How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 0 Southampton 0 -3.5
-2.7
*No
-0.2
Sunderland 0 Manchester City 1 -1.6
-0.3
-0.1
Leicester City 2 Liverpool 0 -1.5
-0.1
-0.0
Norwich City 0 Tottenham Hotspur 3 -1.1
-0.5
-0.1
Manchester United 3 Stoke City 0 -1.3
West Ham 2 Aston Villa 0 -0.7
Crystal Palace 1 Bournemouth 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Watford vs Chelsea-0.1+0.1+0.2
Everton vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth vs Arsenal-3.8-1.9+3.5
-9.6-3.0+7.6
-0.4-0.1+0.3
Tottenham Hotspur vs Watford-0.6+0.7+1.2
-0.5+0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Manchester City vs Leicester City-0.2+0.8-0.8
-0.2+0.1+0.3
Chelsea vs Manchester United+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+3.0+1.0-3.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Southampton vs West Ham+1.1+0.4-2.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Everton*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Liverpool vs Sunderland-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
85-87YesYes100No1,758*
8413-0-199.1%Yes991No562
8312-2-099.1Yes991No2,373
8212-1-197.4Yes9730No5,422
8111-3-095.9Yes9640No9,718*
8011-2-192.4Yes9270No23,289
7911-1-286.1Yes861310No38,872*
7810-3-178.9Yes792010No69,130*
7710-2-268.3Yes682930No116,301*
769-4-156.3Yes563760No172,304*
759-3-243.5100.0%44441210No259,531*
749-2-328.2100.028472230No221,695
8-5-134.7100.035471720No134,406
738-4-219.9100.020452950No464,106*
728-3-310.999.91139391100No445,115
7-6-113.799.914423690No143,520*
717-5-26.899.7732441700No366,556
8-2-45.199.4528452110No329,068*
707-4-32.798.7321462910No587,944
8-1-52.898.4321453020No200,311*
697-3-40.996.0111414340No547,309
6-6-21.397.3115433830No305,722*
686-5-30.493.1073551700No536,981
7-2-50.391.1063253900No338,430*
676-4-40.184.90324581410No613,824
5-7-20.186.10325571310No246,816*
666-3-50.072.80114582520No435,181
5-6-30.077.80117592120No370,923*
655-5-40.063.30095432400No465,652
6-2-60.060.70085334500No249,757*
645-4-50.046.700443431000No403,142
4-7-3No50.6054640900No204,720*
634-6-4No36.20234471610No244,227
5-3-6No31.90131481820No248,750*
624-5-5No21.801214827400No377,705*
614-4-6No12.500124237810No275,255*
603-6-5No6.206324316200No190,199*
593-5-6No2.502214426600No124,184*
583-4-7No0.811138361220No76,515*
572-6-6No0.205264022500No44,416*
562-5-7No0.00215363212200No24,206*
552-4-8NoNo06253724710No12,462*
541-6-7NoNo021432331530No5,806*
531-5-8NoNo16203626920No2,508*
521-4-9NoNo28283321700No948*
511-3-10NoNo121331351431No372*
500-5-9NoNo524333133No91*
490-4-10NoNo3131832323No38*
480-3-11NoNo333333No6
450-0-14NoNo0112323715200.2%1,234
Total:7.7%76.3%81422321562000000000000.0%9,939,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship