How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton 0 Manchester United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Manchester City 5 Crystal Palace 0 -0.1
-0.3
-0.2
Stoke City 0 Chelsea 4 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
West Ham United 2 Tottenham Hotspur 3 -0.0
-0.3
-0.2
Burnley 0 Huddersfield Town 0 +0.2
Leicester City 2 Liverpool 3 -0.2
-0.1
Swansea City 1 Watford 2 -0.2
-0.1
Brighton & Hove 1 Newcastle United 0 +0.2
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Arsenal vs West Brom+0.5-0.1-0.4
+4.0-1.0-3.0
-2.8+0.3+2.4
+1.0-0.2-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove+0.4-0.2-0.4
+3.7-1.1-3.0
-2.8+0.4+2.7
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.2*+0.0+0.4
Chelsea vs Manchester City+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Huddersfield Town vs Tottenham Hotspur*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Everton vs Burnley+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
West Brom vs Watford*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Newcastle United vs Liverpool*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stoke City vs Southampton+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bournemouth vs Leicester City+0.2-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
83-106YesYes100No909*
8223-6-496.7%Yes973No60*
8123-5-598.0Yes982No100*
8022-7-496.1Yes964No181*
7922-6-597.1Yes9730No308*
7821-8-489.0Yes89110No545*
7721-7-586.7Yes87130No843*
7621-6-681.0Yes81190No1,414*
7520-8-576.0Yes76222No2,152*
7420-7-671.0Yes712630No3,239*
7320-6-763.9Yes643240No4,950*
7219-8-656.2100.0%5637600No7,209*
7119-7-747.2100.047411010No10,458*
7018-9-639.0100.039441520No15,001*
6918-8-729.499.8294621300No20,608*
6818-7-822.199.5224427610No28,384*
6717-9-714.998.61540331010No37,876*
6617-8-89.296.99343816300No49,642*
6517-7-95.393.452639236100No64,305*
6416-9-82.787.3318373011200No81,502*
6316-8-91.277.6111313518410No101,926*
6215-10-80.564.5062335259200No124,001*
6115-9-90.148.503143131164100No149,465*
6015-8-100.032.50182433249200No177,792*
5914-10-90.018.6003153030165100No207,207*
5814-9-100.09.00018223224102000No235,646*
5714-8-11No3.50031327301861000No264,093*
5613-10-10No1.00016193027134100No290,506*
5513-9-11No0.2002102330229200No316,822*
5413-8-12No0.0014142729186100No336,327*
5312-10-11No0.00016182927144100No350,649*
5212-9-12No0.000029223023102000No359,155*
5111-11-11NoNo0013132630207100No363,297*
5011-10-12NoNo001516282816510000.0%360,900*
4911-9-13NoNo000282030251230000.0349,965*
4810-11-12NoNo00031124302282000.0334,374*
4710-10-13NoNo001415282917510000.1313,398*
4610-9-14NoNo0017193026123000.4288,099*
459-11-13NoNo0021024312281001.5260,583*
449-10-14NoNo0014152930164004.6229,186*
439-9-15NoNo0018223225101011.0198,981*
428-11-14NoNo003132932174021.7169,891*
418-10-15NoNo00172134269136.1141,192*
408-9-16NoNo00313313416252.3115,288*
397-11-15NoNo0017243825567.091,675*
387-10-16NoNo0003173734979.771,666*
377-9-17NoNo0011032411588.255,097*
366-11-16NoNo00525452394.141,480*
356-10-17NoNo00318463397.130,083*
346-9-18NoNo00112444298.821,640*
335-11-17NoNo018395399.514,669*
325-10-18NoNo05346199.810,399*
315-9-19NoNo022770100.06,627*
304-11-18NoNo012079100.04,234*
294-10-19NoNo00178399.92,794*
284-9-20NoNo01288Yes1,620*
274-8-21NoNo01089Yes958*
263-10-20NoNo0595Yes575*
253-9-21NoNo496Yes277*
243-8-22NoNo298Yes149*
232-10-21NoNo199Yes87*
222-9-22NoNo694Yes36*
7-21NoNo100Yes865*
Total:0.8%10.0%123456677777776544217.2%6,723,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship