Arsenal Title Chances

Season start, title odds unchanged at 5%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace+1.5-0.8-1.8
+4.4-2.3-5.4
-3.7+1.5+4.9
+0.9-0.4-1.1
West Ham vs Tottenham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
QPR vs Hull-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Man United vs Swansea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Newcastle vs Man City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leicester vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Burnley vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Stoke vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Brom vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton vs Arsenal-1.4-0.3+2.3
-3.9-0.5+6.5
+3.1-0.1-4.9
-0.8-0.1+1.3
Crystal Palace vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Man City vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Hull vs Stoke-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Aston Villa vs Newcastle-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Chelsea vs Leicester-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Southampton vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tottenham vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Swansea vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Sunderland vs Man United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arsenal finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
92-114YesYes100No749,872*
9129-4-5100.0%Yes1000No5,427*
9029-3-6100.0Yes1000No9,864*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No17,593*
8828-4-6100.0Yes1000No30,639*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No52,208*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No88,250*
8527-4-799.9Yes1000No144,669*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No235,890*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No375,459*
8226-4-899.8Yes10000No585,984*
8125-6-799.6Yes10000No902,707*
8025-5-899.4Yes9910No1,362,963*
7924-7-799.1Yes9910No2,029,880*
7824-6-898.6Yes9910No2,964,709*
7724-5-997.8Yes9820No4,273,066*
7623-7-896.7Yes97300No6,047,202*
7523-6-995.1Yes95500No8,431,584*
7423-5-1092.9100.0%937000No11,582,240*
7322-7-989.7100.09010000No15,653,403*
7222-6-1085.6100.08614100No20,835,179*
7122-5-1180.1100.080191000No27,302,892*
7021-7-1073.2100.073243000No35,262,300*
6921-6-1164.8100.065305000No44,859,427*
6820-8-1055.1100.0553681000No56,244,808*
6720-7-1144.599.94541132000No69,464,708*
6620-6-1233.699.634431940000No84,543,116*
6519-8-1123.498.7234126810000No101,377,636*
6419-7-1214.696.51536321430000No119,835,385*
6319-6-138.091.78283521710000No139,618,300*
6218-8-123.782.5418322813410000No160,319,501*
6118-7-131.467.81102532228200000No181,438,575*
6018-6-140.448.304152829165100000No202,396,076*
5917-8-130.128.201720292513410000No222,557,391*
5817-7-140.012.60021023292210300000No241,184,373*
5717-6-150.04.000131224292092000000No257,636,071*
5616-8-140.00.8000141425281982000000No271,266,094*
5516-7-150.00.1000015152627187200000No281,469,836*
5415-9-14No0.00000151526271761000000.0%287,837,698*
5315-8-15No0.00000151626271761000000.0290,174,385*
5215-7-16No0.00000016162727166100000.0288,237,234*
5114-9-15No0.00000016162727166100000.0282,095,496*
5014-8-16NoNo00001717272615510000.1272,092,149*
4914-7-17NoNo00000271928251341000.7258,527,538*
4813-9-16NoNo0000029212924113003.1242,015,879*
4713-8-17NoNo000003112430218109.8223,173,454*
4613-7-18NoNo000015152830175022.3202,682,063*
4512-9-17NoNo00001720322711239.6181,303,350*
4412-8-18NoNo00000312273420458.1159,674,119*
4312-7-19NoNo000016193530974.1138,459,811*
4211-9-18NoNo000021231381785.6118,158,334*
4111-8-19NoNo00001624422692.899,275,148*
4011-7-20NoNo0000317423796.782,050,072*
3910-9-19NoNo000111394998.666,717,032*
3810-8-20NoNo00016346099.553,346,184*
3710-7-21NoNo0003276999.841,949,703*
369-9-20NoNo002217799.932,425,835*
359-8-21NoNo0011584100.024,631,509*
349-7-22NoNo0001189100.018,385,389*
338-9-21NoNo000892100.013,470,730*
328-8-22NoNo00595100.09,689,224*
318-7-23NoNo00397100.06,848,957*
307-9-22NoNo0298Yes4,736,691*
297-8-23NoNo0199Yes3,216,170*
287-7-24NoNo0199Yes2,143,937*
276-9-23NoNo00100Yes1,396,118*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes887,150*
256-7-25NoNo0100Yes553,804*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes338,374*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes201,472*
225-7-26NoNo0100Yes116,868*
215-6-27NoNo0100Yes65,753*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes36,228*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,555*
184-6-28NoNo0100Yes10,104*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes5,217*
0-16NoNo100Yes748,429*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%5,980,852,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)