoNo000002102332238132.9243,125,500*
4311-10-17NoNo000001414293217352.1214,467,063*
4210-12-16NoNo000017223527869.7185,988,241*
4110-11-17NoNo000031432361583.1158,573,064*
4010-10-18NoNo0001726422491.6132,845,757*
399-12-17NoNo0000318433696.2109,357,598*
389-11-18NoNo000111404798.588,414,162*
379-10-19NoNo00017345999.470,186,532*
368-12-18NoNo0004276999.854,700,345*
358-11-19NoNo0002217799.941,816,707*
348-10-20NoNo0011584100.031,357,413*
337-12-19NoNo0001189100.023,035,587*
327-11-20NoNo000793100.016,605,788*
317-10-21NoNo00595100.011,717,870*
306-12-20NoNo00397100.08,088,986*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes5,469,798*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes3,610,510*
275-12-21NoNo0199Yes2,326,525*
265-11-22NoNo00100Yes1,469,041*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes900,523*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes539,502*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes313,709*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes178,627*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes97,884*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes52,394*
0-19NoNo100Yes972,288*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%7,397,497,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship