How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool 3 Newcastle United 1 -0.4
-0.3
-0.1
Norwich City 3 Manchester City 2 +0.3
+0.4
+0.2
Brighton & Hove 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Crystal Palace 0 +0.1
Sheffield United 0 Southampton 1 +0.1
+0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Chelsea 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Aston Villa+1.5-0.5-1.3
+6.1-1.7-5.3
-2.6+0.3+2.6
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Watford vs Arsenal-1.3-0.6+1.4
-5.4-2.0+5.7
+2.9+0.4-2.6
-1.0-0.3+1.0
Chelsea vs Liverpool+0.4+0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Manchester City vs Watford-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.2+0.5
-0.2-0.0+0.3
West Ham United vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Leicester City vs Tottenham Hotspur*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Bournemouth vs Everton+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Everton vs Sheffield United-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Aston Villa vs West Ham United+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southampton vs Bournemouth-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Burnley vs Norwich City-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-109YesYes100No8,789*
8524-6-499.8%Yes1000No546*
8424-5-599.5Yes991No967*
8323-7-499.4Yes991No1,748*
8223-6-599.0Yes991No2,805*
8122-8-498.4Yes982No4,750*
8022-7-597.6Yes982No7,448*
7922-6-696.5Yes973No12,077*
7821-8-595.3Yes9550No18,441*
7721-7-693.7Yes9460No28,380*
7621-6-791.4Yes9180No42,577*
7520-8-688.6Yes89110No61,913*
7420-7-784.8Yes85150No90,168*
7319-9-680.4Yes801910No127,239*
7219-8-775.0Yes752410No176,272*
7119-7-868.6100.0%6929300No241,808*
7018-9-761.3100.06134400No324,447*
6918-8-853.0100.05339700No427,471*
6818-7-944.3100.0444411100No552,984*
6717-9-835.299.9354616200No705,796*
6617-8-926.599.62746224000No883,715*
6516-10-818.799.01943298100No1,087,453*
6416-9-912.097.4123835132000No1,315,686*
6316-8-107.094.173037205100No1,564,100*
6215-10-93.687.94213627102000No1,830,895*
6115-9-101.677.521331331751000No2,102,064*
6015-8-110.662.617223325102000No2,380,375*
5914-10-100.244.8031329311861000No2,647,656*
5814-9-110.027.00162031261231000No2,890,258*
5713-11-100.013.20021124302192000No3,105,411*
5613-10-110.04.900141527281761000No3,283,527*
5513-9-120.01.3000161829261441000No3,406,081*
5412-11-11No0.20002821292412310000No3,477,906*
5312-10-12No0.000003102329221030000No3,485,330*
5212-9-13No0.0000131224292092000No3,433,178*
5111-11-12No0.0000141325281972000No3,327,564*
5011-10-13NoNo0001515262817610000.0%3,164,801*
4911-9-14NoNo00001616272716510000.02,957,046*
4810-11-13NoNo0002718282614410000.12,713,458*
4710-10-14NoNo000292029241230000.52,447,530*
4610-9-15NoNo000031123302292002.22,162,380*
459-11-14NoNo00014142629196107.21,874,480*
449-10-15NoNo00016183028143017.41,601,087*
439-9-16NoNo000292332248132.71,334,886*
428-11-15NoNo001415303216350.71,093,481*
418-10-16NoNo00018233626767.8877,557*
408-9-17NoNo00031534351381.2691,533*
397-11-16NoNo001828412190.2531,907*
387-10-17NoNo000420433295.4401,146*
377-9-18NoNo00214424398.0295,623*
366-11-17NoNo018375499.2213,777*
356-10-18NoNo005316499.7150,618*
346-9-19NoNo002247399.9103,237*
335-11-18NoNo011881100.069,390*
325-10-19NoNo011386100.045,855*
315-9-20NoNo0991Yes28,668*
304-11-19NoNo0694Yes18,151*
294-10-20NoNo0496Yes10,820*
284-9-21NoNo397Yes6,297*
273-11-20NoNo298Yes3,648*
263-10-21NoNo199Yes1,928*
253-9-22NoNo0100Yes1,116*
243-8-23NoNo0100Yes547*
7-23NoNo100Yes8,728*
Total:3.6%22.6%466777766665554433226.7%65,867,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship