"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/14100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa vs Arsenal-24.0+0.5+8.5
+0.7+0.0-0.3
Everton vs Aston Villa+10.5+3.5-19.8
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Watford vs Manchester City+6.4+2.3-1.9
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Manchester City vs Bournemouth-1.0+0.7+5.3
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Manchester United vs West Ham United-1.6+0.8+4.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bournemouth vs Southampton+3.6-0.7-1.9
-0.2+0.0+0.2
West Ham United vs Watford-1.7+1.3+1.0
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle United+0.2+0.1-0.3
Southampton vs Brighton & Hove-0.3+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Aston Villa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
393-0-0NoNo31571100.1%333,972
372-1-0NoNo4305312112.51,174,261
362-0-1NoNo085334438.81,884,622
351-2-0NoNo133521466.91,362,000
341-1-1NoNo7543993.04,314,942
331-0-2NoNo3862Yes3,394,184
0-3-0NoNo3961Yes516,720
320-2-1NoNo2476Yes2,433,396
310-1-2NoNo793Yes3,804,509
300-0-3NoNo100Yes1,976,754
Total:NoNo1311295684.6%21,195,360
Points
Chance Will Win Championship